Southeast Market Reports

The Atlanta retail market continues to be robust, with vacancy tightening in key submarkets and rents trending upward. Overall vacancy fell slightly from 7.1 percent during the fourth quarter of 2015 to 7 percent in the first quarter of 2016, according to CoStar. However, the decline is greater in hot submarkets such as Buckhead and Central Perimeter that boasted vacancy rates as low as 2.8 percent and 3.2 percent, respectively, in the first quarter. Demand Up, Supply Tightens There is still a disconnect between supply and demand, especially in strong trade areas, and many retailers that wish to enter or expand in the market are finding it difficult to do so. Rents are escalating by 10 percent to 15 percent because of the increased competition for space and the high cost to build new developments is attributable to escalating land costs. During the first quarter, 21 buildings totaling 300,174 square feet were delivered, according to CoStar, and at the end of the first quarter, 1.73 million square feet of retail space was under development. As Atlanta can deliver more of the space that’s under construction and open up availability, rent is expected to continue to climb. Health and Fitness Food …

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There has been a seismic shift in the way that companies throughout America make their relocation decisions, and it applies to Atlanta as well as its competitors. Companies are driven to locations that can provide a robust pipeline of talent and tight-knit innovative communities. This focus has created new demands on cities that want to build and sustain competitive economies. Companies have always taken talent into consideration but ultimately there was a belief that the talent would follow the company. This is no longer true. Millennials first choose where they want to live and then where they want to work. Today’s sought-after talent is closely tied to a city’s ability to provide a high quality of life. This means a connected transportation system, plenty of entertainment activities and accessible, affordable housing. All of this can be found in Atlanta. Companies that have recently chosen to call Atlanta home are a testament to this. From NCR (3,600 employees) to Kaiser Permanente (900 employees) to Worldpay (1,266 employees), all of these prestigious business newcomers have emphasized the critical role that access to highly qualified talent played in their decision to relocate here. Tight-knit, innovative communities do not just appear and cannot be …

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It looks like 2016 is carrying on where 2015 left off. During 2014 and 2015, Atlanta set record after record for activity, positive net absorption and new construction; and the first quarter of 2016 didn’t disappoint. Activity during the first quarter of 2016 was over 13.5 million square feet, which contributed to a four-quarter total of 59.3 million square feet — the highest four-quarter total for activity ever seen in the Atlanta industrial market. We also witnessed the 16th consecutive quarter of positive net absorption with 3.1 million square feet of space absorbed during the quarter. Added to the last three quarters, net absorption totaled 16.5 million square feet of positive net absorption. Even with a large industrial inventory of 642 million square feet, that’s a significant achievement. Demand for warehouse and distribution space is fueled by Atlanta’s continued economic growth and employment. Unemployment in the Atlanta metro area is 6.1 percent and down from 6.3 percent that we reported last October (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics). Although construction slowed during the fourth quarter of 2015 with only 1.5 million square feet launched, it was only a short lull. New construction moved forward again for the first quarter of 2016 …

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The real estate market in downtown Birmingham has followed the “chicken and egg” trend. Over the last few years, over a dozen multifamily projects have been announced, but the major hurdle is proving the demand as people moving downtown have wanted a downtown grocer. While some multifamily developers decided to proceed with construction, others waited on the sidelines hoping a grocer would announce a new downtown location. On the other hand, major grocers put off locating in downtown Birmingham due to the lack of people living in the general area. Problem solved when construction started last year on a new 30,000-square-foot Publix with a full-service pharmacy in downtown Birmingham. Developers Scott Bryant and Dick Schmalz announced that the Publix will anchor a new multi-story, mixed-used development. Publix considered a store in downtown Birmingham in 2007 and again in 2009 before finally deciding to bring a store downtown now. The development of the Parkside District with Railroad Park and Regions Field, along with existing and planned apartment projects in the area, contributed to the timing. With the addition of Publix, several other multifamily projects are well underway or completed, such as the 228-unit LIV Parkside, 332 total units next to Regions …

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Wells Fargo Tower Birmingham

Pick up any Birmingham newspaper and the headlines will likely reveal plans for a historic building renovation, a new mixed-use development or a prominent Birmingham company expanding into the Central Business District (CBD). Birmingham has enjoyed a surge of development over the last few years, with nationally recognized projects such as Railroad Park and Regions Field, the renovations of prominent downtown buildings and the emergence of new districts throughout the city. With all the development going on, it’s no wonder that the Birmingham office market is thriving with investors taking an interest in many of the city’s best Class A properties. The years 2014 and 2015 marked a record number of Class A properties trading to prominent national investors, and the trend seems to be continuing into 2016. Over the past year, Hertz Investment Group expanded its Birmingham footprint to include Inverness Center (four buildings), the Wells Fargo Tower and the BB&T Bank Building, a total of more than 1 million square feet. The Matrix Group purchased the four-building portfolio Meadow Brook North, totaling more than 500,000 square feet. 2016 is off to a promising start with the sale of one of the Southern submarket’s most prominent buildings, the 211,335-square-foot …

