By Chris McCluskey, vice president of development, VanTrust Real Estate; and Robert Folzenlogen, senior vice president of strategic development, Hillwood In the past decade, the popularity of “live-work-play” developments has skyrocketed, making the concept a somewhat overused cliché in the commercial real estate world. However, the reasoning behind the acclaim remains true — people love convenience and a sense of community. And “live-work-play” is the reason that cities like Frisco that are located outside dense urban cores have thrived. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, Frisco’s population has grown by 71 percent over the last decade, consistently ranking as one of the fastest-growing cities in the nation. But this growth did not happen overnight; rather, a combination of ideal location and elected leaders’ vision has driven much of Frisco’s success. By prioritizing all real estate classes — office, residential, retail — Frisco has been able to find the right balance between bustling urban amenities and the serene background of suburbia, making it one of the most competitive landscapes today and for the foreseeable future. A Balanced Approach Suburbs are no longer known for just their family appeal, although this feature still remains a high priority for many households. Young professionals …
Texas Market Reports
By Kyle Knight, senior vice president, Weitzman Houston Houston’s construction of new retail space, after reaching a record low in 2021, is on track to exceed that level, based on projects in the pipeline for this year. But the increase is not large, and total new deliveries will remain on the conservative side. The limited new space is driving demand to existing projects and helping lift marketwide occupancy levels. The limited deliveries of new retail space, combined with healthy retail demand and limited closings, is helping Houston’s retail market build on the occupancy gains it experienced during 2021. As a result, the retail market currently has a healthy occupancy rate of 96.1 percent. The market remains among the strongest in recent memory, although economic issues — rising interest rates, increased construction costs, inflation — may lead to a slowdown. On the positive side, retailer, developer and investor interest remains at extremely high levels, since retail real estate is a long-term game that factors in short-term concerns. The retail market also bolstered by robust demand for small-shop space, new construction that is either built-to-suit or significantly preleased, healthy job and population growth and an economy that benefits from rising energy prices. …
By Kyle Knight, senior vice president, Weitzman Houston Houston’s construction of new retail space, after reaching a record low in 2021, is on track to exceed that level, based on projects in the pipeline for this year. But the increase is not large, and total new deliveries will remain on the conservative side. The limited new space is driving demand to existing projects and helping lift occupancy levels marketwide. The limited deliveries of new retail space, combined with healthy retail demand and limited closings, is helping Houston’s retail market build on the occupancy gains it experienced during 2021. As a result, the retail market currently has a healthy occupancy rate of 96.1 percent. The market remains among the strongest in recent memory, although economic issues — rising interest rates, increased construction costs and inflation — may lead to a slowdown. On the positive side, tenant, developer and investor interest remains extremely high since retail real estate is a long-term game that factors in short-term concerns. The retail market also benefits from several positive influences, including robust demand for small-shop space, new construction that is either built-to-suit or significantly preleased, healthy job and population growth and an economy that is bolstered …
By Kent Elliott, principal, and Chase Fryhover, director, RETS Associates By now, we’re all familiar with the Great Resignation — workers’ mass exodus from their jobs during the pandemic. The phenomenon hit just about every office-using industry, including commercial real estate. In fact, our firm recently conducted a survey of 200 individuals in the industry on job sentiment, which revealed that more than 75 percent of respondents intend to or would consider leaving their current company this year. The trend has affected Texas in a very profound way. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, more Texans quit their jobs in September and October 2021 than did workers in any other state. So, what can commercial real estate companies — particularly in the Texas markets — do to maintain a productive and happy workforce and remain competitive in the field? Here are a few recommendations for companies looking to attract and retain talent in the current work environment based on our 20 years of experience as a national recruiting firm for the industry. Be Willing to Bend These days, flexibility is an essential quality at companies where people want to work. This largely began with the pandemic. The business community’s recognition …
By Taylor Williams First things first: By most objective metrics and standards, multifamily assets in major Texas markets still represent strong investment propositions relative to certain other commercial sectors, as well as to the stock market, the other long-term vehicle to which real estate investments are most commonly compared. But as we cross the midpoint of 2022, the U.S. economy finds itself awash in a unique combination of challenging and extreme circumstances. Mainstream news coverage increasingly includes the word “record” in reports on inflation, one-off interest rate hikes and movement in the 10-Year Treasury yield. The yield on two-year Treasury notes recently eclipsed that of the 10-year, creating the “inverted curve” that has historically been an indicator of an upcoming downturn. Rumblings of an imminent recession grow louder by the day. Fear is contagious, and some markets are already showing signs of hunkering down in anticipation of a downturn. The expectation of recession, let alone the materialization of it, impacts even the strongest of markets, including multifamily assets in Texas. Investors and brokers who specialize in the property type recognize that certain factors — net in-migration of hundreds of thousands of people per year, exceptional corporate relocation activity, and supply …
