Western Market Reports

Many Retailers See Boise as the Next Expansion Hotspot

by Jeff Shaw September 8, 2023

— By Andrea Nilson, Executive Director of Retail and Capital Markets, Cushman & Wakefield — National attention has been focused on the business growth, expansion and innovation in the Mountain West region in recent years — and Boise continues to be the region’s bright spot. Recognized as one of the best places to live and work due to its educated population and outdoor lifestyle, the area remains at to top of retailers’ site selection lists. Boise has also become a city of choice for restaurants, which has pushed the market to a new level of maturity and refinement. A strong blend of national chains, as well as regional and local restauranteurs, are anchoring several of the large, high-density apartment developments downtown, making this core truly unique and vibrant. The retail market remains on an upward trajectory based on key indicators. Low levels of speculative construction and strong demand will likely contribute to lower vacancy and higher rents for the remainder of 2023. Demand has outpaced supply by 30 percent over the previous 15 months. Boise was ranked No. 3 in annual population growth nationwide at 2.2 percent. It is projected to increase further, while its economy expanded at a rate of 3.4 …

September 8, 2023

Idaho Industrial Market Reports Western Western Market Reports

Healthy Leasing Activity Keeps Massive Industrial Projects on the Rise

by Jeff Shaw September 6, 2023

— By Dan Minnaert, Partner and Industrial Specialist, TOK Commercial Real Estate — Industrial leasing activity has slowed year over year in Southern Idaho markets with total transactions down 9 percent. However, all markets saw transactions increase or remain flat from the first quarter to the second quarter. Net absorption has also remained positive in all markets throughout the first half of 2023. Activity is strongest in the Boise MSA with nearly 900,000 square feet of net absorption recording so far this year. Top deals for the year include Ferguson Enterprises leasing 164,600 square feet of new construction in Nampa, and Hensel Phelps Construction leasing 92,900 square feet at 535 Gowen in South Boise. Demand remains strongest for spaces in the 1,000- to 5,000-square-foot range, accounting for 51 percent of deals over the past 12 months. However, absorbed spaces above 15,000 square feet have increased 15 percent year over year. In addition, organic growth is the top driver for leasing activity considering 30 percent of deals over the past year were attributed to tenants opening additional locations or expanding. Additional new industrial tenants are expected to enter Southern Idaho, most notably in the Boise MSA as new projects such …

September 6, 2023

Idaho Market Reports Multifamily Western Western Market Reports

The Flourishing Idaho Multifamily Market Touts Growth, Shifting Dynamics, Resilience

by Jeff Shaw September 1, 2023

— By Colton Yasinski, Investment Sales Advsor, Capstone Cos. — The multifamily market in Idaho and, specifically, Boise, has experienced an impressive surge over the past five years. This has largely been fueled by the impact of COVID and the attractiveness of Idaho living. The result has been an unprecedented demand for multifamily housing, triggering a development boom that has reshaped the market landscape. In the past year alone, Boise has seen the delivery of 4,000 multifamily units with numerous ongoing construction projects. The city’s rapid population growth and robust housing demand has attracted institutional capital, leading to tighter cap rates similar to larger metropolitan areas. Pioneering developers have recognized the potential in Idaho’s market and entered the scene alongside local development groups. Among them are prominent names like Lincoln Property Company, Alliance Residential Company, Woodside Homes, Morgan Stonehill, American Homes 4 Rent and others shaping the multifamily landscape. However, amidst this growth, market dynamics have started to shift. Over the past year, multifamily sales in Boise have declined by more than 70 percent, accompanied by rising cap rates due to fluctuations in the capital markets. The surge in new units has transitioned the market from favoring landlords to becoming …

