Southeast Market Reports

Miami’s multifamily market now ranks among the country’s strongest overall performers (if not the strongest). The city attracts, and benefits from, numerous tourists, investors, financial institutions, real estate funds, retailers and tourists from countries around the globe. The demand for condominiums and apartment buildings in Miami seems insatiable with the investors competing for increasingly scant deals. In practical terms, that means hotel and office developers often lose out across asset classes to the “ever-on-fire” multifamily sector. There is every indication in the first quarter of 2015 that Miami’s multifamily market’s upward trend will continue. Debt and equity continue to stream into the Miami-Dade County apartment and condominium sector from both local sources and out-of-area buyers attracted to solid asset performance and robust housing demand generators. Continued employment and population growth have bolstered housing demand as the overall Miami economy strengthened in 2014. The Miami metropolitan area added more than 30,000 jobs last year, and based on figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Miami-Dade County’s unemployment rate continued its downward trend to 5.4 percent in February 2015. According to the Florida Bureau of Economic and Business Research, South Florida’s population is expected to increase by approximately 29 percent between 2013 …

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PortMiami

Miami, the “Gateway to Latin America and the Caribbean,” boasts one of the strongest industrial markets in the nation, with over 200 million square feet of industrial space serving one of the fastest-growing metropolitan areas in the United States. Stronger-than-average population and employment growth count among the region’s chief demand drivers, along with robust international trade, a booming housing market and a globally acclaimed tourism industry. South Florida’s population is expected to grow by 100,000 people annually over the next five years, while the region also has the fourth-highest job growth rate in the nation. As a result, demand for housing and consumer goods is rising, creating a very dynamic industrial development, leasing and sales environment. Significant and ongoing investment in South Florida’s seaports, airports and intermodal transportation infrastructure is giving investors and businesses confidence in the long-term growth of the region. On the infrastructure front, there is the highly publicized, $2 billion expansion of PortMiami, one of the busiest ports in the U.S. for container traffic. The project includes a deep dredge, the addition of several post-Panamax gantry cranes, an intermodal/freight rail linkage, and a new truck/freight tunnel. Once completed this year, PortMiami will be the only port south …

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Miami is known for its spicy nightlife and beautiful beaches; but those are not the only things the international city has to offer. As the economy continues to surge, many now consider Miami the third major market within the United States following New York City and Los Angeles. Within the city, the retail market has always been attractive to owners and tenants alike, but over the past three years retail has rocketed to the forefront. One of the major factors of this evolution is Miami’s growth, both in population and in tourism. Between being an international vacation destination, a major cruise port, and the gateway to the Caribbean and Latin America, Miami is constantly growing. The weather and city also attracts growth. The population in Miami now is at 2.66 million and Miami Beach’s hotels reported having occupancy levels at or above 94 percent during President’s Day weekend. With this type of growth, Miami is experiencing strong consumer spending and an increase in demand for retail space. Retail vacancies are at an all-time low while rental rates are breaking records. Currently, Miami is considered to be under-supplied per capita in retail. Over the past few years, Miami has been increasing …

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South Carolina continues to see a manufacturing renaissance, after back-to-back record years of manufacturing investment totaling $10 billion in 2013 and 2014. All signs suggest that 2015 will be just as promising. The Midlands region has benefitted from this investment and is poised to take off in 2015. As the market has heated up, the Midlands region of South Carolina has the most to offer in the way of product for new and expanding companies. Yes, in 2015 vacancy is a good thing! As the upstate and low country markets have become alarmingly tight on viable manufacturing space, the Midlands region offers up an array of high-quality industrial product that is move-in ready. Data for the first quarter of 2015 shows significant improvements in the Midlands market with investments, job creation and construction activity. Major companies, including Brazil-based Inbra Industrias Quimicas, Red Bone Alley Foods, Avantrech and Wire Mesh Cos., have all made multi-million dollar investments in new or expanded facilities, and there is also increased build-to-suit and speculative construction across the region. There has also been a growth in leasing, as manufacturers pursue existing facilities that can meet the demands for advanced manufacturing but with significant cost savings over …

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The business and employment gains in the Tampa Bay market are helping landlords attract new retail names to the market to fill space and subsequently raise rents. The area shows good signs of a healthy market, with strong leasing activity and a growing need for new development. The retail vacancy rate continues to drop, ending 2014 at 6.3 percent versus 6.9 percent in the first quarter of that year, according to CoStar. Rents are positively going the other way, rising to $13.73 per square foot from $13.57 per square foot over the same time periods. Space is extremely tight in some submarkets, just 2.1 percent in south Tampa and northeast Tampa, and 4.5 percent in the larger I-75 corridor at the end of last year, according to CoStar. The lack of space can be attributed in part to the slow pace of new construction. Developers and their lenders are being more cautious, having learned lessons from the last recession. At the same time, a number of new concepts, all of which are good for the market, are arriving in Tampa Bay. The current situation puts landlords in even more control than they had last year. They’re using this period to …

