Southeast Market Reports

Automotive Users Put Birmingham’s Industrial Market in the Fast Lane

by John Nelson June 19, 2017

When comparing Birmingham’s industrial market to other major cities in the Southeast, “The Tortoise and the Hare” comes to mind. Birmingham has had slow and steady progress — not to say that our sister cities have periods of laziness and napping. Birmingham’s current pace of activity is more the norm and thankfully the trends remain positive with 2016’s transaction numbers actually tilting in the direction of a “hare-like” pace. Occupancy rates for the 15 million-square-foot, multi-tenant industrial market eclipsed 90 percent for the first time since 2005. We had positive absorption of over 400,000 square feet with just under 1.5 million square feet of inventory remaining. During 2016, 12 new lease transactions of 50,000 square feet and larger were completed, eight of which were automotive related. These 12 transactions compare to seven and eight in 2014 and 2015, respectively, which is a strong increase. Leases of note include 270,600 square feet to a third-party logistics provider for Mercedes-Benz; 240,240 square feet to Grupo Antolin, a Spanish-based supplier of interior parts for Mercedes-Benz; and a 225,496-square-foot lease directly with Mercedes-Benz. Much of the remaining 1.5 million square feet of inventory is Class B or lower quality, so finding suitable space has …

June 19, 2017

Alabama Market Reports Office Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Consistency, Young Talent Lead to High Expectations for Birmingham Office Market

by John Nelson June 12, 2017

For the first time in quite a while, the Birmingham office market has experienced a rejuvenation and resurgence, catered around growth, a diversification of the tenant base and an effort to attract and retain bright young minds. Like many markets nationally, the city’s focus on urban renewal has made downtown Birmingham an attractive place to live, work and play, and thus will help companies attract talent to the market. Birmingham has entered a new era of industry and residential growth with one of the Southeast’s most dynamic markets after evolving from a historically steel and manufacturing-focused economy. Driven by a new generation of local leaders who have focused on developing biotechnology, life sciences and automotive sectors as catalysts for growth, Birmingham has witnessed a remarkable economic transformation. A preference for dynamic locations to live, work and play is occurring in Birmingham, as a significant amount of development has taken place in downtown Birmingham. While the bulk of this activity is occurring on the multifamily side, the same factors that draw people to live downtown are expected to positively impact the desire of employees to work downtown. In the long run, it is reasonable to expect office development to take off …

June 12, 2017

Alabama Market Reports Retail Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Retail Activity Leads the Way in Birmingham’s Revitalization

by John Nelson May 30, 2017

The Birmingham retail market had an explosive 2016. Several large projects were announced or completed, while traditional indicators of market health also showed promising signs of growth. TopGolf will soon be coming to the Uptown District, while Regions Field, home of the Birmingham Barons minor league baseball team, continues to attract surrounding development. Breweries remain a mainstay in Birmingham’s social scene, and they have demonstrated a capability to revive entire neighborhoods. As the natural beauty of Alabama becomes more important to residents and newcomers, the Red Rock Trail System’s green space bicycle system, which encompasses over 200 miles of green space trails and over 600 miles of street-based paths connecting all corners of the Birmingham area, will continue to grow in importance and recognition. By the fourth quarter of 2016, retail vacancy had decreased to 5.4 percent, down from 6.1 percent at the beginning of 2016, while market rents for major submarkets held steady around $12.37 per square foot. Downtown Birmingham, which hasn’t been viewed as a major retail area for decades, is the site of resurgent interest and accompanying capital. Some of the revitalization is occurring due to a renewed interest in public greenspaces, such as the recently developed …

