Industrial demand in New Jersey has picked up dramatically over the past year, in tandem with a clear shift in corporate America’s mindset to get serious about dealmaking while conditions remain favorable. During the market downturn, tenants with two or three years left on their leases frequently tested the market, making offers that expected property owners and developers to assume the trailing liability of existing lease terms. Most owners simply were not willing to do that, and deals regularly fell apart or remained stagnant. Beginning in mid-2010 and through the first three quarters of 2011, we have experienced a promising increase in real commitments. In fact, during the first six months of this year, some 11.1 million square feet of new industrial leasing took place in Northern and Central New Jersey — a 74 percent year-over-year increase. This included 12 transactions over 100,000 square feet during the second quarter alone. The largest involved Wakefern Food Corporation’s impressive 1 million-square-foot lease at 8001 Industrial Ave. in Carteret. Why the jump? While we are seeing the stock market decimated what seems like every other week, corporate America for the most part is flush with cash. At this point, companies have extracted about …
New Jersey
Proving its historic resilience once again, a hale and hearty multifamily investment market continues to outpace other commercial real estate sectors in the wake of the latest economic dip. Thanks to an ailing housing market that doesn’t seem to have a tangible cure in the foreseeable future, the “new normal” in residential living is apartment rentals. Strong leasing fundamentals; 1950s-era, bank-friendly interest rates; and the lack of other risk-averse investment options have contributed toward a dramatic increase in sales velocity along the highly sought-after South/Central/Northern New Jersey corridor. Demand is unrelenting. Just 18 to 24 months ago, many investors were sitting on the sidelines waiting for multifamily properties to follow in the footsteps of other hard-hit commercial real estate assets, including office, non- grocery-anchored retail and industrial, where vacancies skyrocketed and lending came to a virtual standstill. These fears had little-to-no impact on multifamily properties, which possess certain inherent “recession-proof” characteristics. Rental living provides a viable, affordable alternative to people who are concerned about their long-term employment outlook, cannot qualify for a single-family residential home loan or are displaced due to rising foreclosures or natural disaster, such as flooding in the aftermath of Hurricane Irene. As the economic recovery continues …
Demand for industrial space remains moderate in Northern and Central New Jersey. People are, undoubtedly, out in the marketplace, but much of our regional activity ties to lease renewals. Tenants facing term expirations are opting to remain in place, reflecting the “wait and see” approach that so many companies have chosen in this tough economic climate. Relocations almost always involve a flight to quality, with tenants taking advantage of opportunities to land attractive deals for Class A space. Deals today are being made at aggressive rental rates. As a result, available Class A space, especially in the Exit 8A submarket, has seen some absorption over the past 12 months. Across all submarkets in Northern and Central New Jersey, renewal activity comprises the bulk of leasing activity. Although year-to-date leasing totals are up from a year ago by approximately 1.2 million square feet, vacancies have held steady during the past 12 months. At the end of 2010’s third quarter, the overall Northern and Central New Jersey vacancy rate rested at 11.3 percent. That figure is identical to the rate recorded at this time last year. The average direct triple-net rental rate for Northern and Central New Jersey was $5.84 per square …
Although many believe that the economy is starting to pick up, the “wait and see attitude” of many investors and companies still persists in the commercial real estate marketplace. Many are simply waiting for things to get better or waiting to see if, instead, things get much worse. Frank Gunsberg of First Service Williams says, “The economy is showing signs of picking up, although there have been fits and starts. I'm hopeful that we'll see a rebound by the end of the year and into 2010.” The seemingly perpetual wait and see attitude is having its way with the New Jersey office market as well. Gunsberg notes that many office tenants are asking for short-term lease renewals and extensions. Whereas, under typical market conditions office leases ranged from 5 to 10 years, tenants are asking for 1 or 2 years. “They just are not sure what is going to be happening with the economy,” he explains. “People are reluctant to do things even though this is probably one of the best times to jump. Landlords are willing to make concessions they would not normally make. If you have a good balance sheet, you are an extremely desirable tenant.” Although landlords …
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