Saying that Austin's multifamily market has been a strong performer for the past several years would be stating the obvious and hardly newsworthy, considering that all of the well-reported economic rankings list Austin at or near the top. Nevertheless, the numbers from the past five years are remarkable. While 2013 will go into the record books as one of the best years for multifamily landlords, the real story for 2014 — and beyond — is how the market responds to the two forces that have clearly started to change: supply and financing. Supply Surge There is no hiding the fact that a building boom is occurring in central Austin, as the cranes for multi-family construction easily outnumber the activity in hospitality and office properties combined. Completions for 2014 are expected to be approximately 12,000 units, with the highest concentration (more than 3,000 units) in the central sub-markets. This is a dramatic increase in new supply in a market that has been significantly under supplied due to the collapse of the capital markets in 2008. After a couple of years focused on urban, in-fill projects, the recent third quarter reports indicate that developers are returning to the suburbs, with over 18,000 …
Multifamily
While the national economy remains sluggish, the energy-fueled Houston economy continues to power a resurgent local apartment market. The Houston multifamily market is the strongest it has been in years, with robust performance across classes and in virtually every submarket. Construction has rebounded from the depressed levels of the past few years, but demand continues to exceed supply, forcing rents ever higher. The statistics say that vacancy is at its lowest level in nearly eight years, and rents are at their highest rate on record. I am seeing that borne out, as virtually every deal that crosses my desk shows that income is on an upward trend. Houston was the first market nationally to recover all of the jobs lost during the recession, and since, the pace of job growth has accelerated. Projects that were shelved four or five years ago are now under construction throughout the region, including OliverMcMillan beginning work on its River Oaks District, Wulfe going vertical at BLVD Place and GID building on the site of the old Allen House. In addition, new developments continue to be announced. This construction activity, both residential and commercial, has created lots of good jobs for skilled and semi-skilled laborers …
The tide is changing for subcontracting in the Washington, D.C., multifamily market. In the past year, while much of the country has been in recovery, Washington construction managers experienced a white-hot market in wood-frame, market-rate apartments. Along with multiple building opportunities, there was an abundance of qualified subcontractors offering extremely competitive pricing. Currently, new properties continue to be developed, but reductions in the subcontracting pool and changes in building codes are creating a climate of increased pressure for construction managers. Subcontractor Capacity Recently, our industry has seen unprecedented subcontractor failures, workforce leaving the area and some company owners leaving the business altogether because they are not willing to risk their livelihoods anymore. Profits and cash flow were just too tight. At the same time, more than 20,000 units will be added to the D.C. market during the next two years. Affordable and tax credit markets have come back strong as well, and rent increases in the new ground-up apartments have created a booming submarket in Class B renovations. For example, Snell Construction Corp. of Arlington, Va., is repositioning two major properties: Southern Towers, a 2,500-unit, 1960s era high-rise community in Alexandria, and Monticello Gardens, with 794 apartments in Falls Church, …
Strong job and household growth across the San Antonio metro will boost demand for apartments this year, tightening vacancy and pushing rents higher. Apartment developers are preparing to build more units in the upcoming quarters thanks to the formation of new households throughout the metro. However, the development of new rental housing will not jeopardize the operations of existing properties and will keep the investors very active in the coming months. Job creation in the metro is supported by the Eagle Ford Shale, the primary driver of a booming oil industry in South Texas. Exploration and extraction are creating thousands of jobs and bringing billions of dollars to Bexar County. Overall, the economic impact of the Eagle Ford Shale will continue to increase as Kinder Morgan expands its crude and condensate pipeline 31 miles into Karnes County. In addition, plans call for a 400-acre rail park in the South submarket to meet heightened demand for rail-based logistics and warehousing related to Eagle Ford Shale oil production. As employment opportunities grow, the metro’s population will grow 2 percent by the end of 2013, two times the U.S. population growth rate. Of the roughly 46,000 new residents projected this year, approximately one-quarter …
Modest economic growth in the Chicago metro area will support further improvements in apartment vacancy and rents this year. Staffing levels grew in the first half of 2013, though the pace of hiring eased from prior periods. Vacancy will remain lower than normal in the near term, though temporary imbalances between supply and demand will occur over the next two years. This trend is especially likely in the city, where the number of new luxury units aimed at upwardly mobile young households and affluent older households is increasing. New sources of demand, however, will also emerge, including echo boomer and new immigrant households. Properties listed for sale typically elicit multiple offers, placing upward pressure on prices and compressing cap rates. Northside neighborhoods remain a targeted area, and the best assets in those submarkets can trade at cap rates from 5 to 6 percent. Investors continue to look for underperforming assets and are giving greater consideration to eventual exit strategies. Interest in Class C and Class D assets in blue-collar neighborhoods on the west side and south side is also gaining traction. Recent transactions have established $30,000 per unit to $35,000 per unit as the strike point to execute deals, and …
