Western Market Reports

As the Global Office Landscape Changes, Salt Lake City Responds with Resilience

by Jeff Shaw April 26, 2024

— By Nadia Letey, senior vice president, CBRE — The global office landscape has markedly changed post-pandemic. Now, amidst economic headwinds and the ongoing stabilization of return-to-office mandates, U.S. office markets like Salt Lake City are undergoing various shifts that are set to shape real estate dynamics in 2024. At the same time, Utah’s economy remains a highly desirable location to do business, in large part bolstered by an exceptionally strong talent pool. What’s Changing: Development Slowdown Poised to Ease Supply Demand Imbalances Salt Lake City saw a 42 percent year-over-year decrease in total office space under construction in fourth-quarter 2023, marking an all-time low. High interest rates, along with record-high vacancies, will continue to deter developers from breaking ground in the near term without significant pre-lease activity. This thinning construction pipeline will likely reduce supply side risks over the next several years as demand can be placed within second-generation space with elevated vacancy. Existing properties — especially in amenity-rich locations — will do well to attract tenants. The emphasis on creating a collaborative and inviting workspace will continue to be important to bring employees into the office. Projects that are moving from planned to under construction are hedging their risk by …

April 26, 2024

Industrial Market Reports Utah Western Western Market Reports

The Hidden Good News of Salt Lake City’s Industrial Market

by Jeff Shaw April 19, 2024

— By Jarrod Hunt, vice chair, Colliers — The Utah industrial market continues to perform very well given the reduction in the average deal size in 2023 (illustrated in the charts for both Utah and Salt Lake Counties below). The entrepreneurial spirit that continues to be the backbone of Utah’s economy is evident with the smaller lease sizes. This was a welcome opportunity for companies confined to limited options for growth over the past economic run-up. However, we have seen a notable increase in out-of-market tenant inquiries, with many in search of larger blocks of space in the New Year. We expect the pendulum to swing the other direction this year with an increase in the average square footage of completed deals, an overall increase in the number of deals and a reduction in the vacancy rates, which will put a solid floor on lease rates. The reduction in vacancy is most attributable to the stark reduction of construction deliveries in the two main county markets, Salt Lake and Utah counties (per the charts below). This dramatic reduction in speculative building activity is “on brand” for Utah, being a very disciplined market for new construction compared to several other high-growth …

April 19, 2024

Market Reports Nevada Office Western Western Market Reports

Office Vacancy in Reno Grows as Investment Activity Rebounds

by Jeff Shaw April 16, 2024

— By Jason Hallahan, associate, Colliers — Northern Nevada’s office market remained resilient throughout last year in the face of strong headwinds. Reno’s office market saw a blend of market fundamentals as net absorption declined, investment activity slowed and available sublease space shrunk. Negative net absorption in three out of four quarters brought the annual total to nearly 23,000 square feet of negative absorption — the lowest the market has seen since 2020. Vacancy ticked up 100 basis points year over year to 11 percent by the end of 2023, though it is well below the pandemic peak of 13.4 percent of mid-2020. Average direct asking rents also softened slightly this year, though tenant demand and asking rates both remain strong among Class A office product. A combination of growing vacancy, heightened interest rates and continued uncertainty in office space needs have curbed investor appetite this year. Demand for Reno office product fell sharply at the beginning of 2023 when first-quarter sales shrank to less than 20 percent of the average quarterly sale totals from the past three years. Buyers and sellers struggled to reach a middle ground as elevated vacancies weakened sale prices and increased borrowing costs discouraged investors. There …

