Miami’s residential boom is not the only red-hot segment of South Florida real estate market. While the world’s attention may be fixated on Miami’s next crop of “starchitect”-designed condo towers and their sky-high penthouses, the city’s commercial office sector is also surging. Growing interest among domestic and multi-national tenants, coupled with diminishing supply and a lack of new office product set to deliver in the coming years, have given way to new confidence in Miami’s office market and initial talk about the need for future commercial development. This would have seemed unlikely as recently as 2010, when three new Class A office towers prepared to deliver 1.9 million square feet of new space in downtown Miami. The first of those buildings to deliver, 1450 Brickell, has been 100 percent leased and occupied since the first quarter of 2013 and is home to a number of global firms, including JPMorgan Chase, American Express, SAB Miller, H.J. Heinz Co. and BBVA Compass. The other two buildings are also experiencing positive absorption as demand for downtown Miami office space grows. This activity is taking place as Miami’s urban core emerges as an international destination for commerce, investment, residential living and travel. What was …
Southeast Market Reports
Though Atlanta has had a reputation as a boom-or-bust town for many years, it has struggled to maintain a thriving multifamily development business. However, an in-depth look at the current local trends shows a strengthening multifamily market, and with it, an evolution of many lower-cost neighborhoods into desirable development and residential sites. Now, the city is poised for a more sustainable future as demand for apartment housing inside the Perimeter continues to increase. Classic institutional developers are seeking to use this increasing demand as a platform to boost Atlanta to a new strata in line with New York, Boston and other metropolises such as Houston and Dallas. With no significant barriers to entry, active merchant buyers are taking advantage of Atlanta’s large developable land supply to support new high-density multifamily developments. Developers are working to stabilize the supply in response to the overwhelming demand; three- to five-year waves of building and development will help grow the market steadily. Amid the current five to 10 percent growth rate, some in-town projects are predicted to trade at higher levels than ever before. For example, 77 12th Street is widely expected to trade for more than $300,000 per unit — a robust figure …
Although the Tampa Bay economy may not have improved as much as everyone would like, the retail market is experiencing incredible activity. Many positive trends — redevelopment, new retailers, expansions, higher rents and, soon, new development — are driving the market upward: • The retail vacancy rate was back down to 7 percent for the first time in almost five years, according to CoStar Group. • Retail rents, which plunged between mid-2006 and mid-2012, finished the year at $13.69 per square foot and show signs of strength. • The number of square feet of retail space delivered to the market hit its lowest level in the past five years, according to CoStar Group. • Land is becoming scarce, especially in growing communities south of Tampa. Considering these conditions, it looks as though it’s a landlord’s market again. We can chalk this phenomenon up to the enthusiasm of restaurants, retailers and professional service firms demanding space due to a slight but steady rise in consumer confidence. Hillsborough County collected $14.7 million on its local option sales tax in November, the latest month for which state figures are available as of this writing. That figure changed very little in 10 of the …
Birmingham was recently ranked among the “Top 10 Emerging Downtowns in the Country” by Livability.com, and the city has also become an attractive place for national investors. The Birmingham apartment market has shown stable occupancy of 93 percent and experienced gains in effective rents, despite 540 units being delivered in 2013. Construction of new communities is ramping up as projects delivered in 2012 and 2013 such as The Hill, Tapestry Park, Village at Lakeshore Crossing and Ashby at Ross Bridge were absorbed at record-setting rental rates. Additionally, new buyers are flocking to the Birmingham multifamily market. Improving Fundamentals Rental rates among Birmingham properties are showing encouraging signs of growth. Between mid-year 2012 and mid-year 2013, 61 percent of Birmingham-area properties experienced average effective rent increases, and 53 percent experienced quoted rent increases. This growth is reinforced by nearly universal drops in concession usage. Only one of the eight Birmingham submarkets (East submarket) experienced increased concession usage, and only the West submarket experienced no change. Overall, the Birmingham area experienced an 11.3 percent drop in the number of properties offering concessions. Between mid-year 2012 and mid-year 2013, six of eight submarkets in the Birmingham MSA experienced overall effective rent growth. Of …
Rail, river, runway and road offer a robust quadra-modal transportation solution in Memphis, which creates an environment for on-going real estate development, investment and job growth in the region. Five Class 1 railroads operate major facilities in the Memphis metro. In recent years those railroads have collectively invested more than $1 billion in infrastructure to serve a growing customer base. Likewise, Memphis International Airport, the largest cargo airport in the U.S. and second-largest in the world, has been the center of much investment and activity. FedEx is currently adding an 88,000-square-foot, $20 million “cold-chain” facility at the airport to handle highly specialized bio-medical shipments, and UPS has recently leased an additional 26 acres on the airport property for a reported $80 million expansion of its existing Memphis airport sort facilities. Manufacturing Growth According to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, manufacturing job growth continues to outpace the U.S. with a 1 percent increase compared to 2012, while the nation only saw 0.1 percent growth in jobs overall. Manufacturers have been increasingly vigorous in the last several years, taking advantage of the go-to-market transportation infrastructure and a low-cost business environment with investments in new or expanded facilities by Nucor Steel, …
