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Western Market Reports

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CaliforniaMarket ReportsMultifamilyWesternWestern Market Reports

Orange County Multifamily Sector Hits a Rough Patch

by Jeff Shaw

— By Mark Bridge, Managing Director, Bridge Multifamily Team, Capital Markets, Americas, Cushman & Wakefield — Vacancy The vacancy rate is 4.0 percent as of the mid-point in the second quarter of 2024, up 30 basis points (bps) quarter-over-quarter (QOQ) and year-over-year (YOY). The rate has been increasing in eight out of the last 11 quarters from a market low of 2.1 percent in third quarter 2021. The rate is currently 40 bps above the five-year quarterly average of 3.6 percent. Despite this recent increase, Orange County’s vacancy rate is considerably lower than the national average at 7.7 percent. OC’s vacancy rate ranks it second lowest among the nation’s 50 largest markets. Rent The average asking rent per unit currently sits at $2,513 as of the mid-point in the second quarter of 2024. The market high asking rent per unit peaked in fourth 2023 at $2,530 and has come down 0.7 percent since then. Despite the recent decrease, the asking rent per unit is still up 0.9 percent YOY. Given the tightness of the market and a healthy development pipeline, it is likely that the asking rent will remain elevated. Construction/Deliveries There are currently 23 buildings or 8,183 units under …

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IdahoMarket ReportsRetailWesternWestern Market Reports

Boise MSA Retail Market Shows Strong Fundamentals

by Jeff Shaw

— By Holly Chetwood, Retail Specialist, TOK Commercial — The Boise MSA retail market had one of its strongest quarters on record with net absorption reaching 559,000 square feet at the end of March of this year. Multiple big-box spaces were backfilled in the first 90 days of the year including the former K-Mart and Gordmans spaces in Nampa as well as both Bed, Bath, and Beyond locations in Boise and Meridian. In addition, the highly anticipated Scheels opened its first Idaho store at Ten Mile and I-84 in Meridian. Along with a healthy level of net absorption, nearly 100 transactions were recorded, the highest number of deals seen in a quarter since 2021. The top five deals of the quarter were all over 25,000 square feet, however, leasing activity continues to be primarily driven by tenants in spaces below 2,000 square feet. These deals have accounted for 52 percent of transactions over the past 12 months.  As demand stayed high, vacancy continued to tighten throughout the first 3 months of the year. Total vacancy ended the quarter at 4.4 percent, its lowest level in nearly a year. The majority of submarkets are seeing vacancy remain between 2 to 4 percent. …

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Market ReportsMultifamilyWashingtonWesternWestern Market Reports

New Development Is Slow in Metro Seattle Multifamily Market

by Jeff Shaw

— By Candice Chevaillier, CCIM, Principal, Lee & Associates | Pacific Northwest Multifamily Team — Absorption still lags supply in the Seattle MSA contributing to higher vacancy and flat rents. In Q1 2024 3,000 units were delivered, yet only 2,800 were absorbed. Vacancy is stabilizing at 6.9 percent this quarter and then is expected to trend down starting in Q3, finally allowing meaningful growth in rents.  Construction costs remain high and options for financing limited, curtailing new development. This is creating demand for existing value-add acquisitions. 2024 and 2023 sale volume in the Seattle MSA is still a trickle of what it was in 2022 and 2021, shifting Cap Rates slowly upwards. This trend is expected to be short-lived. As interest rates finally begin to fall, and rents begin to rise, investors who catch this inflection point will prevail from best pricing and benefit while more conservative capital sits on the sidelines.

