Western Market Reports

Office Vacancy Declines in Reno as Sublease Availability is on the Rise

by Jeff Shaw December 9, 2022

By Melissa Molyneaux, Executive Vice President, Colliers Northern Nevada’s office market has continued to post strong fundamentals this year. Positive tenant demand has improved vacancy in recent quarters, though an uptick in available sublease space could impact market-wide vacancy in the future. The Reno-Sparks region has also seen a handful of new speculative office construction starts that will add trophy office and medical office space to the downtown and South Meadows submarkets. Strong economic recovery has been evident this year as Nevada reached a new employment peak of nearly 1.5 million jobs in June. Washoe County’s population has grown an impressive 17.1 percent since 2010, to 500,000 people. A study by Woods and Poole Economics estimates the area will reach 764,000 people by 2060. Market-wide vacancy rates dropped to 10.6 percent in the third quarter of 2022, down 200 basis points year over year. Downtown vacancy fell 310 basis points to 11.7 percent, while suburban vacancy fell 180 basis points to 10.3 percent in the same period. Vacancy has continued to improve since the onset of the pandemic, though the Reno area has started to see an increase in available sublease space hitting the market. About one quarter of all …

December 9, 2022

California Market Reports Retail Western Western Market Reports

San Bernardino’s Retail Leasing Market Thrives

by Jeff Shaw December 7, 2022

By Ryan Gast, Vice President, Ontario/Inland Empire, CBRE We are currently seeing a very strong leasing market in San Bernardino County, which is mostly driven by the amount of new housing developments in the market and the lack of new retail product being built. Tenants are hungry for the top-tier shopping centers, which has driven the vacancy rates down and rents up in a market where there seems to be a lot of uncertainty in the air. Some of the most active retail categories include the fast feeders (QSRs), gas stations and car wash groups. Discount retailers also hold great appeal, particularly due to inflation. The market has also seen an increase in activity from fitness users who stopped dead in their tracks during 2020 and 2021 due to COVID. As active retailers go, Stater Bros, Hobby Lobby, Burlington, 99 Ranch Market, Ross and Planet Fitness have all recently inked deals in the area. Sprouts, Quick Quack, Shell, Raising Cane’s and Dutch Bros Coffee also remain active. Many of these retailers are seeking high-growth areas where there has been an influx of residential development nearby. In terms of developers, Lewis Retail, Wood Investments and Rich Development are some of the …

December 7, 2022

California Market Reports Office Western Western Market Reports

Office Vacancy Falls as San Bernardino Hopes to Return to Former Glory

by Jeff Shaw December 1, 2022

By Steve Roppel, Senior Vice President, Allied Commercial Real Estate Encompassing 62 square miles, San Bernardino is the governmental seat of San Bernardino County, the largest county in the world at more than 21,000 square miles. About 86,000 people alone work within the city, per the 2020 Census. The largest industries are retail (12,280 people), transportation and warehousing (11,164 people) and health (9,603 people). Of the six largest office buildings, only one is occupied by traditional multiple commercial tenants. The others are occupied by the county, city, courts, non-profits and the University of Loma Linda. The only large office building presently proposed is a county office building of 307,000 square feet. San Bernardino was historically a vibrant metropolitan whose image has become tarnished over the years. It is famous for its affiliation with Route 66, which runs through the city and allowed many people to emigrate to the Golden State. The first original McDonald’s restaurant – now a museum – was opened in San Bernardino in 1940. To restore the former luster and recognize the potential for San Bernardino, local governments have pulled together on several fronts. Multiple recent infrastructure improvements and redevelopments were completed and planned for San Bernardino, …

December 1, 2022

Affordable Housing Colorado Market Reports Multifamily Western Western Market Reports

