Much like the broader U.S. economy, the commercial real estate markets of Texas continue to display strong fundamentals that should fuel another year of robust demand for space, elevated valuations of commercial properties and disciplined, yet confident lending for new development. So say the majority of commercial brokers, developers and owners who responded to Texas Real Estate Business’ ninth annual forecast survey. These professionals did acknowledge that uncertainty during presidential election years — particularly when the current president is facing impeachment proceedings — can undoubtedly rattle markets. Ultimately, however, industry professionals believe that the dual drivers of job and population growth, coupled with record levels of capital seeking placement in Texas markets, are strong enough to overcome geopolitical concerns such as the United States-China trade dispute and a stark partisan divide in Washington, D.C. “Job and population growth are both indicators and driving forces for resiliency, and behind the job and population growth are systemic organizational re-allocations of capital, mission-critical operations and human resources into the Texas markets,” says Aaron Johnson, director of capital markets in JLL’s Dallas office. Johnson adds that in Dallas, the arrivals of corporate giants like Toyota, Liberty Mutual and McKesson Corp. illustrate these companies’ belief …
Texas Market Reports
Tony Schmitz, vice president and senior project manager at Dallas-based Hoefer Wysocki, has been leading the architecture and design firm’s sustainability initiatives across all sectors. With an academic foundation in environmental design, Schmitz has most recently taken his green building and design expertise to Collin College, in McKinney, Texas. Sustainability features of the up-and-coming campus include improvements in the areas of water conservation, design strategies and efficient technologies. At Collin College, Schmitz has made strides in the area of resource use reduction, primarily for water. As our most precious natural resource, water usage has recently come under scrutiny in the city of Dallas, where the city council unanimously passed the 2019 Water Conservation Plan. All of Schmitz’s projects have achieved or surpassed their goal of 40 percent water reduction for the last five years. This figure has become a standard for Schmitz, with a goal to increase to 50 percent water reduction and 100 percent for non-potable water reduction. Schmitz, spoke to Texas Real Estate Business about the process of integrating sustainability into all facets of the building industry, as well as the larger role design plays in the construction of highly adaptable and efficient facilities. His edited responses are …
Virtually every American mall that is struggling owes its woes to some combination of e-commerce growth and millennials’ preference for experiential retail. But the simple fact remains that e-commerce still only accounts for about 10 percent of total retail sales, according to the U.S. Department of Commerce. And while store closures are still running rampant, new retailers are rapidly backfilling those shuttered spaces and introducing new concepts to maintain consumer appeal. To that end, projects that convert enclosed malls into open-air destinations that feature local or first-to-market retail concepts, more food and beverage options, open spaces for communal events and distinct entertainment (and other) uses represent paths to salvation. These projects offer developers and landlord opportunities to restore their malls as bastions of shopping, dining and entertainment — and to address unfulfilled needs within the local retail market. While every project is different in terms of how the tenant roster is revamped and how much construction is required, all mall redevelopments share the goal of returning to relevance within the community. In this piece, we highlight four Texas malls that have or are undergoing extensive redevelopments to boost occupancy, sales, foot traffic and prestige in the eyes of consumers. Park …
The declining affordability of housing has become a worsening problem in many areas throughout the country, and Texas is no exception. Despite talk of a cooling housing market, home prices in both North and Central Texas are hitting high-water marks, making the dream of homeownership less likely to become a reality for many people. According to the Austin Board of Realtors, median home prices in Austin hit an all-time high in May, topping $400,000. As for North Texas, a report from ATTOM Data reveals that as of the third quarter, the median home price in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) was 73 percent above the market’s pre-recession peak. As home prices skyrocket in the these markets, apartment rental rates are also experiencing upward pressure. The Austin Affordable Housing Corp., a nonprofit subsidiary of the Housing Authority of the City of Austin, reports that Austin is now the most expensive rental market in Texas. In addition, The Dallas Morning News reported in August that while Dallas-area apartment rents are growing at a slower rate than the national average, these figures rose 3 percent from a year earlier. Rising apartment rental rates in these markets are resulting in a greater percentage of cost-burdened renters …
Innovative new retail experiences are appearing across the United States, and Texas is no exception. We started with food halls and experiential outings like escape rooms and now see even more creativity, from axe-throwing bars and esports arenas to Instagram-worthy art installations like Candytopia and experience-driven restaurants and bars like Pinewood Social. Throughout the country, there is a preferential trend toward experiential retail — businesses that provide consumers with unique, unforgettable encounters — and it’s simply a response to changing consumer tastes. Typically, a shopper visits a particular store for one of three reasons: convenience, value or experience. Today, we enjoy greater shopping convenience than ever before. In many areas of the country, we can get nearly everything we need from internet retailers, often with same-day or two-day shipping. According to PwC’s Global Consumer Insights Survey 2018, 41 percent of consumers are willing to pay extra in order to get same-day delivery, while 23 percent are willing to pay for delivery within three hours. Meanwhile, companies that provide exceptional value are showing growth compared to their peers. For example, the parent company of T.J. Maxx and Marshall’s showed steady positive increases in annual sales growth from 6 percent in 2015 …
