Revenue Volatility: Friend or Foe to San Antonio Multifamily Investors?

During the great multifamily bull market of this passing decade, investors became increasingly comfortable with exposure to highly volatile metropolitan markets. In an era when it was difficult to make a bad investment decision, the most lucrative were, in most cases, located in areas of the country known for their roller-coaster real estate cycles. Indeed, it seemed as though a purchase capitalization rate could never be too low if an asset was located in one of the primary markets. Volatility …

Austin: The Right Place at the Right Time for Multifamily Sector

“After COVID-19, nothing ever will be the same,” has become a common refrain these days. Perhaps for the next decade or so, every important life choice will be made with public health and safety concerns in mind — and the most commonly chosen solutions will be meaningfully different than before. Among the most fundamental life choices subject to this new scrutiny will be where to live, how to make a living and how to safely move about. Many Americans will opt for less densely populated …

Weak Oil Price Outlook Puts Houston Multifamily Sector Back on Its Heels

Houston is less reliant on the oil and gas industry than it once was, and considerable strides have been made to diversify the economy away from the oil patch. Still, the hard reality remains: Houston’s prosperity and hydrocarbons are intrinsically linked. Decoupling one from the other will be devilishly difficult. The world will derive the preponderance of its energy from oil and gas for decades to come, but market share will continue to diminish, and oil and gas revenue inevitably will …

Recession Pays an Unwelcome Visit to Dallas Multifamily Sector

Some places in America are painfully accustomed to economic setbacks. Dallas isn’t among them. This growth market prototype has elevated expansion to an art form and won’t suffer recession gladly. But happily or not, Dallas must share with the rest of the nation the unanticipated discomfort of our pandemic disaster. How is it likely to respond, and what are the ramifications for multifamily investors? It is said that everything is bigger in Texas, and Dallas job losses in the first …

How Will Tampa’s Multifamily Market Compare to Other Growth Markets Post-COVID-19?

It may be premature for multifamily investors to come off the sidelines and back into the acquisition fray. Still, the outlines of the post-pandemic landscape are growing clearer, and the hour draws near when owners and buyers must consider the buy/sell/hold mathematics of the future. Tampa presents a model for the unique economic factors likely to influence the nationwide multifamily sector. The initial phase of the post-pandemic analysis is likely to focus on the anticipated performance of …

Landlords, Retailers in Metro Atlanta Impacted by COVID-19 Seek Middle Ground in Lease Negotiations

The financial impact the COVID-19 economic shutdown is having on tenants and landlords is a difficult mix of immediate drastic reduction (or elimination) of revenue, along with little or no ability to forecast when the end will come. This combination of severity and unclear duration makes finding potential win-win compromises a real challenge for tenants and landlords in the metro Atlanta area. [caption id="attachment_261983" align="alignright" width="100"] Greg Eisenman, Franklin …

Cresting Wave of Job Losses Upends Miami Multifamily Sector

How will the COVID-19 fallout impact the Miami multifamily market? Although many investors are approaching markets known for leisure travel and cruise industries with caution these days, RED Mortgage Capital research posted last week indicates Fort Lauderdale/Broward County may offer a more attractive risk and reward profile than is commonly understood in the intermediate term, even under severe recessionary stress. Can the same be said of Miami as many of the same arguments apply? Let us …

Fort Lauderdale Multifamily Sector Offers Investors Shelter from the Viral Storm

Many multifamily real estate investors have moved to the sidelines until price transparency returns and the trajectory of property performance becomes clearer. It is a prudent strategy. Indeed, this period of forced inactivity is, perhaps, better used to reflect on the future and consider which U.S. apartment markets will offer the most attractive opportunities when the moment arrives to test the waters again. Conventional wisdom holds that markets with significant reliance on leisure travel …

Orlando Multifamily Could Suffer Multiyear COVID-19 Recession Contraction

Since the end of the Great Recession, Orlando has been among the country’s fastest-growing economies and strongest multifamily markets. After 2014, metro payroll employment increased at a 3.7 percent compound annual rate, 120 percent faster than the national average. Only Austin surpassed Orlando for payroll growth among the peer group of 50 large metropolitan markets, according to The RED 50, a proprietary econometric model developed by RED Capital Research. Personal income grew about …

Multifamily Sector in Music City Hits All the Right Notes

In Homer’s Odyssey, Odysseus resisted the Sirens’ beguiling music by lashing himself to the mast of his ship. But few relocating businesses, ambitious young people from the Midwest and Mid-South or multifamily developers have been able to resist the charming sounds wafting from Music City these days. Nashville’s pro-growth disposition, competitive operating cost structure, high quality of life and vital cultural scene make it a formidable competitor for investment and business relocation …

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