In 2013, Washington’s office market has been characterized by tenant-favorable conditions, lower-than-average deal volume and absorption reliant on a handful of major transactions. The metropolitan area has recovered its pre-recession employment levels; however, with the federal government being the region’s major economic driver, there has been considerable impact on the office market from BRAC (Base Realignment and Closure), sequestration, the recent government shutdown and the failure of Congress and the President to permanently resolve budget and debt-ceiling issues. And while sequestration technically took effect in 2013, many major tenants, in anticipation of cutbacks, began right-sizing their occupancy well in advance. Obviously any tenant whose revenues depend on government contracts led the charge in this proactive right-sizing movement. At the same time, federal tenants face a mandated reduction in their utilization rate, and private-sector tenants are looking for more densely packed, open-workspace floor plans as demonstrated by tenants leasing less space as they relocate. Notwithstanding the apparent economic headwinds, it is a remarkable time for confident tenants to lock in favorable terms. Concession packages, which comprise improvement allowances and rent abatement periods, are at all-time market highs, and landlords have demonstrated a willingness to restructure leases considerably in advance of expirations. …
Southeast Market Reports
Hampton Roads, the grouping of cities clustered around the meeting of the Atlantic Ocean, the Chesapeake Bay and the Intracoastal Waterway, is long known for its huge and vital military installations, and its tremendous maritime/shipping industries. The Port of Virginia is one of the busiest ports on the Eastern Seaboard, and is about to become even busier. At the end of the second quarter of 2012, the port posted a 7.2 percent year-over-year increase in cargo. Furthermore, with the widening of the Panama Canal, there will be a new breed of container ships carrying vastly more cargo than conventional ships. Only a few ports will be able to handle those ships, and Hampton Roads is the first to be ready. This increase in container shipments through our 55-foot, ice-free harbor will be an economic boon for Hampton Roads. The military has had, and will continue to have, a major impact on the local economy. However, there has been a concerted effort among all the cities of Hampton Roads to diversify the economic base. Technology-driven industries, including healthcare, modeling and simulation and research and development are all growing industries in the region. Seven of the world’s 10 largest aerospace and defense …
Savannah has historically been known as an under-retailed market. Barriers to entry to the market have included expensive land acquisition and development costs, natural geographical barriers such as wetlands and rivers, oddly configured land parcels and stubborn sellers. Savannah is overcoming those barriers with authority as existing retailers expand within the market and previously nonexistent retailers enter. The unusual amount of retail development in an MSA of 360,000 people means Savannah is officially on the radar of quite a few retailers. Westside/Pooler Parkway The largest development within the area broke ground in early September and will be a big win for the entire Southeast. Ben Carter Enterprises commenced construction on The Outlet Mall of Georgia in nearby Pooler, comprising more than 560,000 square feet of retail and restaurant space. The outlet mall will house more than 170 retailers, of whom 70 percent are committed. The $200 million project will employ upwards of 2,000 employees, creating a boon for the local economy. A mix of luxury and traditional retailers is expected, of which 40 percent are reported to be new to the market. Also, 45 acres of adjacent land is being marketed for retail, restaurant and hotel site development. This project …
There is a buzz about New Orleans — no longer are only locals singing the virtues of this great American city. In fact, Forbes rated New Orleans the fastest-growing city since the recession in 2013, Bloomberg describes the Crescent City as “Boomtown,” CNN Money rated Louisiana as one of the most entrepreneurial states and Career Builder.com cited New Orleans as one of the fastest for wage growth in the United States. A spotlight has been shining on the dynamics of this market, and local, regional and national investors have taken notice. According to our most recent survey, rental rates in metro New Orleans range from a low of $0.80 per square foot to as high as $2.25 per square foot. Average monthly rent is $1.02 per square foot, and overall occupancy is at 93 percent. The geography of New Orleans is such that there are numerous barriers to entry, most notably the lack of available land to develop multifamily communities. As a result, the Downtown/ Warehouse District is experiencing a major renaissance whereby mid- and late-1920s office buildings are being converted to multifamily. Notable developments downtown that are under construction or soon to commence include The South Market, which will …
Lease renewals and, in some instances, expansions into larger layouts, are occurring in Atlanta as employers create new jobs. The metro has also landed some plum relocations recently. State Farm and General Motors have chosen the metro as the site for regional headquarters, and the firms will create thousands of jobs during the next several years. Many of the GM jobs are new information technology positions and they are coming here in response to the metro’s highly skilled and educated work force. As the region becomes an information technology hub in the Southeast, other employers are also adding workers. AT&T has expanded its presence by filling 600 IT positions and plans to hire an additional 1,000 employees throughout the state. Additionally, Airwatch, a mobile software firm, has already hired 200 Atlanta workers and expects to create 600 more positions by year end. Other companies, such as InfoSystems, ExactTarget, PulteGroup Inc. and Spanx, are also planning to expand operations in the metro. Scheduled expansions by these employers and recent additions to payrolls have helped to fill office space that has been vacant since the trough of the recession. The Atlanta office market will make strides by the end of this year, …
