New multifamily developments are springing up throughout San Diego County. Strengthening apartment market fundamentals and rising demand are among the many reasons why investors view this as the perfect time to capitalize on development. There are currently more than 1,500 multifamily units under construction and slated for completion by the end of this year in the county — more than triple the amount of new units delivered in 2011, according to RealFacts. Developers are finding a more cost-effective approach to investing in this market by purchasing land for development as opposed to buying existing apartments and refurbishing. However, finding suitable land for development remains a challenge. Locations throughout the county attracting the highest developer interest and already witnessing new construction activity are centrally located, mixed-use urban areas. This is no surprise as walkability and easy access to transportation is highly sought after by the younger generation of renters. This population is currently estimated to be more than 959,000 strong — larger than that of the Baby Boomer population, according to SANDAG. A number of projects have broken ground in the Downtown market, primarily in Little Italy and East Village, as developers take advantage of the area’s unique characteristics. Two notable …
Multifamily
The off-campus student housing market in Austin is unique when compared to the majority of student markets around the country. From a macro perspective, the University of Texas at Austin (UT) is situated in one of the leading markets in the country in terms of population growth (42 percent from 2000-2011 Austin/Round Rock MSA), job growth (6.1 percent unemployment vs. 8.8 percent national average) business-friendly local and state economies and overall quality of life (“No. 1 best city to live in for the next 10 years” — Kiplinger’s Personal Finance, June 2011). UT has a current enrollment of more than 51,000 students and is the fifth largest institution in the country. UT regards itself as a leader in academics, athletics and as one of the leading research institutions in the U.S. For all the above reasons and more, UT continues to be a huge draw for students both in Texas and from out of state. Despite legislative enrollment limits of approximately 50,000 students, the student housing market in and around UT is one of the strongest student markets in the country today. West Campus (a roughly 10 by 10 block area due west of UT) reported market occupancy for the …
Recently employed residents are forming new rental households in metro Chicago, generating positive net absorption, a decline in vacancy and a rise in apartment rents. Additional payroll growth will stimulate new demand and reduce marketwide vacancy to its lowest annual level in 5 years by year’s end to about 4 percent in the city and suburbs. Over the longer term, the market’s stature as a primary destination for college graduates should sustain a vacancy rate of approximately 4 percent, though the delivery of new rentals may more significantly offset demand growth in the quarters ahead. The potential influx of college graduates, many of whom will occupy rentals and remain there for an extended period as they pay off student loans, has attracted developers. While the pipeline of planned projects in the suburbs is also expanding, the greatest potential effect of supply growth will register in the city, where completions will rise this year and additional projects wait to proceed. Steady hiring in the first quarter has sparked demand. Across the metro area, 8,000 jobs were added during the period, raising the number of positions created in the past 6 months to 14,400. The private sector continues to set the pace, …
Currently, the Houston multifamily market is in the best shape that we’ve seen in a long time. For example, rents are increasing across the board, particularly in Class A properties. In addition, occupancy is at its highest point in years. We’re still trying to backfill supply into a market that has seen historically low deliveries over the last three years, and Houston is creating serious demand for new units. We use the rule of thumb that for every six or seven new jobs created, there is demand for one new apartment. Thus, Houston has added more than 90,000 jobs in the last 12 months, which tells us that we need to add 12-15,000 units annually just to keep up with current demand. So, all in all, Houston’s multifamily market is healthy right now. There are a variety of trends impacting the multifamily market in Houston. For example, tightening occupancy and low supply are driving concessions out of both urban and suburban markets. We will see increased supply in the next 18 months, but we will be lucky to build enough product to meet demand during that time. Development capital is available for quality infill sites, but investors are still being …
There is almost a perfect storm gathering in the multifamily markets in Kansas City. Rents are rising, vacancy is decreasing, cap rates have compressed and valuations are up for sellers. Debt capital is cheap for buyers, and there’s plenty of pent-up demand for multifamily investment. Meanwhile, developers are coming out of hiding, and some great new projects are either under construction or on the drawing board. The fundamentals of the Kansas City multifamily market continued to show strength through the first quarter of 2012. At the end of 2011, the average rent was $727 and is forecast by credible sources to grow in excess of 4 percent in 2012. Kansas City’s vacancy has decreased by 50 basis points. Overall vacancy in the marketplace stood at 5.6 percent at the end of the first quarter, according to New York-based real estate research firm Reis. Net absorption totaled about 2,800 units in 2011, the highest annual absorption since 2000, according to Reis. Net absorption in the Kansas City apartment market was 592 units in the first quarter of 2012. At the end of the 2011, Class A apartments were selling at or above $100,000 per unit at cap rates consistently below 6 …
