Property performance improved meaningfully with both vacancy and concessions trending lower in 2011. Asking rents ticked up 2.7 percent to $1,084 per month during that span. Furthermore, the 6,400 fewer jobs recorded during the first half of 2011 was offset by the hiring of 29,000 workers over the final two quarters. These gains supported a 29.5 percent increase in deal flow to 57 sales. However, the prevalence of small acquisitions caused a 13.2 percent dip in dollar volume to $500.5 million last year. New apartment completions, as well as permits issued, were the lowest annual total on record in more than 15 years. The Inland Empire will follow economic growth patterns more reflective of national trends through 2012 and into the future. It will not be returning to the iconic growth that characterized the region from the early years of the past decade up to 2007, when the last notable expansion firmly cemented the metro area as one of the nation's top economic engines of the time. As the region continues to mature, with vast swaths of land developed over the past decade for infrastructure, housing and distribution centers, one of its key growth drivers, construction, is apt to remain …
Western Market Reports
Salt Lake City’s retail market will post modest occupancy growth through year’s end, though performance will vary considerably by location, as weak housing conditions weigh heavily on parts of the metro. For example, many shopping centers in the Midvale/Sandy/Southeast, Southwest and Weber and Davis counties submarkets, which were home to significant residential and retail construction during the housing boom, will post vacancy in the mid-teens this year. While weakness will persist until the housing market enters a formidable recovery, outer suburbs may offer strong long-term growth opportunities, particularly in the south, as the final leg of Trax extends from Sandy to Draper. In the near term, however, close-in submarkets will outperform. In the South Central area, which experienced limited construction ahead of the recession, vacancy will hover around 5.5 percent. Within the submarket, discount stores, such as Savers, Goodwill and Dollar Tree, along with fitness centers, have started to backfill vacant spaces, taking advantage of discounted rents. Investors will seek healthy returns in Salt Lake City, though limited for-sale inventory will hamper velocity. Private buyers, mostly from Utah or the Western region, will favor performing strip centers and smaller single-tenant deals, such as fast food and drugstore assets, along with …
As all of us in the retail market know, the past few years have been downright tough. It’s safe to say that we all felt a slight shift in mid-2011 where it seemed that we may — just may — have stabilized. With Tivioli’s success, Sportsman’s Warehouse re-entering the market and Hobby Lobby taking the plunge into Las Vegas, it seems we may have overcome the black “X” looming over our market. Our asking rent numbers are hovering around $1.50 per square foot, and retailers like Nima Accessories, Firestone Tires, Children’s Place, Winco and Dollar General are taking advantage of these rents and expanding valley wide. More than half of the leases completed in the past year were local retailers either relocating or expanding. The retail vacancy rate valley wide is about 11 percent, up from the fourth quarter of 2010. The Southwest submarket shows the lowest vacancy rate, about 9 percent, with the West Central submarket at the highest, about 15 percent. The market absorbed more than 119,000 square feet of retail product throughout the year. Two new Winco stores add 195,000 square feet to our retail inventory, and to the net absorption for 2012. Retail sales also picked …
The apartment market in the Greater Salt Lake area continues to be strong and vibrant. The past two quarters of 2011 demonstrated an upward pressure on rents. Overall occupancy is at 94.9 percent, up from 93 percent in 2010. Vacancy presently hovers around 5 percent and appears as though it will remain so, which is evidence of a tight rental market. These signs enable managers/owners to increase rental rates and drop concession offerings with exception to newly constructed projects during their initial lease up. Apartment development also remains robust in the downtown Salt Lake market where the City Creek project, being developed by the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints, will be adding more than 1,000 new units. These units will be a part of a significant redevelopment of several downtown city blocks that will add new office and retail product in addition to multifamily. With this kind of unit increase in the immediate downtown market, nearby small and large projects will soon be able to raise rents as the new units will command the highest rates. The total amount of new units expected to come onto the market in the next year is approximately 1,900, with the …
Multifamily development has come to a near halt in Las Vegas. In 2011, only two market rate properties finished their deliveries with a total of 682 units, most of which had already been completed in 2010. Only one market rate property was started in 2011. This 156-unit project was originally started as for-sale townhomes, but after a foreclosure, the development is being completed by Alliance Residential as a rental property. Other development is limited to affordable or senior housing. We are expecting a limited number of market rate starts this year, but at numbers that will not significantly impact existing inventory. The most active market rate developers in Las Vegas over the past years have been Picerne Real Estate Group, Alliance Residential, Fairfield Residential, Ovation Development, Trammel Crow Residential and Nevada West Development. Fore Property Company has been active in both the market rate and affordable sector, and Nevada Hand remains active in the affordable and senior sector. Between 2003 and 2007, 47 properties totaling 13,483 units were converted to condos. The combination of unsold units from these conversions, as well as the unsold units from properties built as condos during that time, has added 4,625 units to today’s rental …
