During the second quarter of this year, the Memphis multifamily market showed signs of growth. Occupancy, rent, absorption and sales were all up from the first quarter of this year. Construction remains relatively flat; however, after three consecutive quarters of no new units coming on line, 114 units were delivered in the second quarter. “We’re seeing continued improvement in our market,” says Tommy Bronson, III, vice president of the multi-housing group in CB Richard Ellis’ Memphis office. “Due to record low construction levels, we’re seeing positive rent growth, occupancy and concessions burning off.” The overall occupancy in the second quarter was 92.1 percent, compared to 91.6 percent in the first quarter of 2011. The strongest submarkets are Germantown/Collierville, Downtown and Cordova, which all average in the low- to mid-90s for occupancy, Bronson says. “In those locations, we are often seeing no concessions now, which is a big deal in the Memphis market because we’ve been a concessionary market during the last few years,” he says. Bronson adds that Class A and B properties are pushing rents because concessions are burning off. Rents for Class A and B properties rose from $803 per unit in the first quarter of this year …
Southeast Market Reports
Market Overview Unlike most major markets across the U.S., the retail real estate landscape in the Washington, D.C. MSA, which includes the inner-city core as well as Northern Virginia and nearby Maryland, looks quite similar to that of 2006. While most big cities face the issue of too much supply and not enough demand, D.C. is busy developing new centers to keep up with demand. For example, Hines’ CityCenterDC project in downtown D.C., now under construction on the 10-acre site of the District’s old convention center, is a 2.5 million-square-foot mixed-use project that promises to have a major impact on the East End of downtown. The 1.3 million-square-foot first phase, slated for completion in late 2013, is set to include office buildings, condos, apartments, 185,600 square feet of retail, a park and a central plaza. Upon completion, the retail portion will total about 400,000 square feet. Inside the Beltway, 10-acre sites aren’t easy to come by and, given its critical mass, CityCenterDC has the potential to be a game-changer in this market. Two of the city’s waterfront areas are also seeing major development. Thanks to the efforts of Forest City Washington and a host of other developers, the Southeast Waterfront …
The Atlanta retail market took a slight hit in the second quarter of 2011, but is still seeing improvement. Although available space in areas is starting to fill up, absorption in the second quarter of 2011 fell from positive absorption of 648,692 square feet in the first quarter to negative absorption of 726,174 square feet, according to CoStar Group’s Mid-Year 2011 Atlanta Retail Report. However, the vacancy rate only rose slightly, from 10.1 percent to 10.4 percent. Greg Eisenman, associate with Colliers International’s Atlanta office and a member of the Retail Services Group, says many tenants are looking to do deals. While speculative development is on hold, he expects the available amount of space to drop. Tony Cerniglia, vice president of retail services with CB Richard Ellis’ Atlanta office, says recovery has been spotty, although there are pocketed areas of the city that are doing well. Buckhead, Midtown and Cobb County have seen the most traffic, which Cerniglia says is not surprising because of the solid demographics and good locations. Some retailers have even been competing for space in these markets. Cobb County has seen some leasing traffic. In fact, according to Colliers International’s Atlanta Retail Market Report, the two …
The city of Huntsville, Alabama, is no stranger to threats of economic disaster, so overcoming it is a matter of pulling together a team of commercial brokers and economic development professionals who will see office and industrial buildings half-full, rather than half-empty. In 1948, the U.S. Army hung a ‘For Sale’ sign on Redstone Arsenal, only to remove it for a team of rocket scientists. In the 1970s, Huntsville’s space industry packed its bags after the last Apollo launch, leaving the city like a bad divorce, before the hands of fate reached out in the form of missile defense. In 2005, the Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) initiative set Huntsville on a fast track to economic growth and commercial prosperity. Three hard years of unprecedented national financial crashes played havoc with the market, but what remains is a handful of proverbial optimists. The North Alabama Commercial Brokers Association (NALCOM) meeting in February entertained a loyal group of survivors who at this point are unlikely to fail. They believe an increase in inquiries is a positive sign, even if they aren’t at 2007 levels. Rather than analyzing high vacancy rates and crying over companies who left two years ago, they shifted …
The retail market in the Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill MSA (“The Triangle”) is steadily improving. Retail vacancy dropped to 8.39 percent within the Triangle as of the third quarter — the result approximately 525,000 square feet in absorption over the past 12 months. Investors and retailers alike continue to be attracted to the region because of its sustainable economy fueled by the state government, Research Triangle Park and the University system. Several new anchor retailers entered the Triangle market during 2010, absorbing the majority of available boxes abandoned by Circuit City and Linens ‘N Things. Nordstrom Rack filled the former Linens ‘N Things space at CBL’s Renaissance Center at Southpoint in Durham; Ollie’s Bargain Outlet opened at York Properties’ Cary Village Square in Cary; The Container Storemade its Triangle debut in the former Circuit City location on Glenwood Avenue across from Crabtree Valley Mall in Raleigh; and buybuy BABY opened its first Triangle location at Kimco’s New Hope Commons in Durham. Only a small amount of new retail development was completed in 2010. Kane Realty delivered the only anchored retail project at North Hills East, which is situated at Six Forks Road and Interstate 440 — Raleigh’s “Beltline”. Anchored by Harris Teeter …
