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Western Market Reports

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IndustrialMarket ReportsNevadaWesternWestern Market Reports

Southern Nevada Industrial Continues to Attract, Retain Globally Recognized Businesses

by Jeff Shaw

— By Greg Tassi, vice chair, and Jason Griffis, senior director, Cushman & Wakefield — Southern Nevada continues to distinguish itself through economic diversity. Sports and entertainment, along with a robust industrial real estate market, play a key role in keeping Las Vegas relevant. Formula 1 Racing, the MSG Sphere, MLB’s Athletics and recent discussions around a potential NBA expansion team add to the local excitement. Meanwhile, a compelling industrial real estate market continues to attract and retain globally recognized businesses.  The industrial segment in the Las Vegas Valley remains a safe bet for national developers and institutional capital partners, many of which have a healthy appetite to either enter the market or expand their holdings. Land scarcity is the primary barrier to entry for new groups entering the market. Infill sites have become increasingly scarce with very few parcels of more than five acres suitable for industrial development.  The bulk of the new inventory will continue to push to the periphery of the Valley, including Sloan and Jean to the south, El Dorado Valley to the southeast and Apex to the north — home to Prologis’ recent 879-acre purchase. Henderson’s recently annexed El Dorado Valley attracted attention with a …

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Market ReportsMultifamilyNevadaWesternWestern Market Reports

Las Vegas Multifamily is Full of Challenges, Opportunities

by Jeff Shaw

— By Jason Dittenber, Senior Vice President, ABI Multifamily — Las Vegas has attracted residents and real estate investors from around the world with its legendary nightlife, favorable climate and affordable living. In the post-COVID era, the multifamily market in Las Vegas has undergone significant changes. The city has seen a resurgence in an economy heavily reliant on tourism, but challenges persist. They include the current lending environment, increasing operational and construction costs, increased vacancy rates and declining rental rates. These factors have influenced developers and investors in the multifamily sector, creating opportunities and obstacles. Developers like Matter, Southern Land Co.  and Grand Canyon Development Partners are helping to change the city’s multifamily dynamic by contributing to its economic and social advancements. Their innovation spans job creation, community development and sustainability initiatives. Moreover, their mixed-use properties foster business expansion, enhancing the city’s commercial landscape and key employment drivers. The Las Vegas MSA witnessed the delivery of 3,318 units in 2023, surpassing the five-year average of 3,069 units. The large number of new multifamily completions has created a more tenant-friendly market. Rental rates have softened but remain relatively high compared to average incomes. Over the past five years, rental rates surged …

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ArizonaDevelopmentIndustrialMarket ReportsWesternWestern Market Reports

Mesa Becomes a Mecca for Industrial Development

by Jeff Shaw

Todd Ostransky, vice president of development at Indicap, knew Metro Phoenix was a market the firm wanted to enter for industrial development. Though the area is a hotbed of industrial activity, Indicap’s attention immediately set on Mesa, less than 20 miles east of Phoenix, for its inaugural project.  “We identified the East Valley as an area of growth, along with the need for space for mid-bay industrial spec product,” he says. Indicap and joint venture partner AECOM-Canyon Partners chose a 65-acre space within the mixed-use, master-planned community of Eastmark. The JV purchased the site for $48 million in April 2022 during a period of “aggressive expansion,” which saw Indicap kick off 10 developments involving more than 13 million square feet of Class A industrial space across key Arizona corridors. The inaugural Phoenix-area project was Eastmark Center of Industry, which completed Phase I construction in April. This phase brought 978,837 rentable square feet of Class A industrial space to Mesa’s Gateway Airport submarket. The space spans five mid-bay and cross-dock buildings. It features concrete slab on grade, tilt-up exterior walls, and a hybrid wood roof system, ensuring durability and flexibility. Power was also a major amenity for a project of this …

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Market ReportsNevadaRetailWesternWestern Market Reports