Demand for industrial space remains strong in Miami’s commercial real estate market as enhancements and improvements to the city’s airport and seaport — along with the expansion of the Panama Canal — promise to bring a boom in trade to the South Florida area. In July, Miami’s industrial real estate vacancy rate stood at 5.8 percent, nearly four percent below the national average of 9.4 percent, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Experts agree that Miami’s industrial real estate vacancy rate will continue to shrink as local infrastructure enhancements and improvements near completion, leading many companies that already utilize industrial space to vie for a slice of the 220 million square feet of storage and warehouse space presently available in Miami-Dade County. The new tunnel, rail and the deep dredge at the port, along with terminal improvements at the airport, have increased demand for millions of additional square feet of industrial space from users and offshore investors from South America, Canada, Europe, and China, both to lease and purchase property. Investors and users realize Miami will experience an increase in trade and commerce once the Panama Canal expansion is finished and they want a stake in it. Once …
Retail is looking up in Richmond. Following a recession characterized by a dearth of new retail development, the Richmond retail market is once again poised for growth. Decreases in the overall vacancy rate, positive employment growth, increases in retail rents and an upswing in overall retail construction suggest that the market is amidst a retail recovery. Historically, these economic factors have driven robust expansions. While “robust” might be a bit dramatic for 2013, several retail projects are in the pre-development and development phases, coupled with a number of significant retail transactions. Those are encouraging signs that point to recovery. Several noteworthy retail developments fill the pipeline. Walmart recently acquired a 10-acre site at Reynolds Crossing, a 90-acre, mixed-use development in Richmond’s established “near west end” suburb, with plans to build a 90,000-square-foot store with a garden center. Expected to open in spring 2014, Walmart is set to anchor the development that includes small shop and restaurant space in addition to outparcels. Likewise, Kroger is under construction with its third Kroger Marketplace in the Richmond MSA. This 124,000-square-foot grocery concept anchors Staples Mill Marketplace, which will also include outparcels and small shop and restaurant space. After 10 years of planning, Gumenick …
In just one generation, the Orlando market and its surrounding area became one of the premier vacation destinations in the United States and the world. With a room inventory second only to Las Vegas, this tourist hot spot strongly felt the financial market meltdown of 2008. However, the last two years have seen the hotel market undergo a strong recovery. In fact, the rate of recovery in the region’s hotel segment is stronger than for hotels nationwide. This trend and the lean operations many hotels adopted during the downturn should produce excellent operating returns for hotels in the region for the foreseeable future, assuming no overbuilding. Improving Vital Signs With a 2008 total room inventory in the metro Orlando region of 111,551 rooms and 437 properties, hoteliers could demand an average daily rate of $106.25. According to STR, in 2009 that daily rate dropped a very painful 11.8 percent to $93.70. This corresponded to a drop in occupancy from 65.2 percent to 60 percent. Between 2008 and 2012, the total inventory of both rooms and properties increased. This growth saw the number of properties rise to 456 and total room inventory to 117,396 in 2012. The permanent and temporary closing …
At the mid-year mark, CoStar reported industrial occupancy in Richmond was approaching 90 percent for industrial product of all sizes, excluding flex space. Buyers looking to purchase single-user Class A facilities of 40,000 square foot or greater are experiencing an acute shortage of said product. These larger free-standing, single-occupant facilities are now in shorter supply in the suburban areas of all four quadrants, though multiple opportunities remain in the city of Richmond, both north and south of the river, generally class B/C type product, but functional and reasonably priced. There are also several free-standing purchase opportunities under 40,000 square feet available in the suburban sector of the northwest quadrant. The second quarter ended with four large facilities (two in the city of Richmond and two in Henrico County) going under contract to users, which further impacted the availability of freestanding facilities for owner/users looking to relocate into facilities with a minimum of 40,000 square feet. Local expansion has comprised approximately 78 percent of large industrial sales since the third quarter of 2012, with 14 of the last 18 major transfers (totaling approximately 1 million square feet). The majority of these acquisitions involved end users purchasing Class B facilities for manufacturing/warehousing …
If you subscribe to the notion that “a rising tide floats all boats,” then all of South Florida is benefiting from the renewed interest by out-of-market and international investors in all of the region’s commercial property sectors. In addition to regular South Florida investors from America’s Northeast and affluent Latin Americans, Florida has experienced a significant number of property acquisitions by Canadians in the last 18 months. While much of the international investment has focused on Miami/Dade County, one of the largest Broward County investments this year has come from Miami-based Fifteen Group, which recently acquired the Sawgrass Technology Park for $52 million in Sunrise, Fla. The Class B office and industrial buildings were formerly occupied by Racal Milgo and the seller had planned to redevelop the campus but never did. While industrial, multifamily and retail are garnering the most attention, the pricing structure for office properties is improving. The current cap rate for well-located, stabilized assets is on average 7.5 to 8.5 percent and falling as the market recovers. Much foreign investment is tied to capital flight and is less concerned with achieving the highest yield. As such, pricing is less important to those investors. In terms of sales …