Denver Leads on New Affordable Housing Requirements

by Jeff Shaw November 23, 2022

Like many communities across the West, affordable housing is a top issue in Denver. Monthly rent in Denver is now around $2,005, according to Zillow’s June 2022 data. This is up 20.4 percent since June 2019. The city is trying to do something about the lack of affordability. It approved the Expanding Housing Affordability Policy (EHA) this June, which overhauled Denver’s affordable housing requirements for new development. EHA was allowed after the 2021 passage of a Colorado statute, HB21-1117, which overturned a Colorado Supreme Court case commonly known as the Telluride decision. HB21-1117 expanded the ability of local Colorado governments to require inclusion of income-restricted units within new rental housing — something that had previously been prohibited in Colorado. While Denver has led within the state with EHA, other municipalities in Colorado, such as Littleton and Aspen, are beginning to consider new affordable housing policies in response to HB21-1117. In Denver, EHA primarily affects multifamily projects of 10 or more units. Those projects must proceed under EHA unless they submitted a concept site plan by June 30, 2022, and achieve final site development plan approval by Aug. 30, 2023. Non-residential projects and residential projects of nine or fewer units may …

November 23, 2022

Market Reports Multifamily Washington Western Western Market Reports

Seattle Metro Multifamily Market — It’s a Supply Thing

by Jeff Shaw November 18, 2022

By Brian O’Connor, Executive Director, Valuation & Advisory, Cushman & Wakefield The Seattle Metro apartment market has been surprisingly resilient. The market quickly bounced back from the COVID downturn at a robust clip and has continued moving at a healthy pace. During the first six months of 2022, metro Seattle absorbed more than 12,600 units. That already surpasses a typical full year of demand by several thousand units. From January 2022 through June, the market absorbed 3,779 newly constructed units — a respectable level. If you also factor in the decline in existing units, then the market absorbed another 8,886 units. That tells us that the supply of new units was too low…or demand was much stronger than we expected. The market had rebounded to a metro-wide vacancy rate of only 1.33 percent at mid-year 2022, an astoundingly low level. From year-end 2021 to June 2022, overall apartment vacancies declined from 3 percent to 1.33 percent. We do, however, expect vacancies to begin increasing slightly. These rates typically see an uptick as we head into winter. Rent growth also slows during this time. We expect to see the metro-wide vacancy rate start to rise just a bit by year-end 2022, to …

November 18, 2022

Colorado Market Reports Office Western Western Market Reports

The Work-From-Home Trend Continues to Plague Denver

by Jeff Shaw November 11, 2022

By David Gagliano, Senior Vice President and Principal, Fuller Real Estate Leasing trends in the metro Denver office market are continuing their slow progression downward. Inquiries from tenants looking to lease office product is down 10 percent from 2021. Concurrently, we have seen an uptick in smaller office users who are looking for space in lieu of their home office. Landlords have been quick to concede to tenants, incentivizing them with extensive quantifiable tenant improvements and lease rates lower than their competition. Anecdotally, it becomes obvious with nearly every prospective tenant that they are viewing multiple properties. Not only are they viewing several properties, but many have several options within the exact vicinity of the subject property. This trend makes it even more critical for landlords to have the best representation from their brokers. This market instability also speaks to the favor landlords are giving to current tenants upon lease renewal, as capturing occupancy prior to vacating becomes vital. With current and most likely future increases in interest rates, we will see a dip in activity in owner-user purchases that should lead to a rise in leasing activity. The suburban markets are still seeing a surge in migration from the downtown …

November 11, 2022

Market Reports Retail Washington Western Western Market Reports

Seattle’s Retail Sector Proves Resilient

by Jeff Shaw November 8, 2022

By Dino A. Christophilis, Senior Vice President, CBRE; Daniel Tibeau, Associate, CBRE; and Parker Ksidakis, Associate, CBRE Few sectors were as disrupted by the pandemic as retail. While 2020 proved to be a tumultuous year, the last year and a half have demonstrated the resiliency of retail — both in Seattle and nationally. The Seattle economy is performing well for a recovering retail sector, with continued employment growth and increasing retail spending. The Puget Sound is notorious for its lack of new retail development, and the recent years have been no exception. The environment of increasing demand with a flat level of supply results in positive conditions for existing retail space. Like much of the nation, concerns persist in Seattle around inflation, increasing debt costs and a potential slowing in the global economy. However, the situation in Seattle is more positive and nuanced. Growing Investment Activity Year to date, Seattle is poised to outperform the prior year in terms of total investment dollars. The second quarter of 2022 experienced 65 percent greater investment volume relative to the same quarter in 2021. This figure is particularly notable as 2021 was an exceptional year. Investors deployed pent-up capital that was held during the height of the pandemic. Total retail …

