The Dallas Fort Worth (D/FW) office market has gone through another successful quarter. First quarter 2009 ended with a positive net absorption of 1.2 million square feet and a vacancy rate of 16 percent. Fortunately, the first decline in D/FW job growth was not felt until January 2009. These two major trends have set D/FW up for the “last in first out” model of recovery. This is a much different trend than experienced during the last two major recessions, and this time D/FW is the right market to be in to ride out the recession. One of the major factors that has put D/FW in this positive light, as compared to the rest of the other major office markets across the country, is the preleasing of 241,500 square feet of the 965,387 square feet of new construction that came online in the first quarter. The D/FW office market as a whole has experienced positive net absorption for the last 6 years. The following are a few of the large deals that contributed to this. Torch Mark Corporation took 150,000 square feet at Stonebridge Ranch, AIG leased 138,010 square feet at South Tower, Texas Capital Bancshares. Inc signed on for 94,940 …
Office
These haven’t been the easiest times to maintain optimism or even a somewhat sunny outlook, which is a crucial characteristic for those of us who lease office properties in Atlanta or anywhere else in the United States. Everywhere we turn, we’re constantly pounded with negative economic news as the pillars of American industry teeter and equity markets gyrate. But unlike the frozen credit markets, at least the reeling equity markets aren’t completely stagnant. We’re starting to see signs of life, and the main question on everybody’s mind is have we hit bottom? Let’s hope so. There are a few early indicators pointing up, and long-term prospects suggest that metro Atlanta can maintain the growth that transformed the city during the past 30 years. First, Jones Lang LaSalle research has found that metro Atlanta’s office markets, including sublease space, absorbed 182,432 square feet in the first quarter of this year. That would’ve been a bad quarter in 2006, but coming off a year where the office market had negative net absorption of more than 850,000 square feet, we’ll take it. Unfortunately, the urban markets — Buckhead, Midtown and Downtown — posted negative net absorption of 47,640 square feet in the first …
The northern Nevada office market remained weak in 2008 with all four quarters recording increased vacancy and negative net absorption, a continuation of a trend that began in 2007 when three out of four quarters finished with negative net absorption. Last year finished with negative 116,000 square feet of leased office space and vacancy exceeding 20 percent. Directly related to the drastic downturn in the residential real estate market, Reno’s office performance had been fueled by the national homebuilders, mortgage companies and title companies, who saw their requirements for office space drop as quickly as the demand for their products and services. The area’s office sector quickly changed from growth and high demand to nearly non-existent demand and increasing vacancy, thus leaving investors and developers scrambling for tenants. With rising vacancy and demand declining, many office property owners are willing to slash effective lease rates to secure tenants. The average asking rate for Class A properties at year-end 2008 was $22.08 per square foot, a $1.56 less than a year earlier, and Class B was down to $16.68 per square foot. During the highs of late 2006, the effective rates for class A product exceeded $27 per square foot. With …
The Seattle market is currently experiencing the lowest tenant demand in 30 years. Both early stage companies and strong credit corporations are tightening their belts and are reluctant to commit capital. Large companies with strong credit usually look for cost saving consolidation opportunities, but unfortunately, this requires some up-front capital, which is being frozen by financially savvy executives. Many new developments commenced 2 to 3 years ago as Seattle was rated one of the top five real estate markets in the nation. Those projects broke ground without the foresight of the recession that followed. There are currently four new vacant office buildings complete or close to completion. Those buildings include West 8th, 1918 Stewart, 2201 Westlake and 1100 Eastlake. All of their anxious landlords and investors are competing for a small pool tenants. Additionally, the downfall of Washington Mutual has brought thousands of additional square feet onto market. JP Morgan Chase refuted most leases through its bankruptcy acquisition of Washington Mutual. This perfect storm of over supply totals more than 6,500,000 square feet of class A and B office space available for lease. The Eastside markets have been saved from excessive vacancy owing to Microsoft’s expansion last year. However, overall …
In the wake of rising office vacancies and sublease space, tenant opportunities are at their most pronounced for companies seeking office space throughout the Chicago Metro market, which includes both the CBD and the suburbs, in 2009. In Chicago and across the U.S., credit-worthy tenants continue to be in a position to strike deals at a fraction of previous rents. Landlords are beginning to offer increased concessions such as tenant improvement funds, rent abatement, and greater lease flexibility. Nationally, such offerings have escalated nearly 20 percent over the last 24 months, while rents have been driven down some 10 percent in the last 3 months alone. Chicago’s sublease space climbed to 7 million square feet, including 2.67 million square feet in the CBD plus the suburbs in the first quarter of 2009, according to Jones Lang LaSalle research. Sublease space will jump further in the coming months as corporate America's more recent job cuts trickle down to commercial real estate. The overall vacancy rate, including subleases, in Chicago’s CBD is 18,140,000 square feet, or 13.6 percent, and is 22,900,000 square feet or 23.9 percent for suburban Chicago in the first quarter of 2009. The absorption rate is at -0.8 percent …
