Southeast Market Reports

Birmingham’s Retail Market Bolstered by New Grocers, Mixed-Use Projects

by John Nelson May 11, 2015

Birmingham’s retail market remained steady in 2014, with approximately 10 percent of the total 24 million square feet available for lease. Birmingham is tracking above national averages relative to new ground-up and rehab projects that are announced or underway. Downward pressure on rents have challenged developers pro-formas, though the very friendly city and state incentives environment has allowed developers to creatively meet tenants conservative occupancy cost requirements. While the Birmingham metro area is challenged by the threat of major closings by retailers like JC Penney, Sears and Kmart, there is a pipeline of first-to-market national retailers eyeing the growth submarkets, including Highway 280, Hoover/ Riverchase and Trussville. New Grocers Enter Market Trader Joe’s recently unveiled plans to open a 12,600-square-foot store at The Summit shopping center in the second half of 2015. Trader Joe’s provides a destination food option for the market. The Summit is leased and managed by Bayer Properties. Arizona-based Sprouts Farmers Market recently announced it would be entering the Birmingham metro as well. Sprouts’ first local offering will be at Brook Highland Plaza on U.S. 280. The 22,457-square-foot store will serve an array of fresh produce and meats. Additionally, GBT Realty is developing a 25,000-square-foot Sprouts location …

May 11, 2015

Alabama Market Reports Multifamily Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Birmingham’s Newest Multifamily Product Will Act as a Litmus Test for the Market

by John Nelson May 4, 2015

Spring has come to Birmingham, and with it the sound of multifamily developers breaking ground. Their success in finding tenants for these properties — numbering more than 1,000 units — will be a litmus test for the future of the Birmingham market. Right now, the market activity leads one to be cautiously optimistic. Work on the $66 million renovation of the historic Pizitz Building in downtown commenced in March, which will add 143 apartments to the market in fall 2016, and the newly dubbed 20 Midtown project is finally underway. This mixed-use project, featuring a Publix and a Starbucks, will have at least 122 apartments when completed. Construction has also started on the $22 million renovation of the Thomas Jefferson Tower, another mixed-use project that will yield 96 apartments. These projects join the 236-unit Venue at the Ballpark, which broke ground last year and promises views over the outfield fence into Regions Field. The cranes are also busy east of the expressway in Lakeview. Work there has started on the 67-unit Iron City Lofts and is slated to begin later this spring on the 260-unit Metropolitan Apartments. Testing the Millennial Market Taken together, these developments highlight a number of facts …

May 4, 2015

Industrial Market Reports South Carolina Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Roughly 3 Million Square Feet of Industrial Space is in Greenville’s Pipeline in 2015

by John Nelson April 27, 2015

Manufacturing was instrumental in driving the United States economy out of the recession. With Greenville-Spartanburg having a high ratio of manufacturing to warehouse space, the region’s industrial market has been ahead of the national market in terms of growth. Greenville-Spartanburg is first and foremost an industrial market with approximately 160 million square feet of manufacturing, warehouse and flex space. This is larger than the industrial markets in Columbia and Charleston combined. For five consecutive years vacancy has declined and absorption has been consistently positive. Vacancy currently sits at a record 7.3 percent and has been there for several quarters, not moving down further mostly due to lack of product. Annual net absorption topped 4.3 million square feet in 2012 and 2013, and dropped down to 2.5 million in 2014. Space that does not exist cannot be absorbed. Developers are aggressively responding to this lack of product with more than 3 million square feet of space expected to be built in 2015. Over 1.3 million square feet of that space is considered speculative, meaning construction started before occupancy was achieved. Both numbers represent the highest amounts of construction since CBRE began tracking the Greenville-Spartanburg industrial market in 2001. Absorption in 2015 …

