Texas Market Reports

Southwest-University-Park-El-Paso

Compared to the four major MSAs in Texas, El Paso has often been overlooked by national and regional retailers. But times change, and interest in retail real estate in West Texas is at an all-time high. Major retailers that have taken space in El Paso are experiencing steady sales growth and expanding their footprints. Over the last couple years, we’ve seen new leases for major retailers, including At Home Furniture — which leased more than 100,000 square feet at its newest location — Ross Dress For Less, Tuesday Morning, Marshall’s and Sprouts Farmers Market, to name a few. Like the rest of Texas, El Paso’s economy is growing and strengthening. The city has posted a 3.7 percent unemployment rate to start the year, which is lower than the state (3.9 percent) and national (4.1 percent) averages. The city’s population continues to grow, driven by downtown office development, greater military spending (El Paso’s resident military base, Fort Bliss, houses tens of thousands of active duty and reservist military personnel, their families and civilian workers) and a reduction in crime in Ciudad Juarez, the sister city located just across the border. These forces have  combined to imbue El Paso with a unique, …

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1430-Henry-Brennan-Drive-El-Paso

Trade and politics are nothing new for El Paso, Texas and its sister city Ciudad (Cd.) Juarez, Mexico. The history of the region is rooted in the interrelationship between two countries, three states and a trading route that originally ran from Mexico City to Santa Fe along the Camino Real. Today, international trade and political fights from elsewhere still have a considerable influence on what locals are talking about. But the regional industrial market continues to thrive by staying well below the radar. Despite concerns of imminent steel tariffs, restructuring of North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and the construction of an expanded border wall, the regional industrial economy keeps humming along, bringing the real estate market along with it. For industrial real estate tenants, the lure of a globally competitive workforce in Cd. Juarez and a link to the U.S. transportation infrastructure in El Paso makes this region a beacon for industrial users across the world. Triangle of Trade Take a two-hour drive along the loop highway circling El Paso, Cd. Juarez and Santa Teresa, New Mexico, and you will find an eye-opening list of international companies with industrial footprints. Foxconn from Taiwan, Polygroup from China, Bosch from Germany …

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8FOUR8-Mitchell-Arlington-Texas

The National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) reports that about 20.4 million students attended American colleges and universities in 2017. That figure represents an increase of 5.1 million students from 2000 and is expected to exceed 22 million by 2023. As this enrollment growth carries forward, developers of student housing properties have been holding steady volumes of new product on their books. According to CoStar Group, developers have added about 22,000 new units each year since 2010. During that stretch, vacancy for all unit types has not risen above 10 percent and rents have maintained positive growth rates, save for the 12-month period from mid-2013 to mid-2014. Asking rents for studio and one-bedroom units have appreciated the most during this cycle. This suggests that more graduate students, who are more likely to live alone, are clamoring for student housing residences. Larger schools often have limited enrollment, forcing graduate students to consider smaller institutions. As such, secondary markets are gradually beginning to see heavier waves of student housing development. In Texas, this trend appears to still be in its infancy.  As for the state’s biggest markets, the University of Texas at Austin is located within a very tight development grid. Lubbock …

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Port-of-Beaumont

Seaports are often considered the economic engines of the markets they occupy. So when a port is increasing its business and handling more product, that growth is usually accompanied by a spike in industrial development in the surrounding metro areas. Such is the case in Texas, a state where port activity encompasses more than 1.5 million jobs and $360 billion in economic impact, according to the Texas Ports Association. The organization also states that the value of product passing through Texas ports currently represents approximately 25 percent of the gross domestic product (GDP) of Texas and 6.4 percent of GDP for the United States. Overall volumes of maritime commerce are also on the rise following the completion of the Panama Canal expansion, a $5.4 billion project that wrapped in 2016. Ships and their cargoes are getting larger while the logistics of distribution are calling for faster delivery. Times are changing, and Texas ports are changing with them. The passing of the Water Resources and Development Act in 2016 has cleared the way for major improvements and expansion projects to occur on America’s rivers and harbors. And while industrial development is on the rise at and around the Ports of Beaumont, …

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As the retail sector continues to adapt and evolve to meet consumer demand for e-commerce and next-day or same-day delivery, industrial real estate will hold its place in 2018 as the top-ranked property sector. The property type has held this title for the past four years, according to the annual Emerging Trends in Real Estate study, conducted by PwC and the Urban Land Institute. The growth of e-commerce has been so rapid that the demand for industrial warehouse space has far outpaced supply in most markets for years. However, Emerging Trends also indicates that supply and demand began to come into balance in 2017 and will continue to do so in 2018. That balance gives users the opportunity to pay for industrial spaces that better suits their needs, as new buildings with increased technology and other amenities are popping up in prime areas. The growth of e-commerce has also created new demand for properties that were previously considered Class B and C industrial buildings, particularly those located along the “last mile” to consumers in urban areas. Basic Stats & Trends Current demand for industrial real estate in San Antonio is highly diverse. According to the latest report from REOC San …

