Charlotte's retail sector has been robust with activity in the past several months, with positive signs on the horizon. Residential development in Charlotte has been driving a rise in retail projects, particularly in the city’s infill areas, such as SouthPark and the South End. For instance, more than 1,200 apartment units are under construction or planned in the South End area. This has led to more urbanized retail, including a 55,000-square-foot Publix that is under construction on four acres at South Boulevard and Iverson Way. The site will also include structured parking and additional shops. Publix has also announced a new location in Ballantyne Town Center, located at Providence Road West and Johnston Road, which is scheduled to open in early 2014. When Harris Teeter announced that it had hired JP Morgan to sell the company, rumors were rampant and there has been a lot of speculation that Publix was a likely buyer. Most industry insiders do not think that this is likely, so it will be interesting to see how this dynamic plays out. In the meantime, Publix continues to scour opportunities for new locations throughout the Charlotte market, adding a new player in the highly competitive grocery sector. …
North Carolina
Charlotte has become one of the most desirable and sought-after investment markets in the nation with a diverse economy fueling job growth, attracting new talent and enticing investors. In fact, Charlotte had the largest population growth rate for urban areas of 1 million people or more in the decade from 2000 to 2010 and is expected to increase its population by another quarter-million people by 2020, fueled by diverse industries such as banking, energy, healthcare, manufacturing and transportation. With 37,000 jobs created in 2012, Charlotte’s employment has added back every job lost during the recent recession, eclipsing its previous high-water mark set in 2007. Approximately 50 companies have announced major expansions or relocations in the Charlotte area over the past year-and-a-half. Highlights include Metlife announcing plans to establish a hub for its U.S. retail business in Charlotte bringing 1,300 jobs to the city and Convergys, the business process outsourcing giant, announced plans to create 1,600 jobs. From a multifamily operations perspective, the Charlotte MSA has seen outstanding performance over the last two years with both total occupancy and average rents at their highest levels in the past 10 years. With current occupancy levels above 95 percent (increased by approximately 490 …
While most office markets are bifurcated between Class A and the rest, the Triangle market has a particularly pronounced disparity that is driving market trends. In the first quarter of 2013, Class A vacancy was 12.7 percent — nearly half that of both Class B (24.7 percent) and Class C (23.0 percent). The playing field, in terms of both tenant desires and rental rate differential economics, is skewed heavily in favor of Class A space, which currently only has six options for tenants seeking blocks 50,000 square feet or greater. Not even projects currently under construction, including the NC State Employees Credit Union’s downtown Raleigh headquarters and Diamond View III in downtown Durham, offer available space in that range. Class A vacancy is at its lowest rate in nearly five years and is only slightly above the 11 percent range that spurred the office building boom between 2005 and 2007. The lack of available large blocks has already resulted in lost opportunities and market timing mismatches for potential preleasing or build-to-suit tenants, such as Wyrick Robbins Yates & Ponton. The law firm recently renewed and expanded its lease in place at The Summit in the West Raleigh submarket, due to …
Population growth is a direct result of the lifestyle advantages we enjoy in the Triangle region, which include our mild climate as well as educational opportunities and future employment options. People continue to move to the area, with approximately 225,000 new citizens expected by 2015. These new citizens expect jobs and recent estimates indicated an increase of approximately 12,500 jobs in 2012. It’s not the high job growth of the late ’90s through mid-2000, but it was an improvement over the last three years. With so many new people coming to the Triangle, and many unable to sell their homes in depressed markets, the need for apartments has grown considerably. The Triangle apartment market has been on fire with the latest report indicating a vacancy rate of 5.5 percent. In addition almost 6,000 apartment units are currently under construction. The combination of population growth, housing demands and disposable income are key ingredients to our vibrant retail market. In 2011, there was an increase in retail construction of approximately 900,000 square feet, resulting in minimal absorption and continued vacancy at 6 percent. In 2012, construction dropped to just over 300,000 square feet and despite vacancies in strip centers, overall vacancy dropped …
The Charlotte, N.C., apartment market is well into its recovery; 2012 proved to be a strong year with improving fundamentals, healthy transaction volume and the formation of a robust new development pipeline. The exceptional year that Charlotte experienced in 2012 was not fully anticipated at year’s end 2011. However, MPF Research’s second quarter report (July 2012) showed Charlotte’s year-over-year rent growth at 6.8 percent, placing it third in the top 10 markets for rent growth nationally (of the top 50 national markets). This trend was reinforced by MPF’s third quarter publication which reported year-over-year rent growth of 6.3 percent. This marked the fourth straight quarter of year-over-year rent growth in excess of 6 percent. In addition, the report showed overall market occupancy levels of 95.9 percent, the second highest achieved in 14 years. Such favorable news serves as confirmation that the Charlotte economy has remained strong through the financial crisis, as banking sector jobs have remained largely intact and the overall economy of Charlotte is more diverse than many once thought. As a result of the favorable market dynamics, Charlotte’s visibility amidst the national investment landscape has increased, causing investors, developers and lenders alike to take note. Charlotte has quickly …
