— By Jason Koch and Adam Riddle of MMG Real Estate Advisors — espite recent challenges, the Denver multifamily market is showing clear signs of a comeback. With new supply beginning to taper off, demand accelerating, and investor confidence returning, 2025 is shaping up to be a year of renewed opportunity for multifamily owners and investors. Momentum Is Building Behind the Numbers After a year of downward pressure, Denver’s multifamily market is beginning to turn the corner. First-quarter 2025 recorded net absorption of 2,544 units, a 170 percent jump from the prior quarter indicating a surge of renter demand. Over the past 12 months, absorption reached 9,200 units, the highest total since 2021. MMG Managing Director Jason Koch notes, “Demand is back. Lease-ups are moving more quickly, especially for quality, well-located product. It’s clear that renters still want to be in Denver.” While average rent is down 3.4 percent year-over-year, the first quarterly uptick in nearly a year suggests the bottom may already be behind us. At $1,813, Denver remains one of the strongest-performing rental markets in the Mountain West, particularly in suburban pockets where new supply is limited. High-Quality Product Leading the Charge Much of the recent absorption has …
— By William (Bill) Froelich of Colliers — s of first-quarter 2025, Oahu’s industrial market remains one of the tightest in the nation — but signs of softening are emerging. Our 41.9 million square foot market reported a vacancy rate of 1.2 percent, the highest in over two years, up from 0.9 percent in fourth-quarter 2024 and a near-record low of 0.6 percent in third-quarter 2023. Net absorption was negative at -115,001 square feet in first-quarter 2025, marking the fifth quarter of negative net absorption in the last six. Despite this, direct weighted average asking base rents reached a new high of $1.56 per square foot per month, reflecting continued landlord leverage in a market with severely constrained supply. Industrial operating expenses also rose, averaging $0.54 per square foot monthly, pushing our gross rents over $2.00 per square foot. Raw Land Market: A Race to Buy Before It’s Gone In a typical year, Oahu absorbs 10 to 20 acres of raw industrial land. But in a short period between the end of 2021 and the first half of 2022, over 100 acres had traded, driven by high-profile acquisitions such as Amazon’s 50-acre purchase and Costco’s 45-acre site purchased for almost …
— By Anthony Johnson and A.J. Johnson of Pegasus Retail — Looking back on the market sentiment at the start of 2024, the mantra was “Survive ‘til 25.” Now, halfway through 2025, it’s clear that the record-breaking cap rate sales of 2021 and 2022 are firmly in the rearview. Speculative development is reserved for those with a generational outlook, and high interest rates are the new normal. While that may seem bleak, for those who’ve weathered the storm, it feels like a breath of fresh air. The market has reset. Seller and buyer expectations are realigning. Landlords and tenants are exploring new deals in a more stable environment. And smart developers are dusting off models and cautiously getting back to work. The construction hiatus of recent years has benefited owners of existing product. Tenants, fueled by Wall Street growth expectations, had to get creative. We now see many national retailers occupying second and third generation retail space that they’d historically passed in favor of shinier and newer projects. Many neighborhood centers that were 50 percent vacant at the onset of the pandemic are now close to fully leased. A surprising but welcome shift. This outcome, partly driven by the lack …
— By Liz Claire of Avison Young — The Las Vegas retail market continued its strong performance in fourth-quarter 2024. Vacancy rates declined to 5.3 percent, marking a 200-basis-point drop from the fourth quarter of 2020. Strong absorption rates and healthy rent increases highlight the market’s resilience, even as growth has moderated since its peak in first-quarter 2021. Vacancy Declines and Strong Absorption Las Vegas experienced a significant increase in positive retail space absorption in fourth-quarter 2024, following eight quarters of minimal movement, with a total of 619,000 square feet absorbed. This surge was primarily driven by major developments, including the completion of the 500,000-square-foot BLVD retail project, which saw strong pre-leasing activity from prominent tenants like Adidas, H&M, Lululemon and In-N-Out Burger. Sustained high demand lowered the vacancy rate by 40 basis points from the previous quarter, further solidifying Las Vegas as a leading retail market. Retail Rents and Growth Trends Market-wide retail asking rents averaged $35.20 per square foot, with rents outside the high-priced resort corridor averaging $29.08 per square foot. Year over year, rents increased by 5.8 percent, significantly outpacing the national average rent growth of 3 percent. This steady rent appreciation demonstrates continued demand for retail space in …
— By Charles Van Geel of Cushman & Wakefield — Despite broader economic headwinds, Southern Nevada’s commercial real estate market continues to showcase remarkable resilience – especially in the office sector. The demand for high-quality office space remains strong in the Southwest and Summerlin submarkets, underpinned by a flight to quality and shifting corporate priorities toward top-tier environments. The bulk of today’s office activity is concentrated along the critical Interstate 215 corridor, stretching from Green Valley to Summerlin parkways. This corridor has become the heartbeat of the region’s office market. However, within this high-demand stretch, the availability of true Class A product (particularly in the Southwest submarket) is diminishing. Small blocks of space are becoming increasingly rare, while sublease opportunities along this corridor are practically nonexistent. Adding pressure to this is the fact that new construction is largely stalled. Speculative development is not economically feasible with the current market dynamics. Lenders are unwilling to fund projects unless developers can demonstrate significant preleasing commitments, often north of 50 percent. This has been a challenge, as preleasing activity in the broader market remains minimal. Still, the area has received a few recent high-profile deliveries. These include Downtown Summerlin’s 1700 Pavilion, Phase II of …
