Despite the fact that demand for retail space in McAllen is at an all-time high, average asking rents are not rising at rates that preclude new users from entering and expanding within the market. According to the McAllen Chamber of Commerce, the retail occupancy rate currently stands at just under 95 percent. The user base is balanced between big box home furnishing and service tenants, neighborhood retailers providing essential services, entertainment concepts and both national and regional food and beverage users. As one might imagine in a market with 95 percent occupancy, there is considerable new development underway. And while rents, which currently max out at about $24 per square foot for new Class A product, have displayed a steady ascent, they also stand at levels that allow for both users and landlords to comfortably turn profits. Most retail real estate professionals in McAllen live in fear of being overbuilt. And indeed, there is new product of all varieties — freestanding, strip centers, power centers — coming out of the ground. A prominent example of new retail development lies in Shops at 29, a power center anchored by Dave & Buster’s and leased to other large-format users like Burlington and …
Texas Market Reports
Relative to past cycles, the multifamily market of the McAllen-Edinburg-Mission metro area has seen a record number of new deliveries of Class A product over the last four years. The metro’s population has grown significantly during the current economic expansion. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the population of the city of McAllen alone has increased by 9.5 percent over the past decade. Combined with a relatively low cost of living throughout the region, the market’s natural growth has prompted greater demand for multifamily product while also allowing more residents to gravitate to higher-quality housing. With demand rising over the last few years and developers adding record volumes of new supply in order to meet it, 2019 purports to be a year in which developers focus more on leasing up existing projects rather than greenlighting or breaking ground on new ones. To better understand the depth of supply additions to this market between over the last four years, consider fluctuations in the vacancy rate. Vacancy Movement In 2014, just before the building boom began, the market had a vacancy rate of 5.5 percent. At the peak of the construction cycle, which occurred in mid-2017, vacancy stood close to 14.5 percent. …
The agriculture industry, long an economic staple of the Rio Grande Valley (RGV), has been at the forefront of the region’s industrial expansion and is seeing its role elevated with more product coming from Mexico. Over the last several years, road and bridge infrastructure improvements throughout Mexico’s southwestern regions have laid the groundwork for increased traffic of produce-carrying trucks headed northeast to the border area. Ports of entry throughout the RGV have become the top destinations for agricultural imports, surpassing the longtime leader of Nogales, Ariz. This has heightened cross-border trade activity throughout the South Texas ports of entry. Most notably, the Pharr, Texas, port of entry has increased the most in terms of activity, which has led to greater absorption and development of industrial product throughout the McAllen metro area. The prime example of this infrastructural development is the Baluarte Bicentennial Bridge. The 3,700-foot, cable-stayed bridge opened in 2013, connecting the Mexican coastal city of Mazatlan to the inland port of Durango and shortening delivery times for product en route to the U.S. border by four to six hours. As a result, a significant amount of the new industrial development in recent years has centered on cold storage facilities. …
Businesses and industries whose supply chains are tied to Port Houston are dealing with tariffs on select imports, volatile energy markets and a one-two punch of rising rents and construction costs for any industrial space they want to lease or have developed for them. But based on the performance of Houston’s nearby Southeast industrial submarket, these larger geopolitical and economic forces are wreaking minimal havoc. An increasingly diverse mix of industrial users has landed in Houston over the past five or so years. These tenants include national retailers and third-party logistics (3PL) firms that see Houston as an emerging regional distribution hub, as well as suppliers of durable consumer goods and companies that service the petrochemicals industry. The port submarket is seeing heightened activity from all of the above. At the same time, the infrastructure within Port Houston has expanded. Ship channels are in the process of being deepened and widened. Special equipment has been introduced that allows overweight containers to safely and legally leave the port and hit the roadways. Demand for rail-served properties is growing, particularly on the north side of the Houston Ship Channel, leading to more of those projects. And Harris County has begun work on …
Despite the rise of the gig economy, the explosion of coworking concepts and the move toward greater density among office-using companies, America’s office market is maintaining steady growth and balance, thanks to the exceptional job growth of this cycle. According to Costar Group, the national office vacancy rate currently stands at a 9.8 percent. Developers delivered approximately 59.3 million square feet of new product over the last 12 months. National net absorption of 56.6 million square feet during that period suggests that the market is quite close to equilibrium. According to the most current available data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) at the time of this writing, between December 2018 and January 2019, American nonfarm payrolls added about 525,000 new jobs. The BLS reported substantially lower job growth in February, with just 20,000 new positions added. However, most economists expect that figure to be revised upward as the effects of Mother Nature and the government shutdown wear off. While office properties only capture a portion of that activity, job growth expectations are still the main criteria by which office market health is evaluated. By that logic, the office markets of Texas’ four largest cities should all post strong …
