The Houston retail market experienced modest improvement in 2011 as the area economy began to shake off the effects of the national recession with strong local job growth and reasonably steady, if not particularly noteworthy, housing starts. Positive retail space absorption of 2.8 million square feet combined with only 1.2 million square feet of new construction resulted in a decline in the overall retail vacancy rate from 7.1 percent in the first quarter of 2011 to 6.7 percent at year-end. However, average quoted rental rates edged down slightly from $14.51 per square foot in the first quarter to $14.35 per square foot in the fourth quarter. Although the retail statistics for the past year aren’t terribly compelling on their own, they are more encouraging in the context of the regional economy in the sense that retail leasing and development activity generally lags the overall economy. The national recession hit Houston in full force in September 2008. The area lost 152,800 jobs through January 2010. In February 2010, Houston began to create new jobs again, and by October 2011, Houston had regained all the jobs lost during the recession. The Greater Houston Partnership projects that the Houston metro area will add …
Texas Market Reports
Austin’s industrial market tends to be a bell-weather for the local economy, as the market is more focused on local consumption rather than logistics for the transport of goods to other markets. As a result, employment and the overall health of the local economy are reflected in the demand and supply of warehouse, flex and general industrial product. Austin’s go-go economy of 2005 until 2008 saw a rapid absorption of product, as well as more than 2 million square feet of new developments that hit the market during that period. As the economy turned south in 2008, employment numbers and consumer confidence followed. The result was that new product delivered in 2008 and early 2009 took longer to lease. There were also casualties over this time period as projects such as Centerpoint at Colorado Crossing and Plaza 35 went into foreclosure. We are now seeing a return to normalcy, as absorption improved markedly with 477,518 square feet of industrial product absorbed in the third quarter. This is broken down into 183,577 square feet of warehouse/distribution product, 150,121 square feet of general industrial product and 143,820 square feet of R&D/flex space. This market sector has witnessed significant fluctuations in absorption during …
When we look back at the last couple of years in the Dallas/Fort Worth industrial real estate sector, it is absolutely certain that it’s been great to be a tenant. Landlords have been fighting for new deals and trying to keep the ones they have. But is next year going to be better or worse than this year? In the past year, there have been glimmers that the real estate market and the economy might be on the rebound. With a complete lack of any notable new speculative industrial construction in the past 3 years in DFW, we’ve all been working to fill up the existing vacant inventory. In the past 4 quarters, we’ve seen positive absorption of approximately 10 million square feet. We’ve moved the needle in DFW from 11.5 percent vacancy, to 10.5 percent in one year’s time. While that’s significant compared to where we’ve been, it’s approximately half of where we were in 2007 when we saw more than 20 million square feet of industrial absorption in 2007 in DFW alone. While it seems that the market is positioning itself for some sustained growth, the flex sector of the industrial market still seems to be flagging. Vacancy …
As the national market recession began in 2008, and started to settle in throughout the city of Houston around mid-year 2009, businesses focused on the implementation of efficiency, accomplishing more with fewer resources applied to the daily routine. In most business models, the most expensive resources are the current staff, followed closely by office space. In that most office leases are illiquid, downsizing of non-essential personnel is logically the most expedient way to an immediate impact on the bottom line during an economic downturn. However, this also results in an immediate surplus of office space per person or phantom vacancy; a pattern logically should trend downward during a recessionary cycle in the economy. According to CoStar data from the 3rd quarter 2011 webinar, the average square footage per worker has increased by almost 10% since 2008, and leveling off after 2009 without significant decrease. Certainly, the trend is quite the opposite of what we would expect today, arguably even in a stable economy as the trend is increasingly toward efficiency. However, such excess may not only be to the lack of the ability to dispose of such vacancy, but the intentional positioning where employers are seeking to recruit quality personnel …
The downtown San Antonio office sector is shining brightest when compared to the second quarter. Vacancy has declined from 29 percent to 24 percent and absorption is in the black. “The downtown San Antonio office market experienced a big win in the third quarter,” says Kim Gatley, senior VP and director of research for NAI REOC San Antonio. Some of the major transactions for the CBD include HVHC Inc. leasing 112,652 square feet and Argo Group US Inc. leasing 77,000 square feet at the IBC Centre I & II complex. Transactions like these have lead to 265,034 square feet of positive absorption this quarter. But it's at the expense of the suburban market, which is struggling with 99,504 square feet of negative absorption this quarter. Year-to-date, San Antonio's non-CBD properties have posted 62,580 square feet of negative absorption. Citywide, there is 165,530 square feet of positive absorption in the third quarter, but the year-to-date total sits at 129,871 square feet of negative net absorption. Vacancy, however, remained relatively stable at 19.9 percent. Rental rates citywide have risen 2.1 percent from last quarter to sit at $21.11 per square foot. Bright areas for San Antonio: • Domicilio Conocido purchased Pacific Plaza …