April 16, 2024

Market Reports Multifamily Utah Western Western Market Reports

Salt Lake City Multifamily Sector Sees Growth in Recent Years

by Jeff Shaw April 12, 2024

— By Kip Paul, vice chair; Michael King, director; and JT Redd, senior associate, Cushman & Wakefield — The Salt Lake City multifamily market has experienced significant growth in recent years. This reflects the influx of new residents to the State of Utah, in addition to notable increases in average household income. Developers have responded to this growing demand by delivering an unprecedented amount of rental housing inventory to the market. Since 2020, new deliveries averaged 12 percent of Salt Lake’s inventory base each year. Despite increases in apartment supply, overall fundamentals remain strong. Last year’s vacancy rates remained below 4 percent for the 12th consecutive year, while rental rates surged from $1,182 to $1,654 between 2020 and 2023. Salt Lake City’s renowned access to the outdoors and high quality of life place the city in a league of its own, positioning it to continue to capture apartment demand for years to come. What Sets Salt Lake Apart The Salt Lake City multifamily market stands out due to several key features. First, it offers affordability. Rental rates remain below 30 percent of residents’ average income despite overall increases in apartment prices. Second, Salt Lake City provides unparalleled access to outdoor …

April 12, 2024

Market Reports Multifamily Nevada Western Western Market Reports

Reno’s Growth Bolsters the Multifamily Market

by Jeff Shaw April 9, 2024

— By Benjamin Galles, senior vice president, CBRE — The outlook for the Reno multifamily market in 2024 is similar to how the year panned out in 2023. There is significant interest in Reno from investors across asset types, earning us a ranking on Business Insider’s list of the top 15 hottest real estate markets for the next decade. Northern Nevada’s continued job growth has piqued investors’ interest in owning multifamily properties within the state. This growth will continue as existing companies expand their presence in the market, proving their commitment to the city and people of Northern Nevada. The current elevated construction costs and construction loan costs could pose a roadblock to developers meeting the anticipated demand in the next 12 to 24 months. That being said, there are currently 4,700 apartment units under construction in the market. This will likely be absorbed by people moving into Reno from outside the region. Unlike other markets we’ve seen across the country, very few loans in our region have maturities over the next 12 months. This means seller motivation in Reno remains low to moderate when it comes to offloading properties. The lack of debt events where owners will be pressed into a …

April 9, 2024

California Market Reports Multifamily Western Western Market Reports

Softened Rents, Tenant Dynamics Define Orange County’s Multifamily Market

by Jeff Shaw April 5, 2024

— By Pat Swanson, executive vice president, Colliers International — As Orange County enters 2024, its multifamily market stands at the brink of transformation, confronting challenges like softened rents, affordability dynamics and the resilience required in the face of tenant-related complexities. In the midst of a robust economy, the region grapples with obstacles and opportunities that will significantly shape the future of its real estate sector. Orange County’s economic vitality is evident, with a 5.2 percent growth in U.S. GDP and a thriving job market. However, the looming shadow of interest rate fluctuations and inflation above 3 percent has briefly slowed down real estate transactions. While rates are predicted to stabilize, the potential for modest reductions later in the year signals a period of nuanced economic growth and sustained higher rates. In 2024, Orange County’s multifamily housing market is set for change, departing from previous trends of rent increases. The region anticipates modest growth that will be influenced by factors like slower job growth, an influx of 510,000 new units and the mounting challenge of finding qualified tenants. Affordability takes center stage, with rent-to-income ratios reaching 29.8 percent. The widening affordability gap between owning a home and renting is further …

April 5, 2024

California Market Reports Retail Western Western Market Reports

Orange County Retail — Is the Juice Worth the Squeeze?

by Jeff Shaw April 3, 2024

— By John R. Read, senior vice president, CBRE Retail Investment Properties-West — Undoubtedly, 2023 proved to be a volatile year. It was marked by persistent inflationary pressures, four 25-basis-point interest rate hikes by the Fed and a surge in the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield (from the high 3 percent range in January to peak levels near 5 percent in October). These changes had a pronounced impact on retail real estate investors, businesses occupying retail centers and consumers who frequented these establishments. The real estate sector particularly grappled with the cost of financing in an environment of higher interest rates. While these challenges did temper Orange County’s retail market to some extent, it largely remained resilient due to its strong underlying fundamentals. These include a substantial population of high-income earners, flourishing industries like tourism and destination-oriented shopping centers, as well as a supply constrained retail property base with limited large-scale retail development. The unemployment rate in Orange County remained steady at 3.8 percent in December 2023, unchanged from November’s revised rate. This rate is notably higher than the year-ago estimate of 2.7 percent. In comparison, California’s unemployment rate stands at 5.1 percent rate, while the national rate during the same …

