The capital market crash of 2007 and the global recession still cast a pall over Sacramento’s industrial landscape. Landlords are paying close attention to the State of California, the city’s biggest tenant, and its desire to extend leases where landlords will reduce rent (by up to 30 percent in some cases). There are no speculative developments of any significance underway in Sacramento and only a few are under development in the San Joaquin markets closer to the Bay Area, where greater population densities create some optimism. To date, the standout deal in Sacramento has been Buzz Oates Real Estate’s inking of Nestle Waters North America to a 215,000-square-foot deal on existing space at Younger Creek Drive in the Florin Fruitridge Industrial Park; the firm’s two-line bottling plant slated to open early next year. Sacramento’s traditional strength in securing large distribution commitments has recently been diverted south and west to Stockton, Tracy, Lathrop, Cordelia and as far south as Patterson. Dealmakers point to the availability of large tracts of land and closer proximity to bigger markets like the Bay Area and Southern California as key drivers. Right now, a geographic difference of 50 miles in one direction or the other is …
Western Market Reports
Three significant Portland multifamily buildings delivered downtown in the first two quarters: Cyan/PDX (352 units developed by Gerding Edlen Development) and the Ladd (332 units developed by Opus Northwest) and the Riva on the Park (294 units developed by Trammell Crow). Downtown Portland has historically been a healthy submarket for multifamily, and much recent construction has been centered there, so the area is now becoming very competitive. All three of the aforementioned projects are also pursuing LEED certification, which appeals to Portland’s urban tenant. Vacancy is an important factor in Portland’s multifamily market as it is an indicator of the overall market’s health. The vacancy rate has been trending upward in recent quarters, which should continue in the second half of the year. It’s important to note that the increase in vacancy is due to economic pressure on tenants, not migration of people out of the metro area. Expect vacancy to regain its footing next summer or when economic conditions improve. Portland’s Urban Growth Boundary sets it apart from other multifamily markets in the West. The UGB has prevented overbuilding in both the single-family and multifamily markets in the last 5 years. This means that despite the recession, Portland’s apartment …
At nearly 1 billion square feet, the Los Angeles industrial market is one of the largest in the nation, and despite increasing vacancy in the past year, it remains one of the tightest. The Bureau of Labor Statistics has estimated that 172,100 non-farm jobs were lost between July 2008 and July 2009. Industrial-oriented jobs have been among the hardest hit during the past 12 months, including losses in trade, transportation and utilities (39,900 jobs); manufacturing (36,200 jobs); and construction (18,000 jobs). Slowing trade and reduced consumer spending is largely responsible for lower industrial demand in 2009. At the Port of Los Angeles, year-to-date TEU volume through August was 18.3 percent lower than the same period in 2008; at the Port of Long Beach, the TEU volume has declined 21.7 percent from 2008 levels. Container activity at the Los Angeles/Long Beach port complex peaked in 2006 when 15.76 million TEUs were handled. The forecast for 2009 is for 12.2 million TEUs, a decline of 22.6 percent. At mid-year 2009, total industrial vacancy in the area was 4.6 percent, up from 3.5 percent at the end of 2008. While vacancy remains low, availability has surpassed 9 percent, the highest rate in more …
Small box retail is the new Seattle trend, and small-shop local retailers are rising to the top. Investor groups are primed, seeing this market as a cherry-picking field of opportunities. Strong big box retailers are shopping a surplus of space that has gone dark. The vacancy rate in the Puget Sound area is 7 to 8 percent, with 4 percent being the norm in prior recessions. Retailers that have vacated without immediate replacement include Circuit City, Linens 'n Things and Joe's Sports & Outdoor. Developers and landlords have struggled to crunch numbers that mid-box retailers can digest. Retailers still seek “Main & Main” locations. Small shop space now commands 25 percent lower rents, but remains competitive due to lack of new construction. From small to large space, tenants should expect to see rates in the low teens, even the single digits in one-off markets. After many peaked at more than current market rates, renewal rates have now dropped in order for landlords to retain tenants. Often space that would have commanded $36 per square foot to $40 per square foot 2 years ago, now goes for around $30 per square foot. Both the upper-income suburban locations and the inner-city mixed-use …
Following trends in the domestic and global economy, conditions in the Los Angeles office market continued to deteriorate this summer. Los Angeles County’s unemployment rate reached 11.9 percent in July, up from 7.7 percent 1 year earlier, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics estimated that 172,100 non-farm jobs were lost between July 2008 and July 2009. Area companies have conceded to a difficult business environment and lower revenue forecasts by shedding employees in record numbers and, in turn, reducing their need for office space. At mid-year, total vacancy was 14.7 percent, up from 12.5 percent at the end of last year. The market experienced negative net absorption of 3.3 million square feet through the first half of the year, and preliminary third quarter data indicates that vacancy continues to rise, albeit at a slower pace than has been witnessed during the past 18 months. While previous real estate downturns in Los Angeles were triggered by excessive speculative office construction, the current rise in vacancy has stemmed from a collapse in demand. Construction has been relatively limited in the current cycle; however, a handful of large projects have been delivered this year, most notably The Pointe (480,000 square feet) and 2300 …