The current pace of development and absorption of manufacturing and warehousing space in El Paso reveals just how closely the local economy is linked to that of its sister city across the border, Ciudad Juárez. Mexico’s maquiladora system allows foreign companies to produce and export materials to that company’s home country, largely on a duty- and tariff-free basis. When the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) was passed in the mid-1990s, maquiladora activity saw its largest historical increase while still facing considerable competition from China for foreign investment. But when American manufacturers realized that outsourcing production to China didn’t translate to more efficient supply chains, they once again looked toward Mexico, which also boasted strong supplies of affordable labor. With the United States now locked in a trade dispute with China, the economic development initiatives offered by the current Mexican Presidential Administration and the threat of a drastically renegotiated NAFTA agreement having passed, American companies are beginning to return to Mexico. Ciudad Juárez is among the Mexican cities benefitting most from this activity, and it is translating to greater demand for storage and distribution space in El Paso. Many maquiladora companies count end users in southwestern U.S. markets as significant …
It’s not often that a single project captures an office market’s growth and evolution over a 40-year period. But that is precisely what’s happening in El Paso. WestStar Tower, a 19-story, Class A building, is the first project of its kind to be built in El Paso in 40 years since the 415,000-square-foot Stanton Tower was constructed for El Paso Natural Gas. With co-developers Hunt Cos. and WestStar Bank beginning vertical construction of the 262,000-square-foot building last summer, El Paso’s skyline is set to change considerably upon its completion in late 2020. The symbolism of WestStar Tower to El Paso is not unlike the relationship between Frost Tower and San Antonio, another city that was starved of major Class A office development throughout the 1990s and 2000s. With both cities experiencing steady job growth from local expansions and new relocations, developers of quality office product are viewing these markets in new lights. El Paso is also getting younger. According to recent research from El Paso’s economic development department, roughly 40 percent of the city’s 838,000 residents are under the age of 40. The median age is 31 and the city ranks in the Top 10 in terms of its appeal …
If you had to sum up the El Paso multifamily market — and to some degree the entire city — in word, it would be “steady.” Though El Paso’s location ensures that impacts of political policies with Mexico can cause immediate disruption in the economy, our commercial real estate markets remain insulated from this activity. Even so, as the city’s jobs and population have grown in tandem with the national economic expansion, El Paso has not yet experienced a true building boom of Class A multifamily product. The city is seeing its renter base become more gentrified, particularly on the west side. In addition, developers in El Paso face the same rising construction costs as builders in other markets. The citywide vacancy rate, which currently stands at about 8 percent, is slowly declining while average asking rents are creeping up. These economic and demographic trends suggest the ceiling for new development of Class A multifamily product in El Paso is quite high. Absorption of new units has remained consistent during this cycle, but as things currently stand, there are only a couple hundred units under construction. Retail Influence Retail frequently follows rooftops, but in El Paso, the two seem to …
Even before the city’s population growth began exploding and its reputation as a tech hub became entrenched, Austin was always a true last-mile market for industrial users. Now that e-commerce has morphed into a worldwide phenomenon with real staying power, Austin looks like one of the next ideal locations for institutional industrial developers to make their marks with larger projects. However, the market does present a handful of challenges, including an intricate entitlement process, expensive land and a slightly higher cost of construction as compared to Texas’ other major markets. These barriers to entry have helped characterize the Austin industrial market we see today, with local developers leading the way. The Austin Market Today From both a developer’s and a broker’s perspective, the biggest advantage of being in a high-barrier-to-entry market, aside from less competition, is that the likelihood of becoming overbuilt is minimized. We saw this in 2008 and 2009, when the recession forced industrial users to cut operating costs and landlords to lower rents. Like the rest of the country, Austin took some hits during the Great Recession and saw a handful of properties foreclosed upon. But due to minimal new development, the market was able to maintain …
Everything is bigger in Texas, including commercial real estate. Since 2017, Texas has surpassed every other state in commercial real estate development and carved out an industry that makes up nearly $60 billion of the state’s economy and supports almost 380,000 jobs. One of the contributing factors to this expansion is the recent increase in population, with more and more professionals moving to Texas for work. The Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) metroplex is currently outpacing the rest of the U.S. as the fastest-growing metro area. Overall, seven of the nation’s most rapidly growing cities are in Texas, including Midland, Pearland, McKinney and College Station Moreover, multiple major corporations are planning to relocate their headquarters from California to Texas. The 33 percent downturn in commercial construction in Dallas will turn around, and cities like Austin and Houston will also see greater — or at least sustained — commercial development, which will translate to heightened demand for commercial real estate. Where To Start? Given the positive industry projections and Texas’ business-friendly atmosphere, this may be a good time to step out and start a commercial real estate business. We recommend following these steps to set yourself up for success: Get Licensed Before you …