Retail

The Twin Cities retail market continued to improve in the second half of 2013 due to robust leasing activity at neighborhood centers. The vacancy rate registered 7.2 percent at the end of 2013, down from 8.6 percent a year earlier, according to Cushman & Wakefield/NorthMarq. That is the lowest vacancy rate since the fourth quarter of 2008. The market saw healthy absorption of 439,000 square feet during the second half of 2013. With retail spaces filling, rental rates declined modestly, dropping from an average of $27.73 per square foot during the second quarter of 2013 to $27.60 per square foot in the fourth quarter. The rental rate decrease was primarily due to the decline in rates at community centers, as discount retailers negotiated lower rents. Many of these discount retailers filled big-box and junior-box spaces that had been vacant for a long time. (To view larger version of chart, click here.) The Franchise Factor The majority of retailers that entered the Twin Cities in 2013, or expanded their operations locally, were focused on food and services such as hair care, massage, cellular and fitness. Five Guys Burgers & Fries and Yogurt Lab, relative newcomers to the market, now operate multiple …

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A healthy retail market in California’s Inland Empire is expected in 2014. The region will gain measureable momentum as the return of homeowners is reviving tax revenue and retail sales in once-inactive neighborhoods. Retail builders are responding by restarting previously delayed projects in the area, including a few developments that have been involved in litigation for years. The Village at Mission Lakes was completed in 2013 after six years of stagnancy. After enduring several delays, Kendall Plaza in San Bernardino will come online in 2014. The value-add sector of the Inland Empire’s multi-tenant investment arena will move forward this year as buyers pursue opportunities ahead of a stronger improvement in operations. Local players and investors discouraged with a shortage of listings in Orange and Los Angeles counties will move farther east to find properties with potential upside. The influx of capital moving into the market will result in a greater number of repositioning plays, particularly in areas west of Interstate 15, where minimal construction has come online in recent years. Investors who acquire properties on highly trafficked corners should be able to leverage the tenant mix and collect higher rents. Once completed, these properties can be divested at cap rates …

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Although the Tampa Bay economy may not have improved as much as everyone would like, the retail market is experiencing incredible activity. Many positive trends — redevelopment, new retailers, expansions, higher rents and, soon, new development — are driving the market upward: • The retail vacancy rate was back down to 7 percent for the first time in almost five years, according to CoStar Group. • Retail rents, which plunged between mid-2006 and mid-2012, finished the year at $13.69 per square foot and show signs of strength. • The number of square feet of retail space delivered to the market hit its lowest level in the past five years, according to CoStar Group. • Land is becoming scarce, especially in growing communities south of Tampa. Considering these conditions, it looks as though it’s a landlord’s market again. We can chalk this phenomenon up to the enthusiasm of restaurants, retailers and professional service firms demanding space due to a slight but steady rise in consumer confidence. Hillsborough County collected $14.7 million on its local option sales tax in November, the latest month for which state figures are available as of this writing. That figure changed very little in 10 of the …

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According to the Allegheny Conference on Economic Development, in 2013 there were more people working in Pittsburgh than ever before. The region has seen five consecutive years of continuous expansion and a current capital investment of $3.2 billion. Pittsburgh ranks among the top 15 metropolitan areas for five-year private sector job growth according to On Numbers Economic Index. Possibly more impressive than the jobs themselves, the earnings growth in the region over the same five-year period was 24.3 percent — the highest increase in the U.S. Pittsburgh’s unemployment rate fell to 6 percent in February, with the seven-county region posting an increase of 2,400 jobs in the same period. Among the companies expanding in Pittsburgh is Cigna Health. The company, which currently employs more than 1,400 in the region, plans to grow by 10 percent in 2014, adding approximately 150 new management, training and customer service positions to its regional post in Pittsburgh’s Parkway West submarket. This is great news for retailers in the area, which is also known as the Airport Corridor and which has been a mecca for retail for several decades. In recent years, retailers have struggled to survive here, as the submarket suffered from over-development and …

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Slowly but surely, the missing pieces of the puzzle critical to the long-term vitality of the city of Detroit are starting to fill in, say real estate experts and business leaders. While the city is working through a painful bankruptcy to get its financial house in order, the public and private sector are moving forward with a sense of urgency to make sure that revitalization efforts in Downtown and Midtown don’t lose momentum. The success stories in the office, retail and apartment sector often come in fits and starts, but collectively they show measurable progress. A planned 3.3-mile streetcar line, known as the M-1 Rail project, is the infrastructure piece of the puzzle. Utility relocation work is underway on Woodward Avenue, the first step toward full-fledged construction of the planned light rail line that will connect 11 stops between Larned Street in Detroit’s central business district up to West Grand Boulevard in the New Center area at the north end. Funding for the $140 million streetcar project, which is expected to be complete in 2016, has come from a variety of sources including corporations, foundations, nonprofit agencies and government sources. “We’ll have more of a pedestrian connection between Downtown, Midtown …

