Strong job growth characterized the Puget Sound economy throughout 2011, with the region closing the year with a 1.7 percent gain that equated to the addition of more than 28,000 positions. Home to Fortune 100 companies Costco, Microsoft, and Amazon.com, as well as large-scale operations of The Boeing Company, Seattle’s economic prospects are assured. The region will remain a leading employment generator over the next several years, with job growth trending up to 2.6 percent in 2012 and to more than 3 percent in 2013 as the metro area realizes the addition of 50,000 new jobs on average each year. For its part, Boeing now employs more than 81,000 Washington residents, having added nearly 8,000 local jobs in 2011 alone. The Seattle multifamily market deal activity has been good this year, and the market should expect to close more than $800 million in transitions. Current cap rates in the market are in the low 4 percent range and up to $500 per unit in core locations with secondary markets averaging 5.5 percent to 6 percent capitalization rates. One great thing about Seattle is that it has always skewed toward rental housing. In the three-county area alone, the population is 3.4 …
Western Market Reports
We saw plenty of activity in 2011 in both office leasing and the sale of office buildings in the Greater Seattle area, particularly in the Downtown core markets of Seattle and Bellevue. Amazon alone has leased 460,000 square feet at 1918 8th Ave.; 281,000 square feet at West 8th Avenue; and 106,000 square feet at the 1260 Mercer Building. KPMG has also leased 50,000 square feet at 1918 8th Ave. Other notable leases include Boeing’s 45,000 square feet at the Russell Investments Center; Allrecipes.com’s expansion to more than 55,000 square feet at the 5th & Pine Building; Facebook occupying 27,000 square feet at Met Park; Getty Images agreeing to nearly 60,000 square feet at 605 Union Station; and Brooks Sports inking a pre-lease agreement for 80,000 square feet for a yet-to-be-built office in the north Lake Union submarket. There have also been some major sales in the Greater Seattle market. These include the sale of 1918 8th Ave. and 818 Stewart by Schnitzer West to JPMorgan; Westlake Center Office Tower to TIAA by GGP; 505 1st Ave. and 83 King to Spear Street by Starbucks; Seattle Tower by LaeRoc Partners to the Teachers Retirement System of Illinois. As of December …
Our recent market activity spotlights the differential between the Haves and Have-Nots. Third quarter 2011 was exceptional for large, Class A facilities in Kent Valley. Thanks mostly to international corporations, direct vacancy rates dropped about 1 percent point and now hovers at 7.89 percent. We have also experienced net absorption of 348,358 square feet. This marks the fourth consecutive quarter of positive net absorption, bringing the annual total to 968,784 square feet. After experiencing record corporate earnings and large cash reserves, companies like Brooks Sports, Amazon, Sealed Air, Graybar, Electrolux, Bunzl, Pacer, International Paper, Sealy and more have expanded or looked to expand their presence in our market. Seeking state of the art, 30’ clearance, ESFR distribution facilities, these corporations have caused a shortage of Class ‘A’ space and a rent hike of 5 percent to 10 percent. However, regional and local companies are still struggling, while the mid-size market that services those spaces has not significantly recovered. On average, spaces available in that size range (over 66 spaces at press time) have been on the market for about 18 months. Unlike the otherWest Coast ports, container traffic in this Pacific Northwest region hasn’tt increased dramatically. To date, the Port …
Emboldened by renewed job growth and improving sales, retailers will push forward with new store openings in Puget Sound, which will ease the use of concessions. Leasing velocity in the Seattle-Tacoma retail market has built momentum through 2011, led by regional and national chains occupying vacant sites in high-traffic corridors. King County trade areas such as the Northgate/Central and Eastside/Bellevue submarkets have been the primary beneficiaries of resumed tenant expansions, but most suburban areas also recorded a modest upturn in leasing volume this year. The broadening recovery enabled landlords to hold the line on concessions. While the rate of recovery will remain strongest in King County heading into 2012—aided by move-ins from Ross Dress for Less, Big Lots and several grocery chains—tenant demand for established centers in Pierce and Snohomish counties will build. In addition to a collection of smaller lease transactions, nearly a dozen regional and independent retailers have secured junior-anchor and big-box sites this year, with many of the leases set to commence over the next nine months. Seattle retail developers completed about 695,000 square feet of space during the 12 months ending in the third quarter, an increase from the delivery of 250,000 square feet one year …
CBRE recently completed a comprehensive study on the state of big box vacancy in Orange County. It showed that while the county continues its struggle to replace large tenants lost during the recession, there is progress being made in this important sector of the retail market, particularly in Class A locations. There are currently 59 big box vacancies (20,000 square feet or larger) in 55 centers with a total of 2.3 million square feet within the county. In the past two years, approximately 1.6 million square feet of big box retail has been absorbed. The question now is, what’s left and when will it be absorbed? Since the downturn, retailers have had their pick of great real estate. Class A space that was near impossible to find in Orange County during the boom years became available for the first time. The most active retailers, including Wal-Mart, Kohls, grocers and gyms, moved quickly to take advantage of the opportunities. In many cases, these retailers even modified their prototypes in order to do so. With most of the Class A space quickly absorbed, our study found that 48 of the 59 boxes currently remaining, or 84 percent, are located in B or …
