Southeast Market Reports

New Mixed-Use Developments Will Change the Face of Nashville’s Retail Market

by John Nelson March 2, 2015

The Nashville retail market continues to gain momentum. With approximately 338,773 square feet of retail construction underway, Nashville remains in a growth and expansion phase, with nationally recognized retail that offers unique options for tourists and locals. In 2014, approximately 53 restaurants opened, most notably Chauhan Ale and Masala House, Sinema, Prima, Acme Feed & Seed, Adele’s, City Winery, Two Ten Jack, Moto Cucina + Enoteca, Epice and Party Foul. Most of these landed in hot neighborhoods — The Gulch, East Nashville, 12th South, SoBro and Germantown. Nationally and locally we’re seeing demand for grocery-anchored retail. Demand has outstripped supply by a long shot. Major grocers own much of their real estate, and Publix followed suit in 2014, acquiring some centers it anchors, leaving fewer investor opportunities that will drive pricing and also move some investors into opportunities anchored by regional or independent grocers, or shadow-anchored assets. We actually expect non-retail projects to change the dynamic in Nashville in 2015. Within the Downtown loop, retail was non-existent, but with 1,000 new hotel rooms, 2,493 residential units and several new office projects under construction, bringing 5,000 more workers downtown, retail will follow. The $232.6 million Highwoods development for Bridgestone’s U.S. headquarters …

March 2, 2015

Market Reports Multifamily North Carolina Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Resilient Raleigh Apartment Market Weathers Onslaught of New Supply

by John Nelson February 23, 2015

As 2015 begins, the Raleigh-Durham market continues to see heavy investment and development interest in the multifamily sector. Strong fundamentals, including an influx of young professionals lured by healthy job growth, an emergent live-work-play atmosphere and an economy that has continued to outpace its national counterpart, justify the area’s reign as one of the most attractive non-gateway markets in the country. The healthy, long-term fundamentals are challenged by an apartment construction pipeline that is among the nation’s most active, but so far the market is performing remarkably well. Construction starts in the area have exploded during the last two years, and there are now 8,835 units under construction throughout the Triangle area, with an additional 4,919 units proposed, according to Real Data. Whether demand can keep up with supply has been a widely debated topic among real estate analysts. The high number of units delivered represents an increase in supply of 9.3 percent over the past 24 months. Strong demand has shielded the region from notable occupancy declines. In the first half of 2014, 2,453 units were absorbed and 2,642 new units were completed, providing a differential of only 189 units, according to Real Data. Average vacancy ticked up to …

February 23, 2015

Florida Market Reports Office Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Miami’s Office Market Embraces Millennials, Emerging Industries

by John Nelson February 16, 2015

In a city known for its fast-shifting real estate cycles and ever-changing demographics, it’s becoming clear that change is the only real constant in Miami. Examples are everywhere — from the construction cranes dotting the skyline and trendy neighborhoods emerging throughout the region, to a fresh crop of international investors and the launch of entirely new industries. The makeup of our people is also evolving. A report by the Miami Downtown Development Authority (DDA) found that the city’s urban core has experienced 100 percent population growth since 2000 as its population becomes younger and more educated. Residents ages 25 to 44 make up 46 percent of the population and 58 percent of residents over the age of 25 have a college degree. It’s easy to overlook the impact these trends are having on commercial real estate in favor of Miami’s headline-grabbing residential market, but the demographic shifts taking place are also impacting the office market as employers cultivate a workforce increasingly dominated by Millennials drawn to growth-oriented jobs. This change has been in the making for years as Miami’s public and private sectors invest in creating new business opportunities for young professionals across industries less prone to economic swings, such …