Las Vegas Retail Market: A Tale of Two Cities

by Jeff Shaw

— By Geoffrey West, Senior Vice President, Investment Property Sales and Acquisitions, MDL Group/CORFAC International — The Las Vegas retail market remains a tale of two cities with the tourism-driven Resort Corridor and surrounding MSA comprising two very different markets.  In the past, the stories of the “cities” were somewhat divergent with robust development, premium rents, and top-tier restaurant, bar, entertainment and retail tenants dominating in the Resort Corridor. In contrast, the primarily suburban MSA experienced decreasing rental growth rates, metered new development and fewer exciting new tenants.  However, looking at the past and current years, as well as into 2025, it appears the party isn’t just on the Las Vegas Strip anymore. Due in part to a statistical undersupply, the suburban Las Vegas retail market is poised to experience increasing rental growth rates over the next 12 to 18 months. The lack of new supply is expected to put continued upward pressure on retail leasing rates and downward pressure on vacancy rates, which are expected to be nearing record 2007 levels.  Economic Summary The Las Vegas market saw the completion of more than $8 billion in development in 2023. Among these are the $3.9 billion, 3,644-room Fontainebleau Las Vegas, …

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CaliforniaMarket ReportsMultifamilyWesternWestern Market Reports

Bay Area Multifamily Sector Focuses on Operations

by Jeff Shaw

— By Anthony Pappageorge, Managing Director, NorthMarq — The Bay Area multifamily market is showing signs of stabilizing, although there are some persistent challenges present in the market that will impact operations. With 2024 likely to be a period of slower economic growth, there will be a continued emphasis on multifamily property operations.  The challenges in the Bay Area rental market have shifted somewhat in recent years. In the period immediately following the pandemic, owners of rental properties were focused on maintaining occupancy levels and rent collections. In the current environment, added pressures surrounding rising property insurance costs and the prospect for additional rent control measures are increasing uncertainty to the Bay Area multifamily market. Occupancy: A Bit Lower than Usual, but Bouncing Back One multifamily property metric where the Bay Area routinely outperforms nearly every other part of the country is occupancy levels. Conditions remain tight at the beginning of 2024, with average occupancies ranging from about 96 percent in the South Bay and San Francisco, to about 94.5 percent in the East Bay. Current occupancies are about 50 basis points lower, on average, than in 2019. This is welcome news to operators who saw rates decline to about 90 …

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CaliforniaLeasing ActivityMarket ReportsOfficeWesternWestern Market Reports

LA Office Market’s Leasing Challenges Continue as Debt Matures 

by Jeff Shaw

— By Taylor Stokes, Market Intelligence Analyst, Avison Young — The Los Angeles office market continues to struggle with a 24.7 percent vacancy rate at the end of the first quarter of 2024, according to Avison Young’s first-quarter Los Angeles office market report. Leasing activity picked up slightly in the first quarter of 2024 with 951 leases recorded. This equated to 3.5 million square feet, up 5.4 percent from the fourth quarter of 2023 when there were 902 leases signed.  To put the decline of occupancy in perspective, the first quarter of 2022 ended with a 15.4 percent office vacancy rate, which was up from 15 percent at the end of 2021. It was also up from the previous high of 13.1 percent that was recorded in 2010. There were a couple lease transactions to highlight in the first quarter of 2024. Snap picked up 400,000 square feet in Santa Monica, while Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi signed a nearly 62,000-square-foot lease in Downtown Los Angeles.  Downtown continues to struggle with the highest vacancy in the market at 28.6 percent. The anticipated return to office hasn’t happened, as many users see the hybrid work schedule continuing for the long-term. They, therefore, …

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CaliforniaMarket ReportsOfficeWesternWestern Market Reports

Silicon Valley/South Bay Office Market Shows Resilience, Signs of Rebound

by Jeff Shaw

— By Kirsten Grado, Toss Vallentine and Wing Lee of JLL — The resilience of the South Bay/Silicon Valley economy has been tested with the dramatic change in hybrid work formats that enabled employees to work from anywhere. While office vacancy has hit near record levels over the past year, signs of strengthening fundamentals are pointing to a bottoming of the market and a period of opportunity for companies and investors with long-term views. So, what is marking the signs of optimism? Leasing activity has continued to improve as companies in technology, professional services, financial services/consulting and other sectors leased 865,000 square feet across 61 transactions in the first quarter of 2024.  The largest leases were PwC agreeing to move from downtown San Jose into 141,000 square feet within the top three floors of One Santana West, as well as a confidential tech firm leasing 162,000 square feet at Coleman Highline, also in San Jose. Other notable leases were TDK InvenSense renewing its 82,000-square-foot space in San Jose, as well as KMPG and the 49ers organization each taking about 50,000 square feet of space in new leases in Santa Clara. Premier space remains in high demand as companies look to …