April 3, 2024

California Market Reports Western Western Market Reports

California’s South Coast Region Sees Burst of CRE Activity

by Jeff Shaw March 29, 2024

The South Coast Metro area — consisting of north Costa Mesa and south Santa Ana — has been a hotbed of activity lately. Toyo Tire Holdings of Americas (TTHA) leased 60,000 square feet in the Harbor Gateway Business Center in early January. The Gateway is situated at the northwest corner of Harbor Boulevard and Sunflower Avenue near freeways, major thoroughfares, apartment communities, shopping, dining and entertainment. In addition to that, the 2,500-acre, 3.5-square-mile Metro area is home to a Theater & Arts District that boasts performance venues like the Renée and Henry Segerstrom Concert Hall and the Tony Award-winning South Coast Repertory. It also has South Coast Plaza, a retail mecca that includes 280 boutiques and restaurants, with an additional 100 restaurants situated within about a one-mile radius of the shopping center. This activity has not only benefitted the nearby businesses, residents and visitors, but the South Coast Metro Alliance as well. The non-profit corporation of property owners and major businesses added three new corporate partners last year, including Related California, Travel Santa Ana and Breeze IT. Related California is the West Coast affiliate of Related Companies, a fully integrated real estate firm that develops multifamily residential and mixed-use properties …

March 29, 2024

California Market Reports Office Western Western Market Reports

Orange County’s Office Market Has a Shot at Optimism

by Jeff Shaw March 26, 2024

— By Mike Adams, managing director, office investor services, Stream Realty Partners — The Orange County office market, like many others, is undergoing significant shifts as tenants reassess their office space needs in the wake of the ongoing transition to hybrid work models. Despite persisting challenges, recent developments suggest certain market segments are showing signs of recovery. This, naturally, sparks optimism that the worst of the downturn could be behind us. A key indicator of this positive shift is the noteworthy net absorption of 231,744 square feet, marking the first positive trend since the second quarter of 2022. Orange County’s Airport area has emerged as a leader in this office recovery, witnessing move-ins totaling 204,376 square feet. While the overall market grapples with challenges, such as a slight increase in the unemployment rate and mixed performance in office-using sector jobs, there are pockets of improvement, especially in the Class A segment. This positive absorption has contributed to a 10-basis-point decline in the total vacancy rate quarter over quarter, dropping from 18.7 percent to 18.6 percent. However, when viewed year over year, the increase from 16.4 percent highlights the enduring impact of recent economic challenges. The current vacancy rate remains notably …

March 26, 2024

7000-Shoreline-Ct-South-San-Francisco-CA

California Life Sciences Market Reports Western Western Market Reports

San Francisco’s Life Sciences Market Shows Positive Momentum

by Jeff Shaw March 22, 2024

— By Alex Browne, life sciences research director, Transwestern Real Estate Service — The San Francisco Bay Area life sciences market has been resilient in the face of the economic headwinds of the past 18 months. Despite the mix of issues besetting other commercial real estate asset classes, life sciences assets have fared well, with quality science continuing to thrive. Any shifts within the life sciences sector have been among the landlords and tenants, as the change in deal influence has varied over the past 12 months. Starting in 2017, the bulk of the deal leverage was on the landlord’s side. This, in turn, sparked an appetite for new development looking to meet the increased demand. It wasn’t until 2022 that the tide began to turn, with tenants gaining more leverage in negotiating renewals or electing to search for more favorable, high-quality space. Even though the market’s activity tends to be overshadowed by industry headlines, deals are being done, and space is being delivered and absorbed — albeit at a slower pace. The Bay Area continues to be the second-largest life sciences hub in the nation, with healthy industry drivers that continue to fuel innovation. The region is home to …

March 22, 2024

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