Multifamily brokers in Orlando are breathing a little easier this quarter. Officials certainly aren’t carefree, but the market is starting to gain traction and generate some forward momentum, which is a positive leap toward a recovery. Property occupancy levels have risen, and brokers have witnessed concessions getting smaller. Subtle rent growth is a present factor in the current market, which is more than anyone could say 6 months ago. “We feel a little better telling our story these days than we did at the beginning of the year,” says Shelton Granade of CB Richard Ellis’ Orlando office. “Over the last 90 to 120 days … we’ve been seeing and feeling some modest improvement.” During the summer, properties Granade took to market started getting attention from multiple buyers, a stark contrast to the lack of enthusiasm felt during the depths of the downturn. Most of the minimal sale activity is fueled by the private equity investment market because these firms have cash to pony up in a tight financial landscape. There has also been a bit of foreign investment, especially from Canadian and South American companies. “More people are entering the game,” he says. Tenants are looking to lease space and …
Southeast Market Reports
Industrial developers in the Louisville area are struggling to remain busy at a time when construction starts are non-existent. The area usually attracts logistics companies and distribution firms that benefit from Louisville’s location and the city’s transportation routes. But today, tenants simply aren’t interested in building new properties, and developers can’t secure the financing needed to construct speculative developments. “Most developers are hurting right now,” says Michael Norris of Ray & Associates/TCN Worldwide. “A lot of developers are struggling to make their financial obligations.” New development has stopped, but tenants and buyers are still looking around, searching for good deals. In the past two quarters, Norris has seen a few 100,000-square-foot leases in Louisville; this isn’t much compared to pre-recession activity, but it means the market is still moving. According to CB Richard Ellis, more than 32 firms were looking for spaces of more than 100,000 square feet during the second quarter. Big leases in the second quarter include Motorcycle Superstore’s 126,000-square-foot lease and CAT Logistics 50,000-square-foot lease. In order to attract these deals, landlords are piling on the incentives. “Landlords are getting creative, either offering additional TI or offering several months of free rent. They have to offer the …
It seems like every commercial real estate move made in the Chattanooga office arena is directly related to the industrial market. Landlords, tenants and maybe even some office developers are anxiously waiting for three significant manufacturing facilities to make their mark on the area. The coming Volkswagen plant will spur office growth in a huge way, but a $300 million expansion by the power service provider Alstom and the addition of Munich, Germany-based Wacker Chemie AG’s property in Cleveland, Tennessee, will also jump start the Chattanooga office market. “There’s a lot of industrial activity that’s just starting to really catch its legs. The office is following,” says J. Bryan Rudisill of Chattanooga-based NAI Charter. “There’s going to be support that comes in — lawyers, accountants, engineers — but the office market won’t change over night because of these announcements.” Office transactions, even with a guaranteed influx of industrial facilities, will be slow to pick up, but office development will be even slower due to trouble in the financial markets. Life insurance companies are on the sidelines, and most bigger banks are reluctant to let developers borrow money. The best bet for financing is regional and local institutions, but these banks …
The secret to success in any market is diversity. When a city’s economy isn’t wedded to a single industry, there’s more chance that area can survive a downturn. Crews Johnston of Colliers Turley Martin Tucker says Nashville is such a place. The city has a significant healthcare presence and a number of automakers, but Johnston says none of these industries have suffered an outright collapse akin to the downfall of the big financial firms. “Everybody talks about a diversified economy; we actually have one,” he says. This array of companies has left Nashville office brokers with a better outlook on the current crisis than their contemporaries in similar markets. Unemployment is sitting steady, and office vacancy has topped out at around 13 percent, with most of the empty space situated in the downtown and airport markets. The Interstate 65 corridor, which includes the Cool Springs and Brentwood submarkets, is actually doing relatively well. In fact, national tenants looking to move into Nashville often find the market is tight. According to Johnston, four or five national firms are currently circling the city, looking for available space. On the flip side, very little is happening in the sales arena. Sellers are reluctant …
In the stifling heat of August, the Charlotte office market seemed stagnant and weak. According to Jones Lang LaSalle, Charlotte lost nearly 13,000 jobs in the first two quarters of this year, pushing the unemployment rate to 12 percent. Year-over-year, second quarter office leasing activity fell 32 percent. To further paint a grim picture, Jones Lang LaSalle predicts that downtown Charlotte is in for a double-digit vacancy rate, due to the 2.5 million square feet of office space that will see completion in the next 18 to 24 months. In reality, the future of the Charlotte office market is much brighter than it looks on paper. “At the street level, a lot of brokers remain pretty busy. There are still deals being done; they’re just taking longer,” says Tim Bahr of Charlotte-based NAI Southern Real Estate. It also happens to be the tail end of vacation season, and everything, commercial real estate included, is a bit more sluggish during the twilight of summer than during the rest of the year. “This time of year is typically slow. With the economy, it just seems like that’s amplified things a bit,” he says. The office spaces that are frequently being occupied in …
