The trends in Louisville are typical of a market rebounding. According to CBRE Research, the Louisville market is experiencing rent growth, vacancy declines, construction increases and more speculative product hitting the city. Leasing volume is increasing steadily, and investment sales are peaking as well. The Louisville industrial market remains tight even with several recent construction completions. With more than 100 million square feet of industrial space in the area, Louisville is a major player in the Eastern United States distribution market. Despite several lease and sale transactions consummating in the second quarter of 2014, market vacancy increased slightly to 4 percent, which reflects the fact that several large speculative buildings came on line during the period offsetting otherwise net positive absorption. As expected, with existing industrial inventory levels at an all-time low and new building deliveries coming on line and more on the horizon, market vacancies rose to 3.9 percent in the first quarter of 2014, ending a streak of 13 consecutive quarters of declining vacancy. Louisville remains an extremely tight market, even considering the increase in the vacancy rate. In addition, compared to the percentage of total market size in neighboring cities like Columbus, Cincinnati, Indianapolis, Nashville and Memphis, …
Southeast Market Reports
The economic recovery has flipped Louisville’s office market. Historically, the central business district (CBD) has lower vacancy and higher leasing rates than the suburban office market, while new development and low barriers to entry generally kept vacancy higher in the suburbs. Now, suburban vacancy rates rest below the CBD’s, especially for Class A product. Even as speculative development returns to the suburbs, the submarket’s hot streak shows no signs of abating, and the downtown submarket has plenty of positive momentum as well. Suburban Class A vacancy was 8.4 percent at mid-year, with average asking rates in the $20 to $22 per square foot range, or higher in top-tier new office developments. The suburban office market has been quite active, but Class A and B vacancies haven’t materially changed this year due to a spate of renewals and net moves from one building to another. Still, we expect a noteworthy fourth quarter as demand is perhaps as strong as it’s ever been, and owners remain aggressive, in many cases offering three months free rent and turnkey tenant improvements with long-term deals. Lack of available large blocks of space could lead to build-to-suit activity, too. There are virtually no available blocks of …
Louisville is riding a wave of momentum after hosting its third PGA Championship at Valhalla Golf Club in August. In addition, the $2.5 billion Louisville-Southern Indiana Ohio River bridge projects are under construction and scheduled to open in 2016. This project adds two new bridges, an east end bridge connecting I-265 in Kentucky with I-265 in Indiana, and a second bridge located downtown as part of improvements to I-65. These significant infrastructure improvements are a game changer in the fact that they will improve accessibility to new retail trade areas such as southern Indiana and northeast Louisville. In anticipation of the Kentucky International Convention Center being dramatically expanded and remodeled, Louisville has five hotels under construction or planned for downtown. Omni Hotels & Resorts will build its first property in Kentucky in Louisville, a 600-room convention hotel at Third and Liberty streets. Estimated to open no later than 2017, the Omni will be adjacent to 200 apartments, a grocery store and retail shops. The project is a public-private partnership between Omni, Cordish Cos., metro government and the state of Kentucky. REI Real Estate Services and Poe Cos. are developing a 172-room Aloft Hotel located in the central business district at …
With a booming tourism industry driving economic expansion and a new owner/renter paradigm impacting apartment renter dynamics, Orlando is experiencing continued expansion in apartment development. Currently, development for more than 22 apartment communities totaling over 6,000 units is underway in just three hot submarkets. Demand has continued to keep up with this new supply, surging to a 10-year high in the second quarter of 2014, with market-wide occupancies topping 95 percent. Job Creation Metro Orlando is predicted to have an average annual growth rate of 4.1 percent from 2013 to 2020, putting it 13th for growth among American cities, according to a report from the U.S. Conference of Mayors. With an unemployment rate of 5.7 percent — well below both state and national unemployment averages — Orlando is outpacing much of the country in job creation and economic growth. Orlando’s $50 billion tourism industry has undeniably distinguished itself as the leader for growth in Central Florida, with the largest theme parks currently undergoing historic expansions. This will add thousands of jobs to Central Florida’s employment market over the next few years. For example, Disney World announced in early July that it is actively hiring for 1,000 new local jobs, and …
The first half of 2014 has produced a tremendous amount of activity in the Richmond retail market. The vacancy and unemployment rates have both seen a reduction within the past 12 months. The overall vacancy rate for retail in Richmond is 8.3 percent, down from 8.6 percent this time last year, and unemployment is down 70 basis points to 5.6 percent for the same period. The main drivers of activity throughout the Richmond MSA are grocery stores. The most impactful announcement is Wegmans committing to open two stores in the market, one in Short Pump and one in Midlothian. Another newcomer to the market is A Southern Season, a gourmet food emporium based in Chapel Hill, North Carolina. A Southern Season will open a 53,000-square-foot gourmet food emporium in the new Libbie Mill at MidTown development. The grocer’s offerings include cooking classes, a restaurant, gift baskets, accessories, cookware, and a large selection of specialty food items. Libbie Mill is a mixed-use project that Gumenick Properties LLC is developing on Staples Mill Road near Willow Lawn. Kroger has also been active in Richmond with two new Marketplace format stores in the last 12 months and a third to-be-built in Colonial Heights. …