Business headlines over the past few months have been full of sunny reports from Seattle: Boeing, for example, is in full swing thanks to the production ramp up of the 787 and the backlog of orders for both the 787 and 737, representing a workload of more than 5 years. The tech sector is hopping here as well, with Google adding up to 840 jobs, Amazon doubling the positions available from a year ago to 1,900, and solid growth at Facebook. This all takes place, of course, in a market that happens to include big-name employers like Microsoft and the increasingly active Gates Foundation, and strong sectors such as Biotech and Pacific Rim trading. Given this strong and diverse economic base, then, it is perhaps no surprise that Seattle is robust compared with many other U.S. markets. This is not to say the recession had no effect — a year ago, rents in empty boxes were leasing at discounts of up to 40 percent of what had been paid by previous tenants. However, the market here has gradually stabilized, and those discounts have shrunk to 15 to 20 percent of previous rental rates. Today, in fact, retailers like HomeGoods, Sports …
Borrowing a Charles Dickens title, Colorado is “A Tale of Two Cities,” or more accurately, two markets. High density infill markets show strong leasing activity in terms of absorption, rental rates and down time, while lower density rural areas still lag in recovery. Urban markets such as Denver, Boulder and Englewood are returning to earlier days where spaces are quick to fill with an average down time of six months, a waiting list of prospects and increasing rents. For example, a recent side shop vacancy at King Soopers-anchored Belleview Square in Englewood was backfilled with a waiting list of five tenants before the retailer had even closed their doors. On the other hand, secondary and tertiary markets such as Falcon, Colorado Springs and Greeley are slower to lease up with an average down time of 12-15 months and little rent growth. Acquisition activity has not yet recovered, and very few Class A properties are on the market. However, development activity is picking up. Active retail categories include quick service restaurants, health and dental, discounters and mattress stores. One of the interesting trends is the boutique pet store concept occupying less than 4,500 square feet, which seems to be harvesting an …
There is no denying that the industrial market in the Inland Empire is improving. In the past three quarters, a great deal of space has been leased, and vacancy is therefore down. Voit’s first quarter industrial market report revealed that vacancy rates have declined to 8.95 percent in the market, down from 11.55 percent year-over-year, in large part because ten buildings over 500,000 square feet have been leased in the last three quarters. There is actually now a shortage of buildings in this size range. Big Buildings Make a Comeback As occupancy increases, lease rates are rising. This excites developers and investors alike. On the development side, the market is seeing speculative development for the first time in three years in certain size ranges — a huge indication of an improving marketplace. At least four industrial buildings are either under construction or in pre-development in the Inland Empire right now. Watson Land Company recently broke ground on a 600,000 square-foot building in Redlands, while the O’Donnell Group has broken ground on a 786,000-square-foot building in Banning. In addition, at least two others in the 600,000 to 700,000-square-foot range are now ready to break ground. While excitement grows around new projects, …
While most of the country grows based on the birthrate, Las Vegas has grown at almost six percent per year based on the tremendous influx of new residents. That growth fueled retail development matching the pace until the growth suddenly stopped in 2008. But today, a different scenario is beginning to emerge. With many retail tenants going out of their spaces, beginning in 2008, the local retailers that had survived began a flight to quality. Key tenants in strip centers moved up to anchored centers. Other retailers that had been in the back of strip centers moved up onto pads. The addition of new space has been in waves, with the first starting in 2009, as the local retailers that survived the prior year and saw rents decreasing began adding second locations. The second wave of tenants began at the end of 2009, as strong regional retailers began seeking additional locations. The third wave, which has so far been quite small, is the national tenants. With so many choices around the nation, the national retailers are still trying to decide if Las Vegas, which was hit particularly hard, makes sense regarding expansion. The type of tenants that have been most …
There is a visible upside to the Boise retail market as we begin 2011. Major employers such as Micron Technology, Hewlett-Packard and Albertsons seem to be holding their own after some layoffs in recent years. A number of national retailers are considering smaller store footprints, which has led them to consider smaller markets like Boise. And pedestrian friendly downtown Boise endured the economic downturn reasonably well, remaining an employment and cultural center that’s home to dozens of local shops and other small businesses. In addition to art galleries, restaurants, coffeehouses, jewelers, wineries, salons, apparel shops and gift shops, national tenants such as The North Face, Anthropologie, Urban Outfitters and Office Depot are well located in the city. After a brutal 2009 and soft 2010, the Boise retail leasing market is showing signs of recovery, despite that the greater Boise area posted negative absorption of about 100,000 square feet last year due to a few large move outs. One long-delayed major lifestyle retail project is moving ahead and is a positive sign that confidence is returning to the market. After a 3-year delay, CenterCal Properties is breaking ground later this year on the 90-acre mixed-use Meridian Town Center in the growing …