The recent Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank collapses — and the takeover of First Republic Bank — have revived regulatory scrutiny on bank risk to a degree that is reminiscent of the financial crisis 15 years ago. Suddenly, it seems, everyone is concerned about the trillions of dollars in commercial real estate debt held at banks — and regional and community banks in particular — and whether it can be refinanced at higher interest rates as it matures over the next couple of years. The same holds for hundreds of billions of dollars of commercial mortgage-backed securities. The conditions are exacerbating a pullback in credit that started last year, which, along with the elevated interest rate environment, has depressed commercial real estate investment sales. In February, property sales dropped 51 percent, from $54.9 billion to $26.9 billion from a year earlier, according to MSCI Real Assets. Taken together, the wall of maturities, higher interest rates, bank collapses and a slumping economy have largely spooked the investment market, suggests Spencer Lund, chief investment officer with NAI Legacy in Minneapolis, Minn. (which also serves Chicago, Denver and Scottsdale, Ariz.) Still, it’s also the type of environment that breeds opportunity as prices …
Supply Chain Simplification: More Accessible Collaborations, Quality Control Lead the Way for Reshoring in 2023
As economic uncertainty remains at the forefront, there is a continued quest to combat the multitude of challenges encountered by the manufacturing industry, as well as the trickle-down effects on commercial real estate markets. At the recent NAI Global Convention in Las Vegas, NAI Global president and CEO, Jay Olshonsky sat down with an industry leader who has spent the last decade mitigating these complexities. “It’s a very clear mission, to balance the goods trade deficit, the difference between imports and exports,” said Harry Moser, who founded the Reshoring Initiative in 2010 to bring manufacturing jobs back to the United States. “The deficit last year was $1.2 trillion and balancing that and bringing those jobs back at current levels of U.S. productivity will increase U.S. manufacturing by six million jobs, or about 40 percent.” The emphasis on reshoring is driven by a variety of factors, for example, rising labor costs in foreign countries and corporate understanding of the total cost of offshoring — including intellectual property theft, freight and tariffs. Companies desire greater control over supply chains, especially in a time of rising geo-political tension. By promoting a contained, local approach across the entirety of the manufacturing landscape, industry leaders …
Despite Stormy Credit Conditions, Multifamily Sector Still in Demand Among Investors
The mere flipping of the calendar to mark a new year has done nothing to inject certainty into the next 12 months. The higher cost of credit that muted commercial real estate investment sales in the second half of 2022 and the attitude of some sellers who refuse to recognize the new pricing reality remain in place in the new year. Many eyes are on the Federal Reserve, hoping for a respite in interest rate hikes after the central bank raised the effective benchmark federal funds rate some 400 basis points to 4.33 percent in less than a year, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Some investors are even hoping for a rate cut. Neither of those is likely, at least in the short term, observes Arthur Milston, a senior managing director of NAI Global in New York City. While inflation has cooled to an annual rate of 6.5 percent from a high of 9.1 percent in June, that’s still far off from the roughly 2 percent annual target that the Fed desires, he adds. That should translate into continued tightening, Milston says, although the question is, how long will the central bank keep raising rates, and …
Economic Headwinds Slow Post-Pandemic Recovery for Select-Service Hotels
For a little more than a year now, Americans have gone on a collective road trip, making up for time stolen during the lockdowns. In turn, that has fueled a rebound in the hotel industry, which was decimated in 2020 and much of 2021. Revenue per available room (RevPAR), a key measure of hotel profitability, is expected to end 2022 at an average of $93, up nearly 8 percent versus 2019, according to a hotel forecast update in late November by STR, a hospitality research organization based in Hendersonville, Kentucky. Meanwhile, the projected average occupancy of 62.7 percent will mark an increase of 5.1 percentage points over 2021, and the estimated average daily rate (ADR) of $148 will best last year’s number by $23, STR reports. Select service lodging properties in particular are helping to lead the recovery, says Steven J. Martens, chairman of NAI Martens, a Wichita-based commercial real estate brokerage that is one of five brands under the Martens Companies umbrella. “The majority of the midscale and upper midscale assets are very dependent upon leisure travel, and they are seeing a rebound throughout the country,” he adds. “Most good operators with strong hotel brands have seen very healthy …
NAI Arranges $2.4M Sale of Industrial Building in Rogers, Minnesota
ROGERS, MINN. — NAI Legacy and NAI Sioux Falls have arranged the $2.4 million sale of a 40,656-square-foot industrial building in Rogers, a northwest suburb of Minneapolis. The multi-tenant property is located at 21040 Commerce Blvd. and sits on three acres. Michael Houge of NAI Legacy and Troy Fawcett of NAI Sioux Falls brokered the transaction. Buyer and seller information was not provided. The existing tenants are now governed by a master lease.