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There’s no question that the San Antonio multifamily market has had the reputation of being the steady tortoise in a race against the more nimble Texas hares of Houston, Dallas and Austin.  We all know how the fable ends — the hare, confident of an easy win, takes a nap while the tortoise secures victory. Could 2018 be the year that our “slow and steady” hero finds its place at the top of the Texas market performance? As it stands, the Alamo City is enjoying an apartment occupancy rate of 92.1 percent, which is flat on a year-over-year basis. But given the amount of new supply that entered the market in 2017 — a cycle-high 7,230 units — that’s a remarkable number. We ended 2017 with an average rent of $1.14 per square foot, which is flat compared to third-quarter figures, but that number still represents 3.64 percent growth from the $1.10 average from the fourth quarter of 2016. So what does it mean for the market’s immediate future? The San Antonio construction pipeline continues to be a focal point and as things progressed, there have been some surprises. While 2017 marked the cyclical peak for deliveries, and there has …

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San Antonio is a testament to the old proverb that slow and steady wins the race. Instead of becoming overheated in response to the benefits of strong employment and population growth, the metro’s retail market continues to take a measured approach to growth. That approach has enabled an exceptional occupancy rate for its brick-and-mortar retail inventory. Development vs. Occupancy Measured, demand-based construction is one of the key reasons that San Antonio’s current retail market enjoys a near-record balance of supply and demand. Currently, the market’s overall occupancy is a healthy 94 percent. We expect this rate to be maintained as retail demand continues during a time of very limited construction of new retail product. The market’s limited retail construction of only 360,000 square feet this past year was dominated by H-E-B, which opened two new stores in 2017. The locations came on line either freestanding or with limited peripheral small-shop space, further tightening the market for available space. To illustrate exactly how low new construction is, we compared the current market to a decade ago, when the economy was in a similar cycle. The market’s occupancy at year-end 2007 was 91.2 percent, healthy but notably below the current 94 percent …

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Would you believe that San Antonio is the second most sought-after city for millennials? According to local media pundits and reports from Forbes, San Antonio is attracting the greatest number of millennials of any city in Texas, even beating out Austin, the original yuppie capital of the state. San Antonio, which had taken a back seat to Austin in terms of creating tech jobs and drawing millennial workers, has surged ahead in recent years. The metro has begun to appeal to a different breed of people born between 1980 and 1999. We refer to  members of this group as the “logical millennials.” While entrepreneurial in spirit, the San Antonio millennial differs from the standard millennial through his or her understanding of the need for affordable housing and a lower cost of living. The influx of this sub-type of millennials has created growth in urban areas, most notably the Pearl District, which is situated adjacent to the downtown area. The popularity of this mixed-use shopping and community destination has spurred the development of a number of new urban lifestyle projects. Frost Tower, Rising Rents Another indicator of San Antonio’s success at attracting a younger demographic is embodied in the most significant …

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Among professionals in the major sectors of commercial real estate, retailers are often the first to spot, understand and respond to emerging trends in human behavior. Those trends have shifted dramatically the past few years, and retail real estate in Austin has certainly felt the ripple effects, from downtown to the suburbs and across the emerging “nodes” in between. For some time now, American consumers in general have been clearly indicating their preference for more “experiential” ways to shop or receive services. That said, smart developers know that the experience begins well before shoppers enter a retailer’s doors. And understanding how to best cater to emerging demands helps breed success, not only for tenants, but also for the project as a whole. The following three trends represent key ways in which consumer demand is driving change in Austin’s retail landscape and illustrate how the market is responding. Seamless Integration Consumers want retail options located within close proximity to where they work and live — all the better if the property housing these needs can be one and the same. Just as Austin has grown regionally, so has demand for retail space, giving rise to mixed-use projects throughout the city. In …

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The story of industrial real estate today, at least in terms of national media coverage, centers around compressing cap rates and the steady stream of capital flowing into the sector. But in Austin — the kid brother of two major industrial markets, Dallas and Houston — the story over the past 12 months has been the large increase in the volume of industrial construction. Austin delivered 3.1 million square feet of industrial product in 2017, a 55 percent increase over the total space delivered during the previous year. Throughout the past year, the metro also trailed the national average in industrial vacancy, net absorption and percent change in rental rates from 2016 to 2017. Many developers that broke ground during one of the healthiest periods in Austin’s industrial history are now delivering space at a time when the Austin economy is starting to cool. Employers have found themselves in a more competitive environment, with annual job growth slowing to sub-3 percent levels and the unemployment rate reaching numbers not seen since the dot-com boom. Market Evolution Austin’s recent industrial performance should not be seen as cause for alarm, but rather as an opportunity to understand the changing mindset of the …

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