California

The Inland Empire multifamily market will retain its solid foundation of positivity this year as the economy again provides a healthy supply of new jobs and freshly formed households seek apartments to rent. The number of new multifamily units scheduled for delivery is a fraction of what it was last year, and this will place downward pressure on vacancy. Tightening vacancy will support another year of above-trend rent growth. Strong job growth in wholesale trade, government and transportation and warehousing positions has drawn many new employees to the Inland Empire in recent years. The number of 20- to 34-year-olds, who typically favor rental housing, has steadily increased. Growth in wholesale trade, government and warehousing will continue to attract Millennials in 2017, and the region’s employers are expected to add 27,500 new jobs overall. The Inland Empire’s employment boom has led to an increase in household formation, which has stimulated new multifamily construction. Developers fruitfully delivered 2,600 new units to the market in 2016. This exuberance, however, may well have been the peak for the current real estate cycle. This year, the projected number of apartment completions is just 500. This much more measured level of development will be quickly absorbed …

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LOS ANGELES — Rescore Property Corp. has received a $100 million construction loan to develop The Rise Hollywood, a 368-unit apartment complex in Hollywood. The seven-story community will be located at 1331 N. Cahuenga Blvd. The units will feature nine-foot ceilings, wood flooring, stainless steel appliances, quartz countertops, balconies and walk-in closets. Community amenities include a pool, fitness center, yoga room, club room and dog run. The Rise Hollywood is situated near Amoeba Music, Lure Nightclub and the ArcLight Hollywood within the Hollywood Entertainment District. Kevin O’Grady, Daniel Sheehan and Eric McGlynn of Walker & Dunlop arranged the non-recourse construction loan. Bank of the Ozarks provided the capital. Boca Raton, Fla.-based Rescore is a private REIT founded by Arthur Falcone, Tony Avila, and Bill Powers. The firm partnered with Los Angeles-based Cal-Coast on this project. — Nellie Day

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There was a big shake-up in the big box world with long-time sporting goods staples Sports Chalet and Sports Authority shuttering stores across the county. Macy’s in Mission Valley is also closing, while Nordstrom is shutting down in downtown. Interestingly, Hobby Lobby and the large pet stores seem to be buffered by the big box epidemic. In Chula Vista, two long-time vacant big boxes were finally chopped up into four spaces to accommodate the mid-sized box users. The good news is that big, “boring” boxes are being replaced by big “experiences.” Experiences, whether in a larger property or within a specific business, continue to be important for retailers and restaurants. Landlords across the county are making large investments to create experiences that will attract consumers. At the top end of the spectrum we have seen Westfield finally pulling the trigger on a massive remodel of the UTC mall, which will include more than 100 new stores and restaurants. Rouse purchased the Carlsbad mall from Westfield and has seemed to follow a similar business plan with its revamp, adding an exciting lineup of restaurants along the outside of the property. Liberty Station in Point Loma is coming into its prime with, …

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After a decade of scarce industrial development in San Diego County, 2016 marked its strong return. About 1.3 million square feet of industrial/R&D space was completed, which is more than what was delivered between 2013 and 2015 combined. This year is expected to be an even more active year for industrial/R&D speculative and build-to-suit development with an additional 1.4 million square feet currently under construction. North County San Diego has become the concentrated hotspot for both speculative and build-to-suit industrial development. Nearly two-thirds of all new industrial/R&D development completed in 2016 was in North County, including about 233,227 square feet of speculative construction. This new wave of development was triggered by 16 consecutive quarters of rental rate increases and last year’s record-low vacancy rate of 4.7 percent for combined industrial/R&D properties countywide. Average asking rental rates are increasing quicker in North County than anywhere else in San Diego. North County’s average asking rental rates have increased by 5.9 percent since the end of 2015, whereas the countywide rate increased by only 3 percent in the same period. Vacancy will likely fluctuate between 4 percent and 5 percent throughout 2017 as net absorption keeps pace with new construction. Many organizations are …

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Rent an apartment or buy a home? That is the question now posed to many Millennials as they face the facts about the high barriers to homeownership that generations before them, at the same stage of life, could easily overcome. But since the Great Recession and the loose homeownership qualifications that helped spawn it, banks and other home-lending institutions have been under the tight-fisted control of government regulators who have demanded, rightly or wrongly, that prospective homeowners meet strict and often daunting qualifications to buy a house. While that’s bad news for a generation that was raised by families who owned homes and where a home was the primary financial asset for inheritance, it’s good news for multifamily investors, developers and contractors. The demand for apartments has risen to levels eclipsing demand for homeownership in one of the few times in modern history. This is especially true in Orange County where home prices have always been among the highest in the nation. In fact, demand among multifamily investors is so strong that nearly every recent offering for well-located apartment properties has garnered multiple offers, creating a perfect-storm situation for the sellers. One sale that involved an investment portfolio of four …