The Upstate of South Carolina is home to 1.2 million people located on the Interstate 85 corridor between Atlanta and Charlotte. The population is clustered around the cities of Greenville, Spartanburg and Anderson. The epicenter of the industrial market is along the county line between Greenville and Spartanburg counties, where South Carolina Inland Port (SCIP) was recently completed. The region has a long legacy of manufacturing, but during the last 30 years, the type of manufacturing has shifted away from low-skill textile manufacturing to a more diverse economy built around the automobile, energy and chemical industries. The Upstate is first and foremost an industrial market with approximately 150 million square feet of manufacturing, warehouse and flex space. At the close of the fourth quarter of 2013, vacancy reached 7.6 percent — its lowest point in the last 10 years. While this market vacancy pales in comparison to the sub-3 percent vacancy rates found routinely on the West Coast, given the amount of older textile-era warehouse facilities in the market inflating vacancy, the current rate is extremely low for our market. Eventually this low vacancy will hinder growth rates as tenants interested in a particular type of space are unable to …
Baltimore, long known as a city that wore its grit as a badge of honor, is now shining with high-end multifamily developments and new in-town retail destinations. This city of neighborhoods has hit Forbes’ “hipster” list thanks to a vibrant arts scene, established and trendy restaurants, vital retail destinations and world-class attractions and events. These quality amenities make it possible for residents to work, shop, play and stay in the city, appealing to a growing young professional population. Baltimore’s strong economic base of higher education and health, coupled with the unwavering trend for convenient, quality city living, is driving a strong multifamily market. Delta Associates reports that the Baltimore area economy is experiencing above average growth. Despite losses in the state and local government sector, the unemployment rate remained steady at 6.9 percent in October 2013 compared to the national rate at 7.3 percent in the same period. The region is poised to experience long-term growth as a result of growth in sectors based in the Baltimore area, namely cyber-security, education and health. From December 2012 to December 2013, Delta notes that Baltimore’s Class A rents increased an average of 6 percent and stabilized occupancy is at 95 percent. Baltimore …
Nashville’s commercial real estate market accelerated in 2013 as both lease and sales activity reached pre-recessionary levels. A number of new development projects were announced to account for the tightening vacancy as Nashville’s economy progressed with lower unemployment than the U.S. average. It was a big year all around in 2013 as Nashville was nationally praised for its fast-growing suburbs, new businesses and careers and the much hyped up-and-coming culinary scene. Furthermore, Nashville made a solid case for its newest accolade as one of the ‘Top Markets to Watch’, by the Urban Land Institute. The city’s economy proved to be resilient and competitive with low unemployment and new businesses entering the market. November 2013 recorded 5.8 percent unemployment in Davidson County, 1.2 percent less than the national average. Low Vacancy Nashville retail is currently experiencing its lowest vacancy in years. At the end of 2013, the overall vacancy rate dropped to 7.8 percent, down from last year’s year-end vacancy rate of 8.3 percent. At the peak of the recession in 2010, Nashville recorded a retail vacancy rate of 10 percent. The recent improvement trend over the past two years is a result of the city’s low unemployment numbers and business-friendly …
E-commerce and the automotive industry drove a resurgent Nashville industrial market in 2013, and we predict another strong, steady year for absorption and investor demand this year. Perhaps the biggest question mark, though, revolves around backfilling second-generation space as its former occupiers move into new build-to-suits. This factor is indicative of robust build-to-suit activity, and while it may increase vacancy early in the year and stall speculative development, the market’s overall health and forward momentum is unquestionable. Nashville’s 200 million-square-foot industrial market closed 2013 with vacancy at 7.9 percent, down from 8.7 percent at the end of 2012, on positive absorption of 3.4 million square feet. The 55 million-square-foot Southeast submarket proved to be the region’s most active, with 1.7 million square feet of net absorption for the year and a vacancy rate of 10.1 percent, followed closely by the East, with 1.6 million square feet of net absorption and a 13.9 percent vacancy rate. Clearly, build-to-suit activity was and is king in Nashville, as it is in many markets. Four build-to-suit projects are currently underway, including distribution centers for Dex Imaging, Allied Modular, Hogebuilt and Panattoni Development Co.’s 240,000-square-foot building for medical products firm Hollister. Panattoni also delivered a …
The year 2013 marked a turning point for the Triangle office market. While overall vacancy remains stubbornly high, ending the third quarter at 17.2 percent, Class A vacancy is rapidly approaching equilibrium, spurring increased investment and development activity in the region. A lack of new construction in recent years has led to a shortage of large blocks of prime office space. Class A vacancy ended the third quarter at 13.7 percent, down by 260 basis points year-over-year. As a result, owners of select properties are finding themselves with more leverage, and tenants are increasingly turning to their second and third choices when securing space. This lack of quality options kept a lid on absorption through most of 2013. Annual absorption stood at just 107,306 square feet through the third quarter, well below historical norms for a recovering market. This figure, however, is not a true reflection of leasing activity. Faced with limited choices, some growing and new-to-market tenants turned to developers, preleasing 700,000 square feet and driving a wave of new construction activity in the second half of the year. Duke Realty broke ground on two new office buildings in the I-40/RTP submarket. Perimeter Two and Perimeter Three will total …