Baltimore, long known as a city that wore its grit as a badge of honor, is now shining with high-end multifamily developments and new in-town retail destinations. This city of neighborhoods has hit Forbes’ “hipster” list thanks to a vibrant arts scene, established and trendy restaurants, vital retail destinations and world-class attractions and events. These quality amenities make it possible for residents to work, shop, play and stay in the city, appealing to a growing young professional population. Baltimore’s strong economic base of higher education and health, coupled with the unwavering trend for convenient, quality city living, is driving a strong multifamily market. Delta Associates reports that the Baltimore area economy is experiencing above average growth. Despite losses in the state and local government sector, the unemployment rate remained steady at 6.9 percent in October 2013 compared to the national rate at 7.3 percent in the same period. The region is poised to experience long-term growth as a result of growth in sectors based in the Baltimore area, namely cyber-security, education and health. From December 2012 to December 2013, Delta notes that Baltimore’s Class A rents increased an average of 6 percent and stabilized occupancy is at 95 percent. Baltimore …
Southeast Market Reports
Nashville’s commercial real estate market accelerated in 2013 as both lease and sales activity reached pre-recessionary levels. A number of new development projects were announced to account for the tightening vacancy as Nashville’s economy progressed with lower unemployment than the U.S. average. It was a big year all around in 2013 as Nashville was nationally praised for its fast-growing suburbs, new businesses and careers and the much hyped up-and-coming culinary scene. Furthermore, Nashville made a solid case for its newest accolade as one of the ‘Top Markets to Watch’, by the Urban Land Institute. The city’s economy proved to be resilient and competitive with low unemployment and new businesses entering the market. November 2013 recorded 5.8 percent unemployment in Davidson County, 1.2 percent less than the national average. Low Vacancy Nashville retail is currently experiencing its lowest vacancy in years. At the end of 2013, the overall vacancy rate dropped to 7.8 percent, down from last year’s year-end vacancy rate of 8.3 percent. At the peak of the recession in 2010, Nashville recorded a retail vacancy rate of 10 percent. The recent improvement trend over the past two years is a result of the city’s low unemployment numbers and business-friendly …
E-commerce and the automotive industry drove a resurgent Nashville industrial market in 2013, and we predict another strong, steady year for absorption and investor demand this year. Perhaps the biggest question mark, though, revolves around backfilling second-generation space as its former occupiers move into new build-to-suits. This factor is indicative of robust build-to-suit activity, and while it may increase vacancy early in the year and stall speculative development, the market’s overall health and forward momentum is unquestionable. Nashville’s 200 million-square-foot industrial market closed 2013 with vacancy at 7.9 percent, down from 8.7 percent at the end of 2012, on positive absorption of 3.4 million square feet. The 55 million-square-foot Southeast submarket proved to be the region’s most active, with 1.7 million square feet of net absorption for the year and a vacancy rate of 10.1 percent, followed closely by the East, with 1.6 million square feet of net absorption and a 13.9 percent vacancy rate. Clearly, build-to-suit activity was and is king in Nashville, as it is in many markets. Four build-to-suit projects are currently underway, including distribution centers for Dex Imaging, Allied Modular, Hogebuilt and Panattoni Development Co.’s 240,000-square-foot building for medical products firm Hollister. Panattoni also delivered a …
The year 2013 marked a turning point for the Triangle office market. While overall vacancy remains stubbornly high, ending the third quarter at 17.2 percent, Class A vacancy is rapidly approaching equilibrium, spurring increased investment and development activity in the region. A lack of new construction in recent years has led to a shortage of large blocks of prime office space. Class A vacancy ended the third quarter at 13.7 percent, down by 260 basis points year-over-year. As a result, owners of select properties are finding themselves with more leverage, and tenants are increasingly turning to their second and third choices when securing space. This lack of quality options kept a lid on absorption through most of 2013. Annual absorption stood at just 107,306 square feet through the third quarter, well below historical norms for a recovering market. This figure, however, is not a true reflection of leasing activity. Faced with limited choices, some growing and new-to-market tenants turned to developers, preleasing 700,000 square feet and driving a wave of new construction activity in the second half of the year. Duke Realty broke ground on two new office buildings in the I-40/RTP submarket. Perimeter Two and Perimeter Three will total …
With an economy that’s normalizing with improving fundamentals, the Atlanta retail market is on the right track for sustained growth. Throughout 2013, Atlanta experienced a drop in vacancy rates along with the unemployment rate. In addition, retail sales rose nearly 3.5 percent over last year, provoking a rise in consumer confidence. The unemployment rate in Georgia fell from 9 percent in 2012 to 8.3 percent in 2013. This is still a full point below the national average. For 2014, the unemployment rate in Georgia is expected to reach well under 8 percent. During the last 12 months, Atlanta has experienced job growth of 2.5 percent. Retail payrolls are also expected to continue improving in 2014, pushing a near 3 percent gain as a result of both increasing existing stores sales as well as modest new store opening growth. Vacancy Rates, Rent Growth Since the beginning of the year, overall metro retail vacancy rates have dropped below 11 percent, which is a 50 basis point decrease over last year. Neighborhood and community retail centers still maintain the highest vacancy of just under 15 percent. Power centers have experienced a strong year-over-year recovery, averaging a 7.5 percent vacancy across the region. Tenant …
