Texas Market Reports

If you had to sum up the El Paso multifamily market — and to some degree the entire city — in word, it would be “steady.” Though El Paso’s location ensures that impacts of political policies with Mexico can cause immediate disruption in the economy, our commercial real estate markets remain insulated from this activity. Even so, as the city’s jobs and population have grown in tandem with the national economic expansion, El Paso has not yet experienced a true building boom of Class A multifamily product. The city is seeing its renter base become more gentrified, particularly on the west side. In addition, developers in El Paso face the same rising construction costs as builders in other markets. The citywide vacancy rate, which currently stands at about 8 percent, is slowly declining while average asking rents are creeping up. These economic and demographic trends suggest the ceiling for new development of Class A multifamily product in El Paso is quite high. Absorption of new units has remained consistent during this cycle, but as things currently stand, there are only a couple hundred units under construction. Retail Influence Retail frequently follows rooftops, but in El Paso, the two seem to …

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Park-35-Buda

Even before the city’s population growth began exploding and its reputation as a tech hub became entrenched, Austin was always a true last-mile market for industrial users.  Now that e-commerce has morphed into a worldwide phenomenon with real staying power, Austin looks like one of the next ideal locations for institutional industrial developers to make their marks with larger projects.  However, the market does present a handful of challenges, including an intricate entitlement process, expensive land and a slightly higher cost of construction as compared to Texas’ other major markets. These barriers to entry have helped characterize the Austin industrial market we see today, with local developers leading the way. The Austin Market Today From both a developer’s and a broker’s perspective, the biggest advantage of being in a high-barrier-to-entry market, aside from less competition, is that the likelihood of becoming overbuilt is minimized.  We saw this in 2008 and 2009, when the recession forced industrial users to cut operating costs and landlords to lower rents. Like the rest of the country, Austin took some hits during the Great Recession and saw a handful of properties foreclosed upon. But due to minimal new development, the market was able to maintain …

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Everything is bigger in Texas, including commercial real estate. Since 2017, Texas has surpassed every other state in commercial real estate development and carved out an industry that makes up nearly $60 billion of the state’s economy and supports almost 380,000 jobs. One of the contributing factors to this expansion is the recent increase in population, with more and more professionals moving to Texas for work. The Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) metroplex is currently outpacing the rest of the U.S. as the fastest-growing metro area. Overall, seven of the nation’s most rapidly growing cities are in Texas, including Midland, Pearland, McKinney and College Station Moreover, multiple major corporations are planning to relocate their headquarters from California to Texas. The 33 percent downturn in commercial construction in Dallas will turn around, and cities like Austin and Houston will also see greater — or at least sustained — commercial development, which will translate to heightened demand for commercial real estate. Where To Start? Given the positive industry projections and Texas’ business-friendly atmosphere, this may be a good time to step out and start a commercial real estate business. We recommend following these steps to set yourself up for success: Get Licensed Before you …

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Preserve-at-Wells-Branch-Austin

As demand for housing increases with Austin’s growing population, all eyes are on the multifamily housing market. But with rents rising as well, pressure on the already-sparse affordable housing stock is more intense than ever.  Traditionally, affordable housing has served as a resource for low-income residents, those who earn at or below 60 percent of the area median income (AMI). Providing affordable housing has become a major priority for Austin’s city council and developers during this cycle. But a growing concern involves the segment of the population caught in the middle: those who may not qualify to live in traditional affordable housing properties, but for whom market-rate apartment prices are getting uncomfortably high.  The solution? Workforce housing.  Rapid Residential Growth Average rent is increasing faster in Austin than in any other major metropolitan city in Texas. This activity is pushing workers out of housing they could afford in areas that are convenient for them and forcing many into long commutes from unfamiliar neighborhoods.  According to industry data, in 2018, rents in Austin rose by 4.4 percent, in contrast to 3.8 percent in Fort Worth, 3.5 percent in San Antonio and 2.7 percent in Dallas. And the squeeze on lower-income residents …

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Grand-National-Business-Park-Houston

The combined forces of population growth, increased online shopping and demand for last-mile fulfillment centers are driving development of and investment in industrial assets in major markets. Natural population growth translates to more aggregate demand and consumption of goods and services. The rise of e-commerce has guaranteed that a growing percentage of those products will be ordered online and delivered to end users within a few days, hence the need for more fulfillment and distribution facilities near major population centers. The metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) of Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) and Houston  are home to a combined 13 million or so people and counting. Both MSAs have seen major upticks in industrial development over the last several years while also posting record absorption numbers. And despite some vast differences between the industries and users driving demand in DFW and Houston, both markets reflect how sweeping changes in consumer behavior have elevated the fundamentals of their industrial real estate inventories. Regardless how different their economies are,  demand for space in both markets should remain robust in 2019. By The Numbers According to CoStar Group, DFW posted positive net absorption of approximately 20 million square feet in 2018, a year in which inventory …

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Wolf-Crossing-Georgetown-Texas

