Texas Market Reports

In the world of multifamily development, it’s rare to find a market that quite literally checks every box. But in Dallas-Fort Worth’s (DFW) Far Northeast submarket, which encompasses Plano, Frisco, Allen and McKinney, that’s precisely the case. In terms of fundamental demand drivers, Collin County is growing by about 80 new residents per day, one of the fastest rates in the country. The county’s population is expected to increase by nearly 800,000 over the next two decades, and to add more than 300,000 new jobs during that stretch as well. The region also epitomizes the corporate relocations for which DFW has become renowned. The arrivals of Toyota North America, JPMorgan Chase, Liberty Mutual and FedEx have already brought thousands of high-paying jobs to the Far Northeast submarket. Just as important, these companies have established precedents for medium-sized companies to follow suit and keep the job growth train rolling. The impacts of those demand drivers on multifamily growth in the region has been tremendous. But there’s more to the story of this area’s multifamily explosion than the increase in jobs and population. Lesser-Known Factors While corporate relocations have brought swaths of millennials to the area — in Frisco, that group comprises …

Despite being located 80 miles apart, the Austin and San Antonio metros might as well be on different planets when comparing growth and multifamily operations during the current business cycle. While both multifamily markets have been in growth mode since the Great Recession, Austin has outpaced San Antonio with a rapid rate of expansion during this time. Austin’s job growth has risen steadily at an average annual pace near 4 percent since 2010. In addition, strong migration to the metro has contributed to the 20,000-plus households that have been created annually during this span. In comparison, San Antonio’s total employment has risen by an average of 2.7 percent annually for the past eight years, though the rate has dipped below 2 percent over the past four quarters. The pace of migration remains healthy, but the rate of household formation has been slower in the Alamo City. These differences in job growth, migration and household formation have impacted each metro’s apartment market differently. Development Disparities Developers have targeted Austin over the past few years, and the market has received significant supply additions. The metro has consistently ranked in the top 10 markets across the country for new deliveries over the past …

Capital sources of all types see opportunity in the apartment sectors of core Texas markets, which regularly lead the nation in employment and population gains. With so many investors trying to park money in this space, sales prices have risen, cap rates for multifamily properties in major markets have compressed and lenders are competing among themselves to finance acquisitions. When lenders compete, borrowers win. For multifamily lending in sizable markets, value-add borrowers are seeing tighter spreads on their loans, a factor of both more lenders entering the space and the Federal Reserve’s decision to raise short-term interest rates. But rising land and construction costs have also contributed to skyrocketing prices on newly built multifamily product, which has weeded out some potential investors. Rather than shun the market entirely, however, many of these buyers are targeting Class B and C assets for value-add plays that will attract residents who can afford higher rents. In Texas, these kinds of deals are being executed at record paces. “The transaction velocity for value-add multifamily deals has been at historical highs in this cycle,” says Warren Hitchcock, senior vice president in NorthMarq Capital’s Houston office. “The significant amount of capital flowing into the space, combined …