Western Market Reports

3020-NE-45th-St-Seattle-WA

By Hank Wolfer, First Vice President of Investments, and Derek Peterson, Associate, Marcus & Millichap National retail chains favor Seattle’s surrounding neighborhoods. Prior to the pandemic, retailers were taking notice of strong demographic trends in the submarkets surrounding Seattle. Between 2009 and 2019, the number of households across the metropolitan area grew by 13 percent, nearly double the national rate. High homeownership costs directed many of those new households to the suburbs where living expenses are lower. Following rooftops, multiple developers have pursued expansion opportunities in these areas, with recently opened projects in locations like Renton, Frederickson and Shelton. These new floor plans are drawing prominent retailers, including 7-Eleven and medical provider DaVita Dialysis, as well as fast food operators like Popeyes. Although initially challenged by lockdowns, these facilities are poised to benefit from the ongoing economic recovery. Suburban properties are outperforming urban counterparts. While no tenant was free of pandemic-induced challenges, operations outside the urban core proved more resistant on average. Vacancy in downtown Seattle rose 80 basis points over the 12-month period that ended in March. This is compared with a 60 basis point climb in Tacoma and a 20 basis point increase in the Southend. Moving through the rest of 2021, metro-wide vacancy is …

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Planet-13-Orange-County

By Terrison Quinn, Managing Principal, SRS Real Estate Partners Despite a recent uptick in vacancy from 4.07 percent to 4.5 percent and a softening of rents from $32.99 to $32.55 per square foot, Orange County remains Southern California’s tightest retail market. And retail investors remain bullish for good reasons. Theaters, gyms and other uses shuttered by the pandemic have reopened to greater-than-expected customer demand. In fact, several health club chains have reported they are back to pre-COVID membership numbers. A multitude of entertainment groups and theaters are also communicating positive messages about demand and expressing an interest in expanding. Theater operators have generally said their limitation is more related to content than demand. The reopening success is even more obvious in categories like grocery stores and drive-thru restaurants. This is apparent in nearly every Orange County city as parking lots are visibly impacted and cars continue to spill out of fast food drive-thru lanes. Most notably, Amazon Fresh is aggressively opening new stores, while fast feeders like Raising Cane’s, Chick-fil-A and Starbucks can’t seem to open new stores fast enough. Sit-down restaurants have also experienced a resurgence in demand with many national and regional groups setting record same-store sales.  Clearly, …

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Corner-63-Seattle-WA

By Dylan Simon, Executive Vice President and Multifamily Specialist, Kidder Mathews It’s always easy to pick on the new kid. Seattle has enjoyed its emergence as a global city and, as such, exemplified “New Kid-itis” — yet it’s roaring back to life, and critics should take notice. It was only 18 months ago that Seattle could do no wrong. The city was teeming with young, upwardly mobile and highly employable apartment renters clamoring for places to live while selecting high earning jobs of their choice. Skyrocketing demand across nearly all sectors of commercial real estate was palpable, especially apartments. The impacts of COVID-19 and social unrest that ravaged the nation had a disproportionate impact on many urban centers. Arguably, its effects on Seattle lingered the longest. Demand for high-rise office space remained questionable as apartment renters second guessed urban living altogether. Civic dysfunction amplified the questioning of downtown Seattle’s livability, causing the apartment market to noticeably suffer. Yet spring is a time for regeneration and growth, and spring 2021 marked a turning point for the Seattle region and the entire apartment market. Occupancy Returns to Pre-Pandemic Levels The Seattle region’s multifamily market unquestionably enjoyed a bull run this past decade. Average …

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5550-Macadam-Portland-OR

By Tim Harrison, Research Manager, JLL After one the strictest and longest shelter-in-place orders in the nation, Oregon is officially back open for business and all signs point to a strong recovery in Portland. People are travelling again, with airline passengers through Portland International Airport totaling more than 1 million in May. This represents about 63 percent of the normal 2019 monthly average, according to the Port of Portland’s aviation stats. Perhaps most importantly, people are returning to the downtown core for both business and pleasure with weekly visits through Pioneer Mall — the center of downtown — up to about 70 percent of 2019’s average weekly visits, per Placer.ai. This optimism is transferring to the office market, where Portland leasing activity is up more than 33 percent year over year. The recovery is being led by industries old and new. Out in the suburbs, Portland’s largest apparel companies are expanding on campus, while new leases were signed by Lululemon and On-Running in newer creative spaces on the urban fringe.  Portland’s life sciences sector is approaching a critical mass as Bay Area company Twist Biosciences entered the market by absorbing 215,000 square feet. Meanwhile, Vancouver, Wash.-based AbSci raised more than …

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By Dan Blackwell, Executive Vice President, CBRE Demand for multifamily properties in Orange County continues to show great strength. This is driven by steady rent collections and favorable interest rates as apartments in the region have performed well during the pandemic. As investors look to buy stable, income-producing assets in Southern California, the focus on the multifamily sector in our region has intensified. We have witnessed increasing interest from first-time buyers over the past few weeks, in addition to continued interest from 1031 exchange investors and those who sat on the sidelines during much of 2020. This demand is buoyed by willing lenders offering favorable interest rates in the low 3 percent range due to the area’s excellent rent collection track record. Most buyers are looking for 50 percent to 60 percent leverage, with in-place capitalization rates typically ranging between 3.75 percent and 4.25 percent, depending on location. However, given the limited supply, we are seeing buyers bid pricing higher and cap rates compressing for many assets.  Private investors continue to be the predominate buyers, mainly driven by the need for diversification and a stable cash flow. We are receiving more requests from LA County investors that may have sold a multifamily …