Since the beginning of 2009, six new office projects containing 254,000 square feet of space have been delivered. As of the second quarter, these projects were 53 percent occupied. This strong absorption came primarily from one tenant, Fidelity Investments, which moved into a 112,000-square-foot build-to-suit project designed to handle the firm’s human resources outsourcing work. This project was developed by Forest City Covington in Mesa Del Sol, a master-planned, mixed-use community located just south of the airport on a mesa overlooking the Rio Grande Valley. In a rare occurrence, no multi-tenant office projects were under construction during the second quarter. This is good news for these recently completed office projects. New speculative projects are likely to remain on the drawing board as developers face financing challenges with high pre-leasing requirements. The excess amount of unsold office condominiums on the market (approximately 300,000 square feet) may aggressively compete for tenants by offering lease-to-purchase options. The Albuquerque metro area is poised for growth during the next few years. It has earned some high rankings by national media, placing it among the top metro areas. The bottom line is the Albuquerque metro area is being discovered for its excellent climate, strong workforce and …
At the end of the second quarter, the total industrial square footage in Salt Lake City was more than 110.7 million with an available square footage of 7.6 million, creating a vacancy of 6.89 percent. Big box space in Salt Lake has a 7.29 percent vacancy rate, compared to 5.62 percent in second quarter 2008. Current lease rates are down 2.38 percent from the second quarter of 2008. The hardest hit industrial segment is in the 0 to 5,000-square-foot size increments, which experienced an 11.54 percent decrease in average rents from second quarter 2008. The market is down from the record years of 2007 and 2008, both in speculative development and leasing activity. Like most markets, vacancy rates climbed through the second quarter of 2009, with approximately 1.5 million square feet of existing product coming back to the market. However, the Salt Lake industrial market is in a strong position in the West; third quarter projections are strengthening. Reckitt Benckiser just broke ground on the 200-acre Phase I of Miller Sports Park Industrial Development, a $25 million, 650,000-square-foot distribution center. Another project to note is the planned groundbreaking by The Rockefeller Group on a 365,000-square-foot distribution center on a 71-acre …
The key indicator in the retail market in Reno/Sparks is that vacancy rates have increased and are expected to continue increasing for the remainder of 2009. Vacancy rates have reached nearly 15 percent at the mid-point of 2009 and net absorption continues to be negative. The amount of space available continues to increase due to unemployment, bankruptcies, relocations and acquisitions. Area home prices continue a downtrend with the majority of sales coming from distressed properties. The good news is that unit sales are up year over year, and home affordability has never been better. Retail lease rates continue to decrease as an estimated 2.4 million square feet of space is currently available in Reno/Sparks. Cap rates have increased steadily since a low in 2007, but the increase appears to have slowed down. The Legends at Sparks Marina held a grand opening in June 2009 and will be one of the major retail locations in the Reno/Sparks metropolitan area when it is completed. Developed by RED Development, the 2 million-square-foot shopping and entertainment destination is located on 147 acres in Sparks fronting Interstate 80 and will be highly visible to out-of-state travelers passing through the area. Because the project is estimated …
San Diego has historically been a strong retail market with low vacancy and barriers to entry that restrict the supply of new centers. However, the market has not been immune to these difficult times. Rising unemployment and decreased home values have made consumers more cautious, leading to lower sales volumes for many retailers and restaurants creating slightly more vacancy throughout the area. Expo Design Center, Linens ‘N Things, Circuit City and Mervyns are just a few of the big boxes that sit empty along with several former gas stations, Starbucks Coffee, Banner Mattresses, Baja Fresh and La Salsa locations. However, these vacancies created opportunities for Wal-Mart, Kohls, Best Buy, yogurt shops, taco shops and others to enter projects or trade areas that had proven difficult to enter. Many of these former restaurant locations still include the furniture, fixtures and equipment and have created excellent opportunities for new tenants to reopen with little upfront investment. This is particularly true in South County as many experienced restaurateurs and other business owners from Mexico are crossing the border to open businesses. Tenants such as Autozone, Chase Bank, CVS/pharmacy, Gamestop, 7-Eleven and Five Guys are now taking advantage of the lower rents and increased …
Vacancy is rising and rents are falling in Orange County’s office market. To maintain occupancy, landlords are lowering their rent rates and reducing lease terms. The total amount of office space available in Orange County was 22.41 percent at the end of first quarter 2009, which is an increase of 3.72 percent from the vacancy rate at the end of first quarter 2008. Many tenants are either downsizing or consolidating due to the declining economy and shrinking job market. However, as demand drops off and lease rates decline, some companies are capitalizing on some of the opportunities arising in Orange County’s office market. Orange County’s popularity with businesses and its strong labor base has always made it a popular destination for companies to expand into, but its high rent rates prevented many from doing so. In the current economic climate, businesses such as loan modification companies and call centers have actually expanded and are moving to the area. Now that rents have fallen, these companies that would previously have been uninterested in office space within Orange County due to its high prices are opting to move to the area. While there are some great opportunities for tenants in the current …