— By Jerry Doty of Colliers — While several other Western markets started to slow down in late 2022 or early 2023, the Southern Nevada industrial market seemed to be relatively unscathed going into 2024. However, the impact was finally felt early in the first quarter of 2024. It lasted through the remainder of the year. Despite this noticeable decline in activity, most remained optimistic that it would be a quick slump. We were hoping 2025 would come out with guns blazing. These prognostications have so far proven to be incorrect. First-quarter 2025 felt very much like the past four quarters. This noticeable slowdown could not have come at a worse time. We are in the midst of a record wave of new completions that will continue to deliver through the third quarter. The Las Vegas industrial market delivered a little less than 16 million square feet of new inventory in 2024, bringing the total market up to 180 million square feet. The Valley is composed of eight different industrial submarkets, with the North being both the largest in total size (75 million square feet) and the largest amount of product under construction (almost 3.6 million square feet). At the …
— By Adam Schmitt of CBRE — The Las Vegas multifamily market is experiencing a significant transformation that’s shaped by new construction trends and evolving market dynamics. As the city continues to expand and adapt, it is essential for current investors, developers and capital allocators to understand the opportunities and barriers for growth. The multifamily market has seen substantial fluctuations since the onset of COVID-19. Rents surged by 24.6 percent in 2021, buoyed by government interventions. However, as these supports diminished, vacancy rates rose sharply, climbing from an average of 3.4 percent in 2021 to 7.35 percent in 2023. Recent trends, however, indicate a recovery. Vacancy rates have decreased to 6.5 percent as of February, which hint that multifamily fundamentals may be regaining stability and moving toward normalized averages. The single-family housing market is another critical element influencing the overall health of Las Vegas’ economy. The market produced 160,092 single-family homes between 2003 and 2008. However, only 142,455 were built between 2009 and 2024. This slowdown has led to soaring home prices, even amid rising mortgage rates approaching 7 percent. Consequently, the growing disparity between renting and owning has created favorable conditions for rental housing demand, further solidifying the multifamily …
— By Kalli Knight of Colliers — The Los Angeles multifamily market faces several headwinds, including rising expenses, the aftermath of recent fires, insurance exclusions and Measure ULA. These factors impact transaction volumes, leading many investors to remain on the sidelines. However, Southern California and Los Angeles will continue to have strong fundamentals, attracting a unique pool of buyers. This includes qualified, high-net-worth family offices eager to take advantage of limited competition to acquire new construction at prices below replacement costs or favorable debt terms. Management companies are increasingly critical in supporting property stabilization post-pandemic, with a growing urgency to enhance operations and increase net operating income. As construction loans mature, their impact on property stabilization is significant. Though the concession rate of 0.7 percent is significantly less than the national concession rate of 1.1 percent, many developers now offer four to six weeks of concessions to lease properties and meet projected rents outlined in their financial analyses. Some developers have also opted for creative strategies, such as providing customized closets to attract renters at higher luxury price points instead of relying solely on weekly concessions. Vacancy rates in the market vary, but have generally improved since 2024. They have …
— By Tony Solomon of Marcus & Millichap — The positive relationship between retailers and rooftops is proving true in key ways across Los Angeles County. The market’s retail vacancy has risen in recent years — with the metro-wide rate up 120 basis points since 2022 – but the overall measure of 6.5 percent belies strong local dynamics. Retailers are continuing to find opportunities, especially in zones with recent and upcoming residential growth. Multifamily vacancy dropped by 50 basis points or more last year in the Santa Clarita Valley, Southeast Los Angeles and the South San Gabriel Valley. These same submarkets recorded retail vacancy rates at or under 5.2 percent at the onset of this year, which are some of the lowest in the county. Property performance momentum is set to continue in those areas amid numerous upcoming move-ins, including from tenants like Savers and Planet Fitness. The growing local apartment sector is expected to help absorb the primary area of heightened availability: Downtown Los Angeles. Retail vacancy here jumped 220 basis points last year to 9.1 percent, more than 100 basis points above the next highest submarket. Thankfully, that vacancy pressure may begin to ease in the near future. …
— By Caleb Hodge of KWP Real Estate — The Los Angeles office market is undergoing a transformation. Finally. Downtown LA and most of the submarkets were decimated following the pandemic, but leasing activity is increasing. In fact, the fourth quarter of last year saw the highest annual leasing activity since the pandemic was officially declared “over,” according to Savills Research and Data Services. How is this possible? The answer lies in the evolving identity of office spaces, which is driven by the demand for creative office. Despite increased asking rates in certain submarkets, Los Angeles is still a tenant-driven office market. The rub is that hybrid-working models continue to, at times, complicate leasing decisions. Fortunately, highly sought-out creative office space in Los Angeles offers two key incentives: premium amenities and functional, innovative office designs. Creative office space may still be considered niche, but the amenities and design layouts are critical when bringing employees back to the office. In fact, those attributes are highly desired by most modern office workers, whether their industry or physical space is considered “creative” or not. With traffic being a constant factor in LA, centrally located offices with easy commutes for a majority of workers …