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Bridge-Development-Partners

By Brian Cagayat, Research Analyst, Cushman & Wakefield Washington officially reopened at the end of the second quarter of 2021, lifting most of the COVID-19 restrictions that had been in place for more than a year and bringing a mixture of relief and uncertainty to residents and businesses. Workers in the industrial sector were mostly considered essential, so many continued to work onsite through the pandemic. The industrial sector was also instrumental in helping aid and support everyone through the pandemic conditions, with some of those leading industrial users based here in the Puget Sound. New leasing activity in the Puget Sound region has been explosive in 2021, totaling 14.1 million square feet in the first half of the year. This has nearly equaled the 15 million square feet of annual activity tracked in all of 2020. Net occupancy growth still remains a bit in the red through the first half of 2021 with a negative 423,000 square feet of absorption. However, we expect a considerable portion (of over 10 percent) of the 29.1 million square feet of leasing activity signed since 2020 to translate into net growth in future quarters once those companies officially take occupancy. Ecommerce and 3PL firms have been …

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By Bob Caudill, Executive Vice President, Colliers International From public and private funding increases to the demand created by the COVID-19 pandemic and the vaccine rollout combatting it, the life sciences sector is continuing to see a significant increase in interest from both developers and investors across the country. Rapid growth in advanced therapy medicinal products (ATMP) science, which includes gene therapy, is also driving demand for lab and manufacturing space from both early and mid-stage biotech companies. All-important leasing data points, such as vacancy and net absorption, further compare favorably to the challenged office market, suggesting even more positive days are ahead for this sector.  Orange County boasts world-class life sciences innovations and is continuing to grow its educational, employment and investment footprint. Given the amount of medical device and diagnostic equipment companies in Orange County that occupy office, research and development and industrial properties, life sciences has now become the largest industry in the market. In fact, Biocom’s 2020 California Economic Impact Report has Orange County generating $37.2 billion in economic activity and supporting more than 150,000 jobs.  Orange County’s growth is attributed to several factors, such as UC Irvine’s $1 billion expansion of its Medical and Health Sciences Complex. UC …

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By Pat Kesgard, Compass Commercial Real Estate Services When COVID-19 hit Central Oregon in April 2020, commercial real estate transactions effectively came to a halt. Transactions were either delayed or canceled and virtually no new deals started. We were back to almost normal by the beginning of the third quarter of 2020. Miraculously, the fourth quarter was above the previous year’s activity. Hospitality The hospitality industry suffered tremendously through the pandemic. The labor shortage extended the challenge of operating at full capacity, and this is still impacting businesses today. Fortunately, landlord and government subsidies helped many in the industry survive.  Retail Transactions in 2021 Compass completed more than 31 retail leases that totaled more than 85,000 square feet since January 1, 2021. The current retail vacancy rate is 5.86 percent with 264,077 square feet available for lease. We noted some softening in rents in 2020, and are now starting to see asking rates returning to normal. The redevelopment of older properties continues, along with new localized projects in areas outside of downtown Bend. We expect to see this trend continue for the unforeseeable future. Large retail spaces opened up when the former Sears and Shopko closed in 2020. Both buildings were eventually …

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Allaso-Journal-Center-Albuquerque-NM

By Billy Eagle and Erik Olson, Senior Vice Presidents of Investment Properties, Multifamily, CBRE In Albuquerque, New Mexico’s largest city, multifamily demand remains high. Rents have steadily increased, though multifamily development remains sluggish due to the lack of developable land sites and geographic constraints. Most other New Mexico cities are also seeing a small pipeline of new multifamily projects due to increased material costs. However, contrary to other cities in New Mexico, the northern New Mexico City of Santa Fe has seen a boom in multifamily development. Santa Fe’s highly resilient and fundamentally sound multifamily market is highlighted throughout the pandemic. The state capitol is renowned for its Southwest culture, luxurious resorts and world-class art markets. Its economic drivers include, but are not limited to, tourism (more than 1 million visitors per year), government (Los Alamos National Labs is located nearby), medical and boutique financial services.  The Santa Fe apartment market had record occupancies at 96.91 percent in January 2021 and year-over-year rent growth of 7.6 percent. The average weighted rent was $1,102 per month among a total of 3,385 market-rate units. Nearly 16 months later, they are averaging almost $1,300 per month, an 18 percent increase. Santa Fe also added 503 market-rate units to …

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By Stuart Zall, President, The Zall Company No matter how you look at it, Colorado is in a great position for strong post-pandemic recovery and growth. People are moving here from around the country at historic numbers. With low interest rates and an influx of buyers prepared to pay well over asking prices, the residential real estate market is experiencing unprecedented activity, and we expect the commercial market to follow suit. Now that the vaccine has created less concern about COVID-19, people are getting out again and we’re seeing a lot of pent-up demand as businesses reopen, eateries expand capacity and restrictions on crowd size are lifted.  Downtown Denver Takes Action To Lure People Back Within the Front Range retail market, downtown Denver took the biggest pandemic hit by far. Prior to 2020, downtown served a population of more than 150,000 daytime workers, the convention center was booked for years out, bringing thousands of conventioneers from all over the country, and sports and tourist venues like Elitch Gardens attracted huge crowds.   Now the city is working hard to bring back workers. The Downtown Denver Partnership recently launched the Denver’s Ready campaign to encourage employers and employees to return to in-person work. Enticements include extension …

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