Downtown Cleveland is in the midst of a redevelopment boom. During the last 12 months, the city has seen a new $350 million casino and a new $33 million aquarium open. And over the next 24 months, it will see a new $465 million convention center complex, a new $275 million multi-tenant office building and hotel and a $180 million redevelopment that will include a new 220,000-square-foot office tower as a part of consolidation efforts for the Cuyahoga County government. However, one of the most impactful and long-lasting components is the development of more than 1,100 new residential housing units that have either been announced or are under construction. If all come to fruition, it will increase downtown’s residential inventory by over 20 percent. Market Drivers Although there are numerous factors contributing to this residential building boom, the following stand out as key components. • Build it and they will come? They are already here. As of January 2012, the downtown area had just under 4,200 residential units. Of this, approximately 25 percent were developed in the past five years. However, this delivery schedule was much lower as compared to the blossoming demand. The source of this demand has come …
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With tenant demand increasing and retailers looking to expand in Cleveland, positive net absorption and limited development have created a balanced retail market that will lead to improvement and growth in 2012, according to Marcus & Millichap. The construction levels are relatively low with only 260,000 square feet of shopping center space scheduled to be completed this year, more than doubling last year’s 121,000 square feet. By comparison, 2008 saw 1 million square feet in retail completions. “When you look at it and put it in perspective versus construction levels seen during the last 10 years, it’s significantly below the levels we saw at the height of the market,” says Scott Wiles, a director and vice president within Marcus and Millichap’s National Retail Group. “It was an expected trend that last year was the low point for construction levels in the submarket, and that stems from 2009 and 2010 being very inactive leasing markets,” Wiles says. This year’s limited construction will aid Cleveland’s retail growth, however, in light of an uptick in leasing. “The positive thing about Cleveland is that we never see the construction levels that some of the sexier markets see, so it doesn’t throw our supply and …
Retail operations have likely bottomed in Cincinnati and will show signs of modest improvement through the remainder of 2012. Encouraged by a more stable job market and restored savings accounts, consumers are beginning to spend more freely. National retailers, which stalled expansion plans during the recession, will capitalize on discounted rents to move into prime retail corridors in Hamilton County and Northern Kentucky. Anchored shopping centers will outperform due to their ability to draw steady shopper traffic, keeping vacancy at Class A properties tight. The revitalization of the CBD will attract young professionals, while the recent opening of The Banks project will boost visitor volume. Demand will pick up for inline space within the area as restaurants and boutiques look to capture the increase in foot traffic. Developers who built in outlying areas will struggle to backfill unanchored strip centers. Until single- family home sales pick up, lenders will be unwilling to provide start-up financing for local retailers, leading to a weak recovery in tertiary markets. By the Numbers Employment gains are driving modest improvement in the retail sector. Cincinnati employers created 10,400 jobs during the first quarter. On a year-over-year basis, 20,300 jobs were generated, an increase of 2.1 …
With the local economy recovering from the Great Recession, the commercial real estate industry in Cincinnati is heating up. Strong office leasing activity in recent quarters has driven down the vacancy rate. From a high of 21 percent in the first quarter of 2011, total vacancy has steadily dropped to its current rate of 19 percent, the result of approximately 700,000 square feet of positive absorption, according to Jones Lang LaSalle. The real estate services firm tracks Class A and B office properties greater than 20,000 square feet, excluding owner-occupied medical and government buildings. The growth of Cincinnati businesses has sparked increased demand for office space, leading to approximately 1 million square feet of product currently under construction or planned for the next year. Meanwhile, the lending climate has improved greatly since the depths of the recession. Cincinnati has welcomed corporate relocations and expansions during the past year. Following several years of short-term lease renewals and tenants giving space back, this is welcome news that is already improving market fundamentals. Driving the increase in office demand is job growth in the healthcare industry as well as the professional and business services sector. The three largest leases within the last year …
After posting slightly positive net absorption for three consecutive quarters, the industrial market in Cincinnati bucked that trend in the second quarter by recording negative absorption of 836,000 square feet, according to Xceligent. This setback can partially be attributed to a falloff in demand, but was largely the result of several large owner-occupants moving out of their buildings. As a result, the overall vacancy rate climbed 20 basis points in the second quarter to 10.2 percent. Still, that’s below the peak vacancy rate of 10.7 percent reached in the second quarter of 2011. Significant new vacancies in the second quarter included Avon (750,000 square feet), Hamilton Fixture (330,000 square feet), and Sonoco Corrflex (319,000 square feet). This wiped out the positive absorption recorded in the first quarter. Through the first half of 2012, the market has posted 395,000 square feet of negative net absorption. Underlying Trends Similar to what we experienced in 2011, tenants are taking advantage of discounted rental rates in Class A product. There has been marginal activity involving Class B or C product. The good news is that there are growth opportunities with some space requirements of more than 100,000 square feet. That demand is driven by …