The national economic downturn hasn’t impacted the greater New Orleans retail market nearly as much as the glacial pace of decision-making on behalf of retailers and investors who have pledged to enter, or re-enter, this still underserved market. As we close in on the 5-year anniversary of Hurricane Katrina, retail properties in Jefferson Parish and other more affluent parishes have rebounded, while large swaths of Orleans Parish, home to the city of New Orleans, remain retail starved. Many residents of New Orleans East, for example, must still travel 20 to 25 minutes to find affordable basic staples. Exacerbating this problem are relatively high barriers to entry in New Orleans, which is landlocked and has restrictive big-box ordinances. There’s still not a single Target store, Best Buy, Bed Bath & Beyond, PetSmart or Staples in the city and just one Walmart. Making things even more difficult, Orleans Parish continues to lose tax dollars to other parishes. However, New Orleans is slowly regaining its momentum, with roughly 350,000-plus people back in residence, compared to a pre-Katrina population of about 450,000. Most New Orleans neighborhoods that were not flooded have returned to nearly 100 percent of their July 2005 populations. Retail real estate …
The Hampton Roads metropolitan area of southeastern Virginia, named for both the Norfolk-Virginia Beach metro area it encompasses and the body of water that surrounds it, is unlike most other U.S. markets. Its huge military presence, which includes the Air Force, Army, Coast Guard, Marines and the largest Naval base in the world, helps keep this market on an even keel, as do the estimated 6 million people who visit its tourism haven, Virginia Beach, each year. Consequently, this growing market has not been hit nearly as hard by the retail downturn as others. The seven cities that chiefly comprise the Hampton Roads trade area—Virginia Beach, Norfolk, Hampton, Chesapeake, Newport News, Portsmouth and Suffolk—are expected to show a combined population well in excess of 2 million when the 2010 census is tallied, up from 1.6 million at last count. There has been some softening in retail demand. Like elsewhere, landlords have had to re-adjust expectations. Those willing to be aggressive and creative are getting deals done, though certainly not at the same numbers as just 3 years ago. While small businesses seem more willing to look at new opportunities, one overriding issue continues to be tenants’ inability to obtain financing. …
The Orlando multifamily market has exhibited noticeable improvement this year, and is gaining momentum toward a very strong recovery. After 3 years of rent and occupancy losses due largely to the global recession, apartment fundamentals in Central Florida have registered gains again in 2010. With more than 207,000 new jobs expected locally through 2015 and a very favorable supply/demand balance during the next few years, investors see strong upside in the Orlando apartment market moving forward. Sales volume in Orlando has increased significantly through mid-year, and is up from the historic lows of 2009. Through June, the local market has seen approximately $188 million in multifamily sales — already approaching last year’s total of $219 million but still largely off the 2005 high of $3.2 billion. Cap rates have compressed considerably during the last several months, and most buyers are securing Freddie Mac debt on new acquisitions. Lenders have been the most active sellers in 2010 thus far, and institutional buyers have returned to the acquisition market. New private equity groups — both national and foreign — have also been drawn to Orlando during the last 12 months. Average rents are projected to increase about 1 percent in the second …
The writing was on the wall. Some read it; others ignored it. Regardless of the strategy, retail development came to a halt in 2008. A few single-tenant buildings were developed, but most ground-up projects went into a holding pattern. Two years later, most of those projects are still on hold or moving very slowly at best. From power centers and mixed-use developments to strip centers and grocery-anchored centers, development activity remains stagnant throughout the Peach State. Hardest hit are the secondary and tertiary markets where developers built shopping centers based primarily on residential growth projections. Unfortunately, those projected communities were never built. Many retailers in those markets have struggled, and some have closed their doors. As national retailers look for space again, shopping centers in those markets will be low on their list, furthering the decline of these centers. How Will Developers Survive? The old cliché — location, location, location — holds true. Developers with good projects in prime locations will make it through the cycle by adapting to the changing market conditions with the short-term focus on cash flow and long-term focus on value. However, several fundamental tactics are needed to survive this economic cycle: • Asset Stabilization: One …
Orlando retail vacancy will rise again in 2010, partly as a result of significant blocks of vacant space in properties built during the past few years. While slumping demand has affected all vintages of assets, the vacancy rate in shopping centers constructed since 2007 topped 20 percent last year, much more than the marketwide rate for all properties. Continuing softness in the job market will reduce store visits and suppress spending, further influencing spacial demand and limiting the number of tenants available to fill new shopping centers. Additions to supply will not be a major factor this year, however, as completions will fall to the lowest annual level in at least 30 years. Housing starts, typically a precursor of retail property development, declined for four consecutive years through the end of 2009. Home building will likely remain depressed in 2010 while the economy continues to stabilize, thereby deterring retail developers. Following a year in which 39,400 jobs were eliminated, employers in Orlando will trim 1,000 positions this year, a 0.1 percent decrease. Completions will drop from 900,000 square feet in 2009 to 300,000 square feet this year. Falling rents and rising vacancy will force the delays of some developments currently …