Like a baby boomer adapting to the new realities of social media and the digital age, the St. Louis industrial market has had to learn to reinvent itself during the down market we entered in 2008. Legacy industries that employed generations of St. Louisans and drove significant demand for space from suppliers and vendors have exited the market, leaving challenges and opportunities throughout the industrial real estate landscape here. Prior to the downturn, St. Louis enjoyed the presence of automotive plants for all of the “Big Three,” with Chrysler, Ford and General Motors all producing vehicles here. Chrysler, in fact, had committed to invest more than $1 billion in its plants in the Fenton submarket until the global economic crisis sent the company into forced bankruptcy. After acquiring locally based McDonnell Douglas in 1997, Boeing continued to be a major production force here. Several smaller companies across the business spectrum operated manufacturing and production facilities in St. Louis, providing opportunities for a highly skilled workforce. The plot twist that followed isn’t unique to St. Louis, the Midwest or the United States, as so many are acutely aware. The closure of the Chrysler plants in Fenton (in favor of Canadian and …
Missouri
The St. Louis market, long known for its diverse economy, has been slow to extricate itself from the downturn. The retail real estate brokerage business has been mostly dormant for the past 2 years, particularly the tenant representation side, as scant few national retailers dared to brave the murky expansion waters. Rental rates in the market decreased slightly from third quarter 2010, ending at $12.51 per square foot. However, rates have held up better in some submarkets, including West St. Louis County, where they are $20-plus per square foot. Prime properties at hard corners are holding their own, but second-tier properties have taken a pretty hard hit with rents down into the mid- to high-single digits. When the recession started, many landlords granted rent reductions almost uniformly to tenants and will have to live with their decisions for a while, but other owners held fort and demanded to see sales reports as proof. This resilient region of nearly 3 million people is starting to show new signs of life heading into spring 2011. The market has seen slight improvements in retail vacancy rates, which dropped from 8.4 percent in third quarter 2010 to 8.1 percent in fourth quarter 2010, according …
Like virtually every major metropolitan area, the Kansas City market has suffered in the economic malaise of the past few years. However, it hasn’t experienced the irrational highs and devastating lows that have beset markets in Arizona, Nevada and Florida. In fact, the submarkets that are struggling the most are the few that got ahead of themselves in anticipation of housing construction and leasing that never materialized. In many ways, this scenario has enhanced the position of well-located, established centers in fully developed submarkets. Many developers are renovating and, in some cases, re-tenanting their shopping centers situated in more established Kansas City neighborhoods. While demand is certainly not as robust as it was in the heyday of 2006-2007, we are still seeing more-than-respectable leasing of small tenant spaces of 1,200 to 1,500 square feet and of “mid-box” spaces ranging from 5,000 to 10,000 square feet throughout the market. Service firms such as cleaners and hair stylists, plus small eateries including breakfast/lunch-only restaurants such as Big Biscuit, as well as Starbucks, are taking smaller spaces. Dollar Tree, Dollar General and other value merchandisers are mostly taking the mid-box vacancies. Traditional lifestyle centers, however, seem to be the exception. They continue to …
The St. Louis office market continues to see a relatively slow pace of activity. As the economic downturn hit the market slightly later than the rest of the country, the recovery is also delayed, and companies continue to be cautious, with renewals dominating the leasing market. As of the end of the third quarter, the market-wide vacancy rate was 16.3 percent, slightly lower than second-quarter figures. The vacancy rate has stayed steady between 15.5 and 16.5 percent for the past 5 quarters. Firms continue to employ the blend-and-extend strategy of extending leases before the expiration date and locking in a lower lease rate at the same time. While asking rates have remained relatively steady, effective rates are lower than 2 or 3 years ago, and concessions, including free rent, are still being used by landlords to entice potential tenants in most submarkets. Much of the activity within the marketplace is being seen at smaller sizes, between 3,000 and 5,000 square feet, with a dearth of large tenants in the market. Exceptions to this include Panera Bread, which recently leased 71,130 square feet at 3630 South Geyer Road. Recently, the St. Louis office market was dominated by the moves of several …
Several factors have contributed to the softness in the St. Louis apartment market and are expected to continue to present operational challenges in the near term. A spike in construction has been met with the weak demand caused by the slumping labor market. In fact, demand for rental housing contracted 2.2 percent year-over-year in the third quarter — the largest decline in more than 20 years — and will likely fall until payrolls begin to expand. Owners have increased concessions to roughly 26 days of free rent. With vacancy on track to rise further this year, concessions will remain elevated, particularly in the Maryland Heights/Northwest County submarket. Area operators are currently offering renters nearly 40 days of free rent, the most of any submarket in the metro area. Nonetheless, many residents are opting to relocate out of the area and into St. Charles to capture lower rents or into Clayton to be near the metro’s healthiest employment corridors. As such, owners in the Clayton/Mid-County submarket have kept concessions relatively flat during the past 12 months. Turning to investment sales, transaction velocity has slowed in the St. Louis market due primarily to reduced pricing and increased buyer caution regarding weakened fundamentals. …