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LIV Parkside Birmingham

Birmingham’s renaissance has been underway for several years now, but it has taken some time for the rest of the world to find out. This year they started paying attention. The opening of Railroad Park, Regions Field, the Iron City event venue and now the recently restored Lyric Theatre have made it clear that there are intriguing things going on in downtown Birmingham. Lonely Planet, the respected travel information source, included Birmingham in its “2016 Best in the U.S.” list, asking, “Could Birmingham be the coolest city in the South?” Food media giant Zagat named Birmingham “America’s No. 1 Next Hot Food City” and the Travel Channel chose Birmingham to its list of “11 Next Great Destinations.” Foodies and fashionistas are not the only groups showing interest in Birmingham. Multifamily investors have been building new developments and acquiring and repositioning existing properties over the past few years. This activity reflects national trends — investors looking for alternatives to top-tier markets and Millennials gravitating to an affordable urban core. Nonetheless, with its burgeoning downtown food and arts scene, Birmingham has earned a second look. Strong Year for Downtown Developers liked what they saw and acted accordingly. In 2014 and 2015, plans …

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The retail market in Memphis has continued to improve over the past year with new developments now open for business and redevelopment projects popping up across the metro area. Memphis, most commonly known for its blues and barbecue, has recently become the dreamland for those looking to lease, buy or redevelop assets. Vacancy rates are falling, new tenants and stakeholders are entering the market and retail investment sales continue to be in high demand. With several new development projects in the pipeline, the metro area is looking to capitalize on the new infrastructure. Memphis, located in the southwest corner of Tennessee within Shelby County, boasts a large metropolitan statistical area comprising Crittenden County in Arkansas; Benton, DeSoto, Marshall, Tate and Tunica counties in Mississippi; and Fayette and Tipton counties in Tennessee. One of the most attractive features of life in Memphis is the area’s remarkably low cost of living, which has allowed Memphis to become the city where one eats and stays instead of eats and plays, adding increasing demand on the commercial real estate market. According to a variety of real estate professionals doing business in the area, national and international investors and developers are looking to Memphis because …

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Greenville is undergoing significant growth and capturing the attention of national investors and tenants. Historically high rental rates, increased occupancy and strong construction activity for the first time in recent years collectively indicate a healthy market. Additionally, tight market conditions provide an ideal investment sales environment encouraging landlords to market their office assets for sale, something they couldn’t justify doing a few years ago. The market’s occupancy rate was up to 85.2 percent at year-end 2015 from 83.7 percent the previous year. As demand grows and space is absorbed, the market is shifting in favor of landlords, who are pushing up rental rates to levels never before seen in the market. Asking rental rates for Class A office space in the market averaged $22.41 per square foot at year-end 2015, increasing 9 percent in a one-year span. Class A space in the central business district (CBD) is even more costly with asking rental rates averaging $25 per square foot. With office users showing a strong desire to locate in the market and willingness to pay higher rental rates for quality space, developers are turning to new construction and adaptive reuse projects to meet the heightened demand for space. Several projects …

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To say 2015 was a good year for the Memphis industrial market would be an understatement. The Memphis market, which comprises approximately 220 million square feet spread across seven submarkets and three states (Mississippi, Tennessee and Arkansas), set a new record in 2015 with absorption exceeding 8.4 million square feet. This total is nearly double what the market recorded in 2014 and an impressive 2 million square feet more than the record set in 2006. Vacancy also dipped into single-digit territory for the first time ever, falling below the 10 percent mark to a new record low of 9.8 percent. Vacancy fell 370 basis points in 2015 alone, the most significant year-over-year vacancy decrease in market history. The market’s central U.S. location, quadra-modal transportation infrastructure (river, road, runway and rail) and abundant labor force are just a few of the benefits that make it an ideal location for distribution tenants. A total of 18 Class A deals were completed in 2015 by notable companies like Nike, Post, Cummins, Dayco Products, AmerisourceBergen, T.J. Maxx and Coca-Cola, to name a few. Class A buildings made up 6.3 million square feet, or 75 percent, of total absorption. There were five deals north of …

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For the fifth straight year, the Baltimore industrial market ended the year with a positive net absorption, with improvements continuing in both rental rate growth and overall fundamentals. While not overly robust compared to other areas of the country, such as Ontario, Calif., Atlanta, New Jersey and Central Pennsylvania, the Baltimore market absorbed almost 3 million square feet of industrial space in 2015. This sustained growth trend is attributed to a steady, albeit choppy, stream of demand, sustained levels of new construction activity and falling availability and vacancy markers. Looking at the overall conditions of the market, several factors contribute to the improving fundamentals, the most significant of which is the ongoing, high demand for Class A industrial property, which continues to outpace available supply. The Baltimore market is located in the heart of the I-95 Corridor and can access 34 percent of the U.S. population within a single day’s drive. Additionally, given its location within the Washington/Baltimore metropolis, major retailers have selected Baltimore as a logical location for e-commerce and omni-channel fulfillment centers to distribute to homes. These centers will allow retailers same-day access to the 9 million people in the Baltimore-Washington region. On average, those residing in this …

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