Northern California’s multifamily market has a strong development pipeline right now, but after 2020, it drops off dramatically. There is an increasingly toxic political climate in California, with measures like AB 1482 and the revival of Prop 10, which will likely throw a wrench in any planned development beyond 2020. Some of the most notable projects currently underway include Brooklyn Basin’s Orion in Oakland. The first 241 units out of a planned 3,700 have been completed. Brooklyn Basin is a $1.5 billion project that is reshaping the Oakland waterfront and transforming the area into a new, vibrant neighborhood. In San Jose, the area around the proposed Google downtown campus is also on everyone’s radar. The majority of current Bay Area development is concentrated in Oakland and Santa Clara County, with the latter currently experiencing a 4.57 percent vacancy rate. Market fundamentals, including proximity to jobs and a more welcoming environment toward multifamily development have attracted developers and renters alike to these two places. Developers Carmel Partner, Hanover and Holland have been particularly active in Oakland, as of late. Current conditions in Northern California have produced a tenant’s market, with an abundance of new units coming online at once. We are …
Northern California’s retail real estate market is undergoing somewhat of a seismic shift. Traditional shopping centers, such as Serramonte Mall in Daly City and Hillsdale Mall in San Mateo, are seeing name-brand retailers like Payless Shoesource, Gymboree and Charlotte Russe closing stores. This has dictated a recalibration in leasing strategy. , These “prime” retail spaces are often successfully backfilled by business and lifestyle tenants like professional service firms, fitness centers, coffee shops, restaurants and entertainment centers — the sort of businesses that can regain foot traffic. This trend toward more lifestyle and entertainment tenants — often called experiential retail — can also be seen in the region’s vibrant market for new mixed-use developments. Multifamily communities in San Francisco, Cupertino, Santa Clara and Oakland will be delivered in the coming months. Many of these projects are urban infill, transit-oriented developments, which naturally offer strong street-level retail locations. In this setting, experiential retail works well for apartment residents and local foot traffic. Nearly 6 million square feet of new office has been proposed in downtown San Jose, which is driving strong retail interest from new restaurants and service retail. Vacancy rates for retail properties throughout the Bay Area have ticked up slightly, …
Class A product is going off the market fast in Northern California’s industrial basin. Older product is sitting on the market longer, while mid-sized spaces are still the East Bay’s bread and butter. Net absorption has been pegged on a negative trend due to new construction and the volume of deals slowing down. Certain products are giving concessions to compete with newer product, while some landlords are trying to push the market limits to see how heavy tenant’s pockets really are. Several significant leases were signed in the East Bay during the second quarter of 2019. The largest deal of the quarter belonged to Service West, a furniture installer that signed a renewal and expansion totaling 252,021 square feet in San Leandro at 2350 Williams Street. Javelin Logistics, a logistics and distribution provider, also inked a new lease for 134,279 square feet at 7091 Central Ave. in Newark. Confluent Medical had the largest research and development deal of the second quarter, totaling 65,385 square feet. The material science tech company renewed at 47513 Westinghouse Drive in Fremont. The most significant investment sale of the second quarter occurred at 44100 and 44200 Osgood Road in Fremont. This is where Western Digital …
With all the changes occurring in retail over the past decade, the industry, as a whole, is being transformed before our eyes. These shifts have impacted how new retail development is taking place throughout the Phoenix area. It is also driving a significant change to how retail developers will operate over the next decade. The operational changes are dramatically affecting the prototypes of retailers. These changes are making it necessary for some retailers to relocate from an inline space at the back of a center to an outparcel with street-front visibility. It becomes even more complicated as more and more tenants are demanding a drive-thru. Panera Bread, Chipotle and Starbucks are just a few examples of retailers that have revised their real estate requirements to accommodate a drive-thru. Many retailers are also consolidating their total number of stores or downsizing their traditional physical footprint, which is also impacting centers. Some chains have even waved the white flag and closed their business altogether. These changes are driving the design of new retail projects throughout Phoenix. While the traditional configurations of regional malls, power centers and neighborhood shopping centers will always be a staple, the retailer’s shift to be up front and …
Multifamily rental demand in Metro Phoenix has been supported by higher education, while job growth has bolstered construction in the core and neighboring suburbs. Arizona State University has transformed the multifamily properties surrounding its large campuses in Tempe, Downtown Phoenix, Glendale and Mesa. The multifamily rental assets in the West Valley submarket have also been rejuvenated by Grand Canyon University. Thanks to these institutions and several others in the Greater Phoenix area, the growing skilled labor force has benefitted from job growth by supporting several Fortune 500 companies that have continued to increase their presence throughout the region. The recent expansions allow more graduates to remain in the Phoenix area and attract many new professionals to the market, ultimately enhancing rental demand in Phoenix and its neighboring suburbs. The rising number of residences has compressed vacancy rates in the metro as thousands of units are absorbed annually. This market demand will support the continued rise in rental prices and spur apartment development in the upcoming years. Apartment development has continued its strong pace in Phoenix. The metro is expanding its rental supply with about 8,250 units finalizing in 2019. Of this year’s deposit, roughly 2,600 units will be added to …