The Charlotte multifamily market continues its strong recovery and shows no signs of slowing down. All facets of the multifamily market are improving with tightening apartment fundamentals, increased transactional volume and the announcement of several high-profile development projects. According to RealPage MPF Research, the Charlotte market has experienced 6.8 percent rent growth during the past 12 months, which ranks third in the country behind only San Francisco and San José, California. The market has also absorbed more than 3,300 units in the same time period, lowering the overall market’s vacancy to approximately 6.5 percent — the lowest vacancy figure seen in Charlotte in more than a decade. Transaction volume in the Charlotte metro, while only half of the activity level in the Triangle market, has been relatively strong with approximately $800 million in sales during the past 12 months. Capital sources continue to flock to the highest-grade assets, particularly infill locations, where historically low interest rates boost investor returns. A recent illustration of this trend was Atlanta-based Post Properties’ purchase of the 360-unit Circle at South End from Crescent Resources for $74 million or $205,556 per unit, a record per-unit price for a garden-style community in the Carolinas. On the …
The return of development in the Raleigh-Durham apartment market should not be surprising to anyone familiar with the market, and neither should the pace of development, which leads the nation when judged by some metrics. Raleigh-Durham has become one of the most popular markets in the nation for investment over the last decade due mostly to its high-growth status. The Triangle’s existing inventory is relatively young which is appealing to a large number of investors seeking newer product, and this has propelled investment activity. More than $1.2 billion worth of apartments have traded in Raleigh-Durham since the beginning of 2011. Prospects of continued job and population growth are promising, and an analysis of these local trends indicate a need for new development that meets the changing preferences of renters in one of the nation’s fastest growing markets. Currently, 3,453 new units in 12 communities are under development in the Triangle. This accounts for 3.2 percent of current inventory of nearly 108,000 units. An additional 3,733 units are likely to break ground within the next 18 months. These projects generally represent the most desirable sites within their respective submarkets, are led by well-capitalized developers, and, in most cases, are backed by …
The Raleigh/Durham industrial market finished 2011 with substantially increased activity within the warehouse sector. Capital markets activity continues to be particularly strong for Class A institutional grade product, and leasing velocity seems to be finding its legs. The increased volume of deal flow is likely to set the stage for continued improvement through 2012. Investment sales activity has been particularly robust during the past 18 months with more than 3.1 million square feet of institutional grade industrial space trading hands for more than $209 million in value. Cap rates for institutional grade product in the Raleigh-Durham market have fallen significantly since the credit crisis in 2008, but have begun to level off in the low 7 percent range. Duke Realty has been the most active buyer of industrial product in the region. Since September of last year, it has acquired nearly 1 million square feet in three transactions totaling $61.4 million, and is now the largest owner of institutional industrial space in the market. Most notable was its acquisition of the Greenfield North portfolio in Garner, North Carolina, for $31 million. Through this acquisition, Duke has virtually cornered the fast growing East Wake market for Class A warehouse space. Leasing …
Raleigh salutes 2011 as a year of improvement and we welcome 2012 with great optimism. In September of last year, Raleigh received Bloomberg Businessweek’s “No. 1 American City” accolade, which is a measure of the “all-around excellence” of a region. The NCSU Index of North Carolina Leading Economic Indicators, a forecast of the economy’s direction four to six months ahead, rose in October, the first gain in the Index since June. All of the North Carolina-based components of the Index improved, with the leader being a 31 percent jump in building permits, according to Michael Walden, distinguished professor of economics at North Carolina State University in Raleigh. As the economy continues to improve and jobs increase, absorption will take additional existing vacant space. The cities of Raleigh, Cary, Chapel Hill and Durham make up 98 percent of the 76 million square feet of office inventory in the Triangle area. With 461,119 square feet of absorption year-to-date in the third quarter of 2011, the market remains positive. Owner-occupant companies had a major effect on positive absorption. In the third quarter, nine of the 12 submarkets showed positive absorption and decreased vacancy rate over the previous quarter. Wachovia contributed to the negative …
During the last 12 months, the Raleigh/Durham apartment market has continued to maintain a lofty appeal in the eyes of local, regional and institutional investors. The fundamentals of the region, including its growth projections, the diversity of employment and the driving force that is created by three major research universities, has continued to offer good reasons for investors to inject capital into the Raleigh/Durham apartment market. After a slow start in 2010, many developers have set their eyes on taking advantage of the reduced development pipeline that was a casualty of the recession. The institutions as well as local and regional developers with strong balance sheets were those that were in the best position to take advantage of being the first to break ground. After just a few developments started in 2010, the number of new construction starts and new developments in the planning stages during 2011 has exponentially increased. However, number of new apartment units added to the market in 2011 will be the lowest in recent memory. Part of the reason for this increase in development activity is that the investment sales market has been so strong in the Raleigh/Durham marketplace, arguably as strong or stronger than any …