Although the Tampa Bay economy may not have improved as much as everyone would like, the retail market is experiencing incredible activity. Many positive trends — redevelopment, new retailers, expansions, higher rents and, soon, new development — are driving the market upward: • The retail vacancy rate was back down to 7 percent for the first time in almost five years, according to CoStar Group. • Retail rents, which plunged between mid-2006 and mid-2012, finished the year at $13.69 per square foot and show signs of strength. • The number of square feet of retail space delivered to the market hit its lowest level in the past five years, according to CoStar Group. • Land is becoming scarce, especially in growing communities south of Tampa. Considering these conditions, it looks as though it’s a landlord’s market again. We can chalk this phenomenon up to the enthusiasm of restaurants, retailers and professional service firms demanding space due to a slight but steady rise in consumer confidence. Hillsborough County collected $14.7 million on its local option sales tax in November, the latest month for which state figures are available as of this writing. That figure changed very little in 10 of the …
Florida
Demand for industrial space remains strong in Miami’s commercial real estate market as enhancements and improvements to the city’s airport and seaport — along with the expansion of the Panama Canal — promise to bring a boom in trade to the South Florida area. In July, Miami’s industrial real estate vacancy rate stood at 5.8 percent, nearly four percent below the national average of 9.4 percent, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Experts agree that Miami’s industrial real estate vacancy rate will continue to shrink as local infrastructure enhancements and improvements near completion, leading many companies that already utilize industrial space to vie for a slice of the 220 million square feet of storage and warehouse space presently available in Miami-Dade County. The new tunnel, rail and the deep dredge at the port, along with terminal improvements at the airport, have increased demand for millions of additional square feet of industrial space from users and offshore investors from South America, Canada, Europe, and China, both to lease and purchase property. Investors and users realize Miami will experience an increase in trade and commerce once the Panama Canal expansion is finished and they want a stake in it. Once …
In just one generation, the Orlando market and its surrounding area became one of the premier vacation destinations in the United States and the world. With a room inventory second only to Las Vegas, this tourist hot spot strongly felt the financial market meltdown of 2008. However, the last two years have seen the hotel market undergo a strong recovery. In fact, the rate of recovery in the region’s hotel segment is stronger than for hotels nationwide. This trend and the lean operations many hotels adopted during the downturn should produce excellent operating returns for hotels in the region for the foreseeable future, assuming no overbuilding. Improving Vital Signs With a 2008 total room inventory in the metro Orlando region of 111,551 rooms and 437 properties, hoteliers could demand an average daily rate of $106.25. According to STR, in 2009 that daily rate dropped a very painful 11.8 percent to $93.70. This corresponded to a drop in occupancy from 65.2 percent to 60 percent. Between 2008 and 2012, the total inventory of both rooms and properties increased. This growth saw the number of properties rise to 456 and total room inventory to 117,396 in 2012. The permanent and temporary closing …
If you subscribe to the notion that “a rising tide floats all boats,” then all of South Florida is benefiting from the renewed interest by out-of-market and international investors in all of the region’s commercial property sectors. In addition to regular South Florida investors from America’s Northeast and affluent Latin Americans, Florida has experienced a significant number of property acquisitions by Canadians in the last 18 months. While much of the international investment has focused on Miami/Dade County, one of the largest Broward County investments this year has come from Miami-based Fifteen Group, which recently acquired the Sawgrass Technology Park for $52 million in Sunrise, Fla. The Class B office and industrial buildings were formerly occupied by Racal Milgo and the seller had planned to redevelop the campus but never did. While industrial, multifamily and retail are garnering the most attention, the pricing structure for office properties is improving. The current cap rate for well-located, stabilized assets is on average 7.5 to 8.5 percent and falling as the market recovers. Much foreign investment is tied to capital flight and is less concerned with achieving the highest yield. As such, pricing is less important to those investors. In terms of sales …
Orlando has always shown an uncanny ability to grow, diversify and prosper, all while shrugging off a few economic hiccups along the way. Now, it appears that “the City Beautiful” is doing it again, with apartment development leading the way. Not since Lincoln Property Co. built the 164-unit Aspire apartments in 2008 has any significant multifamily rental development taken place in downtown Orlando. Yet, over the next two years more than 2,000 new rental apartment units are expected to dot the downtown landscape. This represents an untested pace for downtown, higher than any other two-year stretch in Orlando’s history. Although the addition of this many units may raise some concern (especially understanding Orlando’s history of overbuilding), several well established multifamily developers have taken a deeper look into Orlando’s urban lifestyle; and they like what they see. It would appear that through a mix of public/private partnerships, infrastructure improvements and quality of life, downtown is on the verge of moving one step closer in its quest of becoming one of the most robust “live-work” cities in the U.S. Laying the foundation for its continued transformation is the nearly $5 billion in capital investments that have been, or are being, invested in …
