Texas Market Reports

San Antonio remains a strong growth market. While not receiving as much national attention as its sister metro areas of Dallas/Fort Worth, Austin and Houston, the San Antonio area gained over 25,000 new jobs last year. The growth is concentrated in tourism, conferences, military and business support services. San Antonio’s growth is expected to remain strong over the next two years and should continue to drive demand for housing throughout the metro area. Local unemployment remains low at 3.8 percent, almost two points below the national average of 5.6 percent. Unemployment is forecasted to remain well below 5 percent over the next five years, according to Moody’s Analytics. However, with per-capita income at $42,000, about 10 percent below the national average, and with lower paying service jobs, San Antonio remains an affordable market for most real estate — particularly residential, which consumes the most land. At Stratford Land we invest in and lend on land for development across the faster growing metropolitan areas in the Sunbelt from the Carolinas to Southern California. Therefore, we either have the opportunity, or burden, of staying abreast of the fundamentals driving demand in all product types — residential and commercial. In looking to invest, …

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In stark contrast to past years when motorists would fly through Waco on I-35 wondering if anything was happening in this town, the dramatic Twin Signature Bridges across the Brazos River now sit majestically with the backdrop of Baylor University’s brand-new, $325 million McLane Stadium. However, it has become abundantly clear that the stadium is not the only big thing happening in Waco. Anyone who has driven the stretch of I-35 that passes through Waco in the past 24 months has undoubtedly noticed quite a bit of new construction, demolition and site clearing for even more commercial construction. Leading the way is the dramatic increase of national restaurants and retailers that have made their presence known to everyone who used to drive right through, but who now stop, eat and shop in Waco. A primary catalyst of this rise in retail activity has been the release of property along I-35 formerly owned by the Waco Independent School District (ISD). “We witnessed a surge in demand for retail sites along the I-35 Corridor in 2013,” says Jim Peevey, CCIM, a local broker with Central Texas Commercial. “My partner, Andy Sheehy, and I represented Waco ISD in selling three surplus properties on …

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The commercial real estate market in the Tyler metropolitan area experienced one of its best years in 2014. Led by the retail sector, a number of new leases and sales brought a bevy of businesses to the market. The city of Tyler has a population of around 100,000, while the metro area contains 222,000. Tyler is the retail and medical center of northeast Texas, with a trade area population of 415,000. The city experienced  strong population growth of 15.8 percent from 2000 to 2010. The Tyler economy is fueled by the medical sector, which accounts for 20 percent of all employment. Trinity Mother Frances hospital employs 4,000; East Texas Medical Center accounts for over 3,200 jobs; and the University of Texas Health Center at Tyler has total employment of 865. Because of the outstanding medical facilities in the city, patients from a 14-county area come to Tyler for medical care. Another strong driver for the local economy is the existence of higher education opportunities. The University of Texas at Tyler continues its strong growth, boasting a total enrollment of more than 6,400, while Tyler Junior College serves 35,000 students. Both of these schools are expanding. UT Tyler’s engineering school has …

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Midland’s name was called four times at the Texas Downtown Association Presidents’ Awards luncheon during the organization’s 2014 Annual Conference in Granbury. Four finalists and two winners emerged from the six nominations submitted by the City of Midland Downtown Development Department. The two winners were the Midland Chamber of Commerce’s Star Spangled Salute, which tied with Bryan for Best Promotional Event for a population over 50,000, and Midland Tower for Best Restoration for a population over 50,000. The Downtown Midland Management District was a finalist in the category of Best Downtown Partner for outstanding contributions to preserve, revitalize and redevelop Texas downtowns. Basin Burger House was a finalist in the category of Best Renovation/Rehabilitation, recognized for excellence in the rehabilitation of the interior and/or exterior of an existing building. The developer for Basin Burger House recently broke ground on another retail development approximately 25 yards to the west. The number of future potential nominees for the Presidents’ Awards increases as the commitment to the revitalization of downtown Midland builds momentum. Fueling this resurgence is a combination of private and public interests. Several projects recently received favorable responses from the Downtown Midland Management District, the Midland Tax Increment Reinvestment Zone and …

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Heritage-Crossing

Austin is happening. The city was ranked No. 1 for small business growth by Forbes.com and No. 1 in Kiplinger Finance Magazine’s “10 Best Cities for the Next Decade.” Steady population growth has created demand for virtually all real estate product types in Austin. While the office market and vertical condo developments grab most of the headlines, the regional industrial real estate market has recovered significantly from the recession and is expanding in lock step with the overall economy. The Texas capital is now the 11th most populous city in the U.S. and the fourth largest in Texas. From a population of 132,459 in 1950, the city grew to 465,622 in 1990, 656,562 in 2000, 790,390 in 2010 and an estimated 865,504 today. More new industrial product was delivered in Austin last year, approximately 675,000 square feet, than any year since 2008. Another 550,000 square feet of industrial property is expected to deliver this year. In a market of 46 million square feet in total, these are robust years for industrial development. Net absorption for the year was 376,279 square feet, according to Xceligent. While positive, it was substantially less than the 887,544 square feet of net absorption in 2013.  …

