Southeast Market Reports

The Greenville-Spartanburg office market includes more than 10 million square feet of leasable office space located along Interstate 85 between Charlotte, North Carolina, and Atlanta. The market is expected to enjoy increasing absorption levels with a modest drop in vacancy, which currently stands at just over 16 percent. The biggest news on the construction front is Hughes Development’s ONE building in the Greenville CBD. The property will deliver 370,000 square feet of Class A office space to the market in its two phases. Phase I is expected to be completed by the end of 2012. Phase II is expected to be completed by third quarter 2013. Anchor tenants for the property include CertusBank, Haynesworth Sinkler Boyd and Clemson University, which is relocating its Master’s of Business Administration program to the project. Banking is one sector that stands to be a high-growth industry in the local market through the end of 2013. In addition to rapidly growing CertusBank in the new ONE building, TD Bank recently announced its intention to permanently occupy the Interstate 85 campus the company acquired with the purchase of a regional bank, The South Financial Group. This removed 150,000 square feet of vacant Class A space from …

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The industrial warehouse locomotive is back on track in Upstate South Carolina. We experienced tremendous positive absorption in warehouse space in 2011 — around 1.7 million square feet — and vacancy is down to pre-recession levels at 9 percent. Vacancy has been dropping steadily from 10.8 percent since the fourth quarter of 2009, and experienced a dramatic drop in 2011. This recovery is a result of the recent surge of announcements of new and expanding operations by manufacturing companies in the Greenville/Spartanburg area. Corporations such as Michelin, Bosch Rexroth Corp., Scio Diamond Technology, Honeywell International, PRETTL Electronics, Griffin Thermal Products and BMW will invest more than $277 million combined in our area and create 3,714 new jobs. There are 4,014 industrial properties currently in the Greenville/Spartanburg market. Sixteen leases and four sales for industrial warehouses were reported in the first few weeks of 2012. Rental rates for warehouses range from 32 cents per square foot to $13.12 per square foot, a wide range that depends on size, location and condition. Overall, the average rental rate is $2.92 per square foot. With vacancy dropping continually and no new developments underway or on the horizon, inventory is being depleted, which is creating …

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The Memphis metro is an interesting industrial market. Like many other markets, we’ve begun to see positive signs in the numbers. 2011 ended with positive absorption of more than 1.6 million square feet. Because nearly all of the space added in 2011 was build-to-suit, vacancy rates have begun to decline a bit. IDI has just announced plans to build two buildings totaling 1.1 million square feet in Olive Branch, Mississippi, which will be the first new speculative development since 2008. But it’s hard to look strictly at the numbers and really get a sense of our market. That’s because, when compared to behemoths like Chicago and Dallas, we are a relatively small industrial market, with approximately 210 million square feet, depending on how you count the space. This creates significant volatility in the numbers when a major lease is won or lost. So it is the fundamentals that paint a better and more realistic picture of the Memphis market. Though relatively small in size, we’re a giant in terms of the infrastructure that makes us attractive to major players. A few of the major leases during the last 12 months help illustrate that: Trane’s 626,00-square-foot lease, California-based online retailer Newegg …

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South Florida, the densely packed grid squeezed between the Atlantic Ocean and the Everglades, is back on the priority list of retailers that, until recently, were content to hang out on the beach and wait for more inviting waters, so to speak. Over the past few months, the list of the most active newcomers has included Toys “R” Us, Babies “R” Us, Ross Dress for Less, Sports Authority and Dick’s Sporting Goods, just to name a few. And while the region is still a long way from the blistering pace of activity that was evident during the housing boom, there are other positive signs of life. A year and a half ago, similar to most major cities across the U.S., shopping center landlords in Miami and South Florida were fending off an overabundance of aggressive rent requests from retailers. All too often, in an effort to grasp some security for the future, many had to give in to retailers’ insistent demands for relief. In fact, many chains managed to lock into long-term leases at low- to mid-double-digit rent amounts in class “A” centers that used to command $25- or even $30-per-square-foot. During the past few months, however, the flood of …

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Like most cities, Miami’s class A office market suffered during the depth of the recession: vacancy rates doubled, tenants gave back space, and many landlords offered significant incentives to close leases. Interestingly, the market bounced back sooner than many projected with leasing activity accelerating. New to market tenants began filling and backfilling space, foreign investment dollars began pouring in, and the market has benefitted from a flight to quality. There has been a real gravitation toward urban submarkets. Business hubs with residential and retail amenities such as Coral Gables, Doral and the Brickell Financial District have fared well despite the arrival of new product. We’re seeing an overall shift from suburban markets back to urban ones, which is consistent with what’s happening in cities across the U.S. The downtown Miami/Brickell market in particular is seeing high demand as the area comes to life as a 24/7 urban district with lively retail, available housing product at all points of the price spectrum, and many of Miami’s cultural and entertainment amenities. Planned upgrades to the nearby Port of Miami will stimulate further activity. 1450 Brickell office tower is now 80 percent leased just 18 months after delivery. The building has attracted many …