Austin’s retail and restaurant market is rapidly becoming one of the hippest and most dynamic scenes in the country, as new concepts are flocking to the state capital in lockstep with its remarkable job and population growth. The push by both new and established retailers and restaurants to grab a piece of the Austin pie has driven the city’s retail occupancy rate to roughly 93 percent. Annual rent growth has exceeded 10 percent at Class A properties in submarkets such as the Central Business District (CBD) and East Austin. But while demand for retail and restaurant space in Austin’s urban core is at an all-time high, so too are rates of turnover among these users.  A Gentrified Market The driving factors behind these trends are fairly straightforward. Buoyed by the still-surging job growth in the tech industry, the median age of Austin’s population is getting lower, currently sitting at about 34 years. Many of these residents have high-paying jobs, are new to the city and are eager to take advantage of its thriving food, beverage and entertainment options.  The gentrification of some of Austin’s historic neighborhoods is well underway and expected to continue in the near future as tech giants …

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Realm-at-Castle-Hills-Lewisville

Mixed-use properties come in all shapes, sizes and locations, but developers say the most effective projects are those that transform multi-use real estate developments into unique destinations with vibrant social scenes. In Texas’ biggest markets, robust job and population growth have bolstered demand for more apartments and hotels, as well as office, retail and restaurant space. But it takes a developer that understands human psychology and social behaviors to successfully combine three or more of these uses into a final product that receives equal levels of demand for each use. To that end, the “live, work, play” notion has become a catchphrase that to some extent figures into the branding and marketing campaigns of virtually every mixed-use project that comes out of the ground. However, the developments that become real hubs for social gathering, new experiences and the general passing of time are those in which uses complement one another, and in which the site supports all uses evenly. “The concept behind ‘mixed-use’ — a smaller environment where uses aren’t as clearly separated and people conduct their home, work and entertainment lives in the same place — really defines how people live in many other parts of the world,” says …

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The-Arnold_Austin

The Austin apartment market is currently experiencing significant growth. Increasing demand is driving more intensive development and developers are addressing tenants’ desire for a better experience.  The result is the development of communities that capitalize on space to the fullest extent. Architects are providing extremely detailed designs of common area “living experiences” before properties are constructed. Examples of such designs include the final positioning of equipment in fitness centers, pool/cabana layouts, rooftop lounges and Zen gardens that are thoughtfully and efficiently planned to maximize the effect while being cost-conscious. The importance of garage layouts and identifying necessary parking needed has increased as we become more dependent on ride-sharing services like Uber and Lyft, as well as Lime and Bird scooters to move around the city. Job, Population Growth The key to the success of new developments and long-term investments is the ongoing population and job growth, future projections of which remain extremely positive. Austin enjoys a prime age (25 to 34) rental percentage that reportedly exceeds 30 percent, approximately 44 percent higher than the national average of 20.9 percent. Additionally, we must take into consideration locals opting to move from single-family homes to rental communities in favor of more services …

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River-South-Austin

In 1987, Austin was a relatively quiet market where the major industries were higher education and state government, along with some large technology companies like IBM. Fast forward to 2019 where Austin continues to make national headlines, receiving high accolades as a top place to live and a leading city for millennial growth.  This transformation — coupled with an increasing number of companies choosing to move or expand in Austin — begs the question: Why Austin? How did the Texas capital go from a fairly sleepy town to one of the hottest markets in the country? What really accounts for this seismic shift and what does the future hold? The Office Boom Begins  In 2004, after the dot-com bust hit Austin, a group of private business leaders felt compelled to take the destiny of the city into their own hands with the creation of Opportunity Austin within the Greater Austin Chamber of Commerce.  Opportunity Austin was launched with the goal of creating 72,000 regional jobs and increasing regional payrolls by $2.9 billion within five years. To do this, the regional business community invested $14.4 million in the program. These funds allowed the Austin Chamber to increase initiatives for corporate recruitment …

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Shops-at-Clearfork-Fort-Worth

2018 was a year of redevelopment, adjustment and correction for the Fort Worth retail market. Some real estate professionals believe this activity was the result of the collective, pent-up demand among quality retailers for a store presence in Fort Worth. Some believed they that could duplicate the atmosphere created by The Domain, a 1.2 million-square-foot mixed-use destination in Austin that has achieved tremendous success. The previous three years saw more than 2.5 million square feet of new retail space delivered in Fort Worth, a figure that exceeds the combined total for the previous 10 years. For example, in September 2017 Simon Property Group, in partnership with Cassco Development Co., opened The Shops at Clearfork, a 500,000-square-foot, open-air luxury shopping, dining, entertainment and mixed-use destination situated in the heart of Fort Worth. The Shops at Clearfork also includes office space. Other retail projects that contributed to new supply included WestBend, Waterside, Left Bank and Presidio. This new development caused a spike in vacancy to 8.7 percent by the end of the year as landlords were all looking to stabilize their assets from the same tenant pool. At the same time, retailers, restaurants, service firms and experiential companies were cautious and calculated …

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