By Taylor Williams The factors and parameters by which commercial lenders and investors underwrite, value and price assets are changing at whirlwind speeds, creating a capital markets landscape that is defined by volatility as the second half of the year unfolds. Capital markets professionals — as well as regular consumers — seem to agree that interest-rate hikes are a necessary evil in warding off record-high inflation. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 8.6 percent year-over-year in May, the latest data available at the time of this writing. But a lack of clarity on the magnitude of these future rate hikes makes it increasingly difficult for commercial borrowers to accurately gauge risk in their deals and project cash flows at their properties. The Federal Reserve’s decision to raise the federal funds rate by 75 basis points at its latest June meeting illustrates the impulsiveness and hastiness with which fiscal policy is being crafted. Prior to the release of the May inflation report the previous week, investors had widely anticipated a 50-basis-point hike. Reports of an even more aggressive rate bump crystallized fears of inflation and sent the stock market into a spiral, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average shedding more than …
By John D. Hutchinson, vice chairman, global head of origination, Trez Capital The COVID-19 pandemic brought mass migration to the Sun Belt states, and by far, the most sought-after location of the pandemic migration boom was Texas. Multifamily investment demand remains strong due a higher quality of living, affordability and job growth. People are leaving high-tax, high-regulation states and moving to states like Texas with lower taxes and more favorable business climates. Austin, specifically, has outshone the top cities in the “Texas Triangle” with its large influx of both people and jobs. Austin’s exponential population growth, attractive cultural qualities and high-income jobs have created demand for and premium prices on real estate. Although the U.S. economy has seen changes in the last couple of months, such as inflation and interest rate hikes, the city still affords a great opportunity for multifamily investors. According to data from CoStar Group, Austin has doubled its construction starts over the past year and is expected to add 15,827 new units in 2022. In fact, there was a record 25 percent rent growth and strong occupancy at the end of 2021. A Growing Market In 2021, the Austin area’s net population growth was about 16 …
By Jake Snyder, director of preconstruction, Hoar Construction Thanks to its rich culture, technology-friendly atmosphere and eclectic music scene, Austin has blossomed over the past decade into a hotspot for businesses and residents alike that are seeking to ride the wave of the city’s phenomenal growth story. Just last year, the U.S. Census Bureau reported that Austin is the fastest-growing major metro area in the country, posting a 3 percent increase in population between 2020 and 2021. Pair that recent growth with a global pandemic, and you have an urgent need for increased healthcare development to accommodate the number of people moving into the city. However, as with most other facets of commercial real estate, construction took a proverbial uppercut blow from COVID-19. Project delays, price hikes and material shortages have made every aspect of the construction life cycle more difficult, but not impossible. According to Associated Builders and Contractors, nearly 650,000 additional workers are currently needed to meet the demand for labor on construction sites, while an estimated 1.2 million will leave their jobs this year to work in other industries. A recent report from labor market research firm JobsEQ also found that the Austin area could be short …
After seeing its population grow by 97,000 between July 2020 and 2021, the Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) metroplex is now home to nearly 8 million people, according to data from the U.S. Census Bureau. And it’s getting increasingly harder to adequately and affordably house the growing population. The problem isn’t new, just exacerbated, and it’s hardly unique to DFW. But when a market experiences the rate of population growth that the metroplex has over the last decade, the question of how much housing inventory exists that’s financially feasible for the average resident to rent or own gets thrust under the microscope. Of course, there’s a major difference between housing that’s affordable and affordable housing. The former is something of an arbitrary concept, whereas the latter carries a precise legal and regulatory definition. But the socioeconomic issue embodied within the two is largely the same. General Barriers A recent report from the National Low Income Housing Coalition ranked Texas — once heralded as the land of infinite land — as the sixth-worst state in terms of availability of rental housing for low-income households. This finding runs counter to Texas’ longstanding reputation as a state with an affordable cost of living, but …
By Marshall Mays, vice president, Colliers Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) is a hot market for commercial real estate right now, with people from across the country relocating to the area every day. The metroplex’s population is growing at an annual rate that rivals those of other top U.S. markets, including Austin, its neighbor to the south that is often considered to be a more glamorous city. With the increasing number of businesses relocating to Texas and more offices opening back up, the urban core of Fort Worth has become a particularly popular destination for industry growth in Texas. The Market Today The performance of Fort Worth’s office market has been particularly encouraging since the start of 2021. Overall, the city’s office vacancy rate currently stands at 13.3 percent, down from a pandemic-era high of 14 percent in the third quarter of 2020. This positive trend is aided by a quicker “return to office” in DFW. According to research from Kastle Systems, a security company that provides access control systems for office buildings around the globe, Texas as a whole has outpaced major cities and other states in terms of the speed and degree to which office occupancy rates have been recouped. …