As COVID-19 disrupts the American economy, healthcare system and way of life, retailers and restaurants — the commercial real estate users whose very profitability and essence thrive on social congregation — have already been pegged as immediate casualties of war. According to data from the U.S. Department of Commerce, total U.S. retail sales fell by 16.4 percent between April and March, well above the projected drop of 12.3 percent. And specifically within the Lone Star State, the Texas Restaurant Association issued a statement in mid-April warning that as much as 40 percent of the state’s restaurants could remain permanently closed as a result of the pandemic. The month of May has seen Texas emerge as a national trendsetter for reopening retail and restaurant businesses. Texas Gov. Greg Abbott granted restaurants and malls permission to begin reopening on May 1, followed by gyms, bars and bowling alleys during the week of May 18 to 22. All establishments were required to reopen at limited occupancies. But even prior to the pandemic, landlord and tenants in brick-and-mortar retail were already engaged in a vicious battle against e-commerce. The introduction of COVID-19 has not changed physical retailers’ need to be aggressive, but it has …
Texas Market Reports
By Cody Payne, senior vice president, Colliers International. As strong job growth over the past decade has brought more and more investors to Texas, many of these buyers have looked to office product due to the appealing going-in returns that the property type offers. In addition, many cross-product owners look at office investing to make higher returns outside of their current portfolios. As buyers look toward the office market, there are many factors that need to be considered before making an informed decision. Along with these basic considerations, the impacts of COVID-19 on real estate investing are also important to understand when looking at an office deal. The Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) market in particular has experienced an influx of cross-product buyers from other asset types such as retail, multifamily and self-storage during this cycle. The higher rate of return is the primary catalyst behind their motivation to purchase office investments. All asset classes are different and so are their opportunities, whether immediate or long-term. Understanding what sets office apart from other types of commercial investments is key to a successful operating strategy. Hidden Costs of Ownership One important factor to consider when buying office properties is that there are many …
It’s no question that 2020 has become a turning point in history. Within a few short weeks, what was a booming time in our industry has changed in the blink of an eye. Although the good times may not last forever, it’s safe to say many didn’t expect a sudden change so soon — and on such a large scale. While health remains the nation’s top priority, COVID-19 has taken a toll in some shape or form on plenty of industries in the weeks following its arrival in the United States, with retail unquestionably being one of the hardest hit. However, innovative players are still finding opportunities. Plenty of retailers were already adapting to a changing market defined by e-commerce, and their improvements were unknowingly preparing them for a world under COVID-19 restrictions and limitations. Dinner at a Tap Food delivery apps have become saving graces since COVID-19 changed the daily lives of Americans. Delivery apps such as DoorDash, Uber Eats and Favor are allowing customers who may not want or be able to leave their homes to support their favorite restaurants. While one benefit of these apps would usually be supporting increased sales and avoiding standing in line, these …
In response to the outbreak of COVID-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus, industrial landlords in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) are demonstrating greater flexibility on short-term lease structures in order to keep deals moving forward. With most of the nation sheltering in place to stem the spread of the virus, e-commerce activity is accelerating, leading to greater demand for distribution and logistics services. In addition, supply chain operators that service essential industries — such as grocery, healthcare, construction and infrastructure — are working overtime to store and ship the necessary product to end users. In addition, many of these suppliers are also carrying more inventory. This is because are at interest rates are at historic lows, making it cheaper to stockpile goods and equipment, and because the global healthcare crisis has caused demand for certain foods, household products and consumer goods to skyrocket. All of this activity translates to short-term disruption in industrial real estate. Some deals are on hold, and the market is now seeing more unforeseen requirements from firms that need additional space for inventory storage, as well as from distribution and logistics users that are hiring more workers and shipping more product. “Several larger distribution companies are still …
It’s still too early to pinpoint how long and how severe the disruption caused by the outbreak of COVID-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus, will be to the major office markets of Texas. But brokers in Dallas, Houston and Austin are already seeing their markets display short-term adjustments with regard to deal velocity and structure. As commercial brokers know all too well, every deal is different. Companies are making decisions on whether to delay or pursue office lease consolidations, renewals or expansions based on their unique cash-flow situations, sales outlooks and current positions in their business cycles. In addition, because many office-using jobs don’t qualify as essential services, the uncertainty about how long employees will have to continue to shelter in place and work from home is leading many companies to reassess their short-term needs in terms of size, location and density. Lastly, there are the office users whose businesses have already been walloped by reduced consumer spending. For these companies, decisions about future leasing activity may very well be taking a backseat to a more pressing short-term need to escape an existing lease with minimal bloodshed. Office brokers have their hands full addressing the unexpected and unforeseen …
