Western Market Reports

Las Vegas Tops List of National Office Performers

by Jeff Shaw June 29, 2022

By Ryan Sarbinoff, First Vice President and Regional Manager, Marcus & Millichap A growing, educated local labor force and lower rents compared to other office hubs in the region are driving office tenants to Las Vegas. The metro registered the largest drop in office vacancy among major U.S. markets over the 12-month span that ended in March, as tenants absorbed more than 2 million square feet. Much of this space was at Class B/C properties, with the subsector noting the strongest four-quarter span for demand on record. The resulting 330-basis-point reduction in overall availability during the year-long period slashed vacancy to a more than 15-year low of 12.4 percent, enhancing the sector’s outlook heading into the second quarter. The metro’s second-largest submarket by inventory, Southwest Las Vegas, exemplifies the strength of the local office sector. During the past year, the area accounted for half of the metro’s 20,000-square-foot-plus lease executions. International Gaming Technology’s sublease of a three-story building highlighted recent activity, with VisCap Media, Agilysys, DraftKings, Kiewit and Molina Healthcare all making notable commitments that dropped vacancy to 9.4 percent in March. Apart from leasing, this submarket is also the center of development. Roughly 60 percent of the space slated for completion …

June 29, 2022

California Market Reports Retail Western Western Market Reports

L.A. Retail: A Tale of Two Pandemics

by Jeff Shaw June 22, 2022

By Nellie Day All of Los Angeles County might have been under the same restrictions throughout the pandemic, but their emergence from this period reveals a lot about the localized retail environments. “Los Angeles’ retail market has weathered COVID better than many other markets around the country,” says Matthew May, founder of May Realty Advisors in the Los Angeles submarket of Sherman Oaks, Calif. “However, the recovery has favored a diverse group of suburban markets.” Certain Suburbs Stand Out Markets like East Hollywood/Silver Lake, Inglewood/South LA and Santa Clarita boasted the highest 12-month rolling net absorptions in the county, according to CoStar — something May doesn’t believe was expected. “LA is known as a melting pot and this is reflected in the geographic and ethnic makeup of the top submarkets based on net absorption,” he says. “Vacancies in many of the suburbs were substantially less than in the Central Business Districts and tony retail areas from Beverly Hills to Abbott Kinney. These emerging markets were quite a surprise.” On the other hand, metro markets like Santa Monica, Downtown LA and Koreatown each had more than 100,000 square feet of negative absorption. Santa Monica’s Third Street Promenade has been one of …

June 22, 2022

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Industrial Market Reports New Mexico Western Western Market Reports

After a Long Pause, Spec Industrial Returns to Albuquerque

by Jeff Shaw June 15, 2022

By Alex Pulliam, Land & Industrial Advisor, NAI SunVista It’s been a long time coming. Albuquerque hasn’t built speculative distribution warehouses in nearly two decades. However, the recent strength of the market is giving developers confidence to break ground – and investors are paying attention. Industrial activity has been lively, thanks to accelerated macro trends from the pandemic, as well as the legalization of recreational cannabis. Albuquerque’s industrial vacancy rates have remained below 1 percent for over two quarters. Prior to that, vacancy rates hovered around a then “historic low” in the 2 percent range since September 2019. The demand from users has continued to climb and tenants are facing lease rate increases. While needing more speculative warehouses should be a matter of basic economics, it is not always easy to build in a tertiary market that lacks the memory of growth. Historically, Albuquerque would only secure a few 50,000-square-foot users per year, along with the occasional 100,000-plus-square-foot user. This deterred developers from taking a chance on new construction. But times are changing. Large tenants are taking note of Albuquerque’s access, affordability and workforce, while existing users are seeking modern buildings for efficiency and growth. These factors, combined with rental rate …