Performance prospects for the Philadelphia apartment sector remain positive. At mid-year, vacancy was in the low five percent range despite only modest job growth in the first two quarters. Since then, a steady flow of residents moving into apartments has enabled owners to reduce or maintain vacancy and improve asset values. By the end of the year, rental property completions will have risen after several years of limited construction. The current upswing in development will minimally affect market-wide vacancy and rents, and the impact of the new units will be contained to local areas. In Center City, for example, minor vacancy swings and more frequent concession use will occur as new projects are leased up. Generally, strong conditions in the market are encouraging developers and building will progress at a steady pace in the next two years. Nonetheless, the new construction cycle hardly looks forbidding, as the units permitted over the past year would expand multifamily stock only 1.1 percent if all those projects were built. Year to date, 879 new rental units have been placed in service in Philadelphia and it looks like developers will complete 2,600 apartments in 2013, which is up 1,238 units over last year, but …
Revitalization efforts in Detroit are underway and drawing residents and businesses back to the city. These measures aim to improve downtown Detroit’s streets and parks, enhance outdoor activities to increase foot traffic and attract new retailers, jobs and residents. In addition, construction will begin later this year on 3.3 miles of the M-1 light rail line, which will run mainly down Detroit’s Woodward Avenue between downtown and the New Center neighborhood, attracting redevelopment along the route. These efforts, coupled with a growing desire of many young professionals and downsizing baby boomers to live in an urban setting, have led to tightening vacancy rates in the downtown core. Although there is no hard data collected on apartment vacancies in the downtown market, developers claim vacancy in some pockets is below 4 percent. The vacancy rate across the metro area currently stands at 4.4 percent. As a result, some vacant buildings such as the former Broderick Tower, Detroit Savings Bank and the David Whitney office building are being put to new use as apartments. Older apartments are also being renovated, some of which are being converted to luxury units, such as the Griswold Apartments. As renters in these properties are relocated, occupancy …
Hampton Roads, the grouping of cities clustered around the meeting of the Atlantic Ocean, the Chesapeake Bay and the Intracoastal Waterway, is long known for its huge and vital military installations, and its tremendous maritime/shipping industries. The Port of Virginia is one of the busiest ports on the Eastern Seaboard, and is about to become even busier. At the end of the second quarter of 2012, the port posted a 7.2 percent year-over-year increase in cargo. Furthermore, with the widening of the Panama Canal, there will be a new breed of container ships carrying vastly more cargo than conventional ships. Only a few ports will be able to handle those ships, and Hampton Roads is the first to be ready. This increase in container shipments through our 55-foot, ice-free harbor will be an economic boon for Hampton Roads. The military has had, and will continue to have, a major impact on the local economy. However, there has been a concerted effort among all the cities of Hampton Roads to diversify the economic base. Technology-driven industries, including healthcare, modeling and simulation and research and development are all growing industries in the region. Seven of the world’s 10 largest aerospace and defense …
The San Diego apartment market is doing unsustainably well. About 400 buildings will sell this year, which is the average volume of the past 30 years. Sellers are obtaining prices near peak levels, while buyers are capturing cash flow twice as good as the stock market — and with less risk. There are three sources of buyers: cash that was sitting on the sidelines; investors who bought houses and condos at half price and are now ready to move up; and 1031 buyers. Investors are tired of going broke safely. Hundreds have had cash in the bank that was paying a pittance while inflation and taxes slowly dissolve capital. Apartments deliver cash returns that are two to three times what stocks offer. Additionally, over the past few years there have been more than 30,000 homes and condos sold at distressed prices. Many of those owners have doubled their equity and are ready to re-leverage their equity and trade up. This is creating a significant number of 1031 buyers again. It is not quite a chain reaction, but the ripple is helpful. Apartment financing is easy and interest rates are cheaper than they have been for 48 of the past 50 …
There is a buzz about New Orleans — no longer are only locals singing the virtues of this great American city. In fact, Forbes rated New Orleans the fastest-growing city since the recession in 2013, Bloomberg describes the Crescent City as “Boomtown,” CNN Money rated Louisiana as one of the most entrepreneurial states and Career Builder.com cited New Orleans as one of the fastest for wage growth in the United States. A spotlight has been shining on the dynamics of this market, and local, regional and national investors have taken notice. According to our most recent survey, rental rates in metro New Orleans range from a low of $0.80 per square foot to as high as $2.25 per square foot. Average monthly rent is $1.02 per square foot, and overall occupancy is at 93 percent. The geography of New Orleans is such that there are numerous barriers to entry, most notably the lack of available land to develop multifamily communities. As a result, the Downtown/ Warehouse District is experiencing a major renaissance whereby mid- and late-1920s office buildings are being converted to multifamily. Notable developments downtown that are under construction or soon to commence include The South Market, which will …