The Dallas-Fort Worth office market is currently in a recovery phase helped along by the limited supply of new speculative construction projects and an increasing demand for space. The region has experienced slow, steady employment growth across diverse industry segments, which translated to positive net absorption for 2011. Asking rental rates are beginning to bottom out and concessions have reached their peak. Regardless of the sense of uncertainty for businesses on a national level, local tenants are making longer term decisions to take advantage of the current leasing environment. From the tenant’s perspective, two recurring trends are to optimize space efficiency and to create a positive environment aimed at recruiting and retaining employees. The need to meet these goals has prompted a number of relocations within the market. Office spaces that provide a multitude of area amenities within walking distance are likely to be in higher demand in 2012. Other tenants are looking for more efficient office space configurations and consequently properties with higher parking ratios will be increasingly important as tenants occupy denser, more efficient spaces. Access to public transportation also continues to become more important for corporations making long-term decisions. In 2011, the market saw the return of …
While the San Antonio area has not been immune to the effects of the economic slowdown, the city’s location, business-friendly atmosphere, strong labor force and low cost of living continue to create a thriving environment for warehousing, logistics and manufacturing companies. One of those companies, Caterpillar Inc., recently completed the construction on the 260,000-square-foot first phase of its manufacturing facility in Schertz that will supply components to the company’s assembly plant in nearby Seguin. Also in Schertz, Sysco Corporation is close to completing a 635,000-square-foot distribution facility in an effort to consolidate and expand its operations in Central Texas. These and other new additions continue to make local headlines, but what really had the industrial market buzzing during most of the first half of 2011 was the activity generated by the Eagle Ford Shale oil and gas play. As with many south and central Texas markets, industrial activity in San Antonio’s MSA has been positively affected by the Eagle Ford Shale, a 24-county oil and gas play stretching from the Texas-Mexico border to well east of San Antonio. With its central location along the northern edge of the Eagle Ford Shale, San Antonio has attracted the attention of major energy …
The market for soft and hard goods remains somewhat weak due to uncertainty in the economy and labor market (although the Houston job market is generally stronger than the rest of the country). However, in the last several months, many big boxes that went dark due to bankruptcies and/or downsizing have been absorbed, either in the totality or because of the lack of 50,000-square-foot tenants in the market. Landlords have had to get creative and divide larger spaces to accommodate smaller tenants. Generally, the most active tenants in this arena have been health clubs, discount stores, dollar stores and non-traditional retailers. Landlords, eager to fill dark spaces, are making very aggressive deals (low base rents, extra tenant allowances, more free rent, etc.). On the other hand, fast casual (FC), quick-serve restaurants (QSRs) and casual dining remains robust. As such, many companies are aggressively seeking locations in Houston. It has been increasingly difficult to find locations that can accommodate FC, QSR’s (especially users with a drive-thru) and casual dining needs because quality locations have become scarce and parking requirements can’t be adequately met. Alternatively, fine dining has been spotty with good thru-puts but lower average checks. Many restaurateurs have been reluctant …
Industrial real estate activity is up in the El Paso/Juarez, Mexico metro area, indicating that the recession-driven slump, which had been intensified by reported violence on the border, has not deterred companies from making long-term commitments to the region. The increase in industrial leasing and sales, as well as improved employment statistics and increasing commercial truck crossing data are all positive signs for the future of the local industrial economy. The industrial market in El Paso and Juarez totals 115 million square feet split between two countries and is an intersection of international manufacturing firms, global supply chains and the local economy. During the past 3 years both the global recession and security situation in Mexico have reverberated across the industrial market. However, industrial leasing and sale activity is up on both sides of the border, with Juarez leading the way at 658,000 square feet of net absorption during the first 6 months of the year, and El Paso recording 264,000 square feet. However, El Paso was the first city to start the rebound in 2010 with almost 600,000 square feet of net industrial absorption in the second half of the year. Both markets have seen industrial vacancy levels recede …
Austin remains a popular destination for institutional and private multifamily investors. In the first half of 2010, there was a scarcity premium as buyer demand far exceeded the number of properties offered for sale. It was common to give 50-plus property tours and receive roughly 40 offers for a fully marketed Class A apartment community. The enormous amount of investment capital raised in 2008 and 2009 struggled to find a home in early 2010. As apartment fundamentals improved, interest rates decreased and cap rates compressed, more product came to market in the third quarter of 2010. Subsequently, the number of investor tours and offers has been cut in half. Offers today are coming from well-capitalized low leverage private investors, pension fund advisors, private funds and public REITs. Urban Class A cap rates have dropped from 6.5 percent in late 2009 to an average of 4.75 percent today. Suburban Class A cap rates are trading around 5.25 percent. The 1980s to 1990s vintage, B class product, is trading in a range from 5.75 to 6.75 percent based on quality and location. The highest conventional apartment sales prices have occurred in and around the Central Business District (CBD) where mid-rise Class A …