Texas Market Reports

Thompson-Hotel-Residences-San-Antonio

By Jeffrey Brown, FAIA, founding principal and CEO, Powers Brown Architecture San Antonio, with its 1.5 million residents, occupies an enigmatic identity, flying under the radar as the second-largest city in Texas and the seventh-largest city in the nation. Located between the south and central regions of the Lone Star State, San Antonio’s economy is fueled by tourism, military, financial services, energy and healthcare providers. Its lower-than-average cost of living and high quality of life make the “Alamo City” attractive for development. There is no mystery about San Antonio’s steady growth among locals, including developers, several of whom have created exciting new hyper-urban mega-developments in Central Business District (CBD)-adjacent locations. The recent announcement of Riverplace by Universal Services Group, part of the development team behind the recently completed Thompson Hotel and Arts Residences, reached an agreement last December with the City of San Antonio that paves the way for a $400 million development in the center city. Anchored by the Dream Hotel, Riverplace is the newest bookend to the various new projects and developments in the CBD, with the oldest bookend being the Pearl District, one of the original CBD-adjacent efforts. Riverplace and the Pearl District make up either end …

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Northpark-35-Georgetown

By Joe Iannacone, senior vice president, Titan Development; and Omar Nasser, senior vice president, AQUILA Commercial The Central Texas industrial market stretches between Austin and San Antonio along the Interstate 35 “Innovation” Corridor, an approximately 80-mile expanse that encompasses some of the fastest-growing cities in the nation. Austin, now the 10th-largest city in the nation population-wise, continues to see unprecedented growth in the tech, e-commerce and household industry sectors.  Most notably, Tesla decided to construct its Cybertruck Gigafactory in East Austin along State Highway 130, which has and will be a boon to the region. The electric car maker also recently announced plans to relocate its headquarters from Silicon Valley to Austin.  San Antonio, the nation’s seventh-largest city, has seen continued growth in the automotive, financial, life sciences and food and beverage sectors. Large companies continue to flock to the region to establish a major presence, including USAA, H-E-B and Toyota. The markets in between Austin and San Antonio from south to north —  Schertz, New Braunfels, San Marcos, Kyle and Buda — have benefitted from the synergies of both markets due to their location and strong economies. As a result of the continued economic activity and with the effects …

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Capital-Plaza-Austin

By Matt Epple, executive vice president, Weitzman Austin; and David Nicolson, president, Weitzman San Antonio One of the best-known metroplexes — a term that was coined way back in 1915 to describe the phenomenon whereby two or more important cities expand to form one continuous urban area — in the country is Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW). Now, new data from the U.S. Census Bureau has led the Texas State demographer to predict that Texas’ next new mega metro will be Austin-San Antonio. Austin gained nearly 200,000 new residents over the past decade for a growth rate of 21 percent.  San Antonio added 107,218 people and is one of the top 10 largest U.S. cities by population. Together, the two markets form a powerhouse metro area of nearly 5 million people. The Austin and San Antonio metro areas each represent robust economies with strong population, job and housing growth. Together, they are almost unbeatable. While the markets are on track to merge into a metroplex, for now they are each distinct enough that we produce separate research reports. But without a doubt, these two metro areas account for some of the most positive retail performance in the state. In formulating this market …

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CubeSmart-Austin

By Taylor Williams A number of economic, demographic and bureaucratic headwinds are propelling investment in self-storage properties across Texas, such that some brokerage firms are on pace to have record-breaking deal volumes in 2021.  Last year, the outbreak of COVID-19 postponed the typical leasing season of late spring and early summer. Individuals and businesses grappled with economic uncertainty by tightening their purse strings. But by fall of last year, leasing and occupancy rates had rebounded, making it clear to investors that self-storage assets tended to flow cash better than other property sectors. Consequently, a number of players shifted out of asset classes like retail, office and hospitality and into the more stable self-storage space. The early months of the pandemic also coincided with the natural tapering off of the development cycle in Texas. Numerous submarkets in major Texas cities had become overbuilt in the years leading up to 2020, and COVID-19 served as an additional governor on new supply, further bolstering leasing velocity and rent growth. And as the federal government pumped trillions of dollars of aid into the economy, ushering in a new era of inflation, investors were able to adjust their revenues to cover rising costs with ease.”  …

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Addison-Station-Dallas

By Greg Langston, principal, managing director, Avison Young The Dallas North Tollway (DNT) is a staple thoroughfare for Dallas Fort-Worth (DFW), connecting the metroplex’s urban core in Dallas to the thriving northern suburbs.  Over the past 12 years, since the recovery from the Great Recession began, much of the market’s activity and energy has occurred along this tollway. Weighing the performance of assets in submarkets that connect to the DNT versus those that don’t, those in DNT-connected submarkets have outperformed in total and in annualized averages. Centers of Action Three core submarkets — Uptown/Turtle Creek in the urban core, Upper Tollway/West Plano and Frisco/The Colony in the far north region — have driven much of this growth. The northern suburbs have done a great job attracting massive corporate headquarters and relocations deals, while Uptown/Turtle Creek has created a unique identity as a thriving urban hub full of walkable amenities, mixed-use developments and more.  Beyond the DNT, major developments like Cypress Waters have helped drive strong interest and activity to the center of the region. To the west, Tarrant and Denton counties have seen robust growth along State Highway 114, with several major institutional employers like Deloitte, Charles Schwab and Fidelity …