April 27, 2015

Louisiana Market Reports Retail Southeast Southeast Market Reports

High-Profile Mixed-Use Projects Help Attract Top-Notch Retailers to Baton Rouge

by John Nelson April 20, 2015

Attention retailers — Baton Rouge is the place to be. For the first time in the area’s history, the Baton Rouge MSA is expected to exceed 400,000 overall jobs in 2015 according to economists Loren Scott and James Richardson. The surge in employment is being fueled by numerous projects including $16 billion in industrial construction projects in the Baton Rouge MSA, along with $1 billion in public construction. Construction is underway downtown on a $55 million office tower and residential complex, which will be the home of the new IBM Technology Center where 800 highly skilled computer savvy individuals will be employed. Construction is also underway on a state-of-the-art water research facility in downtown Baton Rouge. The “Water Campus” situated on 30 acres next to the Mississippi River will initially consist of three buildings totaling $45 million in construction costs. This research park will provide an opportunity for academics and private-sector scientists and engineers to collaborate in producing the best available science on water management and coastal issues. For a state heavily weighted in the energy and petrochemical sectors, this will be a catalyst for economic diversification. Newsworthy Projects Juban Crossing: The most significant new mixed-use project to come on …

April 20, 2015

Market Reports Office Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

Memphis Office Market’s Pecking Order is Easily Visible During the Current Upturn

by John Nelson April 12, 2015

When it comes to grading commercial office space, there is no doubt that location is still king — and other factors such as price, architecture, functionality and amenities all take a back seat to the property’s location. Since we assign buildings letter grades (A and B), let’s take a look at what these letter combinations mean and the relationship of quality to location. In these scenarios, the first letter describes the building’s class (A or B) and the second letter represents the desirability of its location (A or B). The A/A designation refers to Class A buildings in Class A locations. It’s no surprise that this is the first category of office space absorbed when a market heats up and leasing volume intensifies. During this stage of the cycle, rental rates to inch upward, and more importantly, lease renewal terms tighten as landlords sense a shift toward the middle. For Memphis, Tenn., the total vacancy for Class A space in the East Memphis submarket decreased from 2.9 percent during third quarter 2014 to 2 percent in fourth quarter 2014. Almost 24,000 square feet of Class A office space in the East submarket was leased during fourth quarter 2014, and this …

April 12, 2015

Market Reports Southeast Market Reports

Public and Private Partnerships Prove Positively Productive for Memphis Retailers

by John Nelson April 5, 2015

By the numbers, 2014 was a pretty good year for the Memphis retail market. With over seven million square feet of rentable retail space, the overall vacancy rate decreased roughly one percent since the end of 2013 while rental rates were relatively flat. Not bad. Not great either. It is important to note, however, that Memphis retail is not classified into A, B and C properties like their office and industrial counterparts, so we don’t often get an accurate snapshot of the market’s product availability. The truth is that Memphis is simply running out of space – desirable Class A space, that is. Because of this lack of available product, new construction is once again on the rise, as is redevelopment of existing structures within the city’s urban core. The good news doesn’t stop there. The willingness of local government entities to support development progress has proven to be instrumental to some very key wins for the Memphis MSA. This January, Tanger Outlets, a major player in the outlet mall industry, confirmed that it would partner with Poag Shopping Centers to develop a 310,000-square-foot outlet center in Southaven, Mississippi. Southaven and DeSoto County officials approved a $15 million tax increment …

April 5, 2015

Industrial Market Reports Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

National, International Users are Transforming Memphis Industrial Market

by John Nelson March 30, 2015

Memphis has acquired many nicknames since its establishment in 1819: Blues City, Birthplace of Rock ‘N Roll, and Bluff City just to name a few. However, one name that has managed to work its way to the top of the list in recent years is America’s Distribution Center. Metropolitan Memphis, located in the southeast corner of Tennessee, northwest Mississippi and eastern Arkansas, contains approximately 4,598 square miles and is inhabited by approximately 1.3 million people. As one of the few MSAs to include three states, the Memphis region plays an integral role as the cornerstone of the Mid-South area. With a central location and rich transportation infrastructure, Memphis transformed into the regional and national distribution and logistics hub. Memphis’ transportation infrastructure is comprised of the four Rs: runway, rail, river, and road. Memphis International Airport was named the largest air-cargo airport in the United States for 18 consecutive years. It is now tied for first in the world with Hong Kong International Airport. Memphis is one of only three cities in the US that has five of the seven Class I railroads: Union Pacific/Southern Pacific, Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNSF), CSX Corp., Norfolk Southern and Canadian National Railroad (CN). The …

