Utah’s industrial real estate market shines while validating real estate fundamentals. Tight supply and consistent demand are contributing to rising sales prices and lease rates. The lack of options – with vacancy at 3.79 percent – presents a bottleneck to Utah’s economic growth. An underlying trend is the tenant’s flight to quality. Users are demanding high function in prime locations. One of the differences this time around is the increasing magnitude of discounts landlords are conceding to move properties with any functional obsolescence or locational challenges. Meanwhile, the delineation of legitimate submarkets along the Wasatch Front continues. All the data points are variable within the individual submarkets: land prices, lease rates, vacancy, etc. The submarkets were historically defined by square foot increments, then by use, and now, increasingly, by geography and use. Labor pool, access and infrastructure are prime determinants resurrecting the old adage of location, location, location. Utah’s most active industrial submarket continues to be the northwest region, followed by the Point of the Mountain. Demand for bulk distribution product was constant across most geographic markets, topping out at 2.1 million square feet, which is up 23 percent from 2014. Midbox, service and flex product were in highest demand …
Western Market Reports
The retail market in Utah continues to build steam and has expanded over the past 12 months. With these gains, tenants are in abundance and new construction is on the rise. Vacancy continued to improve through 2014, as the overall vacancy rate declined by 0.7 percentage points on a year-over-year basis to end at 6.2 percent. This represents the lowest vacancy rate of the past decade. With supply constrained and demand improving, average asking lease rates jumped by 9 percent on a year-over-year basis, to $18.98 per square foot. New construction continued across the valley, with 548,577 square feet of space added to the market. The local housing market drives retail development in Utah. About 18,573 building permits have been issued throughout the state in the past two years, including multifamily projects. This construction pushed many retailers into expansion mode, looking to take up shop in locations that cut off the competition. This is particularly true in one segment of the market that now stands supreme in the Utah retail ecosystem: grocery. Grocers have expanded at a breakneck rate. Sprout’s Farmers Market opened new stores in Holladay and South Jordan. A Smith’s Marketplace opened its doors in West Jordan at …
Be careful what you wish for, industrial brokers. After years of recession, brokers have been given a second life. Virtually every broker we talk to can appreciate the boom this time around. The Las Vegas industrial market has seen positive absorption nearing pre-recession highs. With land selling, occupancy rising and major players vying for any asset, the forecast should remain bright for the next 12 to 24 months. Nearly 3,000 acres of industrial, commercial and residential land was sold in 2014, accounting for more than $700 million in sales volume. Las Vegas’ industrial vacancy was around 9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2014, a low since 2008. The fourth quarter also marked the eighth consecutive quarter of positive net absorption in Southern Nevada’s industrial market. All good news. The marketplace is swelling with credibility. Panattoni Development Co. bought a 103,000-square-foot industrial building and is developing another 200,000 square feet in the southwest market. ProLogis is developing several big box developments in North Las Vegas. Dermody Properties is reportedly developing industrial space this year, too . One key component of these new developments is that Las Vegas’ Class A criteria needle is moving upward, with 30- to 32-foot clear big …
Boosted by healthy employment growth, demand for apartments in Las Vegas metro area surged in 2014. Local employment grew 2.7 percent, outpacing the 2.1 percent national gain last year as metro-wide apartment vacancy plunged 110 basis points to 6.8 percent. Employers added 22,900 jobs to payrolls in 2014, as nine of the 11 job sectors hired, indicating broad-based economic resiliency and supporting demand across all classes of apartments. Apartment operators particularly benefited from outsized expansion in the trade, transportation and utilities, and the leisure and hospitality sectors, where a combined 7,400 jobs were created. Mass hiring in the Downtown Summerlin mixed-use development, The LINQ and Zappos.com significantly contributed to growth in these segments. The greatest rate of increase, a 10.5 percent gain, occurred in the construction industry, as 4,200 workers were hired. The effects of hiring were felt in the apartment rental market as 3,790 units were absorbed in 2014, up from 1,990 units absorbed during the preceding year. Absorption outpaced deliveries, underpinning the sharp drop in vacancy. Operators moved to take advantage of demand by advancing monthly asking rents 3.1 percent marketwide to $837 per month, the greatest annual increase since 2006. At the same time, operators scaled back …
The Las Vegas office market continues to recover and stabilize, capping off 2014 with the 12th consecutive quarter of positive net absorption. Initially slow to recover following the recession, the area’s rebound has recently quickened. The market has an unemployment rate of 7.1 percent, with 2014 being the first year since 2008 to see a rate below 8 percent. Office-related jobs represented 20 percent of the workforce, second only to hospitality, proving the office market is an important part of the area’s growth and vitality. Class A office space along the I-215 Beltway currently shows strong activity. Las Vegas is home to two suburbs that historically were among the fastest-growing communities in the nation: Green Valley in the southeast and Summerlin in the west. Initially built as a means to connect the populations of these communities, the Beltway now extends around the city, connecting to I-15 in the northern valley. Notable recent developments along the Beltway include Krausz Companies’ and WGH Partners’ Gramercy, a mixed-use office, retail and multifamily project in the southwest that added 175,000 square feet of Class A office space in the third quarter of 2014, and The Howard Hughes Corporation’s Downtown Summerlin, a mixed-use project that …
