The dense markets of northern and central New Jersey are showing some encouraging signs of momentum. Over the past 18 months, retailers have flocked to places like Paramus, Millburn, Wayne, Totowa, Springfield/Union, Livingston, East Hanover and Jersey City/Secaucus, to name a few. They are well aware that the major malls and retail corridors of Northern New Jersey, in particular, draw lots of traffic from nearby New York City. The pace of new construction has been sluggish in part because lenders now demand equity stakes of around 40 percent on projects that used to be financed at 70 or 80 percent. Therefore new supply is limited, which is helping to push up rents and drive down vacancies. In the northern and central parts of the state, in fact, the vacancy rate now stands at about 10 percent—a big improvement over the 20 percent average of 2010. Paramus, the state’s top retail market, has seen quite a nice recovery. Here, rents of smaller stores of less than 3,000 square feet now range from $35 to $60 per square foot. At stores of 5,000 to 10,000 square feet, space is leasing for between $30 and $40 per square foot. Paramus’ medium boxes, which …
New Jersey
What was previously considered a “soft patch” in the U.S. economy is now indicative of a long-term economic realignment, as previously reported in the past quarter. A reversal of economic indicators, the downgrading of the U.S. credit rating, the debt ceiling debate, the European debt crisis, and market uncertainty are the cause of a decrease in consumer and business confidence across the board, both nationally and in New Jersey. The result is a continued slow recovery in the job market as corporations continue to build cash reserves, further delaying hiring, equipment purchases and real estate expansions. The situation in New Jersey mirrors that of the national picture. The overall real estate market in New Jersey remains weak, although there was a significant shift to direct leasing of Class A space versus the previous subleasing activity. However, the reductions in labor and space needs have led subleases to play an important role in the local market — tenants are leveraging their subleased spaces to negotiate better financial terms when renewing their leases. Vacancy Rates Vacancy rates continued to climb, with Class A office space coming in at 16.4 percent, a 0.2 percent increase from the second quarter. The Class B office …
In this sluggish real estate market, how is it possible that two major mixed-use projects are under construction? With redevelopment all but halted elsewhere, New Brunswick keeps pushing forward with new opportunities for change for the better. With the assistance of state and federal tax programs through the Urban Transit Tax Credit Program and New Market Tax Credit, projects are becoming a reality. These projects include the Gateway Transit Village and New Brunswick Wellness Plaza which are located within one city block of the New Brunswick Train station. Gateway Transit Village In early 2009, Gateway was the first project to be designated as eligible for the new Urban Transit Hub Tax Credit Program. Under the program, credits are issued against income taxes that would be owed by businesses locating within newly built offices within a mile of a transit center; the credits can then be used to attract tenants, or else be sold as commodities. Fast forward to April 8, 2011 —when Gateway held its topping off ceremony. The Gateway Transit Village, as its name spells out, will serve as a gateway between downtown New Brunswick and Rutgers University. College Avenue, the central spine of the campus will be directly …
Industrial demand in New Jersey has picked up dramatically over the past year, in tandem with a clear shift in corporate America’s mindset to get serious about dealmaking while conditions remain favorable. During the market downturn, tenants with two or three years left on their leases frequently tested the market, making offers that expected property owners and developers to assume the trailing liability of existing lease terms. Most owners simply were not willing to do that, and deals regularly fell apart or remained stagnant. Beginning in mid-2010 and through the first three quarters of 2011, we have experienced a promising increase in real commitments. In fact, during the first six months of this year, some 11.1 million square feet of new industrial leasing took place in Northern and Central New Jersey — a 74 percent year-over-year increase. This included 12 transactions over 100,000 square feet during the second quarter alone. The largest involved Wakefern Food Corporation’s impressive 1 million-square-foot lease at 8001 Industrial Ave. in Carteret. Why the jump? While we are seeing the stock market decimated what seems like every other week, corporate America for the most part is flush with cash. At this point, companies have extracted about …
Proving its historic resilience once again, a hale and hearty multifamily investment market continues to outpace other commercial real estate sectors in the wake of the latest economic dip. Thanks to an ailing housing market that doesn’t seem to have a tangible cure in the foreseeable future, the “new normal” in residential living is apartment rentals. Strong leasing fundamentals; 1950s-era, bank-friendly interest rates; and the lack of other risk-averse investment options have contributed toward a dramatic increase in sales velocity along the highly sought-after South/Central/Northern New Jersey corridor. Demand is unrelenting. Just 18 to 24 months ago, many investors were sitting on the sidelines waiting for multifamily properties to follow in the footsteps of other hard-hit commercial real estate assets, including office, non- grocery-anchored retail and industrial, where vacancies skyrocketed and lending came to a virtual standstill. These fears had little-to-no impact on multifamily properties, which possess certain inherent “recession-proof” characteristics. Rental living provides a viable, affordable alternative to people who are concerned about their long-term employment outlook, cannot qualify for a single-family residential home loan or are displaced due to rising foreclosures or natural disaster, such as flooding in the aftermath of Hurricane Irene. As the economic recovery continues …
Demand for industrial space remains moderate in Northern and Central New Jersey. People are, undoubtedly, out in the marketplace, but much of our regional activity ties to lease renewals. Tenants facing term expirations are opting to remain in place, reflecting the “wait and see” approach that so many companies have chosen in this tough economic climate. Relocations almost always involve a flight to quality, with tenants taking advantage of opportunities to land attractive deals for Class A space. Deals today are being made at aggressive rental rates. As a result, available Class A space, especially in the Exit 8A submarket, has seen some absorption over the past 12 months. Across all submarkets in Northern and Central New Jersey, renewal activity comprises the bulk of leasing activity. Although year-to-date leasing totals are up from a year ago by approximately 1.2 million square feet, vacancies have held steady during the past 12 months. At the end of 2010’s third quarter, the overall Northern and Central New Jersey vacancy rate rested at 11.3 percent. That figure is identical to the rate recorded at this time last year. The average direct triple-net rental rate for Northern and Central New Jersey was $5.84 per square …
Although many believe that the economy is starting to pick up, the “wait and see attitude” of many investors and companies still persists in the commercial real estate marketplace. Many are simply waiting for things to get better or waiting to see if, instead, things get much worse. Frank Gunsberg of First Service Williams says, “The economy is showing signs of picking up, although there have been fits and starts. I'm hopeful that we'll see a rebound by the end of the year and into 2010.” The seemingly perpetual wait and see attitude is having its way with the New Jersey office market as well. Gunsberg notes that many office tenants are asking for short-term lease renewals and extensions. Whereas, under typical market conditions office leases ranged from 5 to 10 years, tenants are asking for 1 or 2 years. “They just are not sure what is going to be happening with the economy,” he explains. “People are reluctant to do things even though this is probably one of the best times to jump. Landlords are willing to make concessions they would not normally make. If you have a good balance sheet, you are an extremely desirable tenant.” Although landlords …
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