Texas Market Reports

While the national economy and commercial real estate in general look to have a tough year ahead of them, Houston and multifamily real estate have a little more room for comfort, although not enough for complacency. Houston is projected by some to have the strongest job growth in the United States for 2009, and multifamily is the only commercial property class to maintain some semblance of normalcy. Houston benefits from the diversity of its economy. Houston has also greatly benefited by one sector in particular, oil and gas, which saw its greatest rally in history just as the financial sector saw its darkest days. Houston continues to maintain an unemployment rate almost 3 percent below the national average and is ranked 18 of 392 U.S. MSAs by Moody’s Economy.com for employment growth between now and 2013. Unlike other commercial real estate (CRE) asset classes, multifamily has been more successful fighting off the financial crisis that shut down the CMBS market and essentially froze CRE transactions across the country. Steve Duplantis, senior managing director of CBRE in Houston, is only aware of one investment grade retail transaction and one investment grade office transaction in the past year. So far this year …

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The Dallas Fort Worth (D/FW) office market has gone through another successful quarter. First quarter 2009 ended with a positive net absorption of 1.2 million square feet and a vacancy rate of 16 percent. Fortunately, the first decline in D/FW job growth was not felt until January 2009. These two major trends have set D/FW up for the “last in first out” model of recovery. This is a much different trend than experienced during the last two major recessions, and this time D/FW is the right market to be in to ride out the recession. One of the major factors that has put D/FW in this positive light, as compared to the rest of the other major office markets across the country, is the preleasing of 241,500 square feet of the 965,387 square feet of new construction that came online in the first quarter. The D/FW office market as a whole has experienced positive net absorption for the last 6 years. The following are a few of the large deals that contributed to this. Torch Mark Corporation took 150,000 square feet at Stonebridge Ranch, AIG leased 138,010 square feet at South Tower, Texas Capital Bancshares. Inc signed on for 94,940 …

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In general, the economy has created an atmosphere of cautiousness as companies rethink expansions and settle for the status quo. Many companies, such as those engaged in the auto industry, are experiencing a reduction in orders and are reducing their production, inventory and workforce to adjust to this trend. On the bright side, Foxconn’s industrial park south of Santa Teresa, New Mexico, will provide thousands of new jobs to the region. Suppliers and logistic companies that service Foxconn will locate on both sides of the border, affecting Santa Teresa as well as west El Paso, as the companies compete for a piece of the pie. Fort Bliss has substantially benefited from the BRAC realignment (See “A Strong Pulse” on the cover). With additional brigades being located at Fort Bliss, the further development of the base infrastructure, housing and tactical facilities are in full swing. With the influx of the more than 60,000 people (which include military personnel and their families), the El Paso region will require additional city/county governmental services, educational facilities, off-base housing and vendors to accommodate this growth in the community. The benefit to the El Paso community will be affected exponentially. Overall, the market is not in …

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“Are we there yet?” seems to be the big question with the Dallas/Fort Worth office market. The most likely answer is no, there is still tough times ahead. The Dallas/Fort Worth (DFW) Metroplex refused to participate in the recession for most of 2007 and 2008, but the fourth quarter of 2008 started a down trend that has so far continued in the first quarter of 2009. Sales volume is down, rental rates are down and vacancies are up. National annual sales volumes for office properties peeked at nearly $208 billion in 2007 to be followed by a drop of 75 percent in 2008 according to Real Capital Analytics. Sales volume for office investments held up slightly better in the Dallas market decreasing only 65 percent in 2008 as the credit markets began tightening. The rental rates and vacancy percentages held up much better in the DFW Metroplex than did the national averages. According to CoStar DFW hit its high vacancy rate in mid 2003 around 18 percent. Since that time it has steadily dropped with 2007 and 2008 remaining fairly stable at slightly above 16 percent. In 2007 and 2008 the Metroplex added 11,278,582 square feet of new office space …