The Central Florida industrial market (comprised of Seminole, Orange and Lake counties) is currently undergoing a transformation, one that will make the majority of property owners very happy. After suffering crippling vacancy rates from early 2008 through the end of 2011, Central Florida has rebounded solidly and the good news is that there is still time to capitalize on the opportunities. The current rebound can be attributed to several items, not in any particular order: • Increased employment opportunities: Orlando’s unemployment peaked in September of 2010 at 11.7 percent and it has steadily decreased. In April of 2014, the unemployment was at 5.2 percent, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. • Lack of new product / inventory: Since 2008, there have only been a handful of new, speculative industrial buildings built as demand was not there and rental rates were depressed due to the massive amount of vacancy. This has resulted in there being very few choices for companies desiring new, first generation product and led to the current new building pipeline of over 2.4 million square feet under construction as of July. • Absorption and rental rates: In 2012, we experienced positive market absorption slightly better than …
Did Richmond get hip while you weren’t looking? If you missed all of the skinny jeans, slim-fit plaid, tattoos, beards and craft breweries, then you were not paying attention. Is there a correlation between the amount of breweries, luxury apartments and historic rehabs? Maybe, but something is happening here and it has little to do with Richmond’s former designation as the Capital of the Confederacy and more to do with a vibrant and diverse culture, native-brick buildings, the James River, Virginia Commonwealth University (VCU) and a great quality of life. Millennials are flocking here and Richmond has gotten cooler (i.e. better) every year, albeit somewhat slowly. In terms of apartments, there are several hotspots in the area that continue to be, or are becoming, destinations to live, work, shop and play, and multifamily developments are leading the way. Shockoe Bottom is booming, Manchester is coming to life, Scott’s Addition & Boulevard could become Richmond’s SOHO, Short Pump is moving into Goochland County and does not seem to be stopping anytime soon, and Chesterfield County, once you get around the cash proffers, continues to surprise. Richmond has just over 70,000 units and a very stable vacancy rate of 4.5 percent. Class …
When The New York Times has something positive to say about Birmingham, you know something really good is in the works — and that’s exactly what happened last August. The paper ran an article entitled “A Return to Downtown Birmingham” that highlighted Railroad Park, Regions Field, the new Westin Hotel and the renovation of Lyric Theatre. It quoted David Fleming, CEO of REV Birmingham, calling attention to the public enthusiasm that’s driving the revitalization. “There’s a feeling that [the downtown] is back, and that wasn’t true 10 years ago,” he said. This past March, Livability.com added to the buzz by ranking Birmingham 10th in the nation in its ranking of downtowns in small- and mid-sized cities. Developers Betting Big As a result, there’s a question that’s now on the minds of many apartment investors: Is the sky the limit for downtown Birmingham? It’s too early to tell, but an increasing number of developers are placing their bets on the Magic City. At the end of April, the Bristol Development Group announced plans to build 250 high-end apartments downtown, joining such local companies as Harbert Realty, Watts Realty, KRE Development Holdings, RGS Properties and Scott Bryant & Co. that have about …
The center cores of Baltimore and Washington, D.C., are located approximately 40 miles apart, and talk has renewed about the possibility of connecting the two metropolises by a Maglev rail system. The Baltimore/Washington region is generally considered the fourth largest in the country, boasting nearly 9 million people in the common area. But, when it comes time to rate the demographics, quality of life and overall attributes between the two, Baltimore assumes its secondary status in most comparisons, especially among some professionals in the retail real estate industry. Yet, given the recent successes of retail ventures that have opened in Baltimore City within the past year, prospects for future developments that promise to reinvigorate oft-neglected sections of the city and planned expansions of other mixed-use projects, Baltimore is currently enjoying a “charmed” life. The iconic advertising campaign for National Bohemian beer, which referred to Maryland as “The Land of Pleasant Living,” seems like an appropriate descriptor these days. The project that still has Baltimoreans buzzing is The Shops at Canton Crossing, the 330,000-square-foot retail shopping center situated within the city’s east side that opened last fall, and could easily serve as a national model for successful brownsfield development. Abandoned warehouse …
Comprising approximately 155 million square feet of industrial space, the Baltimore industrial market continues to recover, albeit gradually, from the recession. Key drivers for the Baltimore metropolitan area include the Port of Baltimore, proximity to Washington, D.C., and direct accessibility to Interstate 95 and the major population centers along the Eastern seaboard. As of the end of the first quarter, the vacancy rate for the Baltimore industrial market was 9 percent, which is down from 13.3 percent at the depth of the recession. Vacant inventory has been gradually absorbed since the recession and market fundamentals continue to improve. Industrial product continues to be a favored asset class, and Baltimore is deemed to be a “core” market among private and public institutional investors. Rental Rates Warehouse rental rates throughout the Baltimore metropolitan market have increased from 2010 to 2014 as the local and national economy continues its slow recovery. Overall asking rates on a triple-net basis have increased approximately $1 per square foot since 2010 as the average asking rate for bulk industrial product was at $5.22 per square foot as of the first quarter of this year. As the vacancy rate has dropped in recent years, landlords have held firmer …