Market Reports

Market-Rate Multifamily Units Rapidly Increase in Santa Fe

by Jeff Shaw July 1, 2021

By Billy Eagle and Erik Olson, Senior Vice Presidents of Investment Properties, Multifamily, CBRE In Albuquerque, New Mexico’s largest city, multifamily demand remains high. Rents have steadily increased, though multifamily development remains sluggish due to the lack of developable land sites and geographic constraints. Most other New Mexico cities are also seeing a small pipeline of new multifamily projects due to increased material costs. However, contrary to other cities in New Mexico, the northern New Mexico City of Santa Fe has seen a boom in multifamily development. Santa Fe’s highly resilient and fundamentally sound multifamily market is highlighted throughout the pandemic. The state capitol is renowned for its Southwest culture, luxurious resorts and world-class art markets. Its economic drivers include, but are not limited to, tourism (more than 1 million visitors per year), government (Los Alamos National Labs is located nearby), medical and boutique financial services. The Santa Fe apartment market had record occupancies at 96.91 percent in January 2021 and year-over-year rent growth of 7.6 percent. The average weighted rent was $1,102 per month among a total of 3,385 market-rate units. Nearly 16 months later, they are averaging almost $1,300 per month, an 18 percent increase. Santa Fe also added 503 market-rate units to …

July 1, 2021

Colorado Market Reports Retail Western Western Market Reports

Colorado’s Retail Sector Reemerges Amid Strong Market Signs

by Jeff Shaw June 30, 2021

By Stuart Zall, President, The Zall Company No matter how you look at it, Colorado is in a great position for strong post-pandemic recovery and growth. People are moving here from around the country at historic numbers. With low interest rates and an influx of buyers prepared to pay well over asking prices, the residential real estate market is experiencing unprecedented activity, and we expect the commercial market to follow suit. Now that the vaccine has created less concern about COVID-19, people are getting out again and we’re seeing a lot of pent-up demand as businesses reopen, eateries expand capacity and restrictions on crowd size are lifted. Downtown Denver Takes Action To Lure People Back Within the Front Range retail market, downtown Denver took the biggest pandemic hit by far. Prior to 2020, downtown served a population of more than 150,000 daytime workers, the convention center was booked for years out, bringing thousands of conventioneers from all over the country, and sports and tourist venues like Elitch Gardens attracted huge crowds. Now the city is working hard to bring back workers. The Downtown Denver Partnership recently launched the Denver’s Ready campaign to encourage employers and employees to return to in-person work. Enticements include extension …

June 30, 2021

Market Reports New York Northeast Northeast Market Reports

New York City’s Pandemic-Related Property Tax Problems Persist

by Taylor Williams June 29, 2021

By Joel Marcus, partner, Marcus & Pollack LLP What happens when an irresistible force meets an immovable object? The longstanding physics conundrum encapsulates the situation in which New York City property owners currently find themselves, and for better or worse, they’re about to discover the answer to the age-old question. City government has squeezed increasing sums of property taxes from its real estate stock in each of the past 25 years, but the pandemic is changing everything. The basic fact is that 53 percent of New York City revenues come from real estate taxes. Fueled by rising rents that are tied to high costs of new construction, the city property tax base has grown and enjoyed record tax revenues in recent years. Total real property tax revenue was almost $30 billion in 2020, according to the city’s annual property tax report. Historically speaking, no major event in recent memory has been responsible for a pause in the year-over-year tax increases — not the Financial Crisis of 2018, nor Hurricane Sandy, nor even the events of September 11. It seems as though only a global pandemic has this particular power. COVID-19 has affected every element of New York City’s economy, but …