The Raleigh industrial market dipped slightly in the third quarter of 2013 with negative net absorption, yet overall it improved from a year earlier, in part because of the general health of the North Carolina economy. Four factors are pushing the state’s economic recovery: a manufacturing revival, a construction surge, a boost of college graduates who are attracting knowledge-based industries and an influx of retirees, according to Dr. Michael L. Walden, a North Carolina State University professor and author of a report on the North Carolina economy that was published in the summer of 2013. The combination of factors led Dr. Walden to forecast that North Carolina’s Research Triangle, which includes Raleigh, would have an unemployment rate below 6 percent by the end of 2014. Ironically, some of the positive news for the state’s economy is putting pressure on the region’s industrial marketplace and driving these trends in Raleigh: • Net positive migration and population growth, year-after-year • The loss of industrial development opportunities to the homebuilding industry • Local pressure to prioritize live/work/play environments and de-emphasize industrial development • Constrained land supply • A lack of institutional grade space Consistently ranked by Forbes as one of the best places …
The Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill market, known as the Triangle, has long been viewed as a market favorable for investors, due to very strong demand metrics. The state capital’s thriving economy and excellent demand drivers have made it a prime renter destination and the new darling for yield-chasing institutional investors. A skilled workforce, transitional student renter pool and national trend of millennials “de-nesting” have continued to keep the apartment market strong and attract institutional investors such as Redwood Capital Group, Guardian Life Insurance and Heitman. As one of the most active firms in the Carolinas, Cassidy Turley has witnessed the transition firsthand as the Triangle has transformed from a regional player into a national powerhouse that has attracted some of the world’s most savvy institutional groups. According to Reis, the apartment vacancy rate in the third quarter of 2013 stood at 3.9 percent, well below the greater South Atlantic region’s average of 4.9 percent. Furthermore, the vacancy rate has actually decreased 20 basis points since last quarter, demonstrating the strong momentum of the local market and the appeal to institutional investors. Contributing factors include: A 20 percent population growth in the Triangle over the last decade The area boasts a total student …
The Raleigh industrial market dipped slightly in the third quarter of 2013 with negative net absorption, yet overall it improved from a year earlier, in part because of the general health of the North Carolina economy. Four factors are pushing the state’s economic recovery: a manufacturing revival, a construction surge, a boost of college graduates who are attracting knowledge-based industries and an influx of retirees, according to Dr. Michael L. Walden, a North Carolina State University professor and author of a report on the North Carolina economy that was published in the summer of 2013. The combination of factors led Dr. Walden to forecast that North Carolina’s Research Triangle, which includes Raleigh, would have an unemployment rate below 6 percent by the end of 2014. Ironically, some of the positive news for the state’s economy is putting pressure on the region’s industrial marketplace and driving these trends in Raleigh: • Net positive migration and population growth, year-after-year • The loss of industrial development opportunities to the homebuilding industry • Local pressure to prioritize live/work/play environments and de-emphasize industrial development • Constrained land supply • A lack of institutional grade space Consistently ranked by Forbes as one of the best places …
With an economy that's normalizing with improving fundamentals, the Atlanta retail market is on the right track for sustained growth. Throughout 2013, Atlanta experienced a drop in vacancy rates along with the unemployment rate. In addition, retail sales rose nearly 3.5 percent over last year, provoking a rise in consumer confidence. The unemployment rate in Georgia fell from 9 percent in 2012 to 8.3 percent in 2013. This is still a full point below the national average. For 2014, the unemployment rate in Georgia is expected to reach well under 8 percent. During the last 12 months, Atlanta has experienced job growth of 2.5 percent. Retail payrolls are also expected to continue improving in 2014, pushing a near 3 percent gain as a result of both increasing existing stores sales as well as modest new store opening growth. Vacancy Rates, Rent Growth Since the beginning of the year, overall metro retail vacancy rates have dropped below 11 percent, which is a 50 basis point decrease over last year. Neighborhood and community retail centers still maintain the highest vacancy of just under 15 percent. Power centers have experienced a strong year-over-year recovery, averaging a 7.5 percent vacancy across the region. Tenant …
The Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill market, known as the Triangle, has long been viewed as a market favorable for investors, due to very strong demand metrics. The state capital’s thriving economy and excellent demand drivers have made it a prime renter destination and the new darling for yield-chasing institutional investors. A skilled workforce, transitional student renter pool and national trend of millennials “de-nesting” have continued to keep the apartment market strong and attract institutional investors such as Redwood Capital Group, Guardian Life Insurance and Heitman. As one of the most active firms in the Carolinas, Cassidy Turley has witnessed the transition firsthand as the Triangle has transformed from a regional player into a national powerhouse that has attracted some of the world’s most savvy institutional groups. According to Reis, the apartment vacancy rate in the third quarter of 2013 stood at 3.9 percent, well below the greater South Atlantic region’s average of 4.9 percent. Furthermore, the vacancy rate has actually decreased 20 basis points since last quarter, demonstrating the strong momentum of the local market and the appeal to institutional investors. Contributing factors include: • A 20 percent population growth in the Triangle over the last decade • The area boasts a …