Western Market Reports

The Los Angeles creative office market sector was certainly not immune to the timid economy, which continued during the third quarter. The limited number of creative companies experiencing growth through this period was limited and representative of the economy as a whole. However, the creative product type — the preferred space sought by the production, post-production, advertising/marketing and even technology sectors — was also surprisingly supply constrained. Due in large part to the lack of new construction or large-scale conversion of old industrial buildings into creative office, tenants entering the marketplace with hopes of finding numerous attractive options and generous business terms in a more tenant-favored climate instead found limited product to meet their needs from a functional and/or aesthetic standpoint. Although buoyed by a market that was experiencing meek demand, many businesses that view their office space as much in terms of the environment it creates for the attraction and retention of creative talent were prevented from realizing the true benefits of a tenant-favored market due to a lack of supply. Those that made moves during the end of 2009 and earlier this year absorbed much of the attractive, ready-for-occupancy space at more aggressive pricing from landlords looking to …

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The Portland multifamily market continues to slowly improve in spite of the unemployment rate stalemated at 10.6 percent — now entering its 10th month. When Portland headed into the recession, many believed its multifamily market would experience a similar plight to that seen in the Southern California and Arizona multifamily markets. It certainly dipped, but fortunately didn’t hit their low values estimated to be 50 to 60 percent below the original prices for some properties there. Rents have returned to pre-recession levels, concessions temporarily came into the market and net operation income went down, causing apartment values to decrease between 15 to 20 percent. But through the worse of the recession, and even today, vacancy has held around 5 percent. However, it should be noted that in some pockets of the Portland market, like Gresham, certain areas of Beaverton and outer Hillsboro submarkets, vacancies are somewhat higher. At first glance, when comparing Co-Star year-to-date multifamily sales numbers (August measure for transactions ≥ $1 million) of $196 million with $116 million in 2009, it appears that transaction sales numbers are up by 59 percent. Yet, on closer inspection, a different story emerges. Since the beginning of the year, there have been …

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The fast-growing Salt Lake City metropolitan area, also known as the Wasatch Front, stretches about 40 miles north of downtown Salt Lake City to Ogden and about 40 miles south to Provo, now boasting a population of about 2.1 million — or about 75 percent of the state’s population. Highly favorable demographics continue to lure top-quality retailers, restaurants and shopping centers to the region, which enjoys one of the largest average family sizes in the country (3.6), the youngest median age (28.9) and an unusually high median household income of about $63,000. The market also has a highly educated, value-based population with a strongly established work ethic that encourages retail patronage and expansion. Growth in Salt Lake County, which has a population of about 1.1 million, is particularly strong in the southwest portion, which is the region’s strongest submarket. Area planners are projecting a population growth of 1 million people in the Wasatch Front over the next 30 years. Unlike other Western markets such as Phoenix, Las Vegas and Denver, retail real estate in the Salt Lake City metro area is not as volatile. Area unemployment stands at a relatively low 7.3 percent in contrast to the national mark of …

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Leasing activity in the Albuquerque industrial market has been inconsistent during the first half of 2010. The market cannot seem to sustain any positive momentum, with many starts and stops so far this year. As is the case in many other markets, there has been virtually no speculative construction in the Albuquerque industrial market in the past 2 years; positively, this trend has helped keep vacancy rates from rising even more than they have. The industrial market vacancy rate for Albuquerque is currently 9.4 percent, which is 1 percent higher than a year ago and more than 2 percent higher than 2 years ago. Albuquerque’s north Interstate-25 corridor continues to lead all submarkets with regard to overall leasing activity, capturing a full 85 percent of all leased space in the second quarter of this year. A significant transaction just completed in the submarket is the Southwest Regional Council of Carpenters’ 93,686-square-foot union training center at 3900 Pan American NE. Slower submarkets include the downtown area (13.3 percent vacancy) and the South Valley (15.4 percent), both of which have older inventory including buildings with functional obsolescence. The overall lack of demand for Albuquerque industrial space can be attributed in large part …

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The Las Vegas office market features a number of unique characteristics. For example, the Class A office market is not concentrated into a central business district. Office users in the downtown area consist almost exclusively of tenants that require proximity to the courts or government offices. Consequently, the tenant mix is limited to uses associated with litigation and government services. Other Class A tenants are spread around the valley at projects such as Hughes Center, a location favored by financial services, gaming interests and transactional law firms. The pool of Class A tenants is relatively shallow, measuring 6.2 million square feet or 13 percent of the overall office market. Reasons include a narrow economic focus — primarily gaming and tourism — and a lack of regional or national corporate headquarters. Consequently, speculative development and operation of Class A office space favors local players (i.e., developers, lenders and brokers). The speculative office pipeline for Las Vegas is dry except for one notable project. Tivoli Village, a 750,000-square-foot retail/office project, is anticipated to deliver its first phase in October. Despite office vacancy in excess of 20 percent, the developers, a partnership between IDB Group of Israel and local developer EHB Companies, have …