June 29, 2021

Build-to-Rent Georgia Market Reports Multifamily Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Investors are ‘Swarming’ Atlanta’s Multifamily Market, Driving Pricing Up

by John Nelson June 28, 2021

Atlanta is a hot spot for investing in multifamily assets as the market emerges from the COVID-19 pandemic. The apartment market’s fundamentals, including occupancy and rent growth, have held up considerably well, making the market extremely attractive to buyers. Because the Atlanta market has an abundance of capital looking to be deployed, prices are being driven up significantly and cap rates driven down. Multifamily has outperformed many other commercial real estate sectors during the pandemic, considered a “hot-ticket asset class” by investors, which leads to new capital swarming the Atlanta apartment market. Many multifamily properties are now routinely trading at a sub-4 percent cap rate, indicative of the vast amount of available capital and the confidence that investors have in the product type. However, rather than clearing the market and searching for as many prospective buyers as they can, sellers are looking at a smaller subset of dominant, well-known investors that they know will deliver and get the transaction done. They are seeking six to 12 well-recognized, established players that can execute a deal at top prices. It is an extremely competitive process, and all buyers know they have to swing high on pricing. Oftentimes, no one broker is selected …

June 28, 2021

Market Reports Retail Texas Texas Market Reports

Low Retail Inventory Sustains Sales Prices in Dallas, Austin

by Taylor Williams June 25, 2021

By Taylor Williams The combination of a flight by investors to highly targeted segments of the physical retail market and a lack of new development in 2020 is keeping prices high for select properties in some of Texas’ biggest markets. Retail investment sales brokers in Dallas and Austin say that for specific subtypes of well-located properties — such as single-tenant, net-leased (STNL) assets and multi-tenant strip centers with essential businesses — there simply aren’t enough of these deals being brought market to go around. These supply constraints ensure that pricing continues to rise and cap rates continue to compress for these in-demand assets. According to data provided by CoStar Group and Real Capital Analytics (RCA), Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) was a top 10 market in 2020 in terms of average retail sales price growth. Although total transaction volume was, unsurprisingly, down for the year, the metroplex saw an average price of $396 per square foot for single-tenant retail assets, a year-over-year increase of 5 percent. The average sales price for multi-tenant retail properties rose 6 percent to $329 per square foot over the course of the year. The data from CoStar and RCA for Austin also illustrates more muted sales price …

June 25, 2021

Industrial Kansas Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports Office Retail

Despite Pandemic, Wichita Market Experiences Significant Urban Development

by Kristin Harlow June 24, 2021

By Tom Johnson, NAI Martens The overall Wichita economy is not out of the woods yet, but numerous factors point to a continuation of the recovery from both the Great Recession and the impact of the pandemic. Since the significant employment downturn during the second quarter of 2020, the Wichita metro area has markedly recovered but remains well below 2019 non-farm employment. The seesaw unemployment rate has now declined to just over 5 percent. All employment sectors are expected to increase from 3 to 6 percent in 2021 with retail, leisure and hospitality leading the way as restaurants and travel return to pre-pandemic levels. In the background of all the pandemic noise have been significant gains in urban development with over $1 billion of public and private sector investment since the recession. ● Residential has grown exponentially with 21 new and renovated properties representing 1,228 units with some of the highest rental rates in the city. ● With over 100 restaurants and local shops, retail has increased significantly, adding almost 500,000 square feet, a 39 percent increase with more to come. ● Starting with the Ambassador Hotel renovation, the hospitality sector has added 375 rooms with another 95 rooms in …

June 24, 2021

California Market Reports Office Western Western Market Reports

An Inflection Point for the Greater Los Angeles Office Market

by Jeff Shaw June 23, 2021

By Nico Vilgiate, Executive Vice President, Colliers Greater Los Angeles has one of the largest office development pipelines in the nation, which includes new construction and some sizeable adaptive reuse projects. There is currently more than 6 million square feet in this pipeline with nearly 2.7 million square feet scheduled to deliver this year. This will increase overall vacancy throughout 2021. The most significant developments are occurring in Downtown and West Los Angeles, which contain more than 55 percent of all new office construction. One of the most prominent projects is One Westside, a shopping mall conversion that will contain 584,000 square feet of creative office space in West Los Angeles. Google will be moving into the building upon completion. The greater Los Angeles overall vacancy rate of 18.3 percent is 50 basis points higher than the previous peak in 2013 when it reached 17.8 percent. Sublease availability has increased over the past four quarters due to the work-from-home mandate. However, there has been an increase in the overall average asking rate in the past few quarters. The rate has increased by 4.4 percent year-over-year to about $3.54 per square foot, per month. Asking rate rental growth during this period was strongest …