“Are we there yet?” seems to be the big question with the Dallas/Fort Worth office market. The most likely answer is no, there is still tough times ahead. The Dallas/Fort Worth (DFW) Metroplex refused to participate in the recession for most of 2007 and 2008, but the fourth quarter of 2008 started a down trend that has so far continued in the first quarter of 2009. Sales volume is down, rental rates are down and vacancies are up. National annual sales volumes for office properties peeked at nearly $208 billion in 2007 to be followed by a drop of 75 percent in 2008 according to Real Capital Analytics. Sales volume for office investments held up slightly better in the Dallas market decreasing only 65 percent in 2008 as the credit markets began tightening. The rental rates and vacancy percentages held up much better in the DFW Metroplex than did the national averages. According to CoStar DFW hit its high vacancy rate in mid 2003 around 18 percent. Since that time it has steadily dropped with 2007 and 2008 remaining fairly stable at slightly above 16 percent. In 2007 and 2008 the Metroplex added 11,278,582 square feet of new office space …
Douglas K. Mandel is associate vice president investments director, National Office and Industrial Properties Group, in Marcus & Millichap’s Fort Lauderdale, Florida office. What area is your expertise? • South Florida (Miami, Fort Lauderdale, West Palm Beach) office properties What trends do you see presently in office development in your area? • The development pipeline for new office development has slowed dramatically, largely attributed to the lack of debt for new construction. There is demand for LEED-certified office development and some projects are underway or are about to be under construction. Who are the active office developers in your area? • Stiles Corporation, Proccaci Development Company and Butters Construction & Development are three active office developers in South Florida. Please name one or two significant office developments in your area. • A joint venture between Related Companies and Croker Partners has just completed CityPlace Tower, an 18-story Class A office building in downtown West Palm Beach. The building, which includes 300,000 square feet of office is located at the south entrance to CityPlace, a 72-acre mixed-use complex with retail, restaurants and entertainment venues. Stiles Corporation has just completed 200 Las Olas Circle, a 17-story Class A office building in downtown …
Odds are that Las Vegas developers, landlords and brokers did not mind putting 2008 in the rear-view mirror. Unfortunately, odds are also good that 2009 will be even more challenging. Commercial real estate certainly finds itself in unprecedented times. At the end of 2008, the Las Vegas office market had about 5.5 million square feet of vacant space, with the vacancy rate rising to 17.24 percent. This number doesn’t include the increasing amount of sublease space on the market or what is even harder to track, shadow space — unused space not being marketed. Even with the amount of vacant space on the market, there is roughly 2.2 million square feet under construction, most of which will hit the market in 2009. Based on historical absorption averages, the estimated supply of existing vacant space now would take about 5 years to absorb. The average asking lease rate ended 2008 at $2.40 per square foot, but is expected to decrease during first quarter 2009. Landlords have tried to maintain their face rates, but will generally bend significantly to make a deal. Available shell space on the market has more leasing challenges than second-generation space. With the cost of construction exceeding the …
Howard Bissell of The Bissell Cos. sums his take on the Charlotte office market by echoing a concern voiced by developers all across the country. In nearly every major market and in a vast array of property types, developers are hurting because of rampant economic uncertainty. Tenants and investors simply don’t know what’s next, so they aren’t making any moves. “There’s a lot of concern over the unknown,” Bissell says. “Depending on where you are in the Charlotte market, you can point to slow downs in the velocity of leasing. What we started seeing last year has just accelerated into 2009.” For developers like Bissell, the main concern in Charlotte isn’t that the office market has slowed, but that it’s taken a rapid course downward, a quick pace that nobody quite anticipated. Tenants are on the sidelines looking in. Bissell has had to put two of his developments on hold due to the recession. “We’re out there trying to capture every deal that we can, so long as it makes sense,” he says, noting that he foresees pursuing deals more aggressively in the next year. At the Charlotte Chamber of Commerce, Jeff Edge takes a brighter point of view toward …
Clearly, the demand for office space has significantly diminished since the end of last year. Office leasing is directly related to jobs and the expectation of future employment and, therefore, over-reliant on Wall Street. However, it does lag behind the stock market somewhat. Having said that, it is important to look at the Manhattan office space market with a broader perspective. The unique advantages of New York City include the diversity of businesses residing here and the transportation infrastructure that makes it easy for people to get to work. Other cities such as London, Seattle and Silicon Valley, California, are far more reliant on specific industries and their market tends to suffer more dramatically when those industries are in decline. Although the financial services and banking industry represents a large portion of the overall inventory of office space in Manhattan, industries such as healthcare, legal (with strong bankruptcy and litigation departments) and accounting have shown resilience — and in some cases growth — of their businesses. The subleasing of excess office space, although predominantly in the financial services sector, also includes retailers, law firms and pharmaceutical companies. Recent major leases include: Deutsche Bank, which renewed 150,000 square feet at 345 …