New paradigms in tenant demand and workplace trends have dramatically altered Los Angeles’ office market in the past three years. Internet, creative and entertainment (ICE) tenants have primarily pushed demand and new trends in adaptive reuse, while finance, insurance and real estate (FIRE) end users — along with their law firm counterparts — have contracted. This is often due to lower spatial requirements per employee, coupled with the rising trend of collaborative space. The segments of LA with repurposed and renovated office properties are white hot. This is especially true in Santa Monica’s Silicon Beach area where rents average $50 but can get as high as $70 per square foot. This new coastal, high-rent district benefits its surrounding areas, as well as the city’s CBD and Downtown, where tenants are seeking lower-cost space. Despite an overall market vacancy of about 18 percent, Downtown rents are holding steady due to a concentration of Class-A owners holding firm or even slightly escalating rates. Considering the real estate fundamentals — relatively high vacancy and 9.5 percent unemployment — there may be a disconnect in the investment market. Los Angeles office investment is generally still a bargain compared to other global gateway markets, however. …
Western Market Reports
While economic uncertainty still abounds, the Los Angeles County retail market remains on the road to recovery. Several significant leases were signed during 2013, representing an expansion of both value retailers and luxury brands. Also contributing to positive market momentum was the lack of massive closures by big box retailers, such as Borders and Blockbuster, which were seen in previous years. Los Angeles also maintained its status as a primary market for investors. Cap rates trended in the low- to mid-5 percent range for core grocery/drugstore-anchored product and around the 6 percent range for power/promotional shopping centers. Investor demand was strong for high-profile and street-front retail in Hollywood and Beverly Hills, resulting in aggressive acquisition terms and cap rates falling into the four percent range and below. Los Angeles’ retail market overall experienced moderate leasing activity in 2013. CoStar reported a positive net absorption of 850,112 square feet in the third quarter. However, one submarket that saw significant activity—retail and otherwise—was Downtown LA with the FIGat7th open-air shopping center leading the renaissance. In addition to CityTarget, which opened here in 2012, FIGat7th recently signed a 27,000-square-foot lease with Spanish clothier Zara for a flagship location and a 32,000-square-foot lease with …
In its entirety, the Orange County industrial market showed positive net absorption at the closing of 2013. Neighboring markets like Los Angeles and the Inland Empire, however, displayed a more robust recovery when compared to the Orange County industrial market. This reflects a less aggressive, but steady decrease in vacancy at about 4.3 percent — a number that has not been seen since the third quarter of 2008. Most of the market’s leasing activity has been established by users in the less than 100,000 square feet range. A few notable large transactions that took place in 2013: • Cargill, Inc. moving into 184,438 square feet at Fullerton Crossroads • Obey Clothing moving into 170,466 square feet on Michelson Drive in Irvine • Cavotec Dabico US Inc. moving into 159,943 square feet at 5665 Corporate Ave. in Cypress Pointe Rental rates steadily increased in 2013. The average quoted asking rate for available industrial space was $8.49 per square foot, per year at the end of the third quarter of 2013. This represented a 1.3 percent increase in quoted rental rates from the end of the second quarter, as rents were reported at $8.38 per square foot. Although lease rates underwent one …
Strong recent job growth in Orange County has led to a major pickup in demand for quality retail space. The county’s low development profile has resulted in correspondingly high long-term occupancy levels. Thus, the recent recession with its negative absorption drove the local community neighborhood shopping center rate no higher than the 7 percent peak it reached in the first quarter of 2010. Descent has been the trend ever since. The rate has dropped to 5.5 percent by the end of the second quarter, down 40 basis points year-over-year amid modest additions to supply. The second quarter National Community neighborhood sector rates, by comparison, were notably higher at 10.5 percent. Orange County power centers’ vacancy rates are also lower than the national rate. There have been no power center projects completed in the county since 2007. The vacancy rate for power centers in Orange County is 3.9 percent, compared to 5.7 percent nationally. Orange County’s typically strong economy, positive population growth and high levels of affluence bode well for local retailing and the local retail real estate market. All of Orange County’s cores will see new retail development delivered in 2014 and beyond. Some of the new development will be …
The boom times of retail development in Metro Phoenix, which started in the mid-‘90s, have long been considered the “good ol’days.” The market peak of 2007, when 11.2 million square feet of new retail was delivered, was followed by development plummet. Between 2010 and 2012, the region averaged less than 1 million square feet per year. Phoenix’s retail recovery began in 2011, and has experienced a steadily increasing demand for existing space. Though few are singing “Happy Days are Here Again,” times are looking up. Retail and restaurant sales are increasing in Phoenix. This, combined with an availability of quality retail locations at attractive rents, has inspired national and regional retailers and restaurants to increasingly think about Phoenix when they’re looking to expand. Much of the demand for new retail and restaurant space has occurred in mature areas since the start of the recovery. As reports of new home sales increase in the outlying areas, however, some of the troubled retail centers that were built between 2006 and 2008 are experiencing an increase of activity. Retail vacancy rates dropped in the past nine months by almost 1 percent, settling at 10.5 percent for the third quarter of this year. The …