June 15, 2022

Market Reports Multifamily New Mexico Western Western Market Reports

New Mexico’s Multifamily Market Heats Up

by Jeff Shaw June 8, 2022

Companies, Investors Court New Mexico’s Multifamily By Todd Clarke, CEO, NM Apartment Advisors Strong employment and changing post-pandemic lifestyles have led to a surge of demand for New Mexico’s multifamily rental market. Investments made more than a decade ago are paying off from SpacePort NM and the NM Rail Runner, as well as the film and television industries, which have made New Mexico the third best place to film in the country behind Los Angeles and New York. Although Santa Fe — the fifth best international destination and oldest state capital — remains undeserved by more than 6,484 units, the market is on track to deliver 1,500-plus units. This is well ahead of Albuquerque’s less than 1,000 new units. More development will hopefully continue, thanks to a new Integrated Dynamic Ordinance (IDO, or zoning), recent investments in mass transit expansion lines and a vibrant tech eco-system at the Innovation District in downtown Albuquerque. Several major employers have announced expansions in the market, including Intel (750 jobs), Netflix (3,000 jobs), Facebook/Meta (35 IT jobs, 1,500 construction jobs) and Amazon (four distribution facilities totaling more than 3,500 new jobs). Based on historic benchmarks, this creates an acute housing shortage in Albuquerque. Recent …

June 8, 2022

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San Diego’s Unique Retail Environment Proves Pandemic-Resilient

by Jeff Shaw June 3, 2022

By John Hickman, Managing Director, NewMark Merrill San Diego may be California’s second most populous county, but you wouldn’t know it by strolling through one of its many business districts. The county has grown up since its early days as a small military outpost, yet today its hundreds of communities and neighborhoods still impart a small-town feel. The retail real estate market reflects an intimate beach town vibe with a tightly knit brokerage and landlord community. Brokers and investors can cover the market with a limited footprint, while many retailers can achieve a major presence with a handful of locations. This is opposed to the dozens of locations they may require in other California markets, such as Los Angeles, Orange County and the Bay Area. And big, national brands aren’t the only retailers finding success — 98 percent of firms in San Diego are small businesses. Retailers in San Diego are open to taking chances on new concepts and structuring different types of leases. They’re also willing to pay slightly higher rent to gain access to the area’s strong demographics and limited supply of new shopping centers. This uniqueness provided resiliency during the pandemic and will contribute to a thriving …

June 3, 2022

California Market Reports Office Western Western Market Reports

LA Office Market Struggles, but Tenants, Investors See Opportunity

by Jeff Shaw May 17, 2022

By Jerry Holdner, Southern California Region Lead, Avison Young The Greater Los Angeles office sector is experiencing a fragmented and slow recovery post-pandemic as the fallout is being addressed in various ways by office tenants, investors and owners. The first quarter of 2022 ended with a 15.4 percent office vacancy rate, which was up from 15 percent at the end of 2021. It is also up from the previous high of 13.1 percent that was recorded in 2010. We started to see several companies require their employees to return to work at least in some capacity in the first quarter, which typically included a hybrid schedule. With gas prices soaring and an extremely competitive job market, hybrid situations have been significant bargaining chips for employers to attract and retain employees. That said, we don’t see leasing demand returning to pre-COVID levels for at least 12 to 24 months or longer. Office occupiers have and will continue to evaluate both their short- and long-term occupancy strategies. With all indicators pointing to hybrid work remaining indefinitely, office users are seeking to reduce their footprints. This typically involves a flight to quality as office rents are low and concessions are consistently on the table for new leases …

May 17, 2022

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LA Apartment Market Stays Tight, Values Soar

by Jeff Shaw May 10, 2022

By Kimberly Stepp, Principal, Stepp Commercial The strength of the Greater Los Angeles apartment market has exceeded expectations coming out of the pandemic. Despite reports of an exodus from California and population decline in the metro, apartment rental demand is seeing an all-time high, with net absorption of units running at its highest level in decades. As a result, vacancy is at a low 3.4 percent, lower than the pre-COVID level of 4.4 percent. Asking rents have seen a 7.7 percent growth over the past 12 months, while the national rate is 11.1 percent. Average monthly asking rents across LA County stand at $2,130, albeit still lower than the median monthly home payment of $2,659. Los Angeles multifamily market fundamentals remain favorable for investors. The area has one of the highest percentages of renters of any U.S. metro, comprising approximately half of all households. Already hefty housing prices in a highly competitive market have seen even greater increases over the past 20 months, resulting in a median home price of $795,000. This has left a significant part of the population priced out of homeownership. High construction costs, NIMBY sentiment and onerous permitting continue to plague the ability to deliver desperately needed housing units. …