May 30, 2017

Market Reports Retail South Carolina Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Greenville’s Positive Economic Momentum is Catching the Eye of Retailers

by John Nelson May 29, 2017

The city of Greenville and the surrounding submarkets are exploding with growth. The once-sleepy textile town in the Upstate of South Carolina has now become a robust, diversified economy that is garnering interest from retailers that may have overlooked the market in the past. The change in the city of Greenville has not gone unnoticed; several publications and top ten lists have recognized Greenville for its thriving downtown. From the addition of Falls Park in 2004, an approximately 32-acre oasis in the West End of the city, to multiple mixed-use developments under construction, Greenville’s resurgence has brought new residents, new retail and new life to the region. Growth in the Greenville market has been largely driven by the addition of thousands of new jobs, a low cost of living and highly attractive lifestyle options. Greenville serves as the North American headquarters for BMW, Michelin and Hubbell Lighting, all of which have contributed to significant job growth in the region. As Greenville’s downtown has continued to draw national recognition, retailers have taken notice. In recent years, Greenville has attracted a multitude of national retailers new to the market. Hughes Development’s Project ONE kicked things off when it brought national retailers like …

May 29, 2017

Market Reports Office Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

Memphis Office Market Proves That ‘Slow and Steady Wins the Race’

by John Nelson May 22, 2017

Memphis may be known for its industrial market, but there are several interesting stories unfolding in the Memphis office market as well. Investors, both local and national, have found opportunities in an office market that can relate to the phrase, “slow and steady wins the race.” The Memphis office market consists of just over 52 million square feet, with nearly 60 percent of that in the Downtown, East and 385 Corridor submarkets and more than 85 percent of the Class A space located in those same submarkets. The Memphis metro ended 2016 with overall vacancy rates of 10.5 percent. Those rates have remained in the 10.5 to 10.9 percent range for the last two years. Class A vacancy has been on a slow and steady decline, falling from 10.2 percent at the end of 2014 to 7.9 percent at the end of 2016, its lowest level in more than a decade. This has prompted Class B owners to make investments in their properties, like the $7 million capital investment by Clark Tower, located in the East Memphis submarket, to upgrade mechanical systems and common areas. Rates, too, have been relatively steady for the last decade. At $17.07 per square foot …

May 22, 2017

Industrial Market Reports Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

Memphis Expects to Bolster Its Stellar Industrial Reputation with Strong 2017

by John Nelson May 15, 2017

In 2015, the Memphis industrial sector reached a record-breaking 8.4 million square feet net absorption. Achieving absorption in 2015 at a level that was higher than before the recession would have seemingly set 2016 up for a downturn. However, industrial growth, with Memphis at the epicenter of world distribution, allowed the positive trajectory to continue. The Memphis MSA absorbed approximately 6 million square feet in 2016. Given ideal geographical positioning, Memphis is known as America’s Distribution Center, boasting unparalleled expertise in distribution and logistics. The Memphis International Airport houses the second-busiest cargo airport in the world. Companies recognize that Memphis offers reliable, cost-effective distribution, with the ability to reach 70 percent of the U.S. population within 24 hours. Moreover, Memphis is one of only three cities with five Class I Rail Systems and has the fifth largest inland port, as well as 10 major trucking companies utilizing interstates I-40 and I-55. It’s no wonder that FedEx World Hub makes Memphis its home, and UPS chose it as a major hub. With those constants in place, the most notable recent change is the expansion of the submarkets, and how they compete for the warehouse and distribution business. In the past, when …

May 15, 2017

Market Reports Retail Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

Restaurants, Grocers, IKEA Headline Positive Retail Activity in Memphis

by John Nelson May 8, 2017

If it’s been several years since visiting Memphis, it’s time to come back and see the improvements. The city and suburbs have experienced large amounts of new construction and redevelopments, from the downtown Memphis Pyramid becoming the grandest Bass Pro Shops outside of their headquarters to the new Tanger Outlets in Southaven, Miss., and many more developments in between. The most active retail category continues to be restaurants, followed closely by grocers and service-oriented retailers. New restaurants have leased space across the market, varying from fast-casual options like Pimento’s Kitchen + Market to upscale options like Cheesecake Factory and Char, a steakhouse based in Jackson, Miss. In the grocery sector, Kroger, The Fresh Market and Whole Foods Market expanded their reach by adding new and redeveloped stores. Kroger, with its 125,000-square-foot Marketplace concept, is further solidifying market share and geographic footprint with Marketplace units in Hernando and Arlington and a 100,000-square-foot unit in Germantown. These locations were also joined by new-to-Memphis Sprouts Farmers Market. Trader Joe’s also announced plans to open a new store later this year. One of the most notable new Memphis-area retailers is IKEA, which opened its 271,000-square-foot store along Interstate 40 in late 2016. The store …

