Texas Market Reports

Pricing for industrial distribution and warehouse properties has climbed in many U.S. markets over the past 12 months as investors have continued to focus on markets tied to large population centers and their connections to logistics and e-commerce spaces. According to an Avison Young Industrial Investment Review, prices in the Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) market rose the most out of the major industrial markets reviewed, increasing 20 percent to $85 per square foot. Prices for DFW industrial assets rose more than those in New York/Northern New Jersey (15.9 percent to $167), Miami (14.8 percent to $140), Los Angeles (11.6 percent to $168), and California’s Inland Empire (7.5 percent to $123). The review analyzed data from Real Capital Analytics (RCA) from the fourth quarter of 2018 to the third quarter of 2019. Strong population growth in North Texas has generated demand for a wide range of industrial assets, including e-commerce, and has propelled DFW into the spotlight for global investors. The market benefits from solid infrastructure, with four major intermodal terminals and the massive DFW International Airport helping position it as one of the nation’s largest inland ports. The DFW industrial market is also supported by strong job growth, construction activity, absorption …

FacebookTwitterLinkedinEmail

The Dallas office market has changed drastically over the past 10 years. Though Far North Dallas has gotten its fair share of notoriety during this time (and justifiably so), the fundamentals of North Texas as a great place for business are sparking growth and activity across the market for established companies and those looking to relocate. Consider Las Colinas, which over the last few years has seen several major headquarter relocations, including large healthcare providers that have expanded or consolidated their regional workforces in this area.  Currently, Dallas has 5.3 million square feet of Class A office product under construction, 2 million of which is in Las Colinas. In fact, since 2009, Las Colinas has added over 54,000 employees. That’s equivalent to a full Boeing 737 landing in Las Colinas every day for a year, unloading its passengers and everyone staying. Even with this remarkable influx of new jobs and our growing population, the competition for talent in Dallas remains fierce. Jason Savings, an economist with the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, recently noted that we’re in the midst of a historically tight labor market, the likes of which haven’t been seen since 1969. The Irving–Las Colinas submarket leads the …

FacebookTwitterLinkedinEmail

For decades, all classes of commercial real estate in Dallas enjoyed somewhat lopsided advantages over Fort Worth. Until about 15 years ago, Dallas, the main beneficiary of the job, housing and population growth coming to the metroplex, commanded the lion’s share of demand from commercial real estate users while also having more capital for new development. Retail was no exception. Today, the Dallas area has seen its retail scene push northward toward Plano and Frisco, the new hubs of corporate relocations and regional workforce consolidations. But the combination of a shortage of developable land and a tight vacancy rate within the Interstate 635 loop is pushing rents. On a triple-net basis, rates are now as high as $60 per square foot in top submarkets like Uptown, Lakewood and Deep Ellum and $90-plus per square foot in the tony Preston Hollow and Park Cities submarkets, according to HSM’s research. Our data also shows that the average retail vacancy rate within the Interstate 635 loop in Dallas is approximately 2.6 percent, while there is 205,000 square feet of new space under construction within this area. By contrast, the urban core of Fort Worth inside the Interstate 820 loop spans about half as …

FacebookTwitterLinkedinEmail

Much of the national hype surrounding the growth in industrial development, investment and leasing activity in North Texas is centered on Dallas, a national leader in in-migration and employment growth across a variety of industries. The demographic and economic fundamentals of Dallas have made it a highly desirable market for e-commerce and third-party logistics users looking to service an ever-growing last-mile population. But beginning about four years ago, the dwindling supply of quality sites near the Dallas core began to generate rapid rent growth, causing priced-out developers and users to start looking westward. Fort Worth’s transition from a predominantly manufacturing market to a dynamic logistics and distribution hub began with Hillwood’s purchase of 15,000 acres for its AllianceTexas development in the mid 1980s. Since that time, Fort Worth has displayed a more aggressive stance on economic and industrial development. Both cities have long shared access to critical pieces of infrastructure — DFW International Airport, Interstates 20, 30 and 35 — as well as strong availability of land and a quality supply of laborers. But until recently, the growth paths always favored Dallas — the more gentrified of the two cities that was also a preferred destination for corporate relocations and …

FacebookTwitterLinkedinEmail

Known for both its big-city excitement and suburban living options, the Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) metroplex is now the fourth-largest metropolitan area in the country with 7.5 million residents. At this rate of growth, DFW is poised to surpass Chicago as the third-most populous metroplex in the country within the next two decades. Although DFW is commonly recognized as a shared marketplace, it’s important to understand that Dallas and Fort Worth are two separate cities with separate real estate markets. Fort Worth’s downtown area and Western charm have attracted a total population of about 880,000 compared to Dallas’ international and metropolitan mecca of roughly 1.34 million, according to U.S. Census Bureau. As Dallas and Fort Worth continue to provide a record number of jobs to accommodate this growth, multifamily development is keeping pace. In the past year, 81 multifamily developments with 23,916 units opened in DFW, of which the market absorbed 20,456 units in that same period, reaching an occupancy rate of 91.8 percent. The strong job market and affordable cost of living throughout the metroplex continue to have a positive impact on multifamily development and construction, bringing a plethora of new players to the space. However, we continue to see …