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CaliforniaMarket ReportsRetailWesternWestern Market Reports

Inland Empire Retail Market Remains Upbeat

by Jeff Shaw

— By Brad Umansky, President & Head Coach, Progressive Real Estate Partners — Occupancy and lease rates have continued to trend higher throughout Southern California’s Inland Empire retail market as a lack of new construction combined with strong retail demand has kept vacancies near record lows. Looking ahead, factors affecting the market are 99 Cent Only’s bankruptcy, the substantial slowdown in sales activity, and the minimum wage increase to $20/hour for fast food workers.   Occupancy & Lease Rates  Occupancy is currently reported at 94.3% by Costar, but removing spaces 10,000 SF or larger, results in occupancy of 97.2% which demonstrates the lack of available shop space. In my 30+ years of working in this market, I have never seen such a lack of options for shop tenants. As a result, when shop spaces become available owners are mostly commanding a higher lease rate than what the previous tenant was paying.  99 Cent Only Bankruptcy Dominates Recent Activity Since April, when 99 Cent Only declared bankruptcy and promptly decided to liquidate all 371 stores in the chain, industry participants have been analyzing these locations. As of June 2nd, it has been determined that Dollar Tree is acquiring 170 of the …

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LoansMarket ReportsWashingtonWesternWestern Market Reports

Seattle Capital Markets Environment Is Sluggish

by Jeff Shaw

— By Alex Muir, Senior Vice President, Lee & Associates | Seattle — As we near the halfway mark of 2024, capital markets activity in Seattle remains slow. The year has largely consisted of price discovery and waiting for interest rates to drop. With that said, the sales volume for office assets has nearly surpassed the 2023 total. Four transactions over $30 million have occurred year-to-date, all of which are larger than any deal last year. These sales are emblematic of the type of deals that are driving investment activity, with three being owner-user acquisitions — Alaska Airlines, Costco, Seattle Housing Authority — and the fourth involving a loan assumption. Distressed sales are occurring more frequently as well, with several buildings in downtown Seattle trading below $150/SF. While it has yet to materially impact vacancy, there are signs of life in the leasing market. Pokémon recently signed a lease for 16 floors in The Eight, an under-construction tower in the Bellevue CBD. This is the largest lease in the market in three years. Other tenants, such as ByteDance and Snowflake, have signed leases larger than 100,000 SF, as a new wave of tech companies grow in the market. With the …

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IndustrialMarket ReportsWashingtonWesternWestern Market Reports

Pacific Northwest Industrial Market Stays Stable

by Jeff Shaw

— By Vanessa Herzog, SIOR, CCIM, Principal, Lee & Associates | Seattle — Industrial markets in the Pacific NW are adjusting to new parameters but remaining steady. Vacancy rates are hovering around 7% in the 6-county region along the I-5 corridor (Arlington to Vancouver, WA). Leasing activity slowed in the first quarter but started picking up as we progress through the second quarter. New construction is active with permitted projects, but the regional project pipeline is diminishing, not due to demand, but due to high land price expectation, stabilized rental rates and continued high costs of new construction. We think this trend will continue well into 2025 leaving Developers and Land Sellers frustrated. Regionally, large land parcels are difficult to find or assemble, leaving Developers looking at infill assemblages, land use changes or full site redevelopment. IOS specialized properties are slowing in demand from Tenants. Finally, we are seeing the small owner user facilities for sale or lease, and the demand from this user group level off.  Here are some statistics: Total Inventory at 398M SF, Current Vacancy rate 7% (27.8M SF), Market Asking Rates $1.12/SF/Mo., Sublease Space 20% of total vacancy (5.6 M/SF): New Construction underway 9.9M SF. Demand …

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CaliforniaIndustrialMarket ReportsWesternWestern Market Reports

Project Development Pace Signifies a Bullish Future for Industrial in San Diego

by Jeff Shaw

— By Mark Lewkowitz, Executive Vice President, Colliers — The current interest rate environment has seemingly slowed the investment sales volume down, but strength remains with user sales. Over the last two years, users were more frequently being outbid for industrial properties (partially stabilized and vacant). Now, with the investment herd very thin, it has allowed users and buyers to take a crack at the opportunities. The users face the same hurdles where the cost of capital is not cheap, but it is more palatable when their business pays the mortgage or rent. I anticipate vacancies ticking up through Q4 2024, but beginning in Q1 2025, I feel confident we will see transaction frequency rise. In turn, the vacancy rate will lead to a softening of rental rates and increased concessions, but the fundamentals are strong for the industrial market, and it will turn on a dime in Q1 2025. Majestic Sunroad continues progressing significantly with the Landmark at Otay projects, delivering roughly 845,000 square feet by Q4 2024. Their projects are significant because they are among the first with 36’ clearance heights and trailer parking, something the market has not seen. Phelan Development has also introduced some incredibly functional 32’ warehouse …