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CaliforniaMarket ReportsRetailWesternWestern Market Reports

Subdued Retail Demand Persists Throughout Los Angeles

by Jeff Shaw

— By Gary Baragona, Vice President of Research, Kidder Mathews — Home to an eclectic mix of local retailers, award-winning restaurants and the world’s most prestigious brands, Los Angeles has long been one of the most dynamic retail markets in the country. However, sector dynamics significantly shifted during the pandemic as retailers began to rely heavily on their online sales to stay in business and remain profitable. While consumer preferences further evolved in 2022 and 2023, there has been a noticeable slowdown in consumer spending, largely due to ongoing economic challenges, reduced buying power, decreased savings and increased credit card debt.  On the surface, overall market fundamentals within the commercial real estate retail sector appear to be relatively stable. Some key indicators illustrate market resiliency, but other trends demonstrate the recent struggles felt by the retail sector and the challenges that may lie ahead. For example, total leasing activity across the Los Angeles region was down 15 percent in 2023 compared to the previous year, and down 25 percent compared to pre-COVID averages.  The total vacancy rate across Los Angeles increased to 5.3 percent during the first quarter of 2024 and has consistently hovered between 5 percent and 5.3 percent …

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CaliforniaIndustrialMarket ReportsWesternWestern Market Reports

State of the Industrial Real Estate Marketplace in Northern California

by Jeff Shaw

— By Edward F. Del Beccaro, Executive Vice President, TRI Commercial — The major Northern California industrial markets contain a total of more than 860 million square feet of industrial buildings. The San Francisco Bay Area, North Bay, Silicon Valley, Sacramento and Central Valley have all experienced a falloff in tenant demand from 2021 to 2022 pandemic highs. Most markets experienced negative absorption in fourth-quarter 2023, including sublease space coming on the market that resulted in rents either plateauing or decreasing.  Nevertheless, the outlook is still positive based on the various economic drivers pushing the market. For instance, manufacturers are benefitting from onshoring, with a projected 40 percent reduction in sourced material from China, per a recent report from Alix Partners. In addition, declining interest rates and continuing inflation will cause institutional money to flow into the industrial sector versus the office sector, according to a March 2024 ProLogis report. Below are various industrial submarket reviews: In the Oakland/East Bay Industrial I-80/880 Corridor, year-end 2023 experienced a slowdown in demand due to new construction and existing space becoming available. More than 10.2 million square feet is available, reflecting negative absorption of more than 778,000 square feet last year. The Port …

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CaliforniaIndustrialMarket ReportsWesternWestern Market Reports

Greater LA’s Industrial Market Shows Resilience in a Changing Landscape

by Jeff Shaw

— By Robert Peddicord, Executive Managing Director, CBRE South Bay — The Greater Los Angeles (GLA) industrial market is showing stability while enduring challenges like higher vacancy rates, negative absorption and an anticipated decrease in lease rates. Markets across the country continue to adjust post-pandemic, and GLA is no exception. Nevertheless, the GLA industrial market is poised for long-term resilience, thanks, in part, to its proximity to the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, while LA’s large population base drives the need for warehousing.  San Pedro Bay Ports The GLA industrial market continues to rely on the San Pedro Bay ports, the two largest ports by volume in the U.S. Although there has been an average decrease of 1.9 percent in cargo volume over the past five years, the San Pedro Bay terminal operators and dockworkers moved 16.6 million TEUs (twenty-foot equivalent units) in 2023, outpacing the TEUs moved at other ports.  Disruptions from the Suez and Panama canals may divert more U.S.-bound cargo ships from Asia to West Coast ports. The West Coast benefits from lower shipping container costs, with about a 40 percent discount shipping to the West Coast compared to the East Coast. U.S. importers, shippers …

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