It is great to be in Las Vegas and witness the city’s strong recovery from the economic lows of a few years ago. Exciting projects like the $500-million LINQ entertainment and retail promenade, the 1.6-million-square-foot Downtown Summerlin lifestyle center and the market’s first IKEA, now under development, are filling the region with promise. Las Vegas added more than 25,000 jobs between 2013 and 2014, a 3.3 percent increase, representing the third highest growth rate in the country during that time. As opposed to the previous economic boom that was largely driven by construction growth, the job growth in this recovery has been evenly spread across several sectors like general services (retail), professional/business, education, healthcare and leisure/travel. Las Vegas also hit a milestone in 2014 when it reached a record-setting 41.1 million visitors for the year. Those visitors included 5.2 million conventioneers, the highest total since 2008. As the Las Vegas economy continues to expand, retail is leading the pack with taxable sales that have already increased an astounding 29.4 percent from the recession low, including an 8.1 percent year-over-year increase in the past 12 months. Total taxable spending in the region is near its highest levels in history, reaching $36.2 …
The retail market in Utah continues to build steam and has expanded over the past 12 months. With these gains, tenants are in abundance and new construction is on the rise. Vacancy continued to improve through 2014, as the overall vacancy rate declined by 0.7 percentage points on a year-over-year basis to end at 6.2 percent. This represents the lowest vacancy rate of the past decade. With supply constrained and demand improving, average asking lease rates jumped by 9 percent on a year-over-year basis, to $18.98 per square foot. New construction continued across the valley, with 548,577 square feet of space added to the market. The local housing market drives retail development in Utah. About 18,573 building permits have been issued throughout the state in the past two years, including multifamily projects. This construction pushed many retailers into expansion mode, looking to take up shop in locations that cut off the competition. This is particularly true in one segment of the market that now stands supreme in the Utah retail ecosystem: grocery. Grocers have expanded at a breakneck rate. Sprout’s Farmers Market opened new stores in Holladay and South Jordan. A Smith’s Marketplace opened its doors in West Jordan at …
San Diego’s core commercial office markets continue to tighten. Less than 1 million square feet was added last year, while more than 1.2 million square feet was absorbed. In 2014, construction commenced on the first speculative high-rise office project since Hines’ La Jolla Commons I in 2008. The Irvine Company plans to deliver a 306,000-square-foot, Class A development called One La Jolla Center in UTC this year. This project follows on the heels of the adjacent 415,000-square-foot, build-to-suit for LPL. This activity points to a strengthening market as developers, equity partners and lenders believe the benefit outweighs the risk of speculative development. Sorrento Mesa also received 410,000 square feet of new office space at 10001 Pacific Heights Blvd. last year that was pre-committed by owner-user Qualcomm. The overall vacancy rate for the core markets in three San Diego regions (Downtown, Central and North County) was reduced to 11.5 percent by year’s end, indicating a tight market for users. Rent spikes can be anticipated when vacancy rates shrink to single digits. This should occur this year in submarkets like the Uptown area (5.5 percent), Poway (5.4 percent), Rancho Bernardo (6.8 percent), North Beach Cities (5.7 percent), Torrey Pines (8.0 percent), Sorrento …
Before raising the curtain on 2015, it is important to understand how the stage has been set. The Phoenix industrial sector continues to build for changes in the market. Local and national developers delivered 6.3 million square feet of speculative industrial warehousing in the market last year, primarily due to big box projects. While most of these projects were in the Southwest Phoenix submarket, we have seen construction in the Sky Harbor and Southeast Valley submarkets as well. The national economy continues to improve slowly, and while activity levels during the numerous projects have been steady, closed deals for large blocks of space continue to be elusive. Although net absorption was positive by the end of last year, lease transaction volumes were mostly in the 50,000 to 200,000 square feet range. This prompted developers to modify their efforts by offering to divide their big boxes to accommodate partial building tenants, where prior expectations were geared toward single-tenant, full-building occupancy. There were still several big box projects under construction by the end of last year. This includes projects by Wentworth Properties, Trammel Crow/Clarion Partners, Conor Commercial, Hillwood and several other projects in shovel-ready position. Those ready to break ground include Prologis, …
The Phoenix retail market ended 2014 on a promising note, with vacancy rates dipping below 10 percent for the first time since the Great Recession ended. It also experienced net absorption of more than 2 million square feet of retail space. Expectations for 2015 are positive, and continued improvement is anticipated, albeit slower than we might have hoped. While many segments of the market have improved, lackluster job growth and housing sales have slowed the recovery. However, both areas show signs of improvement for the coming year. Forecasts estimate Phoenix will add about 70,000 jobs in 2015, bringing the total number close to the pre-recession total. The demand for single-family housing should improve with the continuance of low interest rates, job growth and investor interest. The market is finally showing signs it is on the upward path to recovery. Leasing activity for Class A space remains strong, while rental rates are on the rise. We have seen marked improvement in some areas like Scottsdale where rates for Class A space in centers like The Marketplace at Lincoln & Scottsdale and Hilton Village are approaching or surpassing $40 per square foot, and where vacancy rates are below 6 percent. In contrast, …