The market for soft and hard goods remains somewhat weak due to uncertainty in the economy and labor market (although the Houston job market is generally stronger than the rest of the country). However, in the last several months, many big boxes that went dark due to bankruptcies and/or downsizing have been absorbed, either in the totality or because of the lack of 50,000-square-foot tenants in the market. Landlords have had to get creative and divide larger spaces to accommodate smaller tenants. Generally, the most active tenants in this arena have been health clubs, discount stores, dollar stores and non-traditional retailers. Landlords, eager to fill dark spaces, are making very aggressive deals (low base rents, extra tenant allowances, more free rent, etc.). On the other hand, fast casual (FC), quick-serve restaurants (QSRs) and casual dining remains robust. As such, many companies are aggressively seeking locations in Houston. It has been increasingly difficult to find locations that can accommodate FC, QSR’s (especially users with a drive-thru) and casual dining needs because quality locations have become scarce and parking requirements can’t be adequately met. Alternatively, fine dining has been spotty with good thru-puts but lower average checks. Many restaurateurs have been reluctant …
Retail
New Hampshire has a big story to tell: a lower than average unemployment rate, low poverty and crime rate, high median household income and a well-educated population. We are among the healthiest and safest states in which to live. All of these factors contribute to continued population growth which will drive the goods and services sectors. New Hampshire also benefits from its proximity to Massachusetts and Maine as well as Canada whose shoppers are eager to take advantage of the absence of a sales tax. Prior to 2009, the Northern New England retail market was vibrant and active. However, retail expansion in the market came to a halt in 2009 and 2010 while the economy tried to dig itself out of stagnation. This year has seen a moderate uptick in activity both from a local and national perspective. Demand for retail space in northern New England is slowly returning. For the past several months, national retailers have been focusing on major metropolitan markets rather than peripheral markets. If retailers have a limited open to buy, chances are smaller cities such as Portsmouth may not be on their initial target list for expansion. However, quality retail space is continually being absorbed. …
The Atlanta retail market took a slight hit in the second quarter of 2011, but is still seeing improvement. Although available space in areas is starting to fill up, absorption in the second quarter of 2011 fell from positive absorption of 648,692 square feet in the first quarter to negative absorption of 726,174 square feet, according to CoStar Group’s Mid-Year 2011 Atlanta Retail Report. However, the vacancy rate only rose slightly, from 10.1 percent to 10.4 percent. Greg Eisenman, associate with Colliers International’s Atlanta office and a member of the Retail Services Group, says many tenants are looking to do deals. While speculative development is on hold, he expects the available amount of space to drop. Tony Cerniglia, vice president of retail services with CB Richard Ellis’ Atlanta office, says recovery has been spotty, although there are pocketed areas of the city that are doing well. Buckhead, Midtown and Cobb County have seen the most traffic, which Cerniglia says is not surprising because of the solid demographics and good locations. Some retailers have even been competing for space in these markets. Cobb County has seen some leasing traffic. In fact, according to Colliers International’s Atlanta Retail Market Report, the two …
Borrowing a Charles Dickens title, Colorado is “A Tale of Two Cities,” or more accurately, two markets. High density infill markets show strong leasing activity in terms of absorption, rental rates and down time, while lower density rural areas still lag in recovery. Urban markets such as Denver, Boulder and Englewood are returning to earlier days where spaces are quick to fill with an average down time of six months, a waiting list of prospects and increasing rents. For example, a recent side shop vacancy at King Soopers-anchored Belleview Square in Englewood was backfilled with a waiting list of five tenants before the retailer had even closed their doors. On the other hand, secondary and tertiary markets such as Falcon, Colorado Springs and Greeley are slower to lease up with an average down time of 12-15 months and little rent growth. Acquisition activity has not yet recovered, and very few Class A properties are on the market. However, development activity is picking up. Active retail categories include quick service restaurants, health and dental, discounters and mattress stores. One of the interesting trends is the boutique pet store concept occupying less than 4,500 square feet, which seems to be harvesting an …
While most of the country grows based on the birthrate, Las Vegas has grown at almost six percent per year based on the tremendous influx of new residents. That growth fueled retail development matching the pace until the growth suddenly stopped in 2008. But today, a different scenario is beginning to emerge. With many retail tenants going out of their spaces, beginning in 2008, the local retailers that had survived began a flight to quality. Key tenants in strip centers moved up to anchored centers. Other retailers that had been in the back of strip centers moved up onto pads. The addition of new space has been in waves, with the first starting in 2009, as the local retailers that survived the prior year and saw rents decreasing began adding second locations. The second wave of tenants began at the end of 2009, as strong regional retailers began seeking additional locations. The third wave, which has so far been quite small, is the national tenants. With so many choices around the nation, the national retailers are still trying to decide if Las Vegas, which was hit particularly hard, makes sense regarding expansion. The type of tenants that have been most …