September 1, 2023

California Market Reports Retail Western Western Market Reports

Los Angeles Retail Evolves as Tenants Reign Supreme

by Jeff Shaw August 29, 2023

— By Gabe Kadosh, Vice President at Colliers in Los Angeles — Retail leasing activity in Los Angeles is robust. Demand is particularly strong in the home/furniture industries. The quick-service restaurant segment is another one that continues to grow, with a large uptick in demand for drive-thru accommodations. Now, for the good news — or bad news, depending on whether you’re a landlord or tenant. Los Angeles remains a tenant market. There is currently too much available retail space. Oftentimes, retail tenants can simply go across the street if they find a particular landlord’s rent — or lease terms — unfavorable. The current vacancy rate for retail in Greater Los Angeles stands at about 6 percent. Significant concessions and incentives are being offered in various regions of Los Angeles. Downtown Los Angeles is seeing the largest number of concessions. That’s because the office market has been shuttered so dramatically, thanks to the pandemic and the work-from-home trend that just won’t go away. This has caused some Downtown mixed-use office and retail landlords to offer base CAM or even no rent just to keep the doors open. In other cases, some retail tenants only pay a percentage of sales with no …

August 29, 2023

7402-7410-SE-Johnson-Creek-Blvd-Portland-OR

Industrial Market Reports Oregon Western Western Market Reports

Portland’s Industrial Market Maintains the Balance

by Jeff Shaw August 25, 2023

— By Kenny Houser and Mike Hale, Principals, Capacity Commercial — The industrial real estate sector has experienced a noticeable deceleration with a decline in leasing and sales activities. This trend is particularly evident in Portland where commercial property sales transactions have been steadily decreasing. There was a quarter-over-quarter decline of almost 29 percent in the second quarter of 2023, resulting in a sales volume of $3.4 billion, the lowest recorded since late 2014. The Federal Reserve’s decision to pause its rate hike campaign in response to inflation concerns has impacted the market. With borrowing costs fluctuating, the disparity between buyer and seller expectations has created challenges in determining agreeable property valuations. Simultaneously, leasing activity has also slowed, indicating a return to normalcy in Portland’s industrial market. Total deal volume in the first quarter of this year reached about 1.7 million square feet, a 35 percent decrease compared to the average of 2.6 million square feet per quarter over the previous two years. Despite the slowdown in leasing, the limited amount of industrial space under construction in Portland is expected to maintain a balance between supply and demand. The current construction activity accounts for 1.1 percent of the total inventory, …

August 25, 2023

California Industrial Market Reports Western Western Market Reports

Orange County Market Adjusts, but Remains Resilient

by Jeff Shaw August 22, 2023

— By Christopher J. Destino, Principal, Lee & Associates — The geographic area along the border of Los Angeles and Orange County is locally known as the Mid Counties market. This region currently boasts about 130 million square feet of industrial real estate, thanks to its prime location. This is a location that’s only 25 miles from the ports of Long Beach and Los Angeles, and 20 miles from Los Angeles International Airport (LAX). Like many other parts of the U.S., Mid Counties has begun to see the effects of continued economic uncertainty and a rising interest rate environment. It faces challenges like land scarcity and limited newly constructed buildings to accommodate the growing demand. Thankfully, this area still typically delivers 200,000 to 500,000 square feet of new construction annually (2018 was abnormally high with about 2 million square feet added). One recent deal worth noting is the 94,000-square-foot, Class A industrial distribution building in Santa Fe Springs from Panattoni that leased to BeBella Cosmetics for $2.05 per square foot net per month with an option to purchase at $577 per square foot. Another new development example is the 146,617-square-foot building that Duke Realty developed and leased to Weee!, a …

August 22, 2023

Market Reports Office Oregon Western Western Market Reports

Portland Office Market Looks to Reclaim its Vibrancy

by Jeff Shaw August 18, 2023

— By Samuel Hatcher, Field Research Manager, CBRE — Portland’s historically vibrant office market finds itself at a crossroads, striving to regain its footing in the wake of economic headwinds. The city’s unique blend of natural beauty, progressive culture and thriving tech scene has been a magnet for young professionals seeking an exceptional quality of life. However, recent shifting market dynamics have cast a shadow of uncertainty, compelling stakeholders to navigate a path to recovery with adaptability and resilience. Portland’s overall office market vacancy is currently 22 percent across the metro area. Downtown vacancy — which includes the Central Eastside, Northwest Close-in and Lloyd District — is at about 28 percent. Of that vacant space, 3.3 million square feet is Class A. Moreover, sublease availability across the overall office market is up 67 percent year over year and investment remains paused. Capital is waiting on the sidelines due to elevated interest rates and generally tighter financial conditions. Despite these stats, the market is showing some bright spots. The rate at which newly available sublease space is being put on the market has slowed compared to when this narrative was dominating headlines. There’s even a chance of a slight quarter-over-quarter decrease …

