Texas Market Reports

Food & Beverage Users Spearhead El Paso Retail Market’s Recovery, Growth

by Taylor Williams May 12, 2021

By Adam Frank, president, River Oaks Properties As one of the sector’s largest owners and developers, we have been witness to a number of uplifting and heartbreaking outcomes wrought by COVID-19 in the El Paso retail market over the last year. We’ve spent countless hours working with the 800 or so tenants that comprise our portfolio, negotiating rent deferrals and restructured leases, helping them navigate the newly launched Paycheck Protection Program and devising creative real estate solutions to help keep their businesses afloat. In some cases, these efforts have helped tenants keep their doors open. In others, the economic impacts of COVID-19 ultimately hit the employee bases and operating budgets of tenants — especially those of the mom-and-pop variety — too harshly for them to survive. But through the good, bad and universally unprecedented challenges of 2020, we have seen one category of retail — food and beverage — position itself as the clear leader in the recovery and inevitable return to growth of the broader El Paso market. As is often the case during economic downturns, the grocery sector has performed well over the past year, with both large- and small-format players looking to expand in El Paso. River …

May 12, 2021

Industrial Market Reports Texas Texas Market Reports

Industrial Landlords in Texas Should Beware of Higher Property Tax Assessments

by Taylor Williams May 5, 2021

By Darlene Sullivan, partner, and Justin Raes, tax cunsultant, Popp Hutcheson PLLC While some commercial property types struggled to stay relevant in 2020, industrial real estate seemed supercharged by the pandemic. This year, tax assessors are likely to use strong investor and occupier demand for some industrial properties to support significantly higher assessments for all industrial real estate. They may see this as a solution to make up for value losses in the hospitality, retail and office sectors. That means industrial property owners should prepare for major assessment increases and begin building arguments to establish their properties’ true taxable value. E-commerce in Perspective If e-commerce was rising before 2020, it skyrocketed after the initial shock of the pandemic. The e-commerce share of total retail sales jumped to 16.1 percent at the end of the second quarter of 2020 from 11.8 percent in the first quarter and 10.8 percent a year earlier, according to the Census Bureau. As e-commerce grew, so too did industrial leasing demand, as online retailers secured spaces to process incoming goods and fulfill orders for shipment to consumers. The e-commerce operations driving the surge in demand brought with them a list of demands to serve their logistical …

May 5, 2021

Hospitality Market Reports Texas Texas Market Reports

Let’s Get Real About Hotel Real Estate in Texas

by Taylor Williams April 30, 2021

By Steve Van, president & CEO, Prism Hotels & Resorts While 2020 was a trying year for companies in every industry, the hospitality sector has been really taking it on the chin. Restaurateurs and airline executives might disagree, but hoteliers have arguably had it worse than any other industry. The financial impact on the hotel business from COVID-19 is 10 times worse than the hit from the late 2000s recession — and that’s a very big deal. With the rate of business travel falling off a cliff and leisure travel down more than ever around the world, 2020 was a year that many hospitality executives would like to forget. But that doesn’t mean the sky is falling — or that brighter times aren’t in store. But what do those timelines look like? How should hotel professionals be managing the current crisis, and what are the real estate implications for investors? Let’s take a clear-eyed look at the good, the bad and the ugly and try and answer those questions by examining key trends and thinking about what’s likely to come next for hotel developers, operators and investors. Southern Sunshine One important caveat to the story of catastrophic hotel business drop-offs …