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Experts Turn to Opportunistic Moves, Lending During Uncertainty of Economic Downturn
As we shift through economic uncertainty and changes in the market, commercial real estate businesses are planning for a range of scenarios — and looking to historical trends to make predictions. REBusinessOnline sat down with two industry experts to talk about how this period of uncertainty compares to previous eras and where there may be benefits and opportunities in the current landscape. Jay Olshonsky, president and CEO, and Cliff Moskowitz, executive vice president, at NAI Global spoke about the commercial real estate outlook and the challenges it is likely to face in the immediate future. REBusiness: Looking at the current environment, how does it compare to previous periods of uncertainty? What might be the impacts on commercial real estate? Olshonsky: To start with, we are in a recession. We’ve already had two quarters of negative GDP growth. I think the most fundamental difference between this cycle and a lot of other cycles is that we have extremely low unemployment, differentiating this moment from others, for example, 2009. Even though the most recent job numbers were lower, they were still fairly strong. Jobs create the demand for commercial real estate at all levels, but especially at the services level. We do …
NAI Hanson Negotiates 406,437 SF Industrial Lease Renewal in Carteret, New Jersey
CARTERET, N.J. — NAI James E. Hanson has negotiated a 406,437-square-foot industrial lease renewal in the Northern New Jersey community of Carteret. Coffee distributor Continental Terminals will continue to occupy the entirety of the building at 200 Middlesex Ave. Scott Perkins, Chris Todd, Andrew Somple, Greg James and Justin Allessio of NAI Hanson represented the landlord, an undisclosed institutional investment firm, in the lease negotiations. Tom Carragher, Steve Korfiatis, Craig Engelhardt and Chris Carragher of Newmark represented the tenant.
NAI Miami Arranges $4M Sale of Former Midas Total Car Care Center in Chicago
CHICAGO — NAI Miami has arranged the sale of a former Midas Total Car Care center located at 158 W. Grand Ave. in Chicago for $4 million. Jeremy Larkin and Joseph Gallaher of NAI Miami, along with Elan Rasansky and Al Rodenbostel of ARC Real Estate Group, represented the seller, TBC Corp. The buyer, Friedman Properties Ltd., developed the adjacent Moxy Hotel. The sales price equates to roughly $470 per square foot.
NAI Hanson Brokers Sale of 63,000 SF Medical Office Building in Clifton, New Jersey
CLIFTON, N.J. — NAI James E. Hanson has brokered the sale of a 63,000-square-foot medical office building in the Northern New Jersey community of Clifton. Darren Lizzack and Randy Horning of NAI Hanson represented the undisclosed buyer in the transaction. The seller was an entity doing business as Bliss Valley Associates LLC. The buyer plans to build an outpatient surgery center on the top floor of the four-story building and lease the remaining space.
Property Management Post-COVID? It’s All About Taking Care of the Client
Elizabeth Barnes, COO of NAI Plotkin, knows property management is always a labor- and people-intensive profession, no matter the day or time of year. In that regard, the pandemic did not change the best practices for the Springfield, Mass.-based full-service brokerage and management company. “The number-one best practice has always been — and remains to this day — to manage the property as if you own it, with the awareness that you don’t,” Barnes says. Treat the Asset as Your Own For Barnes, this means focusing on the asset’s value at all times. “Common area maintenance (CAM) reconciliation, capital planning, value engineering options — they need to be front and center,” she continues. “It’s not just about cutting expenses. Look at how you can add value or reduce upfront costs.” All this should be done, she states, with the owner’s goals for the property in mind. Those goals may differ based on whether the owner is, for example, looking to divest the asset. Or if the tenant’s space has gone dark. Or if a pandemic is occurring. “There is a definite focus on health and safety now, regardless of the product type,” Barnes says. “Many owners wanted HVAC and air-handling …