Employment and population growth is spurring apartment demand in Phoenix, encouraging developers to ramp up construction. Although Class A rents are above mortgage payments on a median-priced home, many potential homebuyers will be unable to compete against investors that purchase bank-owned houses to operate as rentals. The metro is a target for these well-capitalized buyers, as home prices have dropped nearly 60 percent since the peak, while the local economy is gaining traction. By the close of this year, more than 80,000 positions will have been recouped in Phoenix, marking three consecutive years of job gains. The rental pool is poised to grow as many lower-priced homes are purchased by cash buyers and residents contend with qualifying hurdles due to short employment histories. As a result, strong apartment demand will enable most operators to boost rents to all-time highs, pushing residents down the quality ladder. Distant headwinds are starting to form, however, as builders recently broke ground on multiple projects that will add thousands of inventory units over the next few years. This, combined with competition from houses employed as rentals, could mean apartment owners may face significant competition as early as 2013. A sharp rise in leasing activity during …
Limited multifamily rental development and additional hiring by local employers will sustain another strong year for the Louisville apartment sector during 2012. Despite a slight increase in vacancy during the first three months of the year, tight conditions prevail as many residents moved into apartments during the past two years. Local employers expanded payrolls during the past two years and more than half of the jobs lost in the metro during the recession have been recovered. The market continues to benefit from the revival of Ford, while the area’s logistics and transportation employers have added workers as more packages and freight move through Louisville en route to other markets. The reinvigorated drivers of apartment demand continue to benefit most locations around the metro, but none more than the submarkets encompassing suburban communities located beyond the inner beltway. Overall vacancy in this area, which contains about three-fourths of the market’s apartments, sits at less than 4 percent, with the Class A rate closer to 3 percent. A lack of new construction will keep rents and vacancies healthy in the Louisville metro area. The 35-unit Whiskey Row Lofts in the West Central submarket delivered in the first quarter, becoming the only market-rate …
As the economy picks up in Columbia, South Carolina, the area’s multifamily market shows improvement. Columbia’s unemployment rate has declined steadily over the last year to its current rate of 8 percent. The largest employers in Columbia — which is the largest MSA in the state of South Carolina — are the state government, the University of South Carolina, Fort Jackson, Palmetto Health Baptist, and Blue Cross and Blue Shield of South Carolina. Columbia also showed an increase in manufacturing jobs over the past year. The area also benefits from recent economic development announcements. In May 2011, Michelin North America announced a $200 million dollar investment in its Lexington facility with 270 new jobs. Nephron Pharmaceuticals plans to build a $313 million manufacturing and research campus in Cayce’s Saxe Gotha Industrial Park, creating 700 new jobs. The University of South Carolina plans to build a state-of-the-art $91 million Moore School of Business to be located downtown at Assembly and Green. The former business school location will be leased to the Department of Justice for 20 years, which will bring in an additional 250 jobs. Amazon.com built a distribution facility in Columbia, which currently employs 600 workers, will eventually create up …
The return of development in the Raleigh-Durham apartment market should not be surprising to anyone familiar with the market, and neither should the pace of development, which leads the nation when judged by some metrics. Raleigh-Durham has become one of the most popular markets in the nation for investment over the last decade due mostly to its high-growth status. The Triangle’s existing inventory is relatively young which is appealing to a large number of investors seeking newer product, and this has propelled investment activity. More than $1.2 billion worth of apartments have traded in Raleigh-Durham since the beginning of 2011. Prospects of continued job and population growth are promising, and an analysis of these local trends indicate a need for new development that meets the changing preferences of renters in one of the nation’s fastest growing markets. Currently, 3,453 new units in 12 communities are under development in the Triangle. This accounts for 3.2 percent of current inventory of nearly 108,000 units. An additional 3,733 units are likely to break ground within the next 18 months. These projects generally represent the most desirable sites within their respective submarkets, are led by well-capitalized developers, and, in most cases, are backed by …
The recent performance of the Philadelphia apartment market offers evidence that a sustainable recovery is taking hold. Vacancy returned to a normal level, while property owners continue to realize greater success in raising rents. Newly employed residents and recent graduates of local colleges and universities will further stoke tenant demand in the quarters ahead. As would be expected following several quarters of solid performance, the recovery is initiating a new construction cycle, as heralded by the start of construction in the first quarter on a 319-unit rental in Center City. The pipeline of planned projects has also increased, but the potential impact on property operations will likely be modest as these projects represent 3 percent of existing stock. In addition, developers appear to be focused on adding rentals in areas where tenant demand is the greatest, placing a large concentration of their projects in Center City and Main Line submarkets, including Bala Cynwyd. Minimal additions to market-rate stock have moderated vacancies. During the 12 months ending in the first quarter, only the 97-unit 600 on Broad in Center City came online. Developers are becoming more confident, as 6,500 market-rate units are planned, an increase from 4,100 rentals 6 months ago. …