April 30, 2021

Market Reports Mixed-Use Texas Texas Market Reports

Mixed-Use Settings Bolster Office Prospects in Texas

by Taylor Williams April 27, 2021

By Taylor Williams The COVID-19 pandemic has cast a shadow of uncertainty on both the short- and long-term fates of many office buildings, but mixed-use developers in Texas are hardly reluctant to continue to include this use in their projects. Philosophies behind mixed-use projects vary in terms of which components lead and which ones follow. Some developers view retailers and restaurants as the connective tissue that dots the networks and thoroughfares and that creates the walkable experience. Others see residential as the nucleus of the project that from the beginning provides critical mass and a user base for the retail and restaurant tenants during non-working hours. But in either case, the office use remains an important piece of the puzzle as a driver of traffic to retail during the nine-to-five window and as an impetus for leasing a unit at a nearby residential building. Overall Uncertainty No mixed-use developer professes to know when society will officially deem office buildings ready for re-occupancy, or the extent to which many large office users will continue to rely on complete or partial remote-work programs. But they remain bullish on the property type as it exists within larger projects that incorporate other key uses …

April 27, 2021

Affordable Housing Market Reports Multifamily Texas Texas Market Reports

Supply of Affordable Housing Plays Catch-up to Demand in Texas

by Taylor Williams April 21, 2021

By Taylor Williams The fundamental forces of job and population growth that drive demand for market-rate multifamily properties are hard at work on the affordable housing sector in Texas, and it doesn’t appear that a supply-demand equilibrium is in the cards anytime soon. In addition, a perpetual shortage of low-income housing tax credits (LIHTCs) and other government-issued subsidies that are required to finance new development of affordable housing are working to keep supply growth in check. Throw in a global pandemic that has cost millions of people their jobs and depleted their savings, potentially forcing them to seek less-expensive housing, and you have a supply-demand dynamic that is far from balanced. The situation is further exacerbated by the fact that there is some overlap between workers in industries hit hard by the pandemic, such as leisure and hospitality, and the types of renters who need or qualify for affordable housing. Texas is hardly the only state facing these lopsided market conditions. According to a 2020 report by the National Low Income Housing Coalition, when it comes to housing that renters whose income levels are at or below 30 percent of their area median income (AMI) can afford, the United States …

April 21, 2021

Industrial Market Reports Texas Texas Market Reports

San Antonio Industrial Market Moves in Lockstep with National Trends

by Taylor Williams April 16, 2021

By Joe Iannacone, vice president of development, Titan Development; and Rob Burlingame, SIOR, CCIM, senior vice president, CBRE While industrial was a preferred investment vehicle prior to the pandemic, the impacts of COVID-19 have further cemented the property type’s place as the favorite asset class among investors. Newly implemented safety precautions related to COVID-19 have accelerated established trends toward e-commerce and delivery-based shopping. The pandemic has also exposed various weaknesses in the global supply chain, spurring predictions of a return to domestic manufacturing and processing of raw material. As more consumers have yielded to the convenience that e-commerce provides, investors of all types have acknowledged the strength of industrial fundamental metrics, causing demand to spike in the process. As a result, investors have spent the past year seeking existing and new industrial development opportunities to capitalize on what many see as a trend that will likely continue. The increased level of vaccine administration on the horizon has further accelerated this interest in industrial properties, with many experts predicting a return to somewhat normal living, working and shopping habits by the middle of 2021. On a more micro level, one subtype of industrial real estate — cold storage — could also …

April 16, 2021

Market Reports Multifamily Texas Texas Market Reports

San Antonio Multifamily Market Maintains Healthy Supply-Demand Balance

by Taylor Williams April 14, 2021

By Sean Sorrell, senior managing director, JLL Last year, San Antonio’s multifamily sector was one of the only markets nationally in which the 2020 absorption exceeded that of previous years. Moreover, the city’s development pipeline was already contracting after 2019, so additional supply reductions in 2020 and 2021 due to COVID-19 should result in rebounding occupancy across the metro. The market is maintaining balance in terms of supply and demand and is poised to elevate its national prominence. The San Antonio multifamily market ‘s overall inventory is approaching 185,000 units, having grown by roughly 8 percent over the last two years. Ongoing supply growth has marginally outpaced demand, but even in the face of COVID-19, the overall market is approximately 92 percent occupied. JLL’s research shows that nationally, more than 6 percent of apartment renters have vacated their units since April 2020, either moving back in within parents or “coupling up” with roommates. San Antonio experienced very little of this effect, with an occupancy loss of less than 1 percent due to this temporary phenomenon. These displaced renters are likely to re-enter the apartment market in the near term, and, with ongoing in-migration, we anticipate the San Antonio market should …