There is substantial industrial development occurring in the Cincinnati market on a non-speculative basis, with three projects in various stages of completion. Foreign capital and the need for a French firm and a Japanese company to have a significant American manufacturing and distribution presence have spurred two of the developments. Usui International Corp., a Japanese automotive/engine components maker of fuel injection systems for Ford, Honda and Toyota, has nearly completed a 90,000-square-foot, heavy industrial facility in the Cincinnati suburb of Sharonville, just north of downtown. Usui toured the region for nearly a year before selecting the Sharonville site and purchased approximately 12 acres. Cincinnati Commercial Contracting is the developer of the build-to-suit project, which Usui will own. The project is scheduled for completion in the second quarter of this year. The Usui deal reflects a trend among Japanese auto companies of building facilities in North America for several reasons: Japan’s energy infrastructure is aging and its production capacity is limited, particularly with the closure of its nuclear generators; the high value of the yen versus the U.S. dollar has increased the price of Japanese-made products; a need to minimize logistics and shipping time and costs by switching much of Japan’s …
Minimal construction and large lease signings are expected to bring the retail vacancy rate in Columbus to a 5-year low this year. At the same time, investment activity should increase through year’s end, particularly in the multi-tenant retail segment, as investors take advantage of historically low interest rates. Many of the leases in the Columbus metro area will be executed in areas with healthy population growth and established foot traffic, including Polaris, Easton, and Westerville. The lease inked by Menard Inc. for 240,000 square feet at the old Northland Mall last year will help revitalize the Morse Road corridor. Slightly north, elevated household incomes will bode well for Westerville, where Walmart will open by mid-year. Both moves will increase traffic within the area, while attracting smaller tenants to vacated inline space nearby. Elsewhere, Earth Fare Inc. will move into 30,000 square feet at the Gemini Place Towne Center in Polaris, further solidifying the neighborhood as a top retail corridor in Columbus. As leasing activity picks up and development activity remains slack, most submarkets will post an improvement in vacancy in 2012. Economic Vital Signs The Columbus retail market is one of the strongest outside of the Upper Midwest, according to …
Redevelopment initiatives in Cleveland’s urban core will attract rental households to the area, while healthy job growth and a lackluster single-family housing market will uphold modest demand in the suburbs. Among ongoing projects in the urban core, the $2 billion redevelopment of University Circle, which includes the expansion of the VA Medical Center, Cleveland Clinic and University Hospitals, has created more than 4,000 jobs since construction started in 2005. The renovations are expected to be complete by 2015 and will support over 36,000 jobs in the area. Surrounding neighborhoods such as Beachwood, Shaker Heights and Cleveland Heights will benefit most as roughly 30 percent of the employees live in these areas. Many of these young professionals occupy apartments and will delay purchasing single-family homes, a trend that will sustain demand throughout the metro area. As a result, most submarkets will post vacancy decreases this year, providing many owners with enough leverage to ease concessions and lift rents. Construction pipeline Development slowed significantly during the last year, as only one apartment complex came on line. The 38-unit University Lofts was delivered in the Cleveland Heights/Shaker Heights area in the first half of 2011. The first phase of the Uptown project will …
One of the hardest-hit real estate segments, both in Cleveland and across the nation, has been the retail sector. A dramatic reduction in consumer spending over the past four years has caused significantly lower retail sales and resulted in a long list of bankrupt retailers and struggling retail centers. While the pullback by the consumer has ultimately led to numerous instances of shuttered stores and bank-owned retail centers across the region, there have also been some noticeable trends that illustrate the underlying resiliency and strength of this segment. Digging in the dirt Although the pace of retail development has been at a near standstill for the past few years, some projects have begun to take shape. The furthest along is a new 86,000-square-foot Giant Eagle in Broadview Heights, which is under construction with an early 2012 opening planned. The South Euclid/Cleveland Heights area has also emerged as a favored development location with two large-scale projects. The long-planned expansion and renovation to the northern half of Cedar Center began in the spring with the construction of a new GFS Marketplace. When fully completed in late 2012, this project is expected to contain approximately 60,000 square feet of total retail as well …
After years of little or no new construction, the Greater Cleveland area is experiencing the construction of a broad range of major new projects representing more than $5 billion of new investment. Some of the largest projects include a new convention center and medical mart, a new Caesars Horseshoe Casino, plus major new medical center facilities developed for the Cleveland Clinic, University Hospitals and the VA Medical Center. There also are four new office developments: a 450,000-square-foot multi-tenant office tower in the Flats East Bank area of the central business district; a 580,000-square-foot world headquarters complex on 53 acres in the eastern suburb of Beachwood for Fortune 500 company Eaton Corp; a 700,000-square-foot corporate headquarters for American Greetings in Westlake, a western suburb; and a 639,000 sq. ft. global headquarters for Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. in Akron to the south. Not since the 1990s, when we saw the completion of a half dozen CBD office towers and new stadiums for the Browns, Indians, and Cavaliers has Cleveland seen this kind of activity. Build new or renovate? In mature, established cities like Cleveland, the time comes for companies and institutions to decide between building new or renovating existing structures. The …