Although the Indianapolis retail market took a hit during the downturn, it never sunk as deeply into the doldrums as other U.S. cities, and has been relatively quick to rebound from its modest slide. Maintaining an unemployment rate well below the national average (8.7 percent at year-end 2010), with the prediction of 20,000 new jobs for 2011 ensures this market is headed in the right direction. Retail real estate brokers in this statistical region of more than 2 million were actually quite busy in 2008 and 2009 when most other regions were reeling from the economic crunch. Recognizing still-strong market fundamentals, retailers tried to seize on the doom and gloom of the times to lowball local landlords, who for the most part would not yield to unreasonable rent offers that they knew would tie them up for years to come. While retail vacancies remain low in the city’s most robust retail corridors, they are higher than they were before the downturn began in areas where demographics have shifted. We continue to see a flight to quality in this market with the most attractive, well-positioned shopping centers commanding surprisingly strong rents. For instance, Class A big box rents in highly desirable …
The St. Louis market, long known for its diverse economy, has been slow to extricate itself from the downturn. The retail real estate brokerage business has been mostly dormant for the past 2 years, particularly the tenant representation side, as scant few national retailers dared to brave the murky expansion waters. Rental rates in the market decreased slightly from third quarter 2010, ending at $12.51 per square foot. However, rates have held up better in some submarkets, including West St. Louis County, where they are $20-plus per square foot. Prime properties at hard corners are holding their own, but second-tier properties have taken a pretty hard hit with rents down into the mid- to high-single digits. When the recession started, many landlords granted rent reductions almost uniformly to tenants and will have to live with their decisions for a while, but other owners held fort and demanded to see sales reports as proof. This resilient region of nearly 3 million people is starting to show new signs of life heading into spring 2011. The market has seen slight improvements in retail vacancy rates, which dropped from 8.4 percent in third quarter 2010 to 8.1 percent in fourth quarter 2010, according …
There is a visible upside to the Boise retail market as we begin 2011. Major employers such as Micron Technology, Hewlett-Packard and Albertsons seem to be holding their own after some layoffs in recent years. A number of national retailers are considering smaller store footprints, which has led them to consider smaller markets like Boise. And pedestrian friendly downtown Boise endured the economic downturn reasonably well, remaining an employment and cultural center that’s home to dozens of local shops and other small businesses. In addition to art galleries, restaurants, coffeehouses, jewelers, wineries, salons, apparel shops and gift shops, national tenants such as The North Face, Anthropologie, Urban Outfitters and Office Depot are well located in the city. After a brutal 2009 and soft 2010, the Boise retail leasing market is showing signs of recovery, despite that the greater Boise area posted negative absorption of about 100,000 square feet last year due to a few large move outs. One long-delayed major lifestyle retail project is moving ahead and is a positive sign that confidence is returning to the market. After a 3-year delay, CenterCal Properties is breaking ground later this year on the 90-acre mixed-use Meridian Town Center in the growing …
The retail market in the Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill MSA (“The Triangle”) is steadily improving. Retail vacancy dropped to 8.39 percent within the Triangle as of the third quarter — the result approximately 525,000 square feet in absorption over the past 12 months. Investors and retailers alike continue to be attracted to the region because of its sustainable economy fueled by the state government, Research Triangle Park and the University system. Several new anchor retailers entered the Triangle market during 2010, absorbing the majority of available boxes abandoned by Circuit City and Linens ‘N Things. Nordstrom Rack filled the former Linens ‘N Things space at CBL’s Renaissance Center at Southpoint in Durham; Ollie’s Bargain Outlet opened at York Properties’ Cary Village Square in Cary; The Container Storemade its Triangle debut in the former Circuit City location on Glenwood Avenue across from Crabtree Valley Mall in Raleigh; and buybuy BABY opened its first Triangle location at Kimco’s New Hope Commons in Durham. Only a small amount of new retail development was completed in 2010. Kane Realty delivered the only anchored retail project at North Hills East, which is situated at Six Forks Road and Interstate 440 — Raleigh’s “Beltline”. Anchored by Harris Teeter …
Like virtually every major metropolitan area, the Kansas City market has suffered in the economic malaise of the past few years. However, it hasn’t experienced the irrational highs and devastating lows that have beset markets in Arizona, Nevada and Florida. In fact, the submarkets that are struggling the most are the few that got ahead of themselves in anticipation of housing construction and leasing that never materialized. In many ways, this scenario has enhanced the position of well-located, established centers in fully developed submarkets. Many developers are renovating and, in some cases, re-tenanting their shopping centers situated in more established Kansas City neighborhoods. While demand is certainly not as robust as it was in the heyday of 2006-2007, we are still seeing more-than-respectable leasing of small tenant spaces of 1,200 to 1,500 square feet and of “mid-box” spaces ranging from 5,000 to 10,000 square feet throughout the market. Service firms such as cleaners and hair stylists, plus small eateries including breakfast/lunch-only restaurants such as Big Biscuit, as well as Starbucks, are taking smaller spaces. Dollar Tree, Dollar General and other value merchandisers are mostly taking the mid-box vacancies. Traditional lifestyle centers, however, seem to be the exception. They continue to …