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The fast-growing Salt Lake City metropolitan area, also known as the Wasatch Front, stretches about 40 miles north of downtown Salt Lake City to Ogden and about 40 miles south to Provo. The area now boasts a population of about 2.1 million — or about 75 percent of the state’s population. Highly favorable demographics continue to lure top-quality retailers, restaurants and shopping centers to the region, which enjoys one of the largest average family sizes in the country (3.6), the youngest median age (28.9) and an unusually high median household income of about $63,000. The market also has a highly educated, value-based population with a strongly established work ethic that encourages retail patronage and expansion. Growth in Salt Lake County, which has a population of about 1.1 million, is particularly strong in the southwest portion. Area planners are projecting a population growth of 1 million people in the Wasatch Front during the next 30 years. Unlike other Western markets, retail in the metro area is not highly volatile. Most retailers did take an expansion hiatus here during the recession, but store fallout was minimal, except for a handful of closings by bankrupt national retailers. Some major national retailers, including Target, …

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San Francisco is not immune to the forces of gravity, but sometimes it appears that might be true for the city's apartment market. Across the country, the multifamily sector has weathered the Great Recession better than other asset classes. Availability of capital — both equity and debt — has resulted in relatively modest value declines compared to office, industrial and retail investments. Transaction volume has been relatively robust, largely attributable to the disassembly and re-sale of the former Lembi portfolio. Research indicates that in excess of 50 apartment sales were completed in the first half of 2010, for a total value representing about $120 million. Among the most active buyers were Flynn Investments, Klingbeil Capital Management and Tribeca Cos. Expect market activity to remain level or even increase, as buyer appetite has yet to be satisfied. The rental market also seems to have stabilized. According to Novato, California-based RealFacts, a national leader in apartment industry research, rents in San Francisco are only down modestly since second quarter of 2009, but they are up slightly in the first half of 2010. While occupancy is reported to be at a relatively low 94 percent, we believe this state may be a temporary …

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The Las Vegas retail market has taken a significant hit during the economic downturn, but amid the doom-and-gloom the city continues to attract retailers and visitors that eventually will help restore stability to the region. Much of the declines are being driven by the general economy and, subsequently, joblessness throughout greater Las Vegas. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the metropolitan area reported an unemployment rate of 13.8 percent in January 2010, compared with 10.3 percent in January 2009. With nearly 136,000 people out of work in metro Las Vegas, it has been difficult for the market to achieve consumer spending levels that could help turn the market around. Recent retail statistics show worsening conditions for metro Las Vegas. According to a December 2009 survey conducted by Applied Analysis, the Las Vegas retail market had a vacancy rate of 10 percent, which is up from 7.5 percent in December 2008 and more than double the market's historical 10-year vacancy rate of 4.5 percent for anchored retail centers. Meanwhile, average retail property rents reportedly declined to $1.84 per square foot, down from $2.13 just 1 year prior. New development virtually stalled for retail properties in the market during 2009. …

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The Denver industrial real estate market stopped its 2008 free-fall and stabilized in the second half of 2009. A recipe of back-to-back quarters of positive absorption and no new speculative construction caused the vacancy rate to hold steady at 8.6 percent. Tenants are still vacating blocks of space as leases expire, and the weak economy continues to take its toll, but statistically this has been somewhat offset by the lack of new product coming to market and a handful of tenants relocating or expanding. The renewable energy sector had a dramatic impact on the Denver industrial market in 2009 as solar-panel and wind-turbine manufacturers continued to make large investments in the Front Range. As a result, the area is experiencing a ripple effect as smaller tenants are entering the market to fulfill the raw-material requirements and installation needs of these manufacturers. In addition, the U.S. Department of Energy recently awarded more than $75 million in advanced energy manufacturing funds through the Recovery Act to six Colorado clean-tech companies. Hopefully these tax credits will be the foundation for continued job creation and reinforce the Colorado manufacturing industry in 2010-2011. The major development projects currently underway are two buildings totaling 660,000 square …

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The metropolitan Phoenix market differs from other western cities in terms of its affordability of housing, from first-time buyers to retirees. As the market comes out of this recession, Phoenix is poised with available, affordable residential and commercial properties. Also, there still is plenty of land area in which to expand, unlike our counterparts, who are bounded geographically from growth. Columbus, Ohio-based Glimcher Properties is developing the $270 million Scottsdale Quarter, a mixed-use, destination development that opened its first phase in March 2009. Phase II is scheduled to open this March. Located at the southeast corner of Scottsdale Road and the Greenway-Hayden Loop in the North Scottsdale submarket, the entire three-phase project totals nearly 1.25 million square feet and features retail, entertainment, residential/hotel and office components. While many other new Phoenix-area developments have been put on hold or canceled altogether, Scottsdale Quarter’s development continues. Located across from Kierland, Glimcher’s major infill development is able to piggyback on the first successful lifestyle center on the West Coast. Currently, Scottsdale Quarter has attracted national tenants new to Arizona, such as Williams-Sonoma Home, H&M, Brio Tuscan Grille, Oakville Grocery and west-elm. Others tenants, such as Gold Class Cinemas, Nike and Sunglass Hut, are …

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