Borrowing a Charles Dickens title, Colorado is “A Tale of Two Cities,” or more accurately, two markets. High density infill markets show strong leasing activity in terms of absorption, rental rates and down time, while lower density rural areas still lag in recovery. Urban markets such as Denver, Boulder and Englewood are returning to earlier days where spaces are quick to fill with an average down time of six months, a waiting list of prospects and increasing rents. For example, a recent side shop vacancy at King Soopers-anchored Belleview Square in Englewood was backfilled with a waiting list of five tenants before the retailer had even closed their doors. On the other hand, secondary and tertiary markets such as Falcon, Colorado Springs and Greeley are slower to lease up with an average down time of 12-15 months and little rent growth. Acquisition activity has not yet recovered, and very few Class A properties are on the market. However, development activity is picking up. Active retail categories include quick service restaurants, health and dental, discounters and mattress stores. One of the interesting trends is the boutique pet store concept occupying less than 4,500 square feet, which seems to be harvesting an …
Western Market Reports
There is no denying that the industrial market in the Inland Empire is improving. In the past three quarters, a great deal of space has been leased, and vacancy is therefore down. Voit’s first quarter industrial market report revealed that vacancy rates have declined to 8.95 percent in the market, down from 11.55 percent year-over-year, in large part because ten buildings over 500,000 square feet have been leased in the last three quarters. There is actually now a shortage of buildings in this size range. Big Buildings Make a Comeback As occupancy increases, lease rates are rising. This excites developers and investors alike. On the development side, the market is seeing speculative development for the first time in three years in certain size ranges — a huge indication of an improving marketplace. At least four industrial buildings are either under construction or in pre-development in the Inland Empire right now. Watson Land Company recently broke ground on a 600,000 square-foot building in Redlands, while the O’Donnell Group has broken ground on a 786,000-square-foot building in Banning. In addition, at least two others in the 600,000 to 700,000-square-foot range are now ready to break ground. While excitement grows around new projects, …
While most of the country grows based on the birthrate, Las Vegas has grown at almost six percent per year based on the tremendous influx of new residents. That growth fueled retail development matching the pace until the growth suddenly stopped in 2008. But today, a different scenario is beginning to emerge. With many retail tenants going out of their spaces, beginning in 2008, the local retailers that had survived began a flight to quality. Key tenants in strip centers moved up to anchored centers. Other retailers that had been in the back of strip centers moved up onto pads. The addition of new space has been in waves, with the first starting in 2009, as the local retailers that survived the prior year and saw rents decreasing began adding second locations. The second wave of tenants began at the end of 2009, as strong regional retailers began seeking additional locations. The third wave, which has so far been quite small, is the national tenants. With so many choices around the nation, the national retailers are still trying to decide if Las Vegas, which was hit particularly hard, makes sense regarding expansion. The type of tenants that have been most …
There is a visible upside to the Boise retail market as we begin 2011. Major employers such as Micron Technology, Hewlett-Packard and Albertsons seem to be holding their own after some layoffs in recent years. A number of national retailers are considering smaller store footprints, which has led them to consider smaller markets like Boise. And pedestrian friendly downtown Boise endured the economic downturn reasonably well, remaining an employment and cultural center that’s home to dozens of local shops and other small businesses. In addition to art galleries, restaurants, coffeehouses, jewelers, wineries, salons, apparel shops and gift shops, national tenants such as The North Face, Anthropologie, Urban Outfitters and Office Depot are well located in the city. After a brutal 2009 and soft 2010, the Boise retail leasing market is showing signs of recovery, despite that the greater Boise area posted negative absorption of about 100,000 square feet last year due to a few large move outs. One long-delayed major lifestyle retail project is moving ahead and is a positive sign that confidence is returning to the market. After a 3-year delay, CenterCal Properties is breaking ground later this year on the 90-acre mixed-use Meridian Town Center in the growing …
The Los Angeles creative office market sector was certainly not immune to the timid economy, which continued during the third quarter. The limited number of creative companies experiencing growth through this period was limited and representative of the economy as a whole. However, the creative product type — the preferred space sought by the production, post-production, advertising/marketing and even technology sectors — was also surprisingly supply constrained. Due in large part to the lack of new construction or large-scale conversion of old industrial buildings into creative office, tenants entering the marketplace with hopes of finding numerous attractive options and generous business terms in a more tenant-favored climate instead found limited product to meet their needs from a functional and/or aesthetic standpoint. Although buoyed by a market that was experiencing meek demand, many businesses that view their office space as much in terms of the environment it creates for the attraction and retention of creative talent were prevented from realizing the true benefits of a tenant-favored market due to a lack of supply. Those that made moves during the end of 2009 and earlier this year absorbed much of the attractive, ready-for-occupancy space at more aggressive pricing from landlords looking to …
