The business and employment gains in the Tampa Bay market are helping landlords attract new retail names to the market to fill space and subsequently raise rents. The area shows good signs of a healthy market, with strong leasing activity and a growing need for new development. The retail vacancy rate continues to drop, ending 2014 at 6.3 percent versus 6.9 percent in the first quarter of that year, according to CoStar. Rents are positively going the other way, rising to $13.73 per square foot from $13.57 per square foot over the same time periods. Space is extremely tight in some submarkets, just 2.1 percent in south Tampa and northeast Tampa, and 4.5 percent in the larger I-75 corridor at the end of last year, according to CoStar. The lack of space can be attributed in part to the slow pace of new construction. Developers and their lenders are being more cautious, having learned lessons from the last recession. At the same time, a number of new concepts, all of which are good for the market, are arriving in Tampa Bay. The current situation puts landlords in even more control than they had last year. They’re using this period to …
Downtown Miami is on fire by any measure. The neighborhood is home to more construction cranes than any other place in the U.S., businesses are moving in and expanding on an almost daily basis, hotel room rates and occupancy levels are at all-time highs, and new residents are relocating here from all over the world. A recent study by the Miami Downtown Development Authority found that greater downtown Miami’s residential population has literally doubled in size — from 40,000 people to 80,000 people — since 2000. Another 200,000 people commute to the area each day for business. The area’s commercial real estate market has closely followed this trajectory of growth, with Downtown Miami and the Brickell Financial District welcoming more than 2 million square feet of new Class A office product in the last five years. Strong demand among domestic and multinational companies, along with an improving economy, has resulted in positive absorption and record-setting lease rates in excess of $50 per square foot for premium space. Land values in downtown are also reaching new heights as developers spend as much as $125 million for one acre on the water. All of this is creating a steep barrier to entry …
The Atlanta office market continues to gain steam. Although Atlanta was slower to rebound from the recession than many U.S. markets, it was only a matter of time before the city’s numerous strengths — including its low cost of living, pro-business environment, excellent labor pool, above-average household income and strong university systems — placed it on a path of sustained recovery. The Atlanta office market has posted 13 consecutive quarters of occupancy gains. Strong absorption and limited development are exerting upward pressure on rental rates, particularly in the Class A market. There are also some significant new trends. While there was previously a clear “flight to quality” that enabled tenants to take advantage of rent bargains and concessions at Class A properties, diminishing space options and the pricier rental rate environment are causing tenants to consider Class B properties as a more economically viable alternative. Still, it is yet another sign of the overall recovery in Atlanta’s office sector that we are seeing an increase in rental rates and a decrease in landlord concessions in the Class B sector as well. The rebound of Atlanta’s office sector is not lost on investors. Strong tenant demand and the rise in rental …
Atlanta’s healthy multifamily market exhibits strong fundamentals, such as rising rental rates, and continued job creation. Last year alone, the city added more than 100,000 jobs and 2015 seems to be on track to surpass 2014 based on weekly announcements of companies moving to Atlanta. A decent amount of multifamily inventory hit the for-sale market in the first quarter of 2015, and those deals are now in the process of closing. We are seeing a lull in the number of listings across the market early in the second quarter. As owners attempt to capitalize on top-line collection, an increase in listings is expected in the latter portion of the second quarter in conjunction with the spring leasing months coming to an end. As most know, commercial real estate has peaks and valleys, with our last peak in 2007 and the valley landing somewhere in 2010. From 2010 to early 2015, investors were presented with a great opportunity to capitalize quickly from the rising rental rates even without implementing any value-add platforms. This quick rise in rental rates coupled with historically low interest rates has been the catalyst for the surge in trades. That said, as the REO bucket has all …
The Atlanta industrial market is in the beginning stages of its third growth cycle since 1990. Vacancy has declined over the past 18 quarters, and asking rates have seen a positive trend over the same time period, increasing by 14.9 percent. These improving metrics should come as no surprise to those familiar with the history of Atlanta’s industrial market. Although the Atlanta metro is the nation’s ninth-largest metropolitan area, its industrial market represents the fourth-largest by volume. Total vacant space in the market has fallen to a 13-year low 8.7 percent, meaning the metro is once again poised for industrial expansion. Cycles One, Two and Three Atlanta’s growth cycle in the 1990s lasted just under 8 years, from 1994 until 2002, where 135 million square feet of new product was added to the market. That constitutes almost a quarter of the total 549 million square feet in the metro today. Total vacancy had fallen to 9.2 percent in the middle of 1994 and asking rates hit what was then an all-time high of $3.26 per square foot. These factors triggered a 40 percent rise in construction volume. As this cycle closed in 2001, vacancy rose back above 10 percent in …