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Despite the continuing economic uncertainty, the Denver market is maintaining its status as a major thriving city with respect to all aspects of growth from commercial real estate sectors. This growth is clearly apparent by all the cranes in operation as you drive down Interstate 25—the main arterial highway that runs north and south bound through the entire state. Though 1.2 million square feet of retail was built in 2013 – and 197,000 square feet was delivered in the first quarter of 2014 – most of the current cranes are working on medical, office and multifamily developments. With all the national retailers setting their sights on the Denver market, there is a definite lack of A-grade retail centers that have availability. B-grade product is now being thoroughly analyzed as the next best option. Several of the national and regional tenants are in bidding wars against each other for the remaining A- and B-grade sites. The challenge of the development process is the growing cost of land and construction, which ultimately drives the rates up, thus limiting a huge pool of potential tenants. The Denver retail market in the first quarter of 2014 experienced a positive net absorption of 820,357 square …

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Retail business continues to be solid in greater Salt Lake City. Total net absorption in all retail categories doubled, when compared to 2012. High-end retail in regional centers saw a 20 percent increase in rents to $24.50 per square foot. Retail inventory increased to a little more than 1 million square feet in 2013 as well. Significant growth areas include new retail in the eclectic Sugarhouse area, the southwest portion of Salt Lake County and the 5600 West corridor. New development also took place in the Central Business District of Salt Lake City. Shadow retail near the new City Creek Mall is fostering some of the Central Business District activity as well. Utah’s excellent light and commuter rails have spurred retail and commercial developments alongside their routes through four counties. Examples include a redevelopment project at Fairbourne Station in West Valley City and the expansion of Vista Station in Salt Lake County. Vista Station is a mixed-use development that is anchored by eBay. Many grocery tenants also have expansion plans for 2014 and 2015. WinCo, Harmon’s, WalMart Neighborhood Grocery, Whole Foods, Sprouts and others all either have plans or are underway with new projects. Large and mid-box retailers are very …

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There is no doubt that Walmart is the dominant force driving growth in the San Antonio area right now. San Antonio-area shoppers gained four new Walmart Supercenters in 2013, five more are nearing completion and scheduled to open in the next few months, and two or three more are expected to break ground later this year. At the same time, two new Sam’s Club stores will be opening in the first quarter, and Walmart’s new Neighborhood Market concept stores are slated to debut in the area this year with three locations already announced and more expected. Meanwhile, speculative development has remained very limited, but two new projects — both located in the Northwest sector — were delivered in the final quarter of 2013. Although not huge projects, these two new centers mark the delivery of San Antonio’s first sizeable speculative retail properties in over a year. One of these developments was Helotes Town Centre, which serves as an example of growth stimulated by the adjacent Walmart that opened earlier in the year. Pre-leasing activity in the 50,000-square-foot Helotes center includes Great Clips, Cash Store and Marco’s Pizza. Elsewhere, Dominion Ridge is a two-story retail project located along the I-10 corridor …

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Indianapolis is experiencing explosive growth in the mid- and big-box grocery store sector. Capitalizing on the consumer trend of active and healthy lifestyles, the metro area has attracted new concepts to the market. Fresh Thyme Farmers Markets will soon join the already healthy and organic offerings of Whole Foods, The Fresh Market and Earth Fare. Although these brands have a smaller footprint than traditional grocers, these specialty gourmet grocers account for seven new stores consuming more than 160,000 square feet of retail space throughout Indianapolis and the suburban markets. This growth in the organic and health food concepts complements the well-care businesses that expanded their presence in the Indianapolis area last year, including Vision Works, Med Express, ATI Physical Therapy and Accelerated Physical Therapy. Consumer demand for convenient access to personal well-care services, such as medical spas, massage therapy, cosmetic dentistry and personal fitness is on the rise. These types of businesses account for a significant amount of absorption within several neighborhood shopping centers throughout the market. In that vein, consumers also are choosing healthier dining options such as grab-and-go prepared foods at their local grocer rather than hitting the fast food drive-thru or dining at a restaurant. This preference …

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The New Jersey retail marketplace is finally showing signs of modest recovery for the first time since the recession. Retail is on somewhat stable ground, but not as solid as we would hope. We expect continued bumps caused by the harsh winter we have experienced, the closing of stores by some major national and regional retailers nationwide, and the fact that consumer confidence is still not in a fully stable position. Retail closings and bankruptcy filings continue to remind us that nothing is certain. For example, RadioShack recently announced it will close 1,100 stores nationwide; Pathmark and A&P supermarkets continue to close underperforming stores; and some other retailers such as Loehmann’s, and more recently, Dots women’s apparel chain have filed Chapter 11. But all is not so bleak. There are some new trends in retail that show how the sector continues to reinvent itself in an effort to thrive in this new economy. We saw the economy start to come out its doldrums, especially this past year, with many furniture and home furnishing stores opening in New Jersey for the first time. Paramus — which is one of the strongest retail markets in the U.S. — had several out-of-state furniture …

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