November 8, 2022

Colorado Market Reports Multifamily Western Western Market Reports

Population, Absorption, New Construction Offer Opportunities in the Denver Multifamily Market

by Jeff Shaw November 4, 2022

By Chris Mitton, Advisor, Pinnacle Real Estate Advisors Denver has been seeing major growth of new residents from 2020 through the second quarter of 2022. Denver is gaining many residents from coastal cities due to our lower cost of living, and gains of such tech giants as Conga, RingCentral, Xactly, Slack, and Angi. Since 2020, Denver has added 8,100 jobs in business services and 2,900 jobs in the financial activities sector. Over the last five years population growth in Denver has increased 8 percent compared to the 3.8 percent national average. The multifamily market has benefited from this population growth. Denver has absorbed 6,400 units over the past 12 months, placing it in the top 15 metro areas in the country. Colorado has seen record high prices in single family homes as well, which is pricing out many first-time homebuyers. This is forcing many renters to stay in multifamily apartments. However, if you haven’t been living under a rock, you know that the Federal Reserve has been increasing interest rates at a record pace. The single-family market has seen an increase from 1,200 homes for sale during the start of the year to 7,300 homes in August. With this increase in supply …

November 4, 2022

Market Reports Office Washington Western Western Market Reports

Seattle’s Office Market Shows Improvement

by Jeff Shaw October 28, 2022

By Charlie Farra, Senior Managing Director, Newmark The Puget Sound office market has fared better than many peer metro areas during the pandemic. While the market remains tenuous in the region, local office fundamentals have improved to date in 2022. A consistent through the chaos is a flight to quality. If employers expect a return to office, they are being tasked with creating a physical environment that is far more favorable than a home office or local coffee shop. We are referring to this as “commute-worthy real estate.” Energy, collaboration, amenities, views, natural light and safety are some of the main points of focus and, due to current economic conditions, the ability to find such space at discounted pricing is within reason. New office leases are trending toward 75 percent of their pre-pandemic footprint as companies consider how and where to operate their businesses going forward. Professional service companies currently account for the most demand and are in the office more frequently than the technology sector. In tech cities like Seattle, this is a seismic shift from the previous decade, which saw skylines transform from the expansions of Amazon, Microsoft, Meta and Google. Many companies returning to the office are utilizing a hybrid …

October 28, 2022

Industrial Market Reports Washington Western Western Market Reports

Tenant Demand Remains High in Seattle Industrial Market, but Interest Rates Slow Investment Sales

by Jeff Shaw October 25, 2022

By Bill Condon, Executive Vice President, Colliers The most significant impact to Seattle’s industrial market this year comes from outside the market. Inflation resulting in raised interest rates has stymied sale activity but done little to slow leasing activity. Tenant demand has remained high, particularly among third-party logistics (3PL), ecommerce and aerospace companies. Logistics remains the main driver for activity and development in submarkets from Tacoma south. This year alone, Holman Distribution leased 353,000 square feet in Frederickson and Maersk leased 246,000 square feet in Lakewood. Both of these cities only had sporadic activity prior to 2020. For 3PL companies, the south Puget Sound/Tacoma area is attractive due to its proximity to the Port of Tacoma and the desirable labor pool in Pierce County. Closer to Seattle, Blue Origin leased 172,000 square feet in Kent, furthering the legacy of aerospace activity in Puget Sound. The rapid rise in interest rates has created a difference in expectations between sellers and buyers, whose interest rates have nearly doubled since the start of this year. This disconnect between the seller’s value and buyer’s ability to purchase is likely to delay transactions until there’s more stability in capital markets nationally. While tenant demand remains robust, there …

October 25, 2022

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