El Paso’s industrial market is growing and maturing, as evidenced by a surge in investment demand from institutional capital sources over the last 18 to 24 months. Whereas in past cycles, institutional capital found its way to El Paso by developing here, new players have been ready to buy existing portfolios, but we have seen very little new spec development. Stonelake Capital Partners, LINK Industrial Properties and Equity Industrial Partners/Raith Capital Partners are examples of new investors actively buying into the El Paso industrial market. Several factors have contributed to El Paso’s rise on the radars of institutional investors, but the heart of this trend is simple rent growth. The average asking rent for Class A and B industrial properties increased by a stunning 15.8 percent between 2018 and 2019. Rent growth in the East El Paso submarket increased by an even greater margin of 24.3 percent. As those numbers suggest, demand for industrial space in El Paso, which is largely driven by manufacturing activity in the sister city of Ciudad Juarez, Mexico, is quite strong. Demand for space comes from a diverse set of industries, namely automotive, consumer goods and electronics. El Paso has also seen new industrial demand …
As a multifamily investment sales brokerage firm, Greysteel has transacted close to 2,000 units in El Paso over the last 12 months. To say the El Paso multifamily market has been hot would be an understatement. But with a sudden pandemic causing economic chaos, jobs are at risk and multifamily owners are facing ever-increasing pressure. First, let’s talk about how El Paso has recently performed. Demand for multifamily product in El Paso has been particularly strong lately, and we’ve been able to bring new in-state and out-of-state investors into the market at cap rates never before seen in El Paso. Many of these investors are surprised to learn that El Paso is the sixth-largest metropolitan area in Texas and the 18th-largest city in the country. As cap rates on multifamily properties have compressed across the United States, El Paso has offered a safe haven for higher yields that can be elusive in major markets with high levels of competition. El Paso also has a diverse public/private sector that barely felt the pain of the 2008 recession — cumulative job losses totaled less than 3 percent of the total employment base. Job growth has expanded steadily, and employment was approximately 13 …
Multifamily developers across the country know that these are unprecedented and uncertain times for nearly everyone due to COVID-19. Houstonians making up our workforce, which many consider “the essential class,” include professionals like teachers, police officers, nurses and firefighters who invest in other peoples’ betterment every day. These are the people who are working day in and day out to provide us with various fundamental needs during this time of mandated quarantine. Many of these individuals are tenants of workforce housing properties, and to the relief of developers, are most essential to the world right now. However, not all jobs can be kept, and with over 3 million people in the United States having lost their jobs in just a week’s time, necessary processes and procedures about how to work with residents who might be in a financial bind due to COVID-19 have become a requirement. In early March, developers including our firm began to work with both the National Apartment Association and the Houston Apartment Association for recommended guidelines to effectively help our tenants who need it most. Additionally, several landlords came together to better understand what other complexes are doing on the ground to best serve our residents. …
The growth of large distribution facilities for e-commerce users and third-party logistics providers (3PLs) symbolizes the evolution of Houston’s industrial market. Consequently, developers are leaping into action to secure well-located infill sites that are squarely in the pathways of natural population growth, the rise of new industries and infrastructural upgrades. According to data from office and industrial brokerage firm Lee & Associates, there was roughly 18 million square feet of distribution space under construction throughout the Houston area at the end of 2019. This figure represents a 20 percent increase above the previous high of 15 million square feet in 2015, the approximate time at which the price of oil — the longtime foundation of Houston’s economy — began to tumble. The sheer size and number of these projects has catapulted Houston into the No. 3 spot nationally for industrial product under construction behind Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) and California’s Inland Empire, according to the latest data from CoStar Group. CoStar notes that there is roughly 27 million square feet of industrial space across all sub-types of industrial product under construction throughout Houston. The market also took the bronze medal for new deliveries in 2019. Older, smaller industrial properties that were …
Development trends in commercial real estate are beholden to the whims of consumer behavior. When it comes to mixed-use in the 21st century, successful projects deliver a high-quality experience that centers on a sense of social belonging and connection — for living, working and playing alike. “In today’s experiential economy, demographic changes and shifts in consumer values and preferences across generations are converging on the desire for social connection,” says Brian Cramer, senior vice president and head of the Dallas office of mixed-use developer Newland Communities. “People crave experiences and connections, which is why mixed-use environments will become even more important in community development.” Bob Schultz, the developer of Mid Main, a mixed-use destination in Houston’s Midtown neighborhood, echoes Cramer’s position on man’s inherently social nature as a driver of growth in the mixed-use space. “Our experience is that these various populations are willing to live with each other as never before,” says Schultz. “Demographics of those who live in urban areas cross over in terms of age and economic differences in ways that are either comfortable or virtually unnoticed by the different populations. In other words, people who like to live, work and play in areas with density value …