Pricing for industrial distribution and warehouse properties has climbed in many U.S. markets over the past 12 months as investors have continued to focus on markets tied to large population centers and their connections to logistics and e-commerce spaces. According to an Avison Young Industrial Investment Review, prices in the Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) market rose the most out of the major industrial markets reviewed, increasing 20 percent to $85 per square foot. Prices for DFW industrial assets rose more than those in New York/Northern New Jersey (15.9 percent to $167), Miami (14.8 percent to $140), Los Angeles (11.6 percent to $168), and California’s Inland Empire (7.5 percent to $123). The review analyzed data from Real Capital Analytics (RCA) from the fourth quarter of 2018 to the third quarter of 2019. Strong population growth in North Texas has generated demand for a wide range of industrial assets, including e-commerce, and has propelled DFW into the spotlight for global investors. The market benefits from solid infrastructure, with four major intermodal terminals and the massive DFW International Airport helping position it as one of the nation’s largest inland ports. The DFW industrial market is also supported by strong job growth, construction activity, absorption …
The Dallas office market has changed drastically over the past 10 years. Though Far North Dallas has gotten its fair share of notoriety during this time (and justifiably so), the fundamentals of North Texas as a great place for business are sparking growth and activity across the market for established companies and those looking to relocate. Consider Las Colinas, which over the last few years has seen several major headquarter relocations, including large healthcare providers that have expanded or consolidated their regional workforces in this area. Currently, Dallas has 5.3 million square feet of Class A office product under construction, 2 million of which is in Las Colinas. In fact, since 2009, Las Colinas has added over 54,000 employees. That’s equivalent to a full Boeing 737 landing in Las Colinas every day for a year, unloading its passengers and everyone staying. Even with this remarkable influx of new jobs and our growing population, the competition for talent in Dallas remains fierce. Jason Savings, an economist with the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, recently noted that we’re in the midst of a historically tight labor market, the likes of which haven’t been seen since 1969. The Irving–Las Colinas submarket leads the …
For decades, all classes of commercial real estate in Dallas enjoyed somewhat lopsided advantages over Fort Worth. Until about 15 years ago, Dallas, the main beneficiary of the job, housing and population growth coming to the metroplex, commanded the lion’s share of demand from commercial real estate users while also having more capital for new development. Retail was no exception. Today, the Dallas area has seen its retail scene push northward toward Plano and Frisco, the new hubs of corporate relocations and regional workforce consolidations. But the combination of a shortage of developable land and a tight vacancy rate within the Interstate 635 loop is pushing rents. On a triple-net basis, rates are now as high as $60 per square foot in top submarkets like Uptown, Lakewood and Deep Ellum and $90-plus per square foot in the tony Preston Hollow and Park Cities submarkets, according to HSM’s research. Our data also shows that the average retail vacancy rate within the Interstate 635 loop in Dallas is approximately 2.6 percent, while there is 205,000 square feet of new space under construction within this area. By contrast, the urban core of Fort Worth inside the Interstate 820 loop spans about half as …
Much of the national hype surrounding the growth in industrial development, investment and leasing activity in North Texas is centered on Dallas, a national leader in in-migration and employment growth across a variety of industries. The demographic and economic fundamentals of Dallas have made it a highly desirable market for e-commerce and third-party logistics users looking to service an ever-growing last-mile population. But beginning about four years ago, the dwindling supply of quality sites near the Dallas core began to generate rapid rent growth, causing priced-out developers and users to start looking westward. Fort Worth’s transition from a predominantly manufacturing market to a dynamic logistics and distribution hub began with Hillwood’s purchase of 15,000 acres for its AllianceTexas development in the mid 1980s. Since that time, Fort Worth has displayed a more aggressive stance on economic and industrial development. Both cities have long shared access to critical pieces of infrastructure — DFW International Airport, Interstates 20, 30 and 35 — as well as strong availability of land and a quality supply of laborers. But until recently, the growth paths always favored Dallas — the more gentrified of the two cities that was also a preferred destination for corporate relocations and …
Known for both its big-city excitement and suburban living options, the Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) metroplex is now the fourth-largest metropolitan area in the country with 7.5 million residents. At this rate of growth, DFW is poised to surpass Chicago as the third-most populous metroplex in the country within the next two decades. Although DFW is commonly recognized as a shared marketplace, it’s important to understand that Dallas and Fort Worth are two separate cities with separate real estate markets. Fort Worth’s downtown area and Western charm have attracted a total population of about 880,000 compared to Dallas’ international and metropolitan mecca of roughly 1.34 million, according to U.S. Census Bureau. As Dallas and Fort Worth continue to provide a record number of jobs to accommodate this growth, multifamily development is keeping pace. In the past year, 81 multifamily developments with 23,916 units opened in DFW, of which the market absorbed 20,456 units in that same period, reaching an occupancy rate of 91.8 percent. The strong job market and affordable cost of living throughout the metroplex continue to have a positive impact on multifamily development and construction, bringing a plethora of new players to the space. However, we continue to see …