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All Aboard Miami

Downtown Miami is on fire by any measure. The neighborhood is home to more construction cranes than any other place in the U.S., businesses are moving in and expanding on an almost daily basis, hotel room rates and occupancy levels are at all-time highs, and new residents are relocating here from all over the world. A recent study by the Miami Downtown Development Authority found that greater downtown Miami’s residential population has literally doubled in size — from 40,000 people to 80,000 people — since 2000. Another 200,000 people commute to the area each day for business. The area’s commercial real estate market has closely followed this trajectory of growth, with Downtown Miami and the Brickell Financial District welcoming more than 2 million square feet of new Class A office product in the last five years. Strong demand among domestic and multinational companies, along with an improving economy, has resulted in positive absorption and record-setting lease rates in excess of $50 per square foot for premium space. Land values in downtown are also reaching new heights as developers spend as much as $125 million for one acre on the water. All of this is creating a steep barrier to entry …

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Three Alliance Center Buckhead

The Atlanta office market continues to gain steam. Although Atlanta was slower to rebound from the recession than many U.S. markets, it was only a matter of time before the city’s numerous strengths — including its low cost of living, pro-business environment, excellent labor pool, above-average household income and strong university systems — placed it on a path of sustained recovery. The Atlanta office market has posted 13 consecutive quarters of occupancy gains. Strong absorption and limited development are exerting upward pressure on rental rates, particularly in the Class A market. There are also some significant new trends. While there was previously a clear “flight to quality” that enabled tenants to take advantage of rent bargains and concessions at Class A properties, diminishing space options and the pricier rental rate environment are causing tenants to consider Class B properties as a more economically viable alternative. Still, it is yet another sign of the overall recovery in Atlanta’s office sector that we are seeing an increase in rental rates and a decrease in landlord concessions in the Class B sector as well. The rebound of Atlanta’s office sector is not lost on investors. Strong tenant demand and the rise in rental …

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Atlanta’s healthy multifamily market exhibits strong fundamentals, such as rising rental rates, and continued job creation. Last year alone, the city added more than 100,000 jobs and 2015 seems to be on track to surpass 2014 based on weekly announcements of companies moving to Atlanta. A decent amount of multifamily inventory hit the for-sale market in the first quarter of 2015, and those deals are now in the process of closing. We are seeing a lull in the number of listings across the market early in the second quarter. As owners attempt to capitalize on top-line collection, an increase in listings is expected in the latter portion of the second quarter in conjunction with the spring leasing months coming to an end. As most know, commercial real estate has peaks and valleys, with our last peak in 2007 and the valley landing somewhere in 2010. From 2010 to early 2015, investors were presented with a great opportunity to capitalize quickly from the rising rental rates even without implementing any value-add platforms. This quick rise in rental rates coupled with historically low interest rates has been the catalyst for the surge in trades. That said, as the REO bucket has all …

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The Atlanta industrial market is in the beginning stages of its third growth cycle since 1990. Vacancy has declined over the past 18 quarters, and asking rates have seen a positive trend over the same time period, increasing by 14.9 percent. These improving metrics should come as no surprise to those familiar with the history of Atlanta’s industrial market. Although the Atlanta metro is the nation’s ninth-largest metropolitan area, its industrial market represents the fourth-largest by volume. Total vacant space in the market has fallen to a 13-year low 8.7 percent, meaning the metro is once again poised for industrial expansion. Cycles One, Two and Three Atlanta’s growth cycle in the 1990s lasted just under 8 years, from 1994 until 2002, where 135 million square feet of new product was added to the market. That constitutes almost a quarter of the total 549 million square feet in the metro today. Total vacancy had fallen to 9.2 percent in the middle of 1994 and asking rates hit what was then an all-time high of $3.26 per square foot. These factors triggered a 40 percent rise in construction volume. As this cycle closed in 2001, vacancy rose back above 10 percent in …

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Atlanta is experiencing an influx of human capital, corporate relocations and development of distribution networks that are combining to create a robust expansionary cycle in our real estate markets. One of the most positive elements of this expansion is that it appears the underlying structure of the growth is creating stability for our city and state well into the future. It is the structure of the growth that will be a long-term difference maker. CNBC annually conducts a study and ranks the top states for doing business. These rankings are a result of assessing various criteria, including but not limited to the cost of doing business, workforce quality, access to capital and business friendliness. CNBC’s results in 2014 were very telling. Four of the top 10 states are located in the south. The South’s top 10 finalists in CNBC’s study were Georgia (1), Texas (2), North Carolina (5) and Virginia (8). In addition to these empirical studies, major corporations are voting as well. The verdict is that many organizations are choosing to relocate corporate headquarters to Atlanta. Recently, marquee brands such as Mercedes-Benz USA and State Farm all have made plans to open or expand major corporate centers in our …

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