“Hot” does not adequately describe Miami’s current residential real estate climate. Back from the brink of extinction in late 2009, the residential condominium market in Miami is currently booming. The apartment market is booming as well, but did not take it on the chin like the condominium market did. From 2009 to 2010, Greater Downtown Miami was considered one of the most overbuilt markets in the country. Developers delivered approximately 34,000 condos in the market in a six-year period, more than double what was delivered in the prior 40 years. The majority of those units came on line during the crash, which left Miami with an unsold inventory or more than 20,000 units in early 2010. Forecasters expected it would take 10 or more years for that inventory to be absorbed. Today that inventory of developer-owned units is down to less than 900, according to Condo Vultures, Miami’s condo watchdog. One can almost say that Brazil and Argentina brought back Miami’s high-rise condominium market. Brazilians and Argentineans in particular, but not exclusively, have experienced hyperinflation — to the point of scheduling the purchase of groceries on payday — like few others. They therefore have an acute understanding of the need …
It looks like the worst may be over for the Tampa Bay office market, and 2013 is shaping up to be the best year for investment sales and leasing activity since before the start of the recession. The health of the local office market is directly tied to job growth, and professional and business services employment has increased over the past few years. With additional job growth forecast in 2013, tenant expansions could develop as the year progresses. Many tenants weighing moves to larger spaces in the near term will monitor available spaces and advance timetables in the event vacancy in their target locations falls rapidly. For owners of Tampa Bay office properties, the news comes at a great time, as they should see some relief from high vacancies in 2013. That said, additional tenant demand will be needed to make a significant dent in the overall vacancy rate and support more substantive rent growth. Overall, the Tampa/St Petersburg office market ended the fourth quarter of 2012 with a vacancy rate of 13.6 percent, which was down from the previous quarter. Net absorption totaled 356,991 square feet, which was a vast improvement over the negative 390,098 square feet recorded in …
Retail operations struggled in the Jacksonville metro through the first half of 2012, but residential construction across the area will contribute to increased leasing activity in the coming months. In the bustling region around the already-expanding St. John’s Town Center, several new housing developments will add between 2,400 and 3,100 residential units, while more than 2,000 apartments are planned in the Arlington/Baymeadows/Mandarin submarket. High-end retailer Nordstrom has signed a lease to anchor the addition to St. John’s with a 124,000-square-foot store set to open in the fall of 2014, and another 30,000 square feet is planned for smaller stores. In other areas of the metro, retailer H&M has opened its first Jacksonville location at the Avenues mall. Winn-Dixie is planning six new stores, and retailers Family Dollar and Dollar General are poised to open a combined six new stores as well. These retailers moving into the region will help attract smaller tenants to nearby locations, filling in dark space and enabling owners to lift rents. After third quarter 2012, employment was down 500 positions although employers created 5,300 jobs during the third quarter. Employment over the quarter was broad-based, as 10 of the 11 sectors realized gains. Employment growth was …
The Tampa Bay multifamily market is a tale of “have” and “have not.” The market has plenty of buyers and tremendous amounts of capital, and it has seen huge moves in valuation over the last 24 months. However, the market does not a large supply of available inventory or a steady supply of REO assets from lenders or special servicers. Let’s look at the amount of increased deal volume in the last 24 months, according to several sources such as LoopNet, CoStar and Real Capital Analytics. According to compiled sales comps, more than 250 multifamily properties ranging from 20 to more than 600 units have sold in the last 24 months. Compared to the prior two years, this number demonstrates an increase in sales volume of more than 200 percent. Sales prices range from $9,000 per unit on the low end of the scale for Class D fully vacant, REO, boarded-up properties to more than $150,000 per unit for several Class A fractured condo complexes that were 100 percent occupied at the time of sale. Lenders and REO special servicers have taken notice of this trend and have started pricing assets accordingly when they are brought to market through REO …
The Orlando office market continued to inch forward during the third quarter of 2012 with modest net absorption of 74,851 square feet. This marks the ninth straight quarter of positive net absorption for the Orlando office market, which includes more than 38 million square feet of Class A and B office space. Overall vacancy, however, rose 28 basis points quarter over quarter to 17.89 percent due largely to negative absorption in the Maitland Center submarket and due to an increase in available sublease space. The uncertainty created by the presidential election and the pending “fiscal cliff” were likely a factor in these modest third quarter results. Otherwise, office demand fundamentals continue to steadily improve. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, unemployment levels dropped to 8.4 percent in September, down from 8.7 percent in August. The office market will ultimately benefit from a multiplier effect as increases in construction and trade today should lead to increased demand for professional services and therefore increases in office using employment in the near future. Positive absorption in the third quarter was mostly due to growth within the Downtown/CBD submarket where 76,287 square feet of space was absorbed. The remaining non-CBD submarkets had mixed …