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Sky-Landing-Apartments-White-Settlement-Texas

By Jon Krebbs, managing director, The Multifamily Group The COVID-19 crisis has certainly had a heavy impact on many sectors of the economy; however, the multifamily sector still has had a triumphant year. The Dallas apartment sector has maintained healthy occupancy in 2021, and the investment side of the market is picking up due to buyers having constrained capital during the height of the public health crisis in 2020. Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) has benefited from major corporate relocations since the 1980s. Over the last decade, corporate interest has expanded and that brought multiple Fortune 500 companies’ headquarters to the region due to its pro-business conditions.  It is no wonder why the market is on the radar of C-suite leaders and governing boards — its favorable workforce, affordable cost of housing, lack of state income tax and steady supply of new apartment buildings are all factors. Simply put, apartment investors regard DFW as an opportunity for growth.  Between 2019 to 2020, approximately 120,000 people from outside the metroplex have been added to the local population. This number has substantially increased over the last two years due to COVID-19. Market Overview The Dallas multifamily market has been hot for the last seven …

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One-Victory-Park-Dallas

By Cynthia Cowen, managing director, Cushman & Wakefield Throughout the past 18 months, there has been an ongoing discussion about returning to the office. Culturally, financially, production-wise — does it make sense to return? There is so much that goes into making these decisions, and there isn’t a simple yes or no answer.  It might depend on the industry, the generational differences among employees, the job functions being performed and more. Baby boomers tend to be critical of millennials’ desire to have greater balance and their preference for working at home, but what about recent college grads? They need to absorb as much as information as they can, but how do they achieve that at home? What about those in child-bearing years? They may want to stay home to juggle it all under one roof. In 25-plus years in the commercial real estate industry, our team has never witnessed employees possess so much control. In speaking with tenant representation brokers and their clients, the message remains that employers are struggling to figure out how to get their employees to come back to the office.  According to Cushman & Wakefield’s “Workplace Ecosystems of the Future” report, there is a strong consensus …

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Stewart-Creek-Frisco

By Taylor Williams There is a pronounced imbalance between the amount of capital looking for placement in commercial real estate in Texas and the number of available deals on the market, making it a good time to be a borrower or seller.  In addition to the time-tested fundamentals that have fueled growth in Texas over the last decade — exceptional job and population growth, corporate relocations, a low-regulation business environment — the state has seen elevated capital flows over the last nine months as a leader in reopening and supporting its economy in response to COVID-19.  The fact that the state’s economy never really had a prolonged, major shutdown during the pandemic means that investors have had more reliable data about cash flows and other key metrics for Texas real estate assets than in many other markets. Access to that data has reduced some of the uncertainty that investors despise but which has been rampant over the last 17 months. As a result of these factors, more capital sources are targeting deals in Texas.  “The inflow of capital to Texas from all parts of the country has been tremendous, dating back to the late third and early fourth quarters of …

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The-Elizabeth-Austin

By Andrew Dickson, managing director, Newmark Almost daily, Newmark’s Central Texas multifamily capital markets group speaks with investors looking to enter the Austin multifamily market. With headlines aplenty about corporate relocations to the city, investors are often looking to trade tax-burdensome environments for business-friendly ones like Texas. What is driving the interest, and what is it actually like buying multifamily assets in Central Texas today? Economic Synopsis According to data from Opportunity Austin, the economic initiative of the Greater Austin Chamber of Commerce, more than 100 companies have made relocation or expansion announcements in Austin, resulting in over 15,000 jobs pledged through June 2021. Opportunity Austin tracked 22,114 new jobs announced in 2020 — a record-breaking year — and the city is presumably on its way to another record-setting year in 2021. It is worth noting that many of the jobs announced in 2019 and 2020 are still forthcoming. Like many industries, tech firms often cluster together. Whether relocation announcements are due to existing synergies with other firms or cost-reduction strategies, we anticipate the trend of tech or tech-adjacent companies moving to Central Texas to continue. Due to these local shifts, as well as macroeconomic housing impacts, the single-family housing …

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Amazon-MetCenter-Austin

By Bob Mohr, chairman, Mohr Capital When people talk about Austin, they call it one of the best places in the country to live. They talk about the live music scene, the die-hard fans who flock to The University of Texas football games and the hills sprouting bluebonnets. They talk about Austin attracting California residents and companies during the pandemic, bolstering the city’s tech base and positioning it as a significant Silicon Valley rival. They talk about office demand and the increasing costs of single-family housing. Few people mention Austin’s industrial market, but they really should, because there’s a heck of lot to talk about. At 55 million square feet, Austin’s industrial market is still fairly small, especially compared with the Lone Star State’s big three metros of Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW), Houston and San Antonio. Despite its size, the Austin industrial market is experiencing significant demand from various companies, particularly e-commerce and service-related tenants. And even though Austin tends to be a bit of a bubble market, money is flowing in the form of new construction and investor interest. Absorption Pushes Occupancy Historically, Austin has not been a big box warehouse market. Most industrial inventory is smaller, developed to cater …

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