May 8, 2017

Industrial Market Reports Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

Nashville Industrial Market Will Continue to Ride its Hot Hand Through 2017

by John Nelson April 17, 2017

The Nashville commercial real estate market’s growth is no longer a local secret. In fact, it very well may be one of the most desired areas for investors for an MSA with a population less than 2.5 million people. In case you haven’t heard, read or taken notice, you likely have been living under a rock. Those who call this market “hot” are making an understatement. As the downtown core sees land sites trade in excess of $13 million per acre (and in a few interesting cases eclipse $1,000 per square foot), the multifamily and hospitality markets have moved at a torrid pace. Even office rents have climbed to record highs near $40 per square foot for full service gross rates. Some covering that sector project this number will peak around the $50 per square foot mark due, in part, to the higher land costs driven by the other sectors. Multifamily developers have seized upon this growth by paying record prices for downtown real estate in hopes of capturing the fancy of Millennials as they enter the workforce. Top this off with hotel stays in downtown costing as much as those found on Times Square in Manhattan, some ponder the …

April 17, 2017

Market Reports Office Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

Nashville’s Tight CBD Benefits the Metro’s Satellite Office Submarkets

by John Nelson April 10, 2017

Robust population and job growth are fueling a resurgence across all sectors of Nashville’s commercial real estate market, pushing vacancies lower, boosting rental rates and attracting strong interest from investors. With increasing demand for office space in the central business district (CBD), a rush of both in- and out-of-state developers and equity have descended on Nashville to deliver Class A product. That delivery timeline has subsequently pushed the demand for existing space to the adjacent Midtown, Wedgewood-Houston and MetroCenter submarkets. These satellite areas are benefiting from the positive absorption with existing space back-filled in record time, and some deliveries of conversions of older warehouses to hip office and retail space. CBD Construction Perhaps predictably, after the city climbed higher among the nation’s top job markets, (ranking third on NerdWallet’s list based on top cities’ unemployment rates and increase in working-age population between 2010- 2015), Nashville ranked sixth among the nation’s top cities for real estate investing in 2017, one spot higher than last year, in the annual Emerging Trends in Real Estate report put together by PricewaterhouseCooper and the Urban Land Institute. These accolades are a testament to Nashville’s crane-filled skyline, confirming that new construction is the dominant force in …

April 10, 2017

Market Reports Multifamily Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

Accelerating Demand, Deliveries Set the Tone for Nashville’s Apartment Market

by John Nelson April 3, 2017

The Nashville multifamily market’s roll continued through the end of 2016 with nearly 6,400 units absorbed, a 10 percent increase compared to 2015, according to Axiometrics. This demand was fueled by steady employment growth of nearly 28,000 new jobs, led by world-class healthcare employers, educational institutions and a burgeoning tech scene. The rate of job growth in Nashville is currently about 50 percent faster than the national level, and as a top destination for young people and the creative class, it’s becoming a cultural and entertainment destination that’s nationally recognized. Rental rates grew on average by 5.6 percent in 2016, buoyed by the fact Nashville had the nation’s second-highest rate of wage growth at 5.3 percent, behind only the Silicon Valley tech hub of San Jose, according to Headlight Data. Average market occupancy remained tight at an average rate of 96 percent, with the Murfreesboro, Southeast Nashville (Antioch) and Sumner County submarkets being the highest performers to end the year. Four submarkets saw rent growth over 7 percent in 2016, including Southeast Nashville, Wilson County/Hermitage, Airport/Briley Parkway and Rivergate/Hendersonville. Submarkets with concentrations of new supply lagged the market average, highlighted by Downtown and Williamson County. Transaction volume set a new …

April 3, 2017

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