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Greater downtown Waco is experiencing a renaissance of growth offering an exciting front door to visitors and residents. This district comprises between 5 and 7 square miles of land right along Interstate 35 in Central Texas. The Brazos River flows through the downtown area, linking Baylor University, Interstate 35, Cameron Park and Cameron Park Zoo. The Downtown Business District encompasses approximately 350 acres, featuring an emerging Central Business District and an array of redevelopment opportunities. Currently, there are approximately 18,000 residents in greater Downtown Waco and 16,000 jobs all within 1.25 miles of the heart of Downtown. There is resurgence in office development in the downtown Waco market. In 2008, an unprecedented 100,000 square feet of Class A office space was added to downtown. A vast majority of the space has been leased. More projects are under development for owner-occupied refurbishment, new construction and speculative lease space. In addition to these office developments, there are several new projects gaining momentum in downtown Waco totaling more than $200 million in new public and private investment. Phase I of Waco Town Square, which is nearing completion, will add 17 acres of mixed-use residential and retail space. This includes the 46-unit Austin Avenue …

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Infill locations are highly desired in San Antonio’s multifamily market, as the last available tracts of land suitable for development are being picked off. Areas popular with developers are north central San Antonio, the South Texas Medical Center, and the area of the city just north of downtown, known as Alamo Heights/Fort Sam Houston. A recent trend is for multifamily developers to raze existing commercial buildings to make way for new projects, such as Chancellor Property’s site on Austin Highway, Regent Communities’ site across from the Pearl Brewery, or Bakke Development’s redevelopment of El Chaparral on Harry Wurzbach. With the high price of gas, renters have a stronger desire to live in close proximity to where they work and play. This is driving developers to create urban infill communities. The new development that will have the greatest impact on San Antonio is River North, the city’s initiative of an expansion of the River Walk just north of downtown. The city of San Antonio is creating a new urban lifestyle that will invigorate the urban core. The overall goal with this new development is to produce a downtown that is as attractive to locals as it is to tourists. The Stone …

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High construction costs and slow absorption have limited the amount of speculative office construction in most of El Paso, with the exception of medical developments near the new hospitals and surgical centers. The current trends are for highly efficient, high-profile buildings with plentiful parking and state-of-the-art amenities. Energy efficiency is also a high priority, but the cost of construction has delayed many plans to upgrade to better office space. The predominant areas of new development are concentrated on the peripheries of El Paso to the northeast, east and far west sides. The availability of large tracts of land and the immediate proximity to the highest population centers and employers are what is driving this development. On the east side, Sierra Providence Health Network is completing a new 110-bed, general acute-care hospital that opened at 3280 Joe Battle Boulevard at the beginning of June. A planned expansion will accommodate 290 beds. Adjacent to the hospital, Trammell Crow Company is developing a medical office building. The company is one of the newest and most aggressive office-specific developers to locate in El Paso. In the downtown market, Borderplex Community Trust is extremely aggressive and is active in acquiring downtown properties for redevelopment. Mills …

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What area is your expertise? Houston Industrial Leasing Market What trends do you see presently in industrial development in your area? Houston’s industrial market continued to record strong development activity at the start of 2008. The Port of Houston area, Northwest and North Houston (near IAH) account for the bulk of the new construction. Driving the robust activity in these submarkets is the strong growth and expansion at Houston’s Bush Intercontinental Airport (North Far) and the Port of Houston (Southeast). What type of industrial product is doing well in your area? Houston is becoming more of a distribution hub than ever before. We are seeing larger size transactions contributing to the overall absorption. Who are the active industrial developers in your area? First Industrial, ML Realty, Clay Development, Transwestern, ProLogis, and Duke Realty to name a few. Please name one or two significant industrial developments in your area. What impact will these projects have on the market? Interport Distribution Center – First Industrial Realty Trust – located in the Port area. Park 288 – Transwestern – Central / Med Center. Underwood Distribution Center – Clay Development – Port area. Where is the majority of development taking place? Why is this …

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What area is your expertise? My specialty is retail investment sales in Oklahoma. What trends do you see presently in retail development in your area? The Oklahoma City metropolitan area has experienced minimal local tenant turnover, but for the most part, leasing has stabilized. With the construction of new life style centers, mall tenants and even mall anchors are moving to the new open air developments. What type of retail product is doing well in your area? Recently developed shopping centers occupied with national tenants remain the front runner for solid retail investments and, as in most markets, well-located neighborhood centers continue to be successful. Free standing retail is still solid with very few vacancies; however, the verdict is still out as to what fallout the Metropolitan area will have from nationwide store closings. What retailers are new to your area? Conn s is the most recent retailer to the Oklahoma City area opening one store with three more planned. Who are the active retail developers in your area? Jackson Development, Sooner Investment Group, Blanton Property Co., Burk Collins & Co. and Larry Owsley. Please name one or two significant retail developments in your area. What impact will these projects …

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