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As 2012 begins the Louisville retail market continues to positively move forward. The energy and optimism in the national markets is well reflected in the city with new tenants entering the area for the first time and a variety of locals, regional and national players looking to expand. The greatest challenge currently in the market is the scarce availability of quality space which is hindering some retailers’ entry into the market today and could seriously affect future growth. Fall 2011 saw Guitar Center, Nike Factory Store and Trader Joe’s all opened in Shelbyville Road Plaza in the city’s main retail core, St. Matthews. While the influx of new tenants is positive, the ownership still must re-tenant vacant boxes left by Circuit City, Wild Oats and Border’s Books. Most recently, Anthropologie announced that it would join Macy’s, Sear’s and Von Maur at Oxmoor Mall further solidifying Oxmoor as the city’s premier upscale shopping destination. Mall St. Matthews continues to be well occupied while appealing to a slightly younger clientele. Other new additions to St. Matthews trade area include Mellow Mushroom Pizza, Tin Roof and Bruegger’s Bagels. The biggest news in the northeast segment of the trade area was the $78 million …

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Memphis, home of the Blues and Elvis Presley’s “Graceland”, is the largest city in the state of Tennessee with a population of 676,646. Tourists are drawn to the downtown Memphis entertainment district, anchored by the world famous Beale Street, NBA basketball with the Memphis Grizzlies, and AAA baseball’s finest ballpark, home of the Memphis Redbirds, the St Louis Cardinals farm team. Coming soon is Bass Pro Shop’s gaming retail store and museum, which will attract outdoors enthusiasts. With more than 50,000 people working in the medical industry, Memphis is internationally recognized for its contribution to the medical field. Located in the Medical District, is St. Jude Children’s Hospital, ranked the No. 3 children’s cancer hospital in the country by U.S. News, Le Bonheur Children’s Hospital nationally ranked in many different specialties, the Regional Medical Center of Memphis, one of the top trauma centers in the country and the University of Tennessee Center for Health Science. With its centralized location in the middle of the country, Memphis is the home of many distribution facilities and hubs, most notably FedEx as well as other Fortune 500 companies. The Memphis Chamber of Commerce expects to add more than 7,000 new jobs in 2012. …

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The Raleigh/Durham industrial market finished 2011 with substantially increased activity within the warehouse sector. Capital markets activity continues to be particularly strong for Class A institutional grade product, and leasing velocity seems to be finding its legs. The increased volume of deal flow is likely to set the stage for continued improvement through 2012. Investment sales activity has been particularly robust during the past 18 months with more than 3.1 million square feet of institutional grade industrial space trading hands for more than $209 million in value. Cap rates for institutional grade product in the Raleigh-Durham market have fallen significantly since the credit crisis in 2008, but have begun to level off in the low 7 percent range. Duke Realty has been the most active buyer of industrial product in the region. Since September of last year, it has acquired nearly 1 million square feet in three transactions totaling $61.4 million, and is now the largest owner of institutional industrial space in the market. Most notable was its acquisition of the Greenfield North portfolio in Garner, North Carolina, for $31 million. Through this acquisition, Duke has virtually cornered the fast growing East Wake market for Class A warehouse space. Leasing …

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Raleigh salutes 2011 as a year of improvement and we welcome 2012 with great optimism. In September of last year, Raleigh received Bloomberg Businessweek’s “No. 1 American City” accolade, which is a measure of the “all-around excellence” of a region. The NCSU Index of North Carolina Leading Economic Indicators, a forecast of the economy’s direction four to six months ahead, rose in October, the first gain in the Index since June. All of the North Carolina-based components of the Index improved, with the leader being a 31 percent jump in building permits, according to Michael Walden, distinguished professor of economics at North Carolina State University in Raleigh. As the economy continues to improve and jobs increase, absorption will take additional existing vacant space. The cities of Raleigh, Cary, Chapel Hill and Durham make up 98 percent of the 76 million square feet of office inventory in the Triangle area. With 461,119 square feet of absorption year-to-date in the third quarter of 2011, the market remains positive. Owner-occupant companies had a major effect on positive absorption. In the third quarter, nine of the 12 submarkets showed positive absorption and decreased vacancy rate over the previous quarter. Wachovia contributed to the negative …

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Most Tampa Bay-area businesses look forward to 2012 with more cause for optimism than they had heading into 2011. In prior quarters, the positive direction of the market was largely anecdotal. Over the last few months, though, tangible signs of broad-based improvement have emerged, suggesting that the obstacles to a stronger recovery may be weakening. Hiring activity has spread from a narrow set of countercyclical sectors such as healthcare and education to a broader group of industries such as hospitality and tourism, as well as professional/business services. Housing sales have started to pick up and hotel occupancy rates have increased as business travel and tourism rebound. The rate of growth still falls well short of its heady pace during the 1990s and the post-dot.com years between 2003 and 2007, yet 2011 brought clear signs of forward movement. The resurgence of cost-driven relocations of major businesses to Tampa Bay, combined with significant expansions by locally based firms, has been particularly encouraging. The headlines have been dominated not only by news of firms that are deciding to move to Tampa Bay from other cities, but also of existing companies that weathered the storm of the Great Recession and are moving forward with …

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