Atlanta is experiencing an influx of human capital, corporate relocations and development of distribution networks that are combining to create a robust expansionary cycle in our real estate markets. One of the most positive elements of this expansion is that it appears the underlying structure of the growth is creating stability for our city and state well into the future. It is the structure of the growth that will be a long-term difference maker. CNBC annually conducts a study and ranks the top states for doing business. These rankings are a result of assessing various criteria, including but not limited to the cost of doing business, workforce quality, access to capital and business friendliness. CNBC’s results in 2014 were very telling. Four of the top 10 states are located in the south. The South’s top 10 finalists in CNBC’s study were Georgia (1), Texas (2), North Carolina (5) and Virginia (8). In addition to these empirical studies, major corporations are voting as well. The verdict is that many organizations are choosing to relocate corporate headquarters to Atlanta. Recently, marquee brands such as Mercedes-Benz USA and State Farm all have made plans to open or expand major corporate centers in our …
Birmingham’s retail market remained steady in 2014, with approximately 10 percent of the total 24 million square feet available for lease. Birmingham is tracking above national averages relative to new ground-up and rehab projects that are announced or underway. Downward pressure on rents have challenged developers pro-formas, though the very friendly city and state incentives environment has allowed developers to creatively meet tenants conservative occupancy cost requirements. While the Birmingham metro area is challenged by the threat of major closings by retailers like JC Penney, Sears and Kmart, there is a pipeline of first-to-market national retailers eyeing the growth submarkets, including Highway 280, Hoover/ Riverchase and Trussville. New Grocers Enter Market Trader Joe’s recently unveiled plans to open a 12,600-square-foot store at The Summit shopping center in the second half of 2015. Trader Joe’s provides a destination food option for the market. The Summit is leased and managed by Bayer Properties. Arizona-based Sprouts Farmers Market recently announced it would be entering the Birmingham metro as well. Sprouts’ first local offering will be at Brook Highland Plaza on U.S. 280. The 22,457-square-foot store will serve an array of fresh produce and meats. Additionally, GBT Realty is developing a 25,000-square-foot Sprouts location …
Spring has come to Birmingham, and with it the sound of multifamily developers breaking ground. Their success in finding tenants for these properties — numbering more than 1,000 units — will be a litmus test for the future of the Birmingham market. Right now, the market activity leads one to be cautiously optimistic. Work on the $66 million renovation of the historic Pizitz Building in downtown commenced in March, which will add 143 apartments to the market in fall 2016, and the newly dubbed 20 Midtown project is finally underway. This mixed-use project, featuring a Publix and a Starbucks, will have at least 122 apartments when completed. Construction has also started on the $22 million renovation of the Thomas Jefferson Tower, another mixed-use project that will yield 96 apartments. These projects join the 236-unit Venue at the Ballpark, which broke ground last year and promises views over the outfield fence into Regions Field. The cranes are also busy east of the expressway in Lakeview. Work there has started on the 67-unit Iron City Lofts and is slated to begin later this spring on the 260-unit Metropolitan Apartments. Testing the Millennial Market Taken together, these developments highlight a number of facts …
Manufacturing was instrumental in driving the United States economy out of the recession. With Greenville-Spartanburg having a high ratio of manufacturing to warehouse space, the region’s industrial market has been ahead of the national market in terms of growth. Greenville-Spartanburg is first and foremost an industrial market with approximately 160 million square feet of manufacturing, warehouse and flex space. This is larger than the industrial markets in Columbia and Charleston combined. For five consecutive years vacancy has declined and absorption has been consistently positive. Vacancy currently sits at a record 7.3 percent and has been there for several quarters, not moving down further mostly due to lack of product. Annual net absorption topped 4.3 million square feet in 2012 and 2013, and dropped down to 2.5 million in 2014. Space that does not exist cannot be absorbed. Developers are aggressively responding to this lack of product with more than 3 million square feet of space expected to be built in 2015. Over 1.3 million square feet of that space is considered speculative, meaning construction started before occupancy was achieved. Both numbers represent the highest amounts of construction since CBRE began tracking the Greenville-Spartanburg industrial market in 2001. Absorption in 2015 …
Attention retailers — Baton Rouge is the place to be. For the first time in the area’s history, the Baton Rouge MSA is expected to exceed 400,000 overall jobs in 2015 according to economists Loren Scott and James Richardson. The surge in employment is being fueled by numerous projects including $16 billion in industrial construction projects in the Baton Rouge MSA, along with $1 billion in public construction. Construction is underway downtown on a $55 million office tower and residential complex, which will be the home of the new IBM Technology Center where 800 highly skilled computer savvy individuals will be employed. Construction is also underway on a state-of-the-art water research facility in downtown Baton Rouge. The “Water Campus” situated on 30 acres next to the Mississippi River will initially consist of three buildings totaling $45 million in construction costs. This research park will provide an opportunity for academics and private-sector scientists and engineers to collaborate in producing the best available science on water management and coastal issues. For a state heavily weighted in the energy and petrochemical sectors, this will be a catalyst for economic diversification. Newsworthy Projects Juban Crossing: The most significant new mixed-use project to come on …