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Market ReportsNevadaOfficeWesternWestern Market Reports

Southern Nevada’s Office Market Adapts to the New Normal

by Jeff Shaw

— By Travis Marc, vice president, and Landes Magliarditi, first vice president, CBRE — The post-pandemic world has reshaped office space needs, and Southern Nevada is no exception. Economic uncertainty and evolving return-to-work policies are driving a market transformation that will define 2024 activity. Fueled by flexible work schedules, the digital age has fundamentally transformed how office tenants work and remain efficient.  This shift in work styles is impacting the office market, and we are closely monitoring these trends to determine if pandemic-era changes will remain the future of office, or if new shifts arise to further define the future of office space.  Nevada’s Enduring Strengths, Challenges Nevada’s strong economy continues to attract businesses, with sports and entertainment options fueling the growth. Live-work-play office concepts attract high-quality tenants as they, in turn, look to recruit high-quality talent. This development philosophy in Southern Nevada aims to create vibrant communities with seamless transitions between work, life and leisure activities, resulting in record rental rates.  At the same time, rising interest rates and construction costs are slowing the overall development of new office. As a result, tenants have limited options to secure quality office space in newly constructed buildings.  Well-located, second-generation suburban office space …

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CaliforniaMarket ReportsRetailWesternWestern Market Reports

Going Local for Retail Success in Dana Point, California

by Jeff Shaw

— By Kelly Reenders — The California coastal city of Dana Point sought to redevelop its underutilized Town Center, with the goal being to create a pedestrian-friendly live-work-play neighborhood that encouraged further reinvestment and development.  Now called the Lantern District, the four-block downtown is anchored by Prado West, a three-building mixed-use complex with 109 apartments and nearly 30,000 square feet of ground-floor restaurants, shops and public outdoor space. Though the endeavor is now something the city and residents can be proud of, the project had its share of challenges. These included gaining community support for proposed changes, in addition to overcoming a leasing timeline that included a pandemic shutdown. Embracing the Local Community For Dana Point and Prado West’s developer, Raintree Partners, the solution was to embrace local entrepreneurs. Raintree recognized the value of encouraging other owners to reinvest in their properties early on as the downtown plan took shape.  This caught the attention of Max Fisher, owner of the Shwack Beach Grill, which sits across the street from Prado West. Soon enough, Fisher and his partners agreed to open HomeSlice, an Italian- and pizza-focused restaurant, in Prado West across from their existing grill. As local owners, the partners felt the …

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CaliforniaDevelopmentIndustrialMarket ReportsUtahWesternWestern Market Reports

Badiee’s Industrial Trifecta: San Diego, Sacramento, Salt Lake City

by Jeff Shaw

Badiee Development has logistics and industrial projects throughout the Western U.S., but its current focus is the region’s three S’s: San Diego, Sacramento, Calif., and Salt Lake City. “Badiee Development is prioritizing leasing at our existing projects in San Diego and Sacramento, and entitling future projects in San Diego, Sacramento and Salt Lake City,” says Ben Badiee, the firm’s founder and CEO. “Our company holds a ‘land bank’ with plans to develop more than 2 million square feet across four distinct projects in three markets.” San Diego Badiee’s headquarters is ripe with industrial ventures for the firm. These include the two-building, 242,969-square-foot Sanyo Logistics Center and the 38-acre Britannia Airway Logistics Center, both of which are being built near the Mexican border in Otay Mesa.  Britannia Airway has also been entitled for an interim use of industrial outdoor storage (IOS), allowing the project to accommodate about 1,000 trucks and trailers.  “Being in our ‘backyard,’ Otay Mesa has proven to be a highly successful market for the firm,” Badiee says. “It is at the forefront of the onshoring/nearshoring trend for the U.S. and Mexico, and land availabilities are scarce.” Sacramento Land scarcity has also been a driver for Badiee in Sacramento …

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