Optimism is returning to the Inland Empire office market. With an overall vacancy rate of 18.3 percent at the end of the third quarter, the office sector is slowly improving. It’s down from a 19.4 percent vacancy rate, which was recorded in the second quarter of 2013. The declining vacancy number shows activity is increasing throughout the Inland Empire as tenants feel now is the time to take advantage of below-market rental rates for Class A and B properties. Landlords are also competing to lower their vacancy levels. They’re negotiating rental rates, tenant improvements and free rent concessions. Nevertheless, it’s a tenants’ market. There is an absence of new construction throughout the region and, as occupancies continue to improve, renewal negotiations will become tougher for tenants as the market is expected to gradually favor landlords as fundamentals continue their positive momentum. With that said, tenant urgency is returning to the market as absorption levels increase and options for quality product diminish. In fact, we’re starting to see rent growth in certain sectors of the market. The average overall asking lease rate ended the quarter at $1.73 per square foot, increasing by 1 cent from the previous quarter. CBRE forecasts that …
The metro Phoenix office market is finally starting to make a comeback. Metro Phoenix ranked third in the nation in terms of net absorption for the third quarter, posting a positive 1,008,933 square feet. Demand has been steadily increasing for the office sector, especially for buildings that can accommodate large corporate users. Phoenix’s office market is still recovering from a large oversupply. The office vacancy rate more than doubled from the beginning of 2007 to the second quarter of 2011, increasing from 12.2 percent to 24.5 percent. Since then, a gradual increase in demand and a lack of new construction has brought the vacancy rate down to 21.2 percent. Right-sizing by office users through the consolidation of space, and by using more efficient floor plates, has slowed the overall decline in vacancy. To draw a parallel to the 2001 recession, demand for office space in Metro Phoenix was weak in the first three years of recovery, averaging 1.7 million square feet of annual net absorption. The office sector took off in 2005, 2006 and 2007, averaging 2.8 million square feet of annual net absorption. Due to the recent increase in demand, build-to-suit and speculative construction announcements made the news in …
The Inland Empire’s commercial real estate market is seeing large big box industrial buildings of 300,000 square feet or more being built on a speculative basis — and they are being absorbed by a healthy market. There is nearly 10.4 million square feet of industrial space currently under construction in this region. Once completed, this new space will increase the total inventory of industrial properties by 2 percent, or from 509 million square feet to 520 million square feet. At the same time, unemployment is above 7 percent for the nation and almost 9 percent in California, with many questioning the strength of the economy. If it seems like a big gamble for developers of these big projects to be building in such uncertain times, think again. This money will likely fare better than it would in the bank. These large projects are being leased and sold. Since 1982 — when only 3.5 million square feet was constructed for the year — the Inland Empire has seen average construction levels of about 13 million square feet annually. Some years it seemed like construction could not keep up with demand. This was the case in 1989, when 34.3 million square feet …
Southern New Mexico's industrial market, particularly Dona Ana County, has remained stable through 2013. We project solid growth in this arena for 2014. A majority of the growth will be in the Santa Teresa area where Union Pacific is in the middle of a massive investment that will create the largest intermodal inland port in the United States. This project has already brought jobs and more than $40 million to New Mexico contractors so far. It is expected to create more than 600 permanent jobs in mechanical, electrical, architectural, utilities, track and civil engineering. Santa Teresa’s intermodal station has started to generate significant conversations with major companies for distribution and warehouse properties. Growth in Santa Teresa is further fueled by the proximity to the Mexican border where many of these same companies operate maquiladora plants on the Mexican side. We continue to struggle to meet demands for large-box users in Santa Teresa due to the limited availability of space in the area. This problem is compounded by the tight lending market, where little equity is available to developers looking to bring new speculative space on line. Additionally, many of the users looking in the Santa Teresa area typically do not …
International trade is a driving force behind one of the most vibrant industrial markets in the nation. There are more than 1.7 billion square feet of industrial space in Los Angeles County, Orange County and the Inland Empire, with 18.2 million square feet of additional space under construction at the end of the third quarter. The South Bay and Central Los Angeles markets are leading the way in new development in Los Angeles County. The LA Basin’s occupancy gains of 12.7 million square feet during the first nine months of the year dropped its overall vacancy rate to 4.9 percent, from 5 percent last quarter and 5.3 percent a year ago. As the logistics hub of Southern California and the big-box capital of the U.S., international trade is especially critical to the Inland Empire’s industrial market. As a result of increased demand for modern warehouse facilities, warehouse construction in the Inland Empire more than doubled from a year ago to 16.4 million square feet. It was the most active in the nation. Increased demand for industrial space in the Inland Empire lowered the overall vacancy rate to 6.2 percent in the third quarter. This was 60 basis points lower than …