FacebookTwitterLinkedinEmail

While rumors of a looming recession dot the mainstream media landscape and pervade conversations at bars and water coolers, Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) and Austin are humming along with the kind of healthy job growth that reduces that talk to little more than a whisper.  Growth in office-using sectors like tech, finance, engineering and business services in both the state’s capital and largest metropolis continues to fuel demand for space, push rents to new levels and drive price  appreciation on office assets. According to CoStar Group, the Dallas area has added about 90,000 new jobs over the last 12 months, and currently boasts a 3.4 percent unemployment rate, which is lower than both the state and national averages. And based on the most current data from the Austin Chamber of Commerce, payrolls in the state capital grew by about 23,000 between June 2018 and June 2019, while unemployment currently sits below 3 percent. While strong population growth is enough to jumpstart development and absorption in the multifamily, industrial and retail sectors, it’s pure job growth that drives the office space. So it’s not a bad time to be an owner of core properties in desirable submarkets in both cities. But these …

FacebookTwitterLinkedinEmail

With the major markets of Texas adding thousands of new apartments every year, multifamily management firms are increasingly relying on technology to accelerate leasing activity, grow renewal rates and handle requests from tenants — all in the name of keeping their properties competitive and their investor clients happy. As beneficiaries of strong job and population growth throughout this cycle, Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW), Houston and Austin have all watched their multifamily supply levels increase. According to CoStar Group, DFW, a national leader in apartment development, has added more than 20,000 units per year in each of the last three years. Houston has also seen its supply of multifamily product grow over the past several years as natural population growth has worked to offset hiring slumps brought on by depressed energy prices. Austin and San Antonio are also facing demand for more housing via the strong population growth occurring throughout the region.    Multifamily supply growth means that renters have more options on where to live and can afford to be more selective, not only with regard to rental rates, but also in terms of services. To the latter point, management professionals have taken on an added element of customer service that …

FacebookTwitterLinkedinEmail

Between 2014 and 2016, the Houston multifamily market struggled with an issue of oversupply as a result of accelerated apartment construction. When Hurricane Harvey hit in 2017, Houston residents displaced by the storm produced a surge in apartment demand that helped fill thousands of empty units over the ensuing 12 months. Fast forward to 2019, and two key factors are keeping a strong apartment pipeline flowing and forcing developers to play catch-up: new residents and more jobs. Over the past two years, demand has outpaced deliveries, a welcome sign for investors following the 2014-2016 era. More than 20,000 units came on line in 2016 alone and caused absorption to lag. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, steady increases in population have Houston competing with Chicago for the title of third-most populous city in the country. This demographic trend, coupled with the city’s strong labor market, has created a setting wherein capital keeps trying to find its way into the Bayou City. Underpinning the need for more housing product was the 94,000-plus new residents added during the last year, which ranked Houston’s net migration in the top three of U.S. metros. Given the rise in demand stemming from jobs and in-migration, …

FacebookTwitterLinkedinEmail

Elevated consumer spending tied to a strong job market in the greater Houston area is driving retail investment and tenant demand in suburban and urban submarkets alike. As a result, it’s one of the nation’s top MSAs for retail development, with more than 3 million-plus square feet under construction market-wide. From an investment perspective, single-tenant and ground-leased assets remain favorable with investors. E-commerce-resistant tenants like fitness, restaurants, automotive service centers, car washes/detailing and dialysis facilities command the most attention with cap rates between the mid-5 to mid-6 percent range. Cap rates tend to be 25 to 50 basis points lower for ground leases because there is no landlord responsibility. Credit, guarantee, location, lease term and landlord responsibility are the biggest factors affecting value. Following Grand Parkway In greater Houston, the majority of retail development recently has been in high-growth submarkets along the 180-mile Grand Parkway/TX 99, which loops through seven counties. National brands like Target, Ross Dress for Less, T.J. Maxx, Burlington, Ulta Beauty and Five Below are continually scouting sites in high-density suburban markets along the Grand Parkway. The exponential growth in the entertainment, fitness, dining and medical/healthcare sectors is an equally strong catalyst for retail and mixed-use development …

FacebookTwitterLinkedinEmail

As we enter the fourth quarter, Houston’s office market remains sluggish due primarily to uncertainty in the energy industry. With the price of West Texas Intermediate crude fluctuating between $45 and $60 per barrel, the market has seen minimal oil company expansions.  With the pricing outlook remaining on a bleak to flat trajectory, little growth in office occupancy is expected in the next 18 to 24 months. The cycle favors tenants, now and for the foreseeable future. Should energy pricing return to higher levels, there will undoubtedly be higher occupancy through positive absorption, making the next six months an ideal time to lock in rental rates and construction/build-out costs for the next five to seven years. Through the third quarter of 2019, Houston has seen 217,000 square feet of overall net absorption, including sublease space returning to the direct market. The bright  spots are new Class A downtown properties like Bank of America Tower, 609 Main and Texas Tower, whose current and future tenants have demonstrated their willingness to pay the higher base rates and operating expenses associated with new development. Companies are using office space more efficiently due to technological advances and transformations in mobility and are demanding more …

FacebookTwitterLinkedinEmail