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Austin continues to be one of the hottest multifamily markets in the country due to its exceptional economic and population growth. According to Angelou Economics, Austin gained 39,100 jobs in 2014, a growth rate of 4.5 percent. In the 12 months ending in November 2014, Austin experienced an unemployment rate of 3.9 percent, well below the national average of 5.6 percent, according to numbers published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Fueled largely by the city’s increased hiring in the tech sector, Austin had an in-migration of 66,000 people in 2014, a growth rate of 3.5 percent. The city attracts residents from all over the country due to the low cost of living, the University of Texas college atmosphere, the beautiful hill country setting, and internationally renowned events such as Austin City Limits, Formula 1 Grand Prix and ESPN’s Summer X-Games to name a few. Supported by technology, creative industry jobs and the seat of state government, the Austin MSA was recently ranked No. 2 on Forbes magazine’s list of “America’s Fastest Growing Metros,” down from the No. 1 position the city held for the previous four years. The U.S. Census Bureau estimates Austin will exceed 2 million residents …

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There is no denying that most, if not all, industrial markets across Texas were exposed to the economic effects of the “Great Recession.” McAllen and the Rio Grande Valley of Texas were no different. However, today Texas markets are again thriving with activity and occupancy above recession-contracted rates. Trends for McAllen—the seventh largest industrial market in Texas—are following suit. Economic The McAllen-Edinburg-Mission metropolitan statistical area (MSA) has evolved as a vital part of the dynamic Rio Grande Valley in south Texas. Once a rural and agricultural region, the area is now one of the fastest growing in Texas, fueled by accelerated population growth, economic development and a booming neighboring industrial market in north-central and northeastern Mexico. Data from the U.S. Census Bureau show that the McAllen MSA, also defined as Hidalgo County, has almost tripled in population since 1980, from 283,323 to 815,996 in 2013. Likewise, an overall Metro Business Cycle Index produced by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas places the McAllen MSA as the second most improved metropolitan area in Texas and first among the border markets, relative to its own base since 1980. The index, which summarizes the broad movements in nonagricultural employment, the unemployment rate, real …

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Everyone is buzzing about the significant amount of speculative construction all over Texas. For the first time since 2008, San Antonio’s office construction is picking up the pace with 928,395 square feet of speculative development underway. Local developers with conservative land positions are taking the lead on all of these developments as they respond to an increasing need for relevant office building options for corporate firms—something San Antonio has not had since 2009, when Concord Park II, Overlook at the Rim, Plaza Las Campanas and others were delivered. Both the Far North Central and Northwest submarkets have witnessed the bulk of recent absorption activity, offering newer, more efficient office options near the more modern residential subdivisions and retail developments. The Northwest submarket also accounts for one-third of San Antonio’s total rentable building area for office space. As of Q4 2014, the Northwest submarket absorbed 342,927 square feet, while the North Central submarket absorbed 312,856 square feet. Two great examples of success in these submarkets are WestRidge One at La Cantera (completed in Q4 2014) and Éilan Buildings I and II (completed in Q1 2011). These two projects are responsible for 253,976 square feet of absorption in the past two years …

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The Amarillo Economic Development Corp. (EDC) is celebrating its 25th anniversary this year and it’s amazing to compare the state of our local economy in 1989 to today. Back then, Amarillo’s unemployment rate was higher than the national average and consumer activity was in a state of decline. What job opportunities did exist in Amarillo in the late 1980s were in a limited number of industry sectors. We were in a state of economic inertia. I joined the Amarillo EDC twenty years ago and thus have been able to witness and participate in the transformation that has followed. Legislation allowing the establishment of a local economic development sales tax, enacted in Texas in 1989, was overwhelmingly adopted by Amarillo voters that fall. Early on, that economic development sales tax revenue stream brought us about $6 million per year. Next year we expect those revenues will approach $18 million. That statistic alone is testament to the extent Amarillo’s economy has grown in 25 years. As Texans, we’ve been fortunate to have the nation’s strongest economy for several years and Amarillo has definitely contributed, having engaged in projects with companies like Tyson, AIG, Blue Cross Blue Shield and Atmos Energy. One of …

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It’s safe to say that the recent drastic drop in oil prices is a hot topic everywhere, and it certainly dominates the discussion in Houston real estate. As we read market predictions of how long it will take for the price of oil to rebound and the impact it will have on the economy, we must try to predict on a micro level what the consequence will be to tenants and landlords. With the price of oil below $50 per barrel and still declining, it is understandable why the uncertainty of the market is causing many tenants to put their space requirements on hold or reconsider their occupancy plans altogether. Despite the Greater Houston Partnership’s projection for 63,000 new jobs to be added in Houston in 2015 and the countless construction cranes that can be seen all over the city, the daily announcements of layoffs, reduced capital expenditure plans and mergers leave considerable room for doubt and uncertainty about the market. Although the Houston economy is more diverse today than it was 30 years ago, a strong correlation between the price of oil and office rental rates remains. The Houston employment and real estate market will, however, benefit from its …

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