The old adage that every cloud has a silver lining holds true for the St. Louis industrial market. After posting positive absorption during every quarter of the current recession, the industrial market got cloudier when Chrysler shuttered its St. Louis plants during the early part of the third quarter. That placed more than 5.1 million square feet of space on the market and boosted the vacancy rate a couple points. The auto industry’s woes trickled down to a number of Chrysler’s suppliers as well. Another 2.1 million square feet of auto supplier buildings also became available. So where’s the silver lining? Actually, there are several. For starters, Chrysler’s plants and its suppliers are primarily located in the South County submarket. Historically, South County has been one of the area’s strongholds for industrial, with a vacancy rate of only 4.2 percent at the end of the second quarter. The availability of space now opens opportunities for large and small users. A number of companies have already taken advantage of these opportunities. Colt Industries, the area’s distributor for Corian countertops, purchased a nearly 100,000-square-foot building formerly occupied by Dakkota Integrated Systems, which supplied vehicle interiors. An aerosol can supplier has signed a …
Several factors have contributed to the softness in the St. Louis apartment market and are expected to continue to present operational challenges in the near term. A spike in construction has been met with the weak demand caused by the slumping labor market. In fact, demand for rental housing contracted 2.2 percent year over year in the third quarter — the largest decline in more than 20 years — and will likely fall until payrolls begin to expand. As a result, owners have increased concessions to roughly 26 days of free rent. With vacancy on track to rise further this year, concessions will remain elevated, particularly in the Maryland Heights/Northwest County submarket. Area operators are currently offering renters nearly 40 days of free rent, the most of any submarket in the metro area. Nonetheless, many residents are opting to relocate out of the area and into St. Charles to capture lower rents or into Clayton to be near the metro’s healthiest employment corridors. As such, owners in the Clayton/Mid-County submarket have kept concessions relatively flat during the past 12 months. Turning to investment sales, transaction velocity has slowed in the St. Louis market due primarily to reduced pricing and increased …
The Kansas City apartment market continues to hold its own despite economic challenges and uncertainties. While occupancy and rental rates have remained steady, development has been tempered by a tight lending environment. The pace of planned construction has slowed dramatically as a result of market fundamentals. The first half of 2009 showed the lowest level of permits, a mere 78, in the past 20 years. The lack of liquidity and tougher underwriting standards are halting development. The uncertainty in asset values plays a part in this as well as lenders underwriting deals more conservatively. As a result, banks are requiring developers to contribute a greater amount of equity, thus decreasing project risk for both parties Market fundamentals have remained steady. Rents are averaging $0.79 per square foot, unchanged from the start of the year. Rates vary widely from $1.14 per square foot at the Country Club Plaza, which has 95 percent occupancy, to as low as $0.64 per square foot for Class C apartments in the Northland submarket. These rates, though, are offset by concessions. At the end of June, nearly three-fourths of the area’s multifamily properties offered concessions, up noticeably from the 56 percent that used concessions to attract …
While St. Louis has a diversified economy, it has not been immune from the forces reshaping the retail landscape. As the economy contracts and consumer confidence continues to dip, retailers are reeling from the impact. Circuit City was the latest fatality when its 567 stores went dark in early March, including seven sites in the St. Louis area. Colliers Turley Martin Tucker expects that 2009 will best be remembered as a year of significant closures and consolidations among retailers. Despite the current uncertainty in the marketplace, there were several retail developments completed last year, all of which were primarily committed to well before the economy began taking its toll. St. Louis ended 2008 with more than 1.5 million square feet of new retail space. The majority of these new developments are anchored by retailers selling necessity or discount items such as Costco, Wal-Mart, grocery stores and drug stores. Such a tenant base, combined with consumers now taking a more cost-conscious approach to spending, should allow these developments to do well despite the current economic turmoil. Among these new developments is the new 260,000-square-foot Meadows at Lake Saint Louis in Lake St. Louis, Missouri. Billed as the first lifestyle center in …
Apartment conditions in St. Louis will soften this year due to job losses and localized oversupply; however, some submarkets in the metro area will record a relatively strong performance. The local labor market is projected to be weighed down by the manufacturing sector and the trade, transportation and utilities segment, resulting in approximately 12,000 job cuts in 2009, which will ease apartment demand. Vacancy is projected to climb 100 basis points this year to 8.6 percent, the highest rate since early 2006. As a result, owners will reduce rents in an effort to maintain occupancy levels. The average asking rent is forecast to end the year at $722 per month, a contraction of 1 percent, following a 1.7 percent advance in 2008. In the near term, fundamentals will firm in the Airport/Interstate 70 and Clayton/Mid-County submarkets, as their proximity to arterial routes will continue to generate healthy tenant demand. As such, vacancy is forecast to retreat approximately 60 basis points to 9.5 percent this year in the Airport/I-70 submarket, while vacancy in the Clayton/Mid-County area is expected to fall roughly 30 basis points to 7 percent. Class A properties near interstates 270 and 170 are projected to outperform as a …