March 30, 2015

Market Reports Multifamily Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

Strong Job, Population Growth Drives Flourishing Multifamily Market in Nashville

by John Nelson March 23, 2015

Nashville has quickly become one of the most active Southeast markets for multifamily, both in terms of development and sales. Driven by tremendous job growth, strong population increases, a pro-business climate and an educated workforce, Nashville’s remarkable multifamily growth is not overstated. From 2014 to 2017, more than 12,300 units are projected to enter the market, with another 9,000 that are planned or proposed. Concerns have arisen that Nashville’s supply will outpace the demand in the medium term. However, job growth indicators, sales activity and lease-up velocity indicate the contrary. Nashville’s economy has surpassed the $100 billion mark with a 5.1 percent unemployment rate and a 4.2 percent GMP growth rate that is double that of the rest of the nation. Notable recent expansions include General Motors (1,800 jobs), Under Armour (1,500 jobs), Magna International (357 jobs), and FedEx (347 jobs) — all of which were announced in the second half of 2014. In addition, Bridgestone America has announced that it will consolidate its operations in Nashville adding 600 jobs. These expansions combined with immense foreign direct investment continue to fuel the area’s growth. According to IBM’s 2014 Global Location Trends Report, Tennessee ranks first in the nation in terms …

March 23, 2015

Industrial Market Reports Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

Global, National Brands Heat Up Nashville’s Industrial Market

by John Nelson March 16, 2015

Jack Daniels, FedEx and Gibson Guitar are a few international brands that already call Tennessee home, and the list has expanded over the past two years, as major brands have chosen to grow their operations in Middle Tennessee. Recent industrial relocations including Under Armour, Beretta and Hankook Tire are a few notable companies that chose Nashville over other major markets in the U.S. In addition, existing companies such as General Motors, FedEx and Nissan continue to expand their footprint in the region, creating more jobs and building larger facilities. All of this activity has created the demand for more site-ready properties that can accommodate build-to-suit projects and be delivered quickly. Nashville’s continued evolution as the South’s leading auto manufacturing hub, as well as its favorable central location, has bode well for the industrial market over the last few years. Favorable Fundamentals Nashville’s industrial market vacancy rate of 7.1 percent at the end of fourth-quarter 2014 is the lowest it has been since the fourth quarter of 2008, and the 2014 total net absorption has reached more than 2.25 million square feet, the highest absorption since 2006. This year is projected to be a banner year for new construction with multiple …

March 16, 2015

Market Reports Office Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

Thriving Economy Fuels New Class A Office Development in Nashville

by John Nelson March 9, 2015

Nashville is now an established growth leader regionally and nationally. The city was a national trailblazer as the U.S. economy recovered from the Great Recession. That head start positioned Nashville to take advantage of broader growth trends and stay ahead of the pack as the remainder of the region and country started to grow again. Moody’s Analytics places Nashville firmly in an expansion phase, with fourth quarter employment growth 330 basis points ahead of the prior year, in-migration driving single-family housing permits up 13 percent last year and accelerating wage growth. Quoting Moody’s, “With the commercial real estate market tightening quickly, the pace of hiring will soon be contingent on how quickly new offices can be built or renovated. Yet there is still a good chance office-using employment could beat expectations, especially after 2016.” Class A buildings continue to dominate growth. Overall absorption for 2014 totaled 666,639 square feet, while Class A absorption was 689,009 square feet. Absorption exceeded construction by over 200,000 square feet, and Class A vacancy dropped from 5 percent at the beginning of the year to 3.5 percent at year-end. Vacancy that low inhibits movement, as is obvious in Brentwood with only 45,000 square feet vacant, …

March 9, 2015

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