August 18, 2023

California Market Reports Retail Western Western Market Reports

Investor Demand Continues for Orange County Retail

by Jeff Shaw August 15, 2023

— By Gleb Lvovich, Managing Director, and Daniel Tyner, Senior Director, JLL Capital Markets — The commercial real estate market across all asset classes has seen a slowdown in transaction activity in 2023 compared to 2022 and 2021 largely due to the rapid increase in borrowing costs for investors. This might have impacted the commercial real estate sector as a whole, but shopping centers in Orange County are still buzzing with consumers as occupancy remains robust. Orange County has continuously proved to be one of the most sought-after markets to invest in retail due to its strong demographics, population growth and overall fundamentals. Investor Demand Shopping center performance in Orange County has been excellent over the past few years, and investors see this trend continuing for the foreseeable future. Low vacancy and strong tenant demand has allowed investors to experience significant rent growth at their properties. Orange County has experienced particularly strong grocer performance and expansion. Historically, shopping center transactions have been very limited in Orange County. This has further driven investor demand due to the lack of available investment opportunities. The few listings that exist generate significant interest. Recent examples include the sale of Ralph’s- and Rite Aid-anchored Brea …

August 15, 2023

Industrial Market Reports Oregon Western Western Market Reports

Portland Industrial Poised for Growth, Despite Rising Subleases

by Jeff Shaw August 11, 2023

— By Keegan Clay, Executive Director, Cushman & Wakefield — The Portland metro industrial market is well poised for investment and rent growth into 2024, despite an increase in sublease space coming to market. Portland has experienced many great trends, particularly in the past few years, including year-over-year double-digit rent growth, compressed cap rates, positive net absorption (occupancy growth), strong tenant demand, all-time low vacancy at 2.5 percent and land prices tripling in a short timespan. Such movement has led to increased competition and investment in the Portland region. We have seen an increase in sublease space hitting the market over the past five months to the tune of more than 2 million square feet. The majority of this relinquished space has stemmed from just a few users. Many of these subleases are a result of acquisitions with companies looking to increase efficiencies by eliminating redundancies. Some industrial users have consolidated out of market, including a major home goods business (648,000 square feet), while others have grown their real estate position in Portland. This includes a leading B2B electrical and industrial distribution company (293,000 square feet). Year to date, we have yet to see any of the larger …

August 11, 2023

California Market Reports Office Western Western Market Reports

Orange County’s Office Market Sees Stabilization Signs

by Jeff Shaw August 8, 2023

— By Brian C. Childs, Executive Managing Director, NAI Capital Commercial — Orange County office has historically been last in and first out of any recession or economic setback. That trend continues as an office recovery is in sight in this post-COVID marketplace. The challenge of encouraging workers to return to the office post-pandemic has slowed considerably. The rate of space being vacated in Orange County’s office market slowed to less than a 1 percent increase quarter over quarter in vacant space in the second quarter of 2023. This is compared to the 17 percent year-over-year rise, resulting in a total of 20.9 million square feet of vacant office space. Similarly, the growth rate of available sublease space also experienced a slower pace of 0.2 percent quarter over quarter, compared to a 23.4 percent year-over-year increase, reaching 4.6 million square feet. The second-quarter office vacancy rate sits at 13.3 percent, versus 13.2 percent in the first quarter. Overall office vacancy was at 11.5 percent a year ago. As the availability of office space has begun to stabilize, the average asking rent remained unchanged compared to the previous quarter. There was a minor decline of …

August 8, 2023

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