May 10, 2022

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Los Angeles Industrial Market Reaches New Heights

by Jeff Shaw April 15, 2022

By Elizabeth Capati, Associate, Colliers Greater Los Angeles A new trend has emerged across Greater Los Angeles’ industrial market that has developers waiting for under-construction projects to capture the highest possible rent near the final development stages or closer to their target completion dates. With rents increasing at historical rates, a certain hesitancy exists, and companies are less likely to sign a lease during earlier development stages. In some instances, landlords ask listing agents to place certain buildings or projects on the market months in advance to build momentum and pique interest. Still, those landlords elect not to review offers until a month or two before their target completion date. Los Angeles is a land-constrained market where all new developments come from knocking down older, functionally obsolete buildings or conversions from other property types. The more contemporary, state-of-the-art facilities with the tallest warehouses and functional loading set the high water mark for new lease rates. With a 0.6 percent vacancy across an 862-million-square-foot market, tenants will continue to aggressively bid for any new big box space that comes to market. The South Bay and San Gabriel Valley markets are the only areas with more than 1 million square feet of development activity. Activity and Incentives …

April 15, 2022

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Reno Retail Sets Record Highs, Lows

by Jeff Shaw April 12, 2022

By Bret Nicholson, Retail Specialist, Marcus & Millichap Reno’s retail sector is setting records as of February 2022. Vacancies are hovering near an all-time low of 4.9 percent, and asking rents have risen to new heights, averaging $1.72 per square foot on a monthly basis. Sellers are achieving cap rates comparable to those seen in core markets, resulting in sale prices that many would not have thought possible only a few years ago. A number of factors have contributed to the continued absorption of retail vacancies in Reno. On a local level, Reno now has roughly 150 percent more six-figure jobs compared to 2015. This allows for more discretionary retail spending. In addition, very high construction costs and development delays have forced businesses to consider repurposing existing retail space. For example, a 24 Hour Fitness shuttered at 6155 Neil Road, leaving behind a vacant 24,000-square-foot special-use building. Not long after the health club’s exit, the Coral Academy of Science began renovating the space and is now an operational elementary school. Despite many vacancies having been repurposed and filled since 2020, demand for retail space in Reno continues. About 265,000 square feet of new construction is expected to be completed in 2022, which will be …

April 12, 2022

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Orange County’s Retail Sector Looks Resilient in 2022

by Jeff Shaw April 6, 2022

By Glenn R. Rudy, Senior Managing Director, Retail Capital Markets, Newmark We all know the commercial real estate industry is cyclical and there are casualties in every cycle across asset classes. However, retail seems to always be in everyone’s crosshairs. It quite frequently is the tail wagging the dog across institutional investors. Consider this, though: if there is one thing the pandemic has proven (once again), it is that the retail sector as a whole is one of the most resilient in the industry. Nowhere in the country is this statement more evident than here in Orange County. While investment sales activity was sluggish overall in 2021, picking up largely in the fourth quarter, retail leasing activity was record breaking. Annual net absorption turned positive after nine consecutive quarters of losses. Vacancy rates have not yet returned to pre-pandemic levels, but rent growth has reach a new all-time high as of year-end 2021. Tenants and landlords were both motivated to sign leases in 2021 to satisfy the increased market demand from consumers yearning to get out and be social again. Society wanted to spend its money on soft goods, dining out and enjoying the retail experience that was so sorely missed in 2020. On the investment …

April 6, 2022

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