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Expect the Orange County retail landscape to be characterized by continued strong fundamentals and high transaction volumes in 2017. The area remains among the most stable markets nationally—attractive to both high-end and affordable retailers thanks to its high median income and population growth. However, a bit of volatility would be welcomed in the coming year to generate leasing opportunities and enhance rental rate growth. Significant store closings, including a selection of Walmarts, Macy’s, Staples and Sears, in addition to Sports Authority and Sports Chalet locations, affected many of our regional malls and shopping centers in 2016. As a result, we will continue to see more space absorbed rather than closed or constructed in the coming year. This type of instability breeds opportunity. From grocers to soft goods to restaurateurs, traditional and non-traditional retailers remain motivated to identify what works best across Southern California. Retailers who have been working to right-size and reconfigure their traditional formats will catch everyone’s attention in 2017. Target recently announced the opening of a flex-format concept with plans for a 41,000-square-foot store in Orange in the fall. Burlington Coat Factory has been evaluating a smaller footprint, while 365 by Whole Foods will soon enter the Orange …

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The Los Angeles office market continues to experience steady demand and accelerated rent growth as we enter 2017. The market is heading into its sixth consecutive year of expansion, after seeing a sharp contraction between 2008 and 2011. The Los Angeles office market has witnessed vacancy rates steadily decline from 16.3 percent to 13.7 percent since 2011, all the while absorbing more than 10.5 million square feet of occupied space. The market only added 4.5 million square feet of new construction during that same period, allowing vacancy to steadily decline back into the low teens, while average full-service gross asking rents have increased from $29.28 per square foot to $35.76 per square foot, up 22.1 percent. More importantly is the accelerated rent growth during this period. Rents increased 1.6 percent in 2012; 2.8 percent in 2013; 3.9 percent in 2014; 5.3 percent in 2015; and 6.8-percent to date in 2016. On the demand side, net absorption growth rates have been trending higher since 2012, averaging 0.8 percent during the past five years. They will finish above 1 percent for the second consecutive year. This remains below the growth rates experienced from 2003 to 2007, which averaged an annual growth of …

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When you visit Los Angeles, the sight of the cranes looming in the sky in all directions shows a city undergoing significant revitalization and redevelopment. Not so long ago, the Downtown area of Los Angeles went “dark.” This occurred after the hustle and bustle of the normal workday was done and the streets were mostly empty, businesses closed. Fortunately, Los Angeles has seen significant construction and redevelopment over the past few years. According to the Downtown Center Business Improvement District (DCBID), the population of Downtown Los Angeles was 18,000 people in 1999. Today, the population is estimated at 63,208, with a daytime population of 500,000. The residential inventory consists of 36,964 units with 11,868 under construction and 19,054 proposed for a total of 48,832 units as of the third quarter of 2016. There are 8,163 hotel rooms with 2,765 more under construction and 3,636 proposed for a total of 14,564. Retail has 2 million square feet under construction and an additional 1.5 million square feet proposed. Major industrial activity includes the announcement of Warner Music Group relocating from Burbank to the Arts District where it will occupy 257,000 square feet at the former Ford Factory, which was constructed in 1912. …

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A steady supply of job opportunities and the growing population in the Inland Empire are supporting household formation, raising demand for housing and bolstering the performance of the area’s multifamily property market. Nearly 22,420 households were formed in the Inland Empire over the past four quarters that ended in September, while 48,500 individuals were added to the local population. By year’s end, area employers will have expanded the workforce by 2.2 percent with the addition of 30,000 positions. Hiring this year was driven by the government sector, which climbed 4 percent, or by more than 9,400 workers during the past 12 months that ended Sept. 30. The trade, transportation and utilities sectors also performed well, contributing 8,950 jobs over the same period. These strong hiring trends resulted in the unemployment rate falling 20 basis points to 6.2 percent — nearing the pre-recession five-year average of 5.7 percent — over the year-long period that ended in the third quarter of 2016. The Inland Empire’s growth and solid economic fundamentals are key factors behind the observable rise in construction activity we’ve witnessed this year. Apartment construction is booming, and builders are expected to more than double the units that were brought into …

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CAMPBELL, CALIF. — Ellis Partners has broken ground on the multi-phased renovation of The Pruneyard, a 27-acre mixed-use shopping center in the Silicon Valley city of Campbell. The Pruneyard contains 365,000 square feet of Class A office space, 253,000 square feet of retail and restaurants, and a 170-room Doubletree Hotel. The infill project has not been updated for nearly 20 years. It is located at 1875. S. Bascom Road in the West Valley community. Ellis Partners purchased The Pruneyard from Equity Office Properties for $280 million in 2014. “The Pruneyard has been a premier West Valley office location for businesses large and small for over four decades,” Jason Morehouse, partner and director of acquisitions at Ellis Partners, said at the time of acquisition. “With strategic investments in the site and the adjacent retail center, we believe we can further bolster the value proposition for our nearly 85 office tenants by creating an even more robust and dynamic retail and entertainment amenity package.” At the time of acquisition, the three-building office component had average in-place office rents that were about 30 percent below market value with substantial near-term rollover in a rising market. The hotel component previously operated as an independent …

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