June 23, 2021

Market Reports Multifamily New York Northeast Northeast Market Reports

Opportunities Abound for Buyers and Sellers in New York City’s Multifamily Market

by Taylor Williams June 22, 2021

By Lev Mavashev, founder and principal, Alpha Realty Last year in 2020 and even now well into 2021, the COVID-19 pandemic has many New York City property owners feeling like deer in headlights. Should I push forward? Take a step back? Or should I just freeze and brace for impact from the worst disaster to strike the world in living memory? While little is certain in these uncertain times, for New York’s multifamily owners considering their future beyond 2021, values might drastically be impacted by the following factors. Rising Property Taxes New York will never move forward unless its real estate industry moves forward. Next to finance and, increasingly, big tech, the industry is the biggest driver of the state economy, and its 12-month enforced hiatus has cost the state $1.6 billion in lost tax revenue. The state can’t just print money to make up that shortfall, so it is doing one of the only things that is certain in life: issuing taxes. From hikes in property taxes to capital gains, personal income to corporate tax, both the city and state are creating a clear roadmap to recouping what’s been lost. Property taxes will definitely be going up for the …

June 22, 2021

Market Reports Maryland Office Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Maryland Governor Hogan’s Good News for Baltimore’s CBD, Demand Rises for Mental Health Space

by John Nelson June 21, 2021

Among Maryland’s hardest hit submarkets the past 12 months is the Baltimore Central Business District (CBD), where the vacancy rate has risen to 16 percent, according to CoStar Group. Notable departures from companies such as T. Rowe Price and Legg Mason have accelerated during the pandemic due to aging infrastructure and rising crime, coupled with the expansion of sexy nearby submarkets, Inner Harbor East and Harbor Point. Combined these factors have stressed property owners and businesses trying to survive. Downtown restaurants in particular have suffered even more from the double whammy of the area’s rising pre-pandemic vacancies followed by the crushing hit from the spread of COVID-19 and government shutdowns. State government swoops in But Baltimoreans just received some good news from Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan that is sure to spur economic and social revitalization of its CBD. Over time the State of Maryland will be relocating 12 agencies and approximately 3,300 employees to available properties throughout the CBD from an aging Midtown office complex known as State Center. The first agency on the move will be the Department of Human Services (DHS), which has an RFP out for approximately 105,000 square feet of office space. The Department of Health …

June 21, 2021

Market Reports Multifamily Texas Texas Market Reports

Investors Take Notice as RGV Multifamily Market Emerges from Pandemic Lull

by Taylor Williams June 18, 2021

By Brad Frisby, associate, NAI Rio Grande Valley As the national economy and society as a whole move toward recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic, multifamily investors of all varieties, eager to deploy capital into the space, are increasingly looking at markets in the Rio Grande Valley (RGV). While the region’s multifamily investment market has unquestionably experienced its share of decreased activity over the past 15 months, deal volume and velocity have really picked back up through the first two quarters of 2021. Many investors that are targeting the RGV are banking on its solid fundamentals holding through the recovery and are eyeing deals with five- to 10-year holding strategies in mind. Although the RGV remains something of a seller’s market — many multifamily deals are trading at sub-6-percent cap rates — buyers are willing to pony up to be in this high-growth market. This holds especially true when one considers the RGV as an alternative to Dallas, Houston or Austin. But it’s precisely from those markets that we continue to see an influx of capital looking for multifamily deals. Prior to the pandemic, the annual combination of limited new deliveries and steady job growth in resilient industries like healthcare, education …

June 18, 2021

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