The Portland multifamily market continues to slowly improve in spite of the unemployment rate stalemated at 10.6 percent — now entering its 10th month. When Portland headed into the recession, many believed its multifamily market would experience a similar plight to that seen in the Southern California and Arizona multifamily markets. It certainly dipped, but fortunately didn’t hit their low values estimated to be 50 to 60 percent below the original prices for some properties there. Rents have returned to pre-recession levels, concessions temporarily came into the market and net operation income went down, causing apartment values to decrease between 15 to 20 percent. But through the worse of the recession, and even today, vacancy has held around 5 percent. However, it should be noted that in some pockets of the Portland market, like Gresham, certain areas of Beaverton and outer Hillsboro submarkets, vacancies are somewhat higher. At first glance, when comparing Co-Star year-to-date multifamily sales numbers (August measure for transactions ≥ $1 million) of $196 million with $116 million in 2009, it appears that transaction sales numbers are up by 59 percent. Yet, on closer inspection, a different story emerges. Since the beginning of the year, there have been …
The fast-growing Salt Lake City metropolitan area, also known as the Wasatch Front, stretches about 40 miles north of downtown Salt Lake City to Ogden and about 40 miles south to Provo, now boasting a population of about 2.1 million — or about 75 percent of the state’s population. Highly favorable demographics continue to lure top-quality retailers, restaurants and shopping centers to the region, which enjoys one of the largest average family sizes in the country (3.6), the youngest median age (28.9) and an unusually high median household income of about $63,000. The market also has a highly educated, value-based population with a strongly established work ethic that encourages retail patronage and expansion. Growth in Salt Lake County, which has a population of about 1.1 million, is particularly strong in the southwest portion, which is the region’s strongest submarket. Area planners are projecting a population growth of 1 million people in the Wasatch Front over the next 30 years. Unlike other Western markets such as Phoenix, Las Vegas and Denver, retail real estate in the Salt Lake City metro area is not as volatile. Area unemployment stands at a relatively low 7.3 percent in contrast to the national mark of …
Leasing activity in the Albuquerque industrial market has been inconsistent during the first half of 2010. The market cannot seem to sustain any positive momentum, with many starts and stops so far this year. As is the case in many other markets, there has been virtually no speculative construction in the Albuquerque industrial market in the past 2 years; positively, this trend has helped keep vacancy rates from rising even more than they have. The industrial market vacancy rate for Albuquerque is currently 9.4 percent, which is 1 percent higher than a year ago and more than 2 percent higher than 2 years ago. Albuquerque’s north Interstate-25 corridor continues to lead all submarkets with regard to overall leasing activity, capturing a full 85 percent of all leased space in the second quarter of this year. A significant transaction just completed in the submarket is the Southwest Regional Council of Carpenters’ 93,686-square-foot union training center at 3900 Pan American NE. Slower submarkets include the downtown area (13.3 percent vacancy) and the South Valley (15.4 percent), both of which have older inventory including buildings with functional obsolescence. The overall lack of demand for Albuquerque industrial space can be attributed in large part …
The Las Vegas office market features a number of unique characteristics. For example, the Class A office market is not concentrated into a central business district. Office users in the downtown area consist almost exclusively of tenants that require proximity to the courts or government offices. Consequently, the tenant mix is limited to uses associated with litigation and government services. Other Class A tenants are spread around the valley at projects such as Hughes Center, a location favored by financial services, gaming interests and transactional law firms. The pool of Class A tenants is relatively shallow, measuring 6.2 million square feet or 13 percent of the overall office market. Reasons include a narrow economic focus — primarily gaming and tourism — and a lack of regional or national corporate headquarters. Consequently, speculative development and operation of Class A office space favors local players (i.e., developers, lenders and brokers). The speculative office pipeline for Las Vegas is dry except for one notable project. Tivoli Village, a 750,000-square-foot retail/office project, is anticipated to deliver its first phase in October. Despite office vacancy in excess of 20 percent, the developers, a partnership between IDB Group of Israel and local developer EHB Companies, have …
The fast-growing Salt Lake City metropolitan area, also known as the Wasatch Front, stretches about 40 miles north of downtown Salt Lake City to Ogden and about 40 miles south to Provo. The area now boasts a population of about 2.1 million — or about 75 percent of the state’s population. Highly favorable demographics continue to lure top-quality retailers, restaurants and shopping centers to the region, which enjoys one of the largest average family sizes in the country (3.6), the youngest median age (28.9) and an unusually high median household income of about $63,000. The market also has a highly educated, value-based population with a strongly established work ethic that encourages retail patronage and expansion. Growth in Salt Lake County, which has a population of about 1.1 million, is particularly strong in the southwest portion. Area planners are projecting a population growth of 1 million people in the Wasatch Front during the next 30 years. Unlike other Western markets, retail in the metro area is not highly volatile. Most retailers did take an expansion hiatus here during the recession, but store fallout was minimal, except for a handful of closings by bankrupt national retailers. Some major national retailers, including Target, …