The Las Vegas market has a total office inventory of 60.7 million square feet in 3,820 buildings. There were 13 buildings completed in 2011 totaling 724,535 square feet. An additional 550,000 square feet was still under construction at the end of the fourth quarter. Net absorption in 2011 was a positive 402,712 square feet, largely due to the Metropolitan Police Department moving into their new 390,000-square-foot facility during the third quarter. The total office vacancy rate valley wide was 19.4 percent at the end of the fourth quarter, which did not include shadow inventory. As this article was being submitted, Auction.com was completing another round of asset sales. Of the 25 property deed sales on the block in Las Vegas, four were office projects totaling about 204,000 square feet. Two of the14 non-performing notes were secured by office product totaling 103,000 square feet. The largest office project sold in the auction was the 124,082-square-foot Sahara Plazas. Sahara Plazas is located in the central portion of Las Vegas and consists of 10 individually parceled Class B buildings situated on 7.87 acres. The largest non-performing note secured by an office product was Charleston Valley View at 86,586 square feet. This property is …
For tenants, this slower sector correction and still attractive rents will make for great opportunities in this area in 2012. The competitive rental rates are not expected to tick up by much, but will probably stabilize after hitting bottom in select submarkets. They will offer a wide choice of options for relocating tenants. Concessions will remain generous to secure the best tenants in the market. Over the short term, the Orange County office outlook will remain a tenant’s market. The average overall full-service gross (FSG) asking rent in Orange County during 2011 was $1.95, dropping from near $2 the previous year. The trend of Class B users jumping to attractively priced Class A product will continue in the first half of 2012. This effort to reduce expenses, while landing better operational locations, will still be very popular. Expect to see some tenants that were on the sidelines in 2011 now ready to make a move. These national and regional occupiers are sophisticated and will be looking for experts with the talent and expertise to focus on their specific needs and their unique corporate expansion requirements/considerations. However, even with slightly increased activity, the pace of demand will appear low by historical …
With 95 percent occupancy, the Orange County industrial market is shining through the clouds of what is still a semi-lethargic market in many areas. It’s well known that industrial real estate is a solid investment option that is safer than many other investment vehicles. Combine that with Orange County’s reputation as a place that people love to work and live, and it’s no surprise the county’s industrial market is successfully rebounding. Industrial buyers were not just cautious in 2008 and 2009, they were literally standing on the sidelines waiting for the game to resume. The trough of the market really hit in 2009, which was probably the lowest point anyone could have bought a building, but with values down 35 percent to 40 percent, deals just weren’t being made. Since mid-2010, however, the Orange County industrial market has seen a significant increase in activity as buyers put themselves back in the game. Sellers have become sellers again, and buyers are more realistic about getting deals done. orporate America recognized the trend early on and began making deals. From there, the competition has heated up on the Orange County industrial playing field, as numerous investors seek to acquire Class A and …
The Orange County hotel market held up extremely well during the economic recession. We are now seeing average daily rate (ADR) and occupancy levels at or above the 2007 peaks. The Smith Travel Research (STR) statistics through October 2011 show the county’s beach areas reporting a $164.41 ADR at 71.3 percent occupancy with a $117.25 revenue per available room (Rev PAR). The beach area’s Rev PAR is now just under 12 percent below the 2007 market peak. We forecast that we will back to or above the peak levels in 2012. In the Disneyland area, we see an ADR of $128.02 at 73.6 percent occupancy with a $94.22 Rev PAR. This Rev PAR is already 6.7 percent above the 2007 peak and climbing. There are a number of reasons why we’re seeing such strong performance numbers in Orange County. These include: (i) The increase in domestic travel, with many travelers choosing to stay in the United States instead of going abroad (ii) The increase in international travel due to the relative weakness of the U.S. dollar, making Orange County a prime destination (iii) The complete lack of new hotel development, which has created a growing demand that has helped fuel …
The multifamily market continues to be the strongest performing real estate market in Orange County. With the support of strong fundamentals and forecasts, investors are flocking to multifamily investments, especially properties located in core cities. As the for-sale residential market remains uncertain, much of the Orange County population is choosing to lease, which has been a big driver following the economic recession. The vacancy rate stands at 4.5 percent, which accounts for a 20 basis point drop from the previous quarter’s rate of 4.7 percent and a 140 basis point decline from the 5.9 percent recorded one year earlier. This was the third consecutive quarter that witnessed a decline in vacancy. These rates haven’t been this low since the second quarter of 2008. Although vacancy has dropped considerably since it peaked of 6.4 percent during the third quarter of 2009 through the second quarter of 2010, it remains higher than the low point of 3.2 percent, which occurred in the third quarter of 2007. Rental rates have also increased as vacancies have filled. The average effective monthly rent is $1,488, which represents a slight increase from the $1,478 recorded during the previous quarter and an even bigger increase from the …