Phoenix is known for its strength as a logistics and distribution market. This is particularly true in the Southwest Valley, which has become the poster child for all that makes Phoenix industrial space great: strong population growth, a deep and qualified workforce, an abundance of land and building opportunities, and a lower-cost, business-friendly regulatory environment. As of the second quarter, these benefits helped the Southwest Valley emerge as No. 1 in the nation for industrial prospects looking for space (based on interest from at least 83 tenants with a maximum requirement of more than 30 million square feet). These prospects include national and regional distribution centers, third-party distribution providers, major ecommerce users, and a robust food and beverage sector led by companies like Fairlife Dairy, UFI, Ferrara Candy and Red Bull. It also comes from the reshoring of manufacturing from organizations like Hutamaki, Ball Enclosure and Anderson Windows. Data centers continue to flock to Phoenix as well, purchasing about 2,000 acres over the past 24 months and positioning the Valley among the nation’s top five U.S. data center markets. Data center interests like Microsoft, Vantage Data and Google have selected Phoenix for its low natural disaster risk, ample affordable land …
It isn’t just temperatures that are scorching in the Phoenix metro this summer. The multifamily rental market is hot as well; and vigorous demand is coming from both renters and investors. Investors are snapping up apartment properties and paying hefty prices. Buyers spent $3.72 billion on 94 Phoenix-area apartment complexes in the first half of 2019, a 41.8 percent jump from the first half of 2018. Sales in the $50 million range experienced the greatest rate of acceleration. The Driving Factors Behind Strong Demand Phoenix is the fastest-growing city in the U.S., according to recently released data from the U.S. Census Bureau. The region saw an increase of 25,288 new residents between 2017 and 2018, topping all other U.S. cities. One reason for that growth is that Phoenix remains more affordable than many other large U.S. metros. People are flocking to the Valley from high-cost, high-tech cities like Los Angeles and San Diego. Phoenix also boasts a thriving job market that includes a fast-growing, high-paying tech sector. Other booming industries include bioscience/healthcare and financial services. In fact, the Phoenix metro led the U.S. for new jobs created from May 2018 to May 2019 with 66,500 non-farm jobs, representing 3.2 percent …
Greater Phoenix has re-cast itself in this real estate cycle. It is no longer expected to play the “boom-to-bust” role in the office sector. The metro area has definitely expanded its breadth of industries, reaching beyond homebuilding and professional services to now feature some of the country’s leading insurance corporations, technology companies and medical innovators. This diversification promises to buffer any future fall in nationwide economic activity. Greater Phoenix continues to lead the country in job creation, adding an estimated 66,500 net new jobs between May 2018 and May 2019, marking a 3.2 percent increase. These jobs are coming from companies like Carvana, AllState and WageWorks. Phoenix has benefitted from great exposure from in the national media, which has matriculated to corporate America and attracted broad attention. The Greater Phoenix MSA boasts a phenomenal combination of attractive cost of living, growing wages and an enviable lifestyle. This package of appealing factors has allowed Phoenix to garner more than its fair share of corporate expansions and relocations throughout the Western U.S. Demand has been strong for office space in the area. However, a diminishing availability of quality, speculative space is creating a battle for the tenants. Sizable users wanting signature spaces …
Seattle has always been a strong industrial market, known for its busy ports and, more recently, its position as one of the most successful tech hubs outside of Silicon Valley. As the global economy continues to shift toward the Internet of things (IoT), Seattle industrial space is catapulting into a new category of demand. That growth is spurred on by companies like Microsoft, Amazon and Google, which continue to expand their footprints here and generate a growing inflow of technology, population and industrial requirements. The ports of Seattle and Tacoma were ranked among the busiest in the nation at the end of 2018. They collectively processed nearly 3 million TEUs (or 20-foot equivalent shipping container unit) in volume. Year-over-year, Seattle’s TEU has also grown by 27.5 percent, one of the fastest growth rates of all U.S ports. This activity has kept the Puget Sound industrial vacancy rate at 4.9 percent as of the second quarter of 2019. Industrial inventory in close-in areas of South Seattle like the Georgetown submarket has tightened to an even lower 1 percent vacancy rate. Rents, meanwhile, have increased north of $1.20 per square foot as more and more buildings are converted to creative office and …
Notions of Seattle as a grunge-rock town with logging roots are in the rear-view mirror. While Seattle’s past is marked by the 1850s Klondike Gold Rush, 1970s Boeing Bust and 1990s Microsoft Millionaires run, today’s economy is dotted with news of exceptional growth from Apple, Amazon, Facebook, Google and Salesforce. To say that Seattle’s economy is both booming and diversified is an understatement. A benefactor of such continued growth is the regional rental market. Jobs, Jobs, Jobs Ecommerce juggernaut Amazon has assembled 12 million square feet of Class A office space in Downtown Seattle over the past several years. Now, Bellevue — not more than 10 miles from Downtown Seattle — is receiving attention from Amazon with commitments for 2 million square feet. Adding to that, Apple is committing to more than 625,000 square feet of office space; Facebook’s footprint is around 2.7 million square feet; and Salesforce has chosen Seattle as its second global headquarters. Given high wages and more economical for-rent and for-sale office and housing space (on a relative basis), it’s no surprise Seattle still has runway for sustainable economic growth. Development Pipeline Apartment developers seized upon Seattle’s modern day Gold Rush. Developers added 55,000 apartment units …