While the recession has impacted NOIs in the Washington area, the local apartment market has weathered the economic downturn better than in most metros. The 60 basis point year-to-date rise in vacancy to 6 percent is the most glaring effect of the recession. Although rents remain resilient, asking rents inched up 0.4 percent in the most recent 3-month period, while effective rents declined for only the second quarter since 2004. Job losses have weighed the most on Class A asking rents, particularly in areas where rent gains were sizable recently, such as Pentagon City/Crystal City, the Connecticut Avenue Corridor and Rockville. The district’s Dupont Circle, Logan Circle and Columbia Heights neighborhoods, however, are notable exceptions to this trend, as these areas remain desirable to renters. Lower-tier asking rents have managed to push higher in many locations, although softer rents and vacancy rents have been recorded in the Anacostia/Northeast D.C. and Stafford County submarkets. Development completions are accelerating this year, and the construction pipeline is expected to remain relatively full through 2010, posing a further threat of concession increases. A metro-leading 9,000 units are under consideration in Virginia, while there are 6,600 units planned in the district and 3,900 units proposed …
It’s been one long, uncomfortable summer for the Orlando hospitality industry. Unfortunately, there seems to be no relief in sight for hoteliers anytime soon. At the beginning of 2009, the Orlando market had 438 hotels totaling approximately 111,700 rooms, a number that is second only to Las Vegas. Orlando will have added another 3,775 hotel rooms by the end of this year; during 2010, the area will introduce another 1,000 rooms. While some existing hotels are being closed permanently and others are just shut temporarily for renovation, it is hard not to believe that the Orlando market will be playing catch-up for many months in an effort to absorb this new supply. The slide started late last year when occupancies stopped advancing after a 5-year climb. For year-end 2008, the Orlando market overall was down 3 percent in occupancy but up 3 percent in average daily rate (ADR), leaving revenue per available room (RevPAR) essentially unchanged during 2007. However, by the end of the first quarter of 2009, both occupancy and RevPAR dropped to their lowest levels since 2002. Occupancy was actually 2.8 percent below 2002 levels, and ADR was off almost 7 percent from the same period, making the …
Sonny Culp of Birmingham-based Graham & Co. looks at the Birmingham industrial market through an optimist’s glasses. While the recession has slowed activity significantly — Culp estimates that the bulk distribution vacancy rate is somewhere around 20 percent — transactions are still taking place. And on the bright side, at least the current development standstill means Birmingham won’t have tons of warehouse space sitting empty for the next few months. “The economy has slowed construction, so that when the market rebounds, those projects that need to get filled first most likely will,” Culp says. Birmingham, by location and size, is a secondary market. The city’s industrial market is closely tied to the health of corporate America; when corporations do well, space gets occupied, but in the current stagnant financial situation, it’s harder to find firms hungry for a transaction. “Historically, Birmingham has always been two or three deals shy of a shortage,” Culp says. “Today, you might say that two or three figure is eight or nine.” Sales are now the territory of mom-and-pop companies, and the leasing arena mostly consists of renewals and small leases for short terms. This is the broker’s new reality. “Any transaction person is finding …
Montgomery’s commercial real estate industry is repaving the rocky road of the recession. The small capital city is fairing well, fueled by the state government, the Maxwell-Gunter Air Force Base and the car manufacturer Hyundai. Montgomery’s transportation options also make the area attractive; two major highways intersect in the city, and the Alabama River provides a shipping alternative for sea-fairing businesses. According to Jerome Moore of Montgomery-based Moore Company Realty, manufacturing helps fuel local commercial real estate because industrial activity boosts the multifamily and retail markets. The tight financial markets have affected the resiliency of the industrial market, however, and warehouse vacancy is now a little more common that it was before. The office market remains strong on the heels of government expansion. The one dark area hovering around the industry concerns the financial meltdown and the ever-changing banking landscape. “All the shakeup there, with the merger of Regents and AmSouth [banks] and Colonial’s present troubles, will create significant vacancy in the market from an office standpoint,” he says. Many office buildings were developed with significant vacant space. If a landlord purchased a building that was vacant, he’s having a hard time filling the property, but the recession hasn’t created …
During the past 12 months, the Louisville retail real estate market has proven itself to be full of opportunities as well as challenges. An almost equal amount of developments were completed since the beginning of last year as were put on hold. Likewise, as many stores have opened as have closed, and as many submarkets have thrived as have struggled. In spite of these inconsistencies, the Louisville market finds itself uniquely well-positioned for resumed retail growth as the national economy rebounds. The northeast and east retail submarkets remain extremely stable. Within these markets there are more than 2 million square feet of retail space including some of the city’s premier shopping destinations. The Summit, the city’s only lifestyle center, is more than 98 percent leased with a tenancy that boasts some of the most recognizable names in lifestyle retail and fast casual dining. Likewise, Springhurst Towne Center is more than 90 percent leased with the anchor tenants Target, Meijer, TJ Maxx, Liquor Barn and Dick’s Sporting Goods. The landscape will continue to evolve with the completions of Phase I of Chamberlain Pointe, a mixed-use center, and North Commons, a town center development. St. Matthews continues to be widely considered the …