April 14, 2021

Market Reports Retail Texas Texas Market Reports

Where Does the San Antonio Retail Market Stand One Year into the Pandemic?

by Taylor Williams April 9, 2021

By David Nicolson, president, Weitzman San Antonio In March 2020, health officials first used the term “pandemic” in reference to COVID-19. Since then, our communities, economy, commercial real estate industry and retailers and restaurants have gone through a year of challenges that few could have foreseen at the start of 2020. The fact that today we are in better shape than we could have predicted during the shutdown a year ago shows that the disruptions caused by the pandemic have been met with innovation, creativity and plain hard work. Here in San Antonio, those disruptions did result in a number of retail and restaurant closings. But since the second half of 2020, we’ve seen an upswing in tenant demand. In terms of closings, Sears closed its 150,000-square-foot store at South Park Mall and its approximately 134,000-square-foot store at Rolling Oaks Mall. With these store closings, Sears — once the nation’s largest retailer — no longer has a presence in the San Antonio market. Other closures include Stein Mart (three box vacancies), Pier 1 (five closed stores), Gold’s Gym (three closed locations) and Tuesday Morning (one closed location). Combined, these closings resulted in approximately 564,000 square feet of total vacancy being …

April 9, 2021

Acquisitions Market Reports Multifamily Texas Texas Market Reports

El Paso Multifamily Investment Demand Remains Strong Through First Quarter of 2021

by Taylor Williams April 7, 2021

By Jack Stone, director of investment sales, Greysteel “What do you have in El Paso?” The country is over a year into the pandemic, and Greysteel is still receiving calls on a daily basis from groups asking just that. We sold thousands of units in El Paso over the two years leading up to COVID-19, and there’s no end in sight. In fact, even in these uncertain times, demand seems to have grown. Attracted to the higher yields, strong tenant base and increasingly diversified economy, investors are coming to El Paso in droves. It’s no secret that the Texas multifamily market has been hot. Out-of-state groups were first drawn to markets like Dallas, Austin, Houston and San Antonio because they offered higher yields with fewer regulations than markets like New York and California. But it was only a matter of time before even those cities, which are seeing with cap rates begin to compress 4 to 5 percent, got too hot. Investors subsequently began exploring other options and turned to cities like El Paso, where the fundamentals were strong and yields still attractive. Demographic Advantages El Paso’s multifamily market has always had a strong tenant base. New players in the …

April 7, 2021

Market Reports Multifamily Texas Texas Market Reports

Texas Multifamily Developers Navigate New Minefields

by Taylor Williams April 2, 2021

By Taylor Williams The past 12 months have thrown multifamily developers a full nine innings’ worth of curveballs, and while many owner-operators have successfully adjusted to the various challenges brought on by the pandemic, they are still tasked with figuring out how much staying power these disruptions will ultimately have. To be sure, the major markets of Texas remain well-positioned for multifamily growth. Even amid a global health crisis, the Lone Star State has maintained its status as a national leader in population growth, having added 374,000 residents between July 2019 and 2020, according to the most current data from the U.S. Census Bureau. The reporting of final census numbers for 2020 has been delayed by the pandemic. But the Texas Legislature has already committed to a redistricting plan that is likely to increase the state’s number of congressional representatives in the coming years — a significant and visible response to its exceptionally healthy population growth. In terms of jobs, no city has garnered more attention for major moves in the past 12 months than Austin, first landing the $1 billion Tesla Gigafactory that will come on line later this year, then receiving a commitment from Oracle to relocate its …

April 2, 2021

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