February 16, 2015

Market Reports North Carolina Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Three Distinct Trends are Driving the Raleigh-Durham Office Market

by John Nelson February 9, 2015

The Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill (Research Triangle) region has entered a period of vibrant market expansion. Overall Class A vacancy has fallen below 10 percent for the first time since the building boom of 2001, with rates as low as 2.2 percent in some of the region’s most desirable submarkets, where severe shortages have absorption extending into long-stagnant Class B product. Despite this auspicious environment for new construction, developers are still exercising substantial caution, underscoring the depth of the last downturn and its long-lasting impact on both the development and lending communities. However, recent successful Class A deliveries by REITs like Raleigh-based Highwoods Properties and Indianapolis-based Duke Realty signal a shift toward a more pronounced supply cycle, with lower pre-lease thresholds, and a Class A market that is clearly transitioning from a recovery cycle to a period of low supply. As the market picks up steam, here are three trends that we see emerging in the Raleigh-Durham office market, and the implications for the MSA going forward. The Rise of Live-Work-Play In the last decade, no trend has had a greater impact than the rise of the live-work-play model, a phrase that encapsulates many meanings, but always embodies the high value placed …

February 9, 2015

Industrial Market Reports North Carolina Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Triangle’s Buoyant Economy Gives Confidence to Industrial Real Estate Investors, Developers

by John Nelson January 26, 2015

2014 was an exceptional year for sales and leasing activity for the Raleigh-Durham industrial market. Velocity in investment sales boomed in 2014 — the strongest year since 2006, and second strongest in history. Developers are actively seeking land to build new parks as demand for Class A industrial space outweighs supply and rental rates begin to rise. Although, the Raleigh-Durham MSA is a smaller industrial market in the region, it’s been ranked No. 1 by Forbes as the Best Place for Business and No. 2 for the Fastest Growing Large U.S. City from 2010-2030 by the United Nations Population Division. Companies continue to announce corporate relocations and expansions and unemployment is lower than the national average at 4.5 percent in October. EDM America relocated its $150 million headquarters operation to Raleigh from Pennsylvania. Argos Therapeutics announced an expansion project in Durham — a $57 million bio-manufacturing plant. The area has also seen an influx of third-party logistics companies, moving companies and suppliers for the home building industry opening new locations and consolidating to larger blocks of space. As user demand continues, there is a strong desire by investors to become a part of our market or expand their current footprint. …

January 26, 2015

Georgia Market Reports Retail Southeast Southeast Market Reports

New Year Promises Expanding Retailers, Improving Fundamentals in Atlanta

by John Nelson January 19, 2015

The overall snapshot is that Atlanta’s economy is on a growth tract in terms of employment and corporate growth, and has definitely rebounded from the recession and its previous overbuilding. Economic growth and the current lack of speculative development are driving the improvement in the retail market. Rental rates, occupancy levels, absorption, leasing momentum and pricing are increasing. In addition, new retailers are entering or looking to enter the market. However, the retail market’s improvement varies across the metro region. Vacancy and Rental Rates Due to positive absorption and leasing momentum in both vacant and sublease space, the overall occupancy rate and average rental rate for Atlanta’s retail inventory have been increasing. According to CoStar’s third quarter retail market update, the overall vacancy rate is now down to 8.8 percent and the average rental rate is $12.78 per square foot. However, when you break it down by submarket and property types, rental rate and occupancy gains vary significantly. Quality shopping centers in strong submarkets and locations have experienced very strong gains, yet Class B and C centers and those located in certain submarkets are still lagging the overall market. The Buckhead, Central Atlanta, Central Perimeter and Georgia 400 submarkets are …

January 19, 2015

Industrial Market Reports Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Servicing the Market on a Global Scale: Ports in the Southeast are Pursuing New Business, Boosting Region’s Industrial Market

by John Nelson January 12, 2015

The Southeast’s increasing relevance in the global marketplace is due in large part to the success of its ports. Internationally recognized companies like BMW, Boeing and Walmart have expanded in the Southeast to operate closer to the ports handling their imports and exports. According to JLL’s Port, Airport & Global Infrastructure research division, volume of twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) in 2013 at 13 seaports across the country was 3.3 percent higher than in 2007. TEU volume at West Coast seaports dipped by 6.8 percent in that period, while East Coast ports exceeded their 2007 volumes by 19.1 percent. The large spike of activity for East Coast ports in the past seven years has resulted in a windfall of industrial tenants expanding in and around the ports. Three of the largest Southeastern ports in terms of capacity are the Port of Charleston, PortMiami and the Port of Savannah. Each have been a boon to the industrial market in their respective state, and with the expansion and harbor deepening projects underway at each port, each should only escalate their importance in the coming years. In the Driver’s Seat The South Carolina Ports Authority (SCPA) is currently in a growth mode with container …

January 12, 2015

Florida Market Reports Retail Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Tenant Demand at an All-Time High for Prime Retail Space in Jacksonville

by John Nelson January 12, 2015

Jacksonville boasts the fourth-largest metro population and the largest city proper population in the state of Florida. It is the 14th most populous city in the United States, and with a breadth of approximately 841 square miles, it is the largest city in the contiguous United States by area. The county seat of Duval County, Jacksonville touts a population of approximately 900,000 people (2012 estimate) with a median household income of $50,701 and a median age of 31.4. The unemployment rate is presently on a downward trend decreasing 80 basis points from August to September 2014 to 5.8 percent, which was significantly lower than the previous year’s rate of 6.6 percent and Florida’s 6.1 percent. Jacksonville’s retail market remains strong despite the lack of available space in the mature Class A submarkets such as Town Center, Rivercity Marketplace, Mandarin, Orange Park, West Beaches and Beaches. National retailers and restaurants remain active seeking deals throughout Duval County, yet are still hesitant to consider Class B and C submarkets given their selective national site strategies. As most of the highly desirable spaces has been absorbed, there is more demand for new space than any time in recent memory. Although several redevelopments and …

January 12, 2015

Market Reports Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Charleston’s Office Market Enjoys Banner Year with Rising Rents, New Construction

by John Nelson January 5, 2015

The Charleston office sector is robust, with movement in virtually every aspect of the market. Tenants have flocked to the city, leaving only a small number of available spaces for those looking to move or expand, particularly into larger spaces. What Renters Want Low vacancy citywide — in the Central Business District (CBD), the vacancy rate is under 5 percent — is driving an uptick in rents, with current rents ranging from $17 to $28 per square foot, depending on the age and location of the space. Landlord concessions are also falling off as space becomes tighter. The shift toward more open workspaces continues as technology advances, meaning a decrease in the number of private offices and an increase in community/collaborative spaces. With smaller computers, storage in the cloud instead of filing cabinets and the use of off-site printers, most offices in the city are down to less than 200 square feet per employee. Since Charleston has one of the highest overhead rates in the Southeast, cutting down on square footage is a priority for most companies. Development Underway More than $1 billion of projects across all property types are currently under construction on the Charleston peninsula alone, and for …

January 5, 2015

Florida Industrial Market Reports Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Are Hikes in Construction, Rent Around the Corner for Jacksonville Industrial Market?

by John Nelson December 22, 2014

Over the last four years, North Florida’s industrial market appears to have stabilized. While rental rates remain flat offering a variety of expansion opportunities for users and tenants, rental increases and new construction opportunities may be right around the corner. Consider the facts: the Jacksonville industrial vacancy rate now hovers around 8.5 percent, the lowest in the last five years and down from a high of 11.4 percent in 2010. Rental rates, now in the $3.98 per square foot range for the last two quarters, have stabilized from a high of $4.38 per square foot reported in the first quarter of 2010, according to CoStar. Because of a finite supply, with an increase in demand for Class B and Class C space, a rent increase may be in the forecast. Add with the lack of choices for large blocks of Class A space, expect more build-to-suit activity, or speculative construction. In 2014, two speculative industrial projects were announced in Jacksonville. In order to meet a contractual construction deadline within the city of Jacksonville’s master developer agreement, Hillwood Investment Properties launched a 510,000-square-foot cross-dock project at Alliance Florida. Hillwood was chosen